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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 13.06 | -0.66 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.14 | ||
2018 | 13.86 | 13.24 | -0.62 | 278 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 | ||
2019 | 13.99 | 13.37 | -0.61 | 264 | 0.00 | 0.41 | 0.41 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 13.50 | -0.64 | 252 | 0.00 | 0.52 | 0.52 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 13.62 | -0.65 | 240 | 0.00 | 0.62 | 0.62 | ||
2022 | 14.49 | 13.75 | -0.74 | 229 | 0.00 | 0.71 | 0.71 | ||
2023 | 14.76 | 13.86 | -0.91 | 217 | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.79 | ||
2024 | 15.03 | 13.97 | -1.06 | 204 | 0.01 | 0.88 | 0.87 | ||
2025 | 15.29 | 14.06 | -1.23 | 192 | 0.01 | 0.95 | 0.94 | ||
2026 | 15.48 | 14.15 | -1.33 | 181 | 0.01 | 1.02 | 1.01 | ||
2027 | 15.66 | 14.17 | -1.49 | 170 | 0.02 | 1.03 | 1.01 | ||
2028 | 15.83 | 14.19 | -1.65 | 159 | 0.02 | 1.03 | 1.01 | ||
2029 | 15.99 | 14.20 | -1.80 | 148 | 0.03 | 1.03 | 1.00 | ||
2030 | 16.14 | 14.21 | -1.92 | 137 | 0.03 | 1.03 | 1.00 | ||
2031 | 16.26 | 14.22 | -2.04 | 126 | 0.04 | 1.03 | 0.99 | ||
2032 | 16.37 | 14.23 | -2.14 | 114 | 0.05 | 1.03 | 0.99 | ||
2033 | 16.46 | 14.24 | -2.22 | 102 | 0.05 | 1.04 | 0.98 | ||
2034 | 16.53 | 14.25 | -2.28 | 90 | 0.06 | 1.04 | 0.97 | ||
2035 | 16.57 | 14.25 | -2.31 | 77 | 0.07 | 1.04 | 0.97 | ||
2036 | 16.63 | 14.26 | -2.37 | 64 | 0.08 | 1.04 | 0.96 | ||
2037 | 16.69 | 14.27 | -2.42 | 50 | 0.09 | 1.04 | 0.95 | ||
2038 | 16.71 | 14.27 | -2.44 | 37 | 0.10 | 1.04 | 0.95 | ||
2039 | 16.72 | 14.28 | -2.44 | 23 | 0.11 | 1.04 | 0.94 | ||
2040 | 16.70 | 14.28 | -2.43 | 9 | 0.11 | 1.05 | 0.93 | ||
2041 | 16.69 | 14.28 | -2.41 | ---- | 0.12 | 1.05 | 0.92 | ||
2042 | 16.67 | 14.28 | -2.39 | ---- | 0.13 | 1.05 | 0.92 | ||
2043 | 16.64 | 14.28 | -2.36 | ---- | 0.14 | 1.05 | 0.91 | ||
2044 | 16.62 | 14.28 | -2.34 | ---- | 0.15 | 1.05 | 0.90 | ||
2045 | 16.61 | 14.28 | -2.33 | ---- | 0.16 | 1.05 | 0.89 | ||
2046 | 16.60 | 14.28 | -2.31 | ---- | 0.17 | 1.05 | 0.88 | ||
2047 | 16.59 | 14.29 | -2.30 | ---- | 0.18 | 1.06 | 0.87 | ||
2048 | 16.58 | 14.29 | -2.29 | ---- | 0.19 | 1.06 | 0.86 | ||
2049 | 16.57 | 14.29 | -2.28 | ---- | 0.20 | 1.06 | 0.85 | ||
2050 | 16.57 | 14.29 | -2.28 | ---- | 0.21 | 1.06 | 0.85 | ||
2051 | 16.58 | 14.29 | -2.29 | ---- | 0.23 | 1.06 | 0.84 | ||
2052 | 16.61 | 14.30 | -2.31 | ---- | 0.24 | 1.06 | 0.83 | ||
2053 | 16.64 | 14.30 | -2.34 | ---- | 0.25 | 1.07 | 0.82 | ||
2054 | 16.68 | 14.31 | -2.38 | ---- | 0.26 | 1.07 | 0.81 | ||
2055 | 16.73 | 14.31 | -2.42 | ---- | 0.27 | 1.07 | 0.80 | ||
2056 | 16.79 | 14.32 | -2.47 | ---- | 0.28 | 1.07 | 0.79 | ||
2057 | 16.85 | 14.32 | -2.53 | ---- | 0.29 | 1.07 | 0.78 | ||
2058 | 16.91 | 14.33 | -2.58 | ---- | 0.30 | 1.07 | 0.77 | ||
2059 | 16.97 | 14.33 | -2.64 | ---- | 0.32 | 1.08 | 0.76 | ||
