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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.85 | 12.96 | -0.89 | 277 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2019 | 13.97 | 12.97 | -1.00 | 262 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2020 | 14.10 | 12.98 | -1.12 | 247 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2021 | 14.23 | 13.00 | -1.23 | 232 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2022 | 14.44 | 13.03 | -1.40 | 217 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2023 | 14.69 | 13.06 | -1.63 | 201 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2024 | 14.94 | 13.09 | -1.85 | 185 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2025 | 15.18 | 13.11 | -2.08 | 168 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2026 | 15.35 | 13.12 | -2.23 | 152 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.11 | ||
2027 | 15.52 | 13.14 | -2.38 | 136 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.13 | ||
2028 | 15.66 | 13.15 | -2.51 | 120 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.14 | ||
2029 | 15.80 | 13.16 | -2.64 | 104 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.16 | ||
2030 | 15.92 | 13.18 | -2.74 | 87 | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.18 | ||
2031 | 16.02 | 13.18 | -2.84 | 71 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.20 | ||
2032 | 16.10 | 13.19 | -2.91 | 54 | -0.22 | -0.01 | 0.22 | ||
2033 | 16.16 | 13.20 | -2.96 | 37 | -0.25 | -0.01 | 0.24 | ||
2034 | 16.19 | 13.20 | -2.99 | 19 | -0.27 | -0.01 | 0.27 | ||
2035 | 16.20 | 13.21 | -2.99 | 2 | -0.30 | -0.01 | 0.29 | ||
2036 | 16.23 | 13.21 | -3.02 | ---- | -0.32 | -0.01 | 0.31 | ||
2037 | 16.25 | 13.21 | -3.03 | ---- | -0.35 | -0.01 | 0.34 | ||
2038 | 16.24 | 13.22 | -3.02 | ---- | -0.38 | -0.01 | 0.36 | ||
2039 | 16.21 | 13.22 | -2.99 | ---- | -0.40 | -0.02 | 0.39 | ||
2040 | 16.16 | 13.22 | -2.94 | ---- | -0.43 | -0.02 | 0.41 | ||
2041 | 16.10 | 13.21 | -2.89 | ---- | -0.46 | -0.02 | 0.44 | ||
2042 | 16.05 | 13.21 | -2.83 | ---- | -0.49 | -0.02 | 0.47 | ||
2043 | 15.98 | 13.21 | -2.77 | ---- | -0.52 | -0.02 | 0.50 | ||
2044 | 15.92 | 13.21 | -2.71 | ---- | -0.55 | -0.02 | 0.53 | ||
2045 | 15.87 | 13.21 | -2.66 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.02 | 0.56 | ||
2046 | 15.81 | 13.21 | -2.60 | ---- | -0.62 | -0.02 | 0.59 | ||
2047 | 15.75 | 13.20 | -2.54 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.03 | 0.63 | ||
2048 | 15.69 | 13.20 | -2.49 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.03 | 0.66 | ||
2049 | 15.64 | 13.20 | -2.44 | ---- | -0.73 | -0.03 | 0.70 | ||
2050 | 15.59 | 13.20 | -2.39 | ---- | -0.77 | -0.03 | 0.74 | ||
2051 | 15.55 | 13.20 | -2.35 | ---- | -0.81 | -0.03 | 0.78 | ||
