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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.82 | 12.95 | -0.87 | 278 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2019 | 13.92 | 12.96 | -0.96 | 263 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2020 | 14.03 | 12.98 | -1.06 | 249 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2021 | 14.14 | 13.00 | -1.14 | 235 | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
2022 | 14.32 | 13.03 | -1.30 | 220 | -0.17 | -0.01 | 0.16 | ||
2023 | 14.56 | 13.05 | -1.51 | 205 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.19 | ||
2024 | 14.79 | 13.08 | -1.71 | 190 | -0.23 | -0.01 | 0.22 | ||
2025 | 15.02 | 13.10 | -1.92 | 174 | -0.27 | -0.01 | 0.25 | ||
2026 | 15.17 | 13.11 | -2.06 | 159 | -0.30 | -0.02 | 0.28 | ||
2027 | 15.32 | 13.12 | -2.20 | 143 | -0.32 | -0.02 | 0.31 | ||
2028 | 15.46 | 13.14 | -2.32 | 128 | -0.35 | -0.02 | 0.33 | ||
2029 | 15.59 | 13.15 | -2.44 | 113 | -0.38 | -0.02 | 0.36 | ||
2030 | 15.70 | 13.16 | -2.54 | 98 | -0.40 | -0.02 | 0.38 | ||
2031 | 15.80 | 13.17 | -2.63 | 83 | -0.42 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
2032 | 15.88 | 13.18 | -2.71 | 67 | -0.44 | -0.02 | 0.42 | ||
2033 | 15.94 | 13.18 | -2.76 | 51 | -0.46 | -0.03 | 0.44 | ||
2034 | 15.98 | 13.19 | -2.80 | 34 | -0.48 | -0.03 | 0.45 | ||
2035 | 16.00 | 13.19 | -2.81 | 17 | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.47 | ||
2036 | 16.04 | 13.19 | -2.85 | 0 | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
2037 | 16.07 | 13.20 | -2.88 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
2038 | 16.07 | 13.20 | -2.88 | ---- | -0.54 | -0.03 | 0.51 | ||
2039 | 16.06 | 13.20 | -2.86 | ---- | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
2040 | 16.03 | 13.20 | -2.83 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
2041 | 16.00 | 13.20 | -2.80 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
2042 | 15.96 | 13.20 | -2.76 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
2043 | 15.92 | 13.20 | -2.73 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
2044 | 15.89 | 13.20 | -2.69 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2045 | 15.87 | 13.20 | -2.67 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2046 | 15.84 | 13.20 | -2.65 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2047 | 15.82 | 13.20 | -2.62 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2048 | 15.80 | 13.20 | -2.61 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2049 | 15.79 | 13.20 | -2.59 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2050 | 15.78 | 13.20 | -2.58 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2051 | 15.78 | 13.20 | -2.58 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2052 | 15.79 | 13.20 | -2.59 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2053 | 15.82 | 13.20 | -2.61 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
2054 | 15.85 | 13.21 | -2.64 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
2055 | 15.89 | 13.21 | -2.68 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
2056 | 15.93 | 13.21 | -2.72 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
2057 | 15.98 | 13.22 | -2.76 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2058 | 16.03 | 13.22 | -2.81 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2059 | 16.08 | 13.22 | -2.85 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2060 | 16.12 | 13.23 | -2.90 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2061 | 16.17 | 13.23 | -2.94 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2062 | 16.22 | 13.24 | -2.98 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2063 | 16.27 | 13.24 | -3.03 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
2064 | 16.31 | 13.24 | -3.07 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
2065 | 16.36 | 13.25 | -3.11 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
2066 | 16.41 | 13.25 | -3.16 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
2067 | 16.46 | 13.25 | -3.20 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
2068 | 16.51 | 13.26 | -3.25 | ---- | -0.61 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
2069 | 16.55 | 13.26 | -3.30 | ---- | -0.61 | -0.04 | 0.58 | ||
2070 | 16.60 | 13.26 | -3.34 | ---- | -0.61 | -0.04 | 0.58 | ||
2071 | 16.65 | 13.26 | -3.38 | ---- | -0.62 | -0.04 | 0.58 | ||
2072 | 16.68 | 13.27 | -3.42 | ---- | -0.62 | -0.04 | 0.58 | ||
2073 | 16.72 | 13.27 | -3.45 | ---- | -0.62 | -0.04 | 0.59 | ||
2074 | 16.74 | 13.27 | -3.47 | ---- | -0.63 | -0.04 | 0.59 | ||
2075 | 16.76 | 13.27 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.63 | -0.04 | 0.59 | ||
2076 | 16.77 | 13.27 | -3.50 | ---- | -0.63 | -0.04 | 0.60 | ||
2077 | 16.77 | 13.28 | -3.50 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.04 | 0.60 | ||
2078 | 16.77 | 13.28 | -3.50 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.04 | 0.60 | ||
2079 | 16.77 | 13.27 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.04 | 0.60 | ||
2080 | 16.76 | 13.27 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.04 | 0.60 | ||
2081 | 16.76 | 13.27 | -3.48 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.04 | 0.60 | ||
2082 | 16.76 | 13.27 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.04 | 0.61 | ||
2083 | 16.78 | 13.28 | -3.50 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.04 | 0.61 | ||
2084 | 16.80 | 13.28 | -3.52 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.04 | 0.61 | ||
2085 | 16.82 | 13.28 | -3.55 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.04 | 0.61 | ||
2086 | 16.86 | 13.28 | -3.58 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.04 | 0.61 | ||
2087 | 16.90 | 13.28 | -3.61 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.04 | 0.61 | ||
2088 | 16.94 | 13.29 | -3.65 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.04 | 0.61 | ||
2089 | 16.98 | 13.29 | -3.69 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.04 | 0.61 | ||
2090 | 17.02 | 13.29 | -3.73 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.04 | 0.61 | ||
2091 | 17.07 | 13.29 | -3.78 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.04 | 0.62 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 16.01% | 13.82% | -2.19% | 2036 | -0.49% | -0.03% | 0.47% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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