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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 14.08 | 0.36 | 293 | 0.00 | 1.16 | 1.16 | ||
2018 | 13.85 | 14.22 | 0.37 | 285 | 0.00 | 1.26 | 1.27 | ||
2019 | 13.98 | 14.25 | 0.26 | 278 | 0.00 | 1.28 | 1.28 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 14.27 | 0.14 | 271 | 0.00 | 1.29 | 1.29 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 14.30 | 0.04 | 264 | 0.00 | 1.30 | 1.30 | ||
2022 | 14.49 | 14.34 | -0.14 | 256 | 0.00 | 1.31 | 1.31 | ||
2023 | 14.75 | 14.37 | -0.38 | 248 | 0.00 | 1.31 | 1.32 | ||
2024 | 15.02 | 14.41 | -0.61 | 238 | 0.00 | 1.32 | 1.32 | ||
2025 | 15.28 | 14.44 | -0.85 | 228 | 0.00 | 1.33 | 1.33 | ||
2026 | 15.47 | 14.47 | -1.00 | 218 | 0.00 | 1.34 | 1.35 | ||
2027 | 15.64 | 14.50 | -1.14 | 209 | 0.00 | 1.36 | 1.36 | ||
2028 | 15.81 | 14.53 | -1.28 | 200 | 0.00 | 1.37 | 1.38 | ||
2029 | 15.96 | 14.56 | -1.41 | 191 | 0.00 | 1.39 | 1.39 | ||
2030 | 16.10 | 14.58 | -1.52 | 182 | 0.00 | 1.40 | 1.41 | ||
2031 | 16.22 | 14.61 | -1.61 | 174 | 0.00 | 1.42 | 1.42 | ||
2032 | 16.33 | 14.63 | -1.69 | 165 | 0.00 | 1.43 | 1.43 | ||
2033 | 16.41 | 14.66 | -1.76 | 156 | 0.00 | 1.45 | 1.45 | ||
2034 | 16.47 | 14.67 | -1.79 | 147 | 0.00 | 1.46 | 1.46 | ||
2035 | 16.50 | 14.69 | -1.81 | 137 | 0.01 | 1.48 | 1.47 | ||
2036 | 16.56 | 14.71 | -1.85 | 128 | 0.01 | 1.49 | 1.48 | ||
2037 | 16.61 | 14.73 | -1.88 | 118 | 0.01 | 1.50 | 1.49 | ||
2038 | 16.63 | 14.75 | -1.88 | 108 | 0.01 | 1.52 | 1.50 | ||
2039 | 16.63 | 14.76 | -1.87 | 98 | 0.02 | 1.53 | 1.51 | ||
2040 | 16.61 | 14.77 | -1.84 | 88 | 0.02 | 1.54 | 1.52 | ||
2041 | 16.58 | 14.79 | -1.80 | 78 | 0.02 | 1.55 | 1.53 | ||
2042 | 16.56 | 14.80 | -1.76 | 68 | 0.03 | 1.57 | 1.54 | ||
2043 | 16.53 | 14.81 | -1.72 | 59 | 0.03 | 1.58 | 1.55 | ||
2044 | 16.50 | 14.82 | -1.68 | 49 | 0.04 | 1.59 | 1.56 | ||
2045 | 16.49 | 14.83 | -1.66 | 40 | 0.04 | 1.60 | 1.56 | ||
2046 | 16.47 | 14.85 | -1.62 | 30 | 0.05 | 1.61 | 1.57 | ||
2047 | 16.45 | 14.86 | -1.60 | 21 | 0.05 | 1.63 | 1.58 | ||
2048 | 16.44 | 14.87 | -1.57 | 12 | 0.06 | 1.64 | 1.58 | ||
2049 | 16.43 | 14.88 | -1.55 | 3 | 0.06 | 1.65 | 1.59 | ||
2050 | 16.43 | 14.89 | -1.53 | ---- | 0.07 | 1.66 | 1.59 | ||
2051 | 16.43 | 14.90 | -1.53 | ---- | 0.07 | 1.67 | 1.60 | ||
2052 | 16.45 | 14.92 | -1.54 | ---- | 0.08 | 1.68 | 1.60 | ||
2053 | 16.48 | 14.93 | -1.55 | ---- | 0.09 | 1.69 | 1.60 | ||
2054 | 16.52 | 14.94 | -1.58 | ---- | 0.10 | 1.70 | 1.60 | ||
