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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.86 | 13.45 | -0.40 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.50 | ||
2019 | 13.99 | 13.96 | -0.02 | 265 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 14.45 | 0.32 | 256 | 0.00 | 1.47 | 1.47 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 14.93 | 0.66 | 251 | 0.00 | 1.92 | 1.93 | ||
2022 | 14.49 | 15.39 | 0.90 | 248 | 0.00 | 2.36 | 2.36 | ||
2023 | 14.76 | 15.41 | 0.66 | 246 | 0.00 | 2.35 | 2.36 | ||
2024 | 15.02 | 15.43 | 0.40 | 243 | 0.00 | 2.34 | 2.34 | ||
2025 | 15.29 | 15.42 | 0.14 | 239 | 0.00 | 2.31 | 2.31 | ||
2026 | 15.48 | 15.44 | -0.04 | 236 | 0.01 | 2.31 | 2.31 | ||
2027 | 15.66 | 15.46 | -0.20 | 232 | 0.01 | 2.31 | 2.31 | ||
2028 | 15.83 | 15.47 | -0.35 | 229 | 0.01 | 2.32 | 2.30 | ||
2029 | 15.98 | 15.49 | -0.50 | 226 | 0.02 | 2.32 | 2.30 | ||
2030 | 16.12 | 15.50 | -0.63 | 222 | 0.02 | 2.32 | 2.30 | ||
2031 | 16.25 | 15.51 | -0.74 | 219 | 0.03 | 2.32 | 2.29 | ||
2032 | 16.36 | 15.52 | -0.84 | 216 | 0.03 | 2.32 | 2.29 | ||
2033 | 16.44 | 15.53 | -0.92 | 212 | 0.04 | 2.32 | 2.28 | ||
2034 | 16.51 | 15.53 | -0.97 | 208 | 0.04 | 2.32 | 2.28 | ||
2035 | 16.54 | 15.54 | -1.00 | 204 | 0.05 | 2.32 | 2.28 | ||
2036 | 16.61 | 15.55 | -1.06 | 200 | 0.05 | 2.33 | 2.27 | ||
2037 | 16.66 | 15.55 | -1.10 | 195 | 0.06 | 2.33 | 2.27 | ||
2038 | 16.68 | 15.56 | -1.12 | 190 | 0.06 | 2.33 | 2.26 | ||
2039 | 16.68 | 15.56 | -1.12 | 186 | 0.07 | 2.33 | 2.26 | ||
2040 | 16.67 | 15.56 | -1.10 | 181 | 0.07 | 2.33 | 2.26 | ||
2041 | 16.64 | 15.56 | -1.08 | 177 | 0.08 | 2.33 | 2.25 | ||
2042 | 16.62 | 15.57 | -1.05 | 172 | 0.09 | 2.33 | 2.25 | ||
2043 | 16.59 | 15.57 | -1.03 | 168 | 0.09 | 2.33 | 2.24 | ||
2044 | 16.56 | 15.57 | -1.00 | 164 | 0.10 | 2.34 | 2.24 | ||
2045 | 16.55 | 15.57 | -0.98 | 160 | 0.10 | 2.34 | 2.23 | ||
2046 | 16.53 | 15.57 | -0.96 | 156 | 0.11 | 2.34 | 2.23 | ||
2047 | 16.52 | 15.57 | -0.95 | 152 | 0.11 | 2.34 | 2.23 | ||
2048 | 16.50 | 15.57 | -0.93 | 148 | 0.12 | 2.34 | 2.22 | ||
2049 | 16.49 | 15.57 | -0.92 | 144 | 0.12 | 2.34 | 2.22 | ||
2050 | 16.49 | 15.58 | -0.91 | 140 | 0.13 | 2.34 | 2.21 | ||
2051 | 16.49 | 15.58 | -0.92 | 136 | 0.14 | 2.35 | 2.21 | ||
2052 | 16.51 | 15.58 | -0.93 | 132 | 0.14 | 2.35 | 2.21 | ||
2053 | 16.54 | 15.59 | -0.95 | 127 | 0.15 | 2.35 | 2.20 | ||
2054 | 16.58 | 15.59 | -0.99 | 123 | 0.15 | 2.35 | 2.20 | ||
2055 | 16.62 | 15.59 | -1.03 | 118 | 0.16 | 2.35 | 2.19 | ||
2056 | 16.67 | 15.60 | -1.07 | 113 | 0.16 | 2.35 | 2.19 | ||
2057 | 16.72 | 15.60 | -1.12 | 108 | 0.17 | 2.35 | 2.19 | ||
2058 | 16.78 | 15.61 | -1.17 | 102 | 0.17 | 2.36 | 2.18 | ||
2059 | 16.83 | 15.61 | -1.22 | 96 | 0.18 | 2.36 | 2.18 | ||
2060 | 16.89 | 15.62 | -1.27 | 90 | 0.18 | 2.36 | 2.18 | ||
