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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 13.06 | -0.66 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.14 | ||
2018 | 13.86 | 13.24 | -0.62 | 278 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 | ||
2019 | 13.99 | 13.37 | -0.61 | 264 | 0.00 | 0.41 | 0.41 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 13.50 | -0.63 | 252 | 0.00 | 0.52 | 0.52 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 13.62 | -0.65 | 240 | 0.00 | 0.62 | 0.62 | ||
2022 | 14.49 | 13.75 | -0.74 | 229 | 0.00 | 0.71 | 0.72 | ||
2023 | 14.76 | 13.86 | -0.90 | 217 | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.80 | ||
2024 | 15.02 | 13.97 | -1.05 | 205 | 0.00 | 0.88 | 0.88 | ||
2025 | 15.28 | 14.06 | -1.22 | 192 | 0.00 | 0.95 | 0.95 | ||
2026 | 15.47 | 14.15 | -1.32 | 181 | 0.00 | 1.02 | 1.02 | ||
2027 | 15.64 | 14.17 | -1.48 | 170 | 0.00 | 1.03 | 1.03 | ||
2028 | 15.81 | 14.18 | -1.63 | 160 | 0.00 | 1.03 | 1.03 | ||
2029 | 15.96 | 14.19 | -1.77 | 149 | 0.00 | 1.03 | 1.03 | ||
2030 | 16.10 | 14.21 | -1.89 | 138 | -0.01 | 1.03 | 1.03 | ||
2031 | 16.22 | 14.22 | -2.00 | 127 | -0.01 | 1.03 | 1.03 | ||
2032 | 16.32 | 14.23 | -2.09 | 116 | -0.01 | 1.03 | 1.03 | ||
2033 | 16.40 | 14.23 | -2.17 | 104 | -0.01 | 1.03 | 1.04 | ||
2034 | 16.46 | 14.24 | -2.22 | 92 | -0.01 | 1.03 | 1.04 | ||
2035 | 16.49 | 14.24 | -2.24 | 79 | -0.01 | 1.03 | 1.04 | ||
2036 | 16.55 | 14.25 | -2.30 | 67 | -0.01 | 1.03 | 1.04 | ||
2037 | 16.59 | 14.26 | -2.33 | 54 | -0.01 | 1.03 | 1.04 | ||
2038 | 16.60 | 14.26 | -2.34 | 40 | -0.01 | 1.03 | 1.04 | ||
2039 | 16.60 | 14.26 | -2.34 | 27 | -0.01 | 1.03 | 1.04 | ||
2040 | 16.58 | 14.26 | -2.32 | 14 | -0.01 | 1.03 | 1.04 | ||
2041 | 16.55 | 14.26 | -2.29 | 0 | -0.01 | 1.03 | 1.04 | ||
2042 | 16.52 | 14.26 | -2.26 | ---- | -0.01 | 1.03 | 1.05 | ||
2043 | 16.48 | 14.26 | -2.22 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.03 | 1.05 | ||
2044 | 16.45 | 14.26 | -2.19 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.03 | 1.05 | ||
2045 | 16.43 | 14.26 | -2.17 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.03 | 1.05 | ||
2046 | 16.41 | 14.26 | -2.15 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.03 | 1.05 | ||
2047 | 16.38 | 14.26 | -2.12 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.03 | 1.05 | ||
2048 | 16.36 | 14.26 | -2.10 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.03 | 1.05 | ||
2049 | 16.35 | 14.26 | -2.08 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.03 | 1.05 | ||
2050 | 16.34 | 14.26 | -2.07 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.03 | 1.05 | ||
2051 | 16.33 | 14.27 | -2.07 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.03 | 1.06 | ||
2052 | 16.35 | 14.27 | -2.08 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.03 | 1.06 | ||
2053 | 16.37 | 14.27 | -2.10 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.03 | 1.06 | ||
2054 | 16.40 | 14.27 | -2.12 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.03 | 1.06 | ||
2055 | 16.43 | 14.28 | -2.16 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.03 | 1.06 | ||
2056 | 16.48 | 14.28 | -2.20 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.03 | 1.06 | ||
2057 | 16.53 | 14.29 | -2.24 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.03 | 1.07 | ||
2058 | 16.57 | 14.29 | -2.29 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.04 | 1.07 | ||
2059 | 16.62 | 14.29 | -2.33 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.04 | 1.07 | ||
2060 | 16.67 | 14.30 | -2.37 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.04 | 1.07 | ||
2061 | 16.72 | 14.30 | -2.42 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.04 | 1.07 | ||
2062 | 16.77 | 14.31 | -2.46 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.04 | 1.07 | ||
2063 | 16.82 | 14.31 | -2.51 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.04 | 1.07 | ||
2064 | 16.87 | 14.31 | -2.55 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.04 | 1.08 | ||
2065 | 16.92 | 14.32 | -2.60 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.04 | 1.08 | ||
2066 | 16.97 | 14.32 | -2.64 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.04 | 1.08 | ||
2067 | 17.02 | 14.33 | -2.69 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.04 | 1.08 | ||
2068 | 17.07 | 14.33 | -2.74 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.04 | 1.08 | ||
2069 | 17.12 | 14.33 | -2.79 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.04 | 1.08 | ||
2070 | 17.17 | 14.34 | -2.84 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.04 | 1.08 | ||
2071 | 17.22 | 14.34 | -2.88 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.04 | 1.09 | ||
2072 | 17.26 | 14.35 | -2.91 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.04 | 1.09 | ||
2073 | 17.30 | 14.35 | -2.95 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.04 | 1.09 | ||
2074 | 17.32 | 14.35 | -2.97 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.04 | 1.09 | ||
2075 | 17.35 | 14.35 | -2.99 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.04 | 1.09 | ||
2076 | 17.36 | 14.36 | -3.00 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.05 | 1.09 | ||
2077 | 17.36 | 14.36 | -3.01 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.05 | 1.09 | ||
2078 | 17.36 | 14.36 | -3.00 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.05 | 1.09 | ||
2079 | 17.36 | 14.36 | -3.00 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.05 | 1.09 | ||
2080 | 17.35 | 14.36 | -3.00 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.05 | 1.09 | ||
2081 | 17.35 | 14.36 | -2.99 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.05 | 1.09 | ||
2082 | 17.36 | 14.36 | -3.00 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.05 | 1.10 | ||
2083 | 17.37 | 14.36 | -3.01 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.05 | 1.10 | ||
2084 | 17.39 | 14.36 | -3.03 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.05 | 1.10 | ||
2085 | 17.42 | 14.37 | -3.06 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.05 | 1.10 | ||
2086 | 17.46 | 14.37 | -3.09 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.05 | 1.10 | ||
2087 | 17.50 | 14.37 | -3.12 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.05 | 1.10 | ||
2088 | 17.54 | 14.37 | -3.16 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.05 | 1.10 | ||
2089 | 17.58 | 14.38 | -3.20 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.05 | 1.10 | ||
2090 | 17.63 | 14.38 | -3.25 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.05 | 1.10 | ||
2091 | 17.68 | 14.39 | -3.29 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.05 | 1.10 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 16.48% | 14.80% | -1.68% | 2041 | -0.02% | 0.96% | 0.98% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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