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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.86 | 13.95 | 0.10 | 277 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||
2019 | 13.98 | 14.04 | 0.06 | 268 | 0.00 | 1.07 | 1.08 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 14.08 | -0.05 | 260 | 0.00 | 1.10 | 1.10 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 14.13 | -0.14 | 253 | 0.00 | 1.13 | 1.13 | ||
2022 | 14.49 | 14.18 | -0.31 | 244 | 0.00 | 1.15 | 1.15 | ||
2023 | 14.76 | 14.22 | -0.53 | 234 | 0.00 | 1.16 | 1.17 | ||
2024 | 15.02 | 14.28 | -0.75 | 224 | 0.00 | 1.18 | 1.19 | ||
2025 | 15.28 | 14.31 | -0.97 | 213 | 0.00 | 1.20 | 1.20 | ||
2026 | 15.47 | 14.36 | -1.11 | 203 | 0.00 | 1.24 | 1.24 | ||
2027 | 15.65 | 14.41 | -1.23 | 194 | 0.00 | 1.27 | 1.27 | ||
2028 | 15.81 | 14.47 | -1.35 | 184 | 0.00 | 1.31 | 1.31 | ||
2029 | 15.97 | 14.52 | -1.45 | 175 | 0.00 | 1.35 | 1.35 | ||
2030 | 16.10 | 14.57 | -1.54 | 166 | 0.00 | 1.39 | 1.39 | ||
2031 | 16.22 | 14.62 | -1.61 | 157 | 0.00 | 1.43 | 1.43 | ||
2032 | 16.33 | 14.67 | -1.66 | 148 | 0.00 | 1.47 | 1.47 | ||
2033 | 16.41 | 14.72 | -1.69 | 139 | 0.00 | 1.51 | 1.51 | ||
2034 | 16.47 | 14.77 | -1.70 | 130 | 0.00 | 1.56 | 1.55 | ||
2035 | 16.50 | 14.82 | -1.68 | 121 | 0.00 | 1.60 | 1.60 | ||
2036 | 16.56 | 14.87 | -1.69 | 112 | 0.00 | 1.65 | 1.65 | ||
2037 | 16.60 | 14.93 | -1.68 | 103 | 0.01 | 1.70 | 1.70 | ||
2038 | 16.62 | 14.98 | -1.64 | 94 | 0.01 | 1.75 | 1.75 | ||
2039 | 16.62 | 15.04 | -1.58 | 86 | 0.01 | 1.81 | 1.80 | ||
2040 | 16.60 | 15.09 | -1.50 | 77 | 0.01 | 1.86 | 1.86 | ||
2041 | 16.57 | 15.15 | -1.42 | 69 | 0.01 | 1.92 | 1.91 | ||
2042 | 16.54 | 15.22 | -1.33 | 62 | 0.01 | 1.98 | 1.98 | ||
2043 | 16.51 | 15.28 | -1.23 | 55 | 0.01 | 2.05 | 2.04 | ||
2044 | 16.48 | 15.35 | -1.13 | 48 | 0.01 | 2.12 | 2.11 | ||
2045 | 16.46 | 15.42 | -1.04 | 42 | 0.01 | 2.19 | 2.18 | ||
2046 | 16.44 | 15.50 | -0.94 | 36 | 0.01 | 2.26 | 2.25 | ||
2047 | 16.41 | 15.56 | -0.86 | 31 | 0.01 | 2.32 | 2.31 | ||
2048 | 16.40 | 15.56 | -0.84 | 27 | 0.01 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2049 | 16.38 | 15.56 | -0.82 | 22 | 0.01 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2050 | 16.37 | 15.56 | -0.81 | 17 | 0.02 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2051 | 16.37 | 15.56 | -0.81 | 13 | 0.02 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2052 | 16.39 | 15.57 | -0.82 | 8 | 0.02 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2053 | 16.41 | 15.57 | -0.84 | 3 | 0.02 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2054 | 16.44 | 15.57 | -0.87 | ---- | 0.02 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2055 | 16.48 | 15.58 | -0.91 | ---- | 0.02 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2056 | 16.53 | 15.58 | -0.95 | ---- | 0.02 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2057 | 16.58 | 15.59 | -0.99 | ---- | 0.02 | 2.34 | 2.31 | ||