2061 | 16.94 | 15.63 | -1.32 | 83 | 0.19 | 2.36 | 2.17 | ||
2062 | 17.00 | 15.63 | -1.37 | 76 | 0.19 | 2.36 | 2.17 | ||
2063 | 17.05 | 15.63 | -1.42 | 69 | 0.20 | 2.36 | 2.17 | ||
2064 | 17.10 | 15.64 | -1.46 | 61 | 0.20 | 2.36 | 2.16 | ||
2065 | 17.16 | 15.64 | -1.51 | 54 | 0.20 | 2.37 | 2.16 | ||
2066 | 17.21 | 15.65 | -1.56 | 46 | 0.21 | 2.37 | 2.16 | ||
2067 | 17.27 | 15.65 | -1.61 | 37 | 0.21 | 2.37 | 2.16 | ||
2068 | 17.33 | 15.66 | -1.67 | 28 | 0.21 | 2.37 | 2.16 | ||
2069 | 17.38 | 15.66 | -1.72 | 19 | 0.22 | 2.37 | 2.16 | ||
2070 | 17.44 | 15.67 | -1.77 | 10 | 0.22 | 2.37 | 2.15 | ||
2071 | 17.48 | 15.67 | -1.81 | ---- | 0.22 | 2.37 | 2.15 | ||
2072 | 17.53 | 15.68 | -1.85 | ---- | 0.22 | 2.38 | 2.15 | ||
2073 | 17.57 | 15.68 | -1.88 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.38 | 2.15 | ||
2074 | 17.60 | 15.69 | -1.91 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.38 | 2.15 | ||
2075 | 17.62 | 15.69 | -1.93 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.38 | 2.15 | ||
2076 | 17.63 | 15.69 | -1.94 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.38 | 2.15 | ||
2077 | 17.64 | 15.69 | -1.95 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.38 | 2.15 | ||
2078 | 17.64 | 15.69 | -1.95 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.38 | 2.15 | ||
2079 | 17.64 | 15.70 | -1.94 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.38 | 2.15 | ||
2080 | 17.63 | 15.70 | -1.94 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.39 | 2.15 | ||
2081 | 17.63 | 15.70 | -1.94 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.39 | 2.15 | ||
2082 | 17.64 | 15.70 | -1.94 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.39 | 2.15 | ||
2083 | 17.65 | 15.70 | -1.95 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.39 | 2.15 | ||
2084 | 17.68 | 15.70 | -1.97 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.39 | 2.15 | ||
2085 | 17.71 | 15.71 | -2.00 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.39 | 2.15 | ||
2086 | 17.74 | 15.71 | -2.03 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.39 | 2.16 | ||
2087 | 17.78 | 15.71 | -2.07 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.39 | 2.16 | ||
2088 | 17.83 | 15.72 | -2.11 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.40 | 2.16 | ||
2089 | 17.87 | 15.72 | -2.15 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.40 | 2.16 | ||
2090 | 17.92 | 15.73 | -2.19 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.40 | 2.16 | ||
2091 | 17.97 | 15.73 | -2.23 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.40 | 2.16 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 16.62% | 16.06% | -0.56% | 2070 | 0.12% | 2.21% | 2.10% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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