2055 | 16.57 | 14.94 | -1.62 | ---- | 0.10 | 1.70 | 1.60 | ||
2056 | 16.62 | 14.95 | -1.67 | ---- | 0.11 | 1.70 | 1.59 | ||
2057 | 16.68 | 14.96 | -1.72 | ---- | 0.12 | 1.70 | 1.58 | ||
2058 | 16.74 | 14.96 | -1.78 | ---- | 0.13 | 1.71 | 1.58 | ||
2059 | 16.80 | 14.97 | -1.83 | ---- | 0.14 | 1.71 | 1.57 | ||
2060 | 16.86 | 14.97 | -1.88 | ---- | 0.15 | 1.71 | 1.56 | ||
2061 | 16.92 | 14.98 | -1.94 | ---- | 0.16 | 1.71 | 1.55 | ||
2062 | 16.97 | 14.98 | -1.99 | ---- | 0.17 | 1.71 | 1.55 | ||
2063 | 17.03 | 14.99 | -2.04 | ---- | 0.18 | 1.72 | 1.54 | ||
2064 | 17.09 | 14.99 | -2.10 | ---- | 0.19 | 1.72 | 1.53 | ||
2065 | 17.15 | 15.00 | -2.15 | ---- | 0.20 | 1.72 | 1.52 | ||
2066 | 17.21 | 15.01 | -2.21 | ---- | 0.21 | 1.72 | 1.52 | ||
2067 | 17.28 | 15.01 | -2.26 | ---- | 0.22 | 1.73 | 1.51 | ||
2068 | 17.34 | 15.02 | -2.32 | ---- | 0.23 | 1.73 | 1.50 | ||
2069 | 17.40 | 15.02 | -2.38 | ---- | 0.24 | 1.73 | 1.49 | ||
2070 | 17.46 | 15.03 | -2.43 | ---- | 0.24 | 1.73 | 1.49 | ||
2071 | 17.52 | 15.03 | -2.48 | ---- | 0.25 | 1.73 | 1.48 | ||
2072 | 17.57 | 15.04 | -2.53 | ---- | 0.26 | 1.74 | 1.47 | ||
2073 | 17.61 | 15.04 | -2.57 | ---- | 0.27 | 1.74 | 1.47 | ||
2074 | 17.65 | 15.05 | -2.60 | ---- | 0.28 | 1.74 | 1.46 | ||
2075 | 17.68 | 15.05 | -2.63 | ---- | 0.29 | 1.74 | 1.45 | ||
2076 | 17.70 | 15.06 | -2.65 | ---- | 0.30 | 1.74 | 1.45 | ||
2077 | 17.71 | 15.06 | -2.66 | ---- | 0.31 | 1.75 | 1.44 | ||
2078 | 17.72 | 15.06 | -2.66 | ---- | 0.31 | 1.75 | 1.44 | ||
2079 | 17.72 | 15.06 | -2.66 | ---- | 0.32 | 1.75 | 1.43 | ||
2080 | 17.73 | 15.06 | -2.66 | ---- | 0.33 | 1.75 | 1.43 | ||
2081 | 17.73 | 15.06 | -2.67 | ---- | 0.33 | 1.75 | 1.42 | ||
2082 | 17.74 | 15.07 | -2.68 | ---- | 0.34 | 1.76 | 1.42 | ||
2083 | 17.76 | 15.07 | -2.69 | ---- | 0.34 | 1.76 | 1.41 | ||
2084 | 17.79 | 15.07 | -2.72 | ---- | 0.35 | 1.76 | 1.41 | ||
2085 | 17.83 | 15.08 | -2.75 | ---- | 0.36 | 1.76 | 1.40 | ||
2086 | 17.87 | 15.08 | -2.79 | ---- | 0.36 | 1.76 | 1.40 | ||
2087 | 17.91 | 15.08 | -2.83 | ---- | 0.37 | 1.76 | 1.39 | ||
2088 | 17.96 | 15.09 | -2.87 | ---- | 0.38 | 1.77 | 1.39 | ||
2089 | 18.01 | 15.09 | -2.92 | ---- | 0.38 | 1.77 | 1.39 | ||
2090 | 18.06 | 15.10 | -2.97 | ---- | 0.39 | 1.77 | 1.38 | ||
2091 | 18.12 | 15.10 | -3.01 | ---- | 0.39 | 1.77 | 1.38 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 16.62% | 15.40% | -1.22% | 2049 | 0.11% | 1.55% | 1.44% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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