2052 | 15.52 | 13.20 | -2.32 | ---- | -0.85 | -0.04 | 0.82 | ||
2053 | 15.50 | 13.20 | -2.30 | ---- | -0.90 | -0.04 | 0.86 | ||
2054 | 15.49 | 13.20 | -2.29 | ---- | -0.94 | -0.04 | 0.90 | ||
2055 | 15.49 | 13.20 | -2.29 | ---- | -0.97 | -0.04 | 0.93 | ||
2056 | 15.50 | 13.20 | -2.30 | ---- | -1.01 | -0.04 | 0.97 | ||
2057 | 15.52 | 13.21 | -2.31 | ---- | -1.04 | -0.04 | 1.00 | ||
2058 | 15.53 | 13.21 | -2.33 | ---- | -1.07 | -0.04 | 1.03 | ||
2059 | 15.56 | 13.21 | -2.35 | ---- | -1.10 | -0.05 | 1.05 | ||
2060 | 15.58 | 13.21 | -2.36 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.05 | 1.08 | ||
2061 | 15.61 | 13.22 | -2.39 | ---- | -1.15 | -0.05 | 1.10 | ||
2062 | 15.64 | 13.22 | -2.43 | ---- | -1.16 | -0.05 | 1.11 | ||
2063 | 15.68 | 13.22 | -2.46 | ---- | -1.17 | -0.05 | 1.12 | ||
2064 | 15.72 | 13.22 | -2.50 | ---- | -1.18 | -0.05 | 1.13 | ||
2065 | 15.76 | 13.22 | -2.54 | ---- | -1.19 | -0.05 | 1.14 | ||
2066 | 15.81 | 13.23 | -2.58 | ---- | -1.20 | -0.05 | 1.14 | ||
2067 | 15.85 | 13.23 | -2.62 | ---- | -1.21 | -0.06 | 1.15 | ||
2068 | 15.90 | 13.23 | -2.66 | ---- | -1.22 | -0.06 | 1.16 | ||
2069 | 15.94 | 13.24 | -2.70 | ---- | -1.23 | -0.06 | 1.17 | ||
2070 | 15.98 | 13.24 | -2.74 | ---- | -1.24 | -0.06 | 1.18 | ||
2071 | 16.02 | 13.24 | -2.77 | ---- | -1.25 | -0.06 | 1.19 | ||
2072 | 16.05 | 13.24 | -2.80 | ---- | -1.26 | -0.06 | 1.20 | ||
2073 | 16.08 | 13.25 | -2.83 | ---- | -1.26 | -0.06 | 1.21 | ||
2074 | 16.10 | 13.25 | -2.85 | ---- | -1.27 | -0.06 | 1.21 | ||
2075 | 16.12 | 13.25 | -2.87 | ---- | -1.27 | -0.06 | 1.21 | ||
2076 | 16.14 | 13.25 | -2.89 | ---- | -1.26 | -0.06 | 1.20 | ||
2077 | 16.15 | 13.25 | -2.90 | ---- | -1.26 | -0.06 | 1.20 | ||
2078 | 16.15 | 13.25 | -2.90 | ---- | -1.26 | -0.06 | 1.20 | ||
2079 | 16.15 | 13.25 | -2.90 | ---- | -1.26 | -0.06 | 1.20 | ||
2080 | 16.14 | 13.25 | -2.89 | ---- | -1.26 | -0.06 | 1.20 | ||
2081 | 16.14 | 13.25 | -2.89 | ---- | -1.26 | -0.06 | 1.20 | ||
2082 | 16.14 | 13.25 | -2.89 | ---- | -1.26 | -0.06 | 1.20 | ||
2083 | 16.15 | 13.25 | -2.90 | ---- | -1.27 | -0.06 | 1.21 | ||
2084 | 16.17 | 13.25 | -2.91 | ---- | -1.27 | -0.06 | 1.21 | ||
2085 | 16.19 | 13.25 | -2.93 | ---- | -1.28 | -0.06 | 1.22 | ||
2086 | 16.21 | 13.26 | -2.96 | ---- | -1.29 | -0.06 | 1.23 | ||
2087 | 16.24 | 13.26 | -2.98 | ---- | -1.30 | -0.06 | 1.24 | ||
2088 | 16.28 | 13.26 | -3.02 | ---- | -1.31 | -0.06 | 1.25 | ||
2089 | 16.32 | 13.26 | -3.05 | ---- | -1.31 | -0.06 | 1.25 | ||
2090 | 16.36 | 13.27 | -3.09 | ---- | -1.32 | -0.06 | 1.25 | ||
2091 | 16.40 | 13.27 | -3.13 | ---- | -1.32 | -0.06 | 1.26 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 15.81% | 13.82% | -1.99% | 2035 | -0.69% | -0.03% | 0.67% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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