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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.86 | 12.96 | -0.90 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.99 | 13.01 | -0.98 | 262 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.04 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 13.06 | -1.07 | 247 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.08 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 13.12 | -1.15 | 232 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.12 | ||
2022 | 14.49 | 13.19 | -1.30 | 217 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.16 | ||
2023 | 14.76 | 13.25 | -1.51 | 202 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 0.19 | ||
2024 | 15.02 | 13.32 | -1.70 | 186 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 0.23 | ||
2025 | 15.28 | 13.37 | -1.91 | 171 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 0.27 | ||
2026 | 15.47 | 13.43 | -2.04 | 155 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.30 | ||
2027 | 15.65 | 13.47 | -2.17 | 140 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.33 | ||
2028 | 15.81 | 13.52 | -2.29 | 125 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 0.37 | ||
2029 | 15.97 | 13.57 | -2.40 | 111 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 0.40 | ||
2030 | 16.10 | 13.61 | -2.49 | 96 | 0.00 | 0.43 | 0.43 | ||
2031 | 16.22 | 13.65 | -2.57 | 81 | 0.00 | 0.46 | 0.46 | ||
2032 | 16.32 | 13.69 | -2.64 | 66 | 0.00 | 0.49 | 0.49 | ||
2033 | 16.41 | 13.72 | -2.68 | 51 | 0.00 | 0.52 | 0.52 | ||
2034 | 16.46 | 13.76 | -2.70 | 35 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 0.55 | ||
2035 | 16.49 | 13.79 | -2.70 | 20 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 0.58 | ||
2036 | 16.55 | 13.82 | -2.73 | 4 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.60 | ||
2037 | 16.60 | 13.85 | -2.74 | ---- | 0.00 | 0.63 | 0.63 | ||
2038 | 16.61 | 13.88 | -2.73 | ---- | 0.00 | 0.65 | 0.66 | ||
2039 | 16.61 | 13.91 | -2.70 | ---- | 0.00 | 0.68 | 0.68 | ||
2040 | 16.59 | 13.93 | -2.65 | ---- | 0.00 | 0.70 | 0.71 | ||
2041 | 16.56 | 13.96 | -2.60 | ---- | 0.00 | 0.73 | 0.73 | ||
2042 | 16.53 | 13.98 | -2.55 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.75 | 0.76 | ||
2043 | 16.49 | 14.00 | -2.49 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.77 | 0.78 | ||
2044 | 16.46 | 14.03 | -2.43 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.80 | 0.80 | ||
2045 | 16.44 | 14.05 | -2.39 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.82 | 0.83 | ||
2046 | 16.42 | 14.07 | -2.35 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.84 | 0.85 | ||
2047 | 16.39 | 14.09 | -2.30 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.86 | 0.87 | ||
2048 | 16.38 | 14.12 | -2.26 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.88 | 0.89 | ||
2049 | 16.36 | 14.14 | -2.22 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.91 | 0.92 | ||
2050 | 16.35 | 14.16 | -2.19 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.93 | 0.94 | ||
2051 | 16.35 | 14.18 | -2.17 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.95 | 0.96 | ||
2052 | 16.36 | 14.20 | -2.16 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.97 | 0.98 | ||
2053 | 16.38 | 14.22 | -2.16 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.99 | 1.00 | ||
2054 | 16.41 | 14.25 | -2.16 | ---- | -0.01 | 1.01 | 1.02 | ||
2055 | 16.45 | 14.27 | -2.18 | ---- | -0.01 | 1.03 | 1.04 | ||
2056 | 16.49 | 14.28 | -2.21 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.03 | 1.05 | ||
2057 | 16.54 | 14.29 | -2.25 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.04 | 1.05 | ||
2058 | 16.59 | 14.29 | -2.30 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.04 | 1.05 | ||
2059 | 16.64 | 14.29 | -2.34 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.04 | 1.05 | ||
2060 | 16.69 | 14.30 | -2.39 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.04 | 1.06 | ||
2061 | 16.74 | 14.30 | -2.43 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.04 | 1.06 | ||
2062 | 16.79 | 14.31 | -2.48 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.04 | 1.06 | ||
2063 | 16.83 | 14.31 | -2.52 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.04 | 1.06 | ||
2064 | 16.88 | 14.31 | -2.57 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.04 | 1.06 | ||
2065 | 16.93 | 14.32 | -2.61 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.04 | 1.06 | ||
2066 | 16.98 | 14.32 | -2.66 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.04 | 1.07 | ||
2067 | 17.03 | 14.33 | -2.71 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.04 | 1.07 | ||
2068 | 17.09 | 14.33 | -2.75 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.04 | 1.07 | ||
2069 | 17.14 | 14.34 | -2.80 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.04 | 1.07 | ||
2070 | 17.19 | 14.34 | -2.85 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.04 | 1.07 | ||
2071 | 17.23 | 14.34 | -2.89 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.04 | 1.07 | ||
2072 | 17.27 | 14.35 | -2.93 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.04 | 1.07 | ||
2073 | 17.31 | 14.35 | -2.96 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.04 | 1.08 | ||
2074 | 17.34 | 14.35 | -2.98 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.04 | 1.08 | ||
2075 | 17.36 | 14.36 | -3.00 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.05 | 1.08 | ||
2076 | 17.37 | 14.36 | -3.01 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.05 | 1.08 | ||
2077 | 17.37 | 14.36 | -3.02 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.05 | 1.08 | ||
2078 | 17.37 | 14.36 | -3.01 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.05 | 1.08 | ||
2079 | 17.37 | 14.36 | -3.01 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.05 | 1.08 | ||
2080 | 17.36 | 14.36 | -3.00 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.05 | 1.09 | ||
2081 | 17.36 | 14.36 | -3.00 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.05 | 1.09 | ||
2082 | 17.37 | 14.36 | -3.01 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.05 | 1.09 | ||
2083 | 17.38 | 14.36 | -3.02 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.05 | 1.09 | ||
2084 | 17.40 | 14.36 | -3.04 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.05 | 1.09 | ||
2085 | 17.43 | 14.37 | -3.06 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.05 | 1.09 | ||
2086 | 17.46 | 14.37 | -3.09 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.05 | 1.09 | ||
2087 | 17.50 | 14.37 | -3.13 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.05 | 1.09 | ||
2088 | 17.54 | 14.38 | -3.17 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.05 | 1.09 | ||
2089 | 17.59 | 14.38 | -3.21 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.05 | 1.10 | ||
2090 | 17.63 | 14.38 | -3.25 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.05 | 1.10 | ||
2091 | 17.68 | 14.39 | -3.29 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.05 | 1.10 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 16.49% | 14.57% | -1.91% | 2036 | -0.01% | 0.73% | 0.74% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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