2058 | 16.63 | 15.59 | -1.04 | ---- | 0.02 | 2.34 | 2.31 | ||
2059 | 16.68 | 15.60 | -1.08 | ---- | 0.02 | 2.34 | 2.31 | ||
2060 | 16.73 | 15.60 | -1.13 | ---- | 0.02 | 2.34 | 2.31 | ||
2061 | 16.78 | 15.61 | -1.18 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.34 | 2.31 | ||
2062 | 16.83 | 15.61 | -1.22 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.34 | 2.31 | ||
2063 | 16.88 | 15.61 | -1.27 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.34 | 2.31 | ||
2064 | 16.93 | 15.62 | -1.31 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.34 | 2.32 | ||
2065 | 16.98 | 15.62 | -1.36 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.34 | 2.32 | ||
2066 | 17.04 | 15.63 | -1.41 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.34 | 2.32 | ||
2067 | 17.09 | 15.63 | -1.46 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.35 | 2.32 | ||
2068 | 17.14 | 15.64 | -1.51 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.35 | 2.32 | ||
2069 | 17.20 | 15.64 | -1.55 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.35 | 2.32 | ||
2070 | 17.25 | 15.65 | -1.60 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.35 | 2.32 | ||
2071 | 17.30 | 15.65 | -1.65 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.35 | 2.32 | ||
2072 | 17.34 | 15.66 | -1.68 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.35 | 2.32 | ||
2073 | 17.37 | 15.66 | -1.71 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.35 | 2.32 | ||
2074 | 17.40 | 15.66 | -1.74 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.35 | 2.32 | ||
2075 | 17.43 | 15.67 | -1.76 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.36 | 2.32 | ||
2076 | 17.44 | 15.67 | -1.77 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.36 | 2.32 | ||
2077 | 17.44 | 15.67 | -1.77 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.36 | 2.32 | ||
2078 | 17.44 | 15.67 | -1.77 | ---- | 0.04 | 2.36 | 2.32 | ||
2079 | 17.44 | 15.67 | -1.77 | ---- | 0.04 | 2.36 | 2.32 | ||
2080 | 17.44 | 15.67 | -1.76 | ---- | 0.04 | 2.36 | 2.33 | ||
2081 | 17.44 | 15.67 | -1.76 | ---- | 0.04 | 2.36 | 2.33 | ||
2082 | 17.44 | 15.68 | -1.77 | ---- | 0.04 | 2.36 | 2.33 | ||
2083 | 17.46 | 15.68 | -1.78 | ---- | 0.04 | 2.37 | 2.33 | ||
2084 | 17.48 | 15.68 | -1.80 | ---- | 0.04 | 2.37 | 2.33 | ||
2085 | 17.51 | 15.68 | -1.82 | ---- | 0.04 | 2.37 | 2.33 | ||
2086 | 17.54 | 15.69 | -1.86 | ---- | 0.04 | 2.37 | 2.33 | ||
2087 | 17.58 | 15.69 | -1.89 | ---- | 0.04 | 2.37 | 2.33 | ||
2088 | 17.62 | 15.69 | -1.93 | ---- | 0.04 | 2.37 | 2.33 | ||
2089 | 17.67 | 15.70 | -1.97 | ---- | 0.04 | 2.37 | 2.33 | ||
2090 | 17.72 | 15.70 | -2.01 | ---- | 0.04 | 2.37 | 2.33 | ||
2091 | 17.76 | 15.71 | -2.06 | ---- | 0.04 | 2.38 | 2.33 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 16.52% | 15.74% | -0.78% | 2053 | 0.02% | 1.90% | 1.88% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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