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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.86 | 13.00 | -0.86 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.04 | ||
2019 | 13.99 | 13.05 | -0.94 | 262 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.08 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 13.10 | -1.03 | 247 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.12 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 13.16 | -1.11 | 233 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.16 | ||
2022 | 14.49 | 13.23 | -1.26 | 218 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.20 | ||
2023 | 14.76 | 13.29 | -1.47 | 203 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 0.23 | ||
2024 | 15.02 | 13.36 | -1.67 | 188 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 0.26 | ||
2025 | 15.29 | 13.41 | -1.88 | 172 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.30 | ||
2026 | 15.47 | 13.46 | -2.01 | 157 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.33 | ||
2027 | 15.65 | 13.51 | -2.15 | 142 | 0.00 | 0.36 | 0.36 | ||
2028 | 15.82 | 13.55 | -2.26 | 128 | 0.01 | 0.40 | 0.39 | ||
2029 | 15.97 | 13.60 | -2.38 | 113 | 0.01 | 0.43 | 0.42 | ||
2030 | 16.11 | 13.64 | -2.47 | 98 | 0.01 | 0.46 | 0.45 | ||
2031 | 16.23 | 13.68 | -2.55 | 84 | 0.01 | 0.49 | 0.48 | ||
2032 | 16.34 | 13.72 | -2.62 | 69 | 0.01 | 0.52 | 0.51 | ||
2033 | 16.42 | 13.75 | -2.67 | 54 | 0.02 | 0.55 | 0.53 | ||
2034 | 16.48 | 13.79 | -2.70 | 38 | 0.02 | 0.58 | 0.56 | ||
2035 | 16.52 | 13.82 | -2.70 | 23 | 0.02 | 0.60 | 0.58 | ||
2036 | 16.58 | 13.85 | -2.73 | 7 | 0.02 | 0.63 | 0.61 | ||
2037 | 16.63 | 13.88 | -2.74 | ---- | 0.03 | 0.66 | 0.63 | ||
2038 | 16.65 | 13.91 | -2.73 | ---- | 0.03 | 0.68 | 0.65 | ||
2039 | 16.65 | 13.94 | -2.71 | ---- | 0.04 | 0.71 | 0.67 | ||
2040 | 16.63 | 13.96 | -2.67 | ---- | 0.04 | 0.73 | 0.69 | ||
2041 | 16.61 | 13.99 | -2.62 | ---- | 0.04 | 0.76 | 0.71 | ||
2042 | 16.58 | 14.01 | -2.57 | ---- | 0.05 | 0.78 | 0.73 | ||
2043 | 16.55 | 14.03 | -2.52 | ---- | 0.05 | 0.80 | 0.75 | ||
2044 | 16.53 | 14.06 | -2.47 | ---- | 0.06 | 0.83 | 0.77 | ||
2045 | 16.51 | 14.08 | -2.43 | ---- | 0.06 | 0.85 | 0.78 | ||
2046 | 16.50 | 14.10 | -2.39 | ---- | 0.07 | 0.87 | 0.80 | ||
2047 | 16.48 | 14.12 | -2.35 | ---- | 0.08 | 0.89 | 0.82 | ||
2048 | 16.47 | 14.15 | -2.32 | ---- | 0.08 | 0.92 | 0.83 | ||
2049 | 16.46 | 14.17 | -2.29 | ---- | 0.09 | 0.94 | 0.85 | ||
2050 | 16.45 | 14.19 | -2.26 | ---- | 0.09 | 0.96 | 0.86 | ||
2051 | 16.46 | 14.21 | -2.25 | ---- | 0.10 | 0.98 | 0.88 | ||
2052 | 16.48 | 14.24 | -2.24 | ---- | 0.11 | 1.00 | 0.89 | ||