2060 | 17.03 | 14.34 | -2.69 | ---- | 0.33 | 1.08 | 0.75 | ||
2061 | 17.09 | 14.35 | -2.75 | ---- | 0.34 | 1.08 | 0.74 | ||
2062 | 17.15 | 14.35 | -2.80 | ---- | 0.35 | 1.08 | 0.73 | ||
2063 | 17.21 | 14.36 | -2.86 | ---- | 0.36 | 1.08 | 0.73 | ||
2064 | 17.27 | 14.36 | -2.91 | ---- | 0.37 | 1.09 | 0.72 | ||
2065 | 17.33 | 14.37 | -2.96 | ---- | 0.38 | 1.09 | 0.71 | ||
2066 | 17.39 | 14.37 | -3.02 | ---- | 0.38 | 1.09 | 0.71 | ||
2067 | 17.45 | 14.38 | -3.08 | ---- | 0.39 | 1.09 | 0.70 | ||
2068 | 17.51 | 14.38 | -3.13 | ---- | 0.40 | 1.09 | 0.69 | ||
2069 | 17.57 | 14.39 | -3.19 | ---- | 0.41 | 1.09 | 0.69 | ||
2070 | 17.63 | 14.39 | -3.24 | ---- | 0.41 | 1.10 | 0.68 | ||
2071 | 17.69 | 14.40 | -3.29 | ---- | 0.42 | 1.10 | 0.68 | ||
2072 | 17.73 | 14.40 | -3.33 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.10 | 0.67 | ||
2073 | 17.77 | 14.40 | -3.37 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.10 | 0.67 | ||
2074 | 17.81 | 14.41 | -3.40 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.10 | 0.66 | ||
2075 | 17.83 | 14.41 | -3.42 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.10 | 0.66 | ||
2076 | 17.85 | 14.41 | -3.44 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.10 | 0.66 | ||
2077 | 17.86 | 14.42 | -3.44 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.10 | 0.66 | ||
2078 | 17.86 | 14.42 | -3.44 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.10 | 0.65 | ||
2079 | 17.86 | 14.42 | -3.44 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.11 | 0.65 | ||
2080 | 17.86 | 14.42 | -3.44 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.11 | 0.65 | ||
2081 | 17.86 | 14.42 | -3.44 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.11 | 0.65 | ||
2082 | 17.86 | 14.42 | -3.44 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.11 | 0.65 | ||
2083 | 17.88 | 14.42 | -3.46 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.11 | 0.65 | ||
2084 | 17.90 | 14.42 | -3.48 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.11 | 0.65 | ||
2085 | 17.93 | 14.43 | -3.51 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.11 | 0.65 | ||
2086 | 17.97 | 14.43 | -3.54 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.11 | 0.65 | ||
2087 | 18.01 | 14.43 | -3.58 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2088 | 18.05 | 14.44 | -3.62 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2089 | 18.10 | 14.44 | -3.66 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2090 | 18.15 | 14.44 | -3.71 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2091 | 18.20 | 14.45 | -3.75 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.12 | 0.64 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 16.72% | 14.83% | -1.89% | 2040 | 0.21% | 0.99% | 0.77% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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