2053 | 16.51 | 14.26 | -2.25 | ---- | 0.12 | 1.02 | 0.91 | ||
2054 | 16.55 | 14.28 | -2.27 | ---- | 0.12 | 1.04 | 0.92 | ||
2055 | 16.59 | 14.29 | -2.30 | ---- | 0.13 | 1.05 | 0.92 | ||
2056 | 16.65 | 14.30 | -2.35 | ---- | 0.14 | 1.05 | 0.91 | ||
2057 | 16.70 | 14.30 | -2.40 | ---- | 0.15 | 1.05 | 0.91 | ||
2058 | 16.76 | 14.31 | -2.45 | ---- | 0.16 | 1.06 | 0.90 | ||
2059 | 16.82 | 14.32 | -2.50 | ---- | 0.16 | 1.06 | 0.89 | ||
2060 | 16.88 | 14.32 | -2.56 | ---- | 0.17 | 1.06 | 0.89 | ||
2061 | 16.94 | 14.33 | -2.61 | ---- | 0.18 | 1.06 | 0.88 | ||
2062 | 16.99 | 14.33 | -2.66 | ---- | 0.19 | 1.06 | 0.87 | ||
2063 | 17.05 | 14.34 | -2.72 | ---- | 0.19 | 1.06 | 0.87 | ||
2064 | 17.11 | 14.34 | -2.77 | ---- | 0.20 | 1.07 | 0.86 | ||
2065 | 17.17 | 14.35 | -2.82 | ---- | 0.21 | 1.07 | 0.86 | ||
2066 | 17.22 | 14.35 | -2.87 | ---- | 0.22 | 1.07 | 0.85 | ||
2067 | 17.28 | 14.36 | -2.93 | ---- | 0.22 | 1.07 | 0.85 | ||
2068 | 17.34 | 14.36 | -2.98 | ---- | 0.23 | 1.07 | 0.84 | ||
2069 | 17.40 | 14.37 | -3.04 | ---- | 0.24 | 1.07 | 0.83 | ||
2070 | 17.46 | 14.37 | -3.09 | ---- | 0.25 | 1.07 | 0.83 | ||
2071 | 17.52 | 14.38 | -3.14 | ---- | 0.25 | 1.08 | 0.82 | ||
2072 | 17.56 | 14.38 | -3.18 | ---- | 0.26 | 1.08 | 0.82 | ||
2073 | 17.60 | 14.38 | -3.22 | ---- | 0.26 | 1.08 | 0.81 | ||
2074 | 17.64 | 14.39 | -3.25 | ---- | 0.27 | 1.08 | 0.81 | ||
2075 | 17.67 | 14.39 | -3.28 | ---- | 0.27 | 1.08 | 0.81 | ||
2076 | 17.68 | 14.39 | -3.29 | ---- | 0.28 | 1.08 | 0.80 | ||
2077 | 17.69 | 14.40 | -3.30 | ---- | 0.28 | 1.08 | 0.80 | ||
2078 | 17.70 | 14.40 | -3.30 | ---- | 0.29 | 1.09 | 0.80 | ||
2079 | 17.70 | 14.40 | -3.30 | ---- | 0.29 | 1.09 | 0.79 | ||
2080 | 17.70 | 14.40 | -3.30 | ---- | 0.29 | 1.09 | 0.79 | ||
2081 | 17.70 | 14.40 | -3.30 | ---- | 0.30 | 1.09 | 0.79 | ||
2082 | 17.71 | 14.40 | -3.31 | ---- | 0.30 | 1.09 | 0.79 | ||
2083 | 17.72 | 14.40 | -3.32 | ---- | 0.30 | 1.09 | 0.79 | ||
2084 | 17.75 | 14.40 | -3.34 | ---- | 0.31 | 1.09 | 0.78 | ||
2085 | 17.78 | 14.41 | -3.37 | ---- | 0.31 | 1.09 | 0.78 | ||
2086 | 17.82 | 14.41 | -3.41 | ---- | 0.31 | 1.09 | 0.78 | ||
2087 | 17.86 | 14.41 | -3.45 | ---- | 0.32 | 1.09 | 0.78 | ||
2088 | 17.91 | 14.42 | -3.49 | ---- | 0.32 | 1.09 | 0.78 | ||
2089 | 17.95 | 14.42 | -3.53 | ---- | 0.32 | 1.10 | 0.77 | ||
2090 | 18.00 | 14.43 | -3.58 | ---- | 0.33 | 1.10 | 0.77 | ||
2091 | 18.05 | 14.43 | -3.62 | ---- | 0.33 | 1.10 | 0.77 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 16.62% | 14.61% | -2.02% | 2036 | 0.12% | 0.76% | 0.64% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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