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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.86 | 13.01 | -0.85 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | ||
2019 | 13.99 | 13.11 | -0.88 | 262 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.14 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 13.21 | -0.92 | 248 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 0.23 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 13.30 | -0.97 | 234 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.30 | ||
2022 | 14.49 | 13.40 | -1.09 | 221 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 0.37 | ||
2023 | 14.76 | 13.49 | -1.27 | 207 | 0.00 | 0.43 | 0.43 | ||
2024 | 15.03 | 13.58 | -1.44 | 192 | 0.00 | 0.49 | 0.49 | ||
2025 | 15.29 | 13.65 | -1.64 | 178 | 0.00 | 0.54 | 0.54 | ||
2026 | 15.48 | 13.72 | -1.75 | 164 | 0.00 | 0.59 | 0.59 | ||
2027 | 15.66 | 13.79 | -1.87 | 151 | 0.01 | 0.64 | 0.64 | ||
2028 | 15.82 | 13.85 | -1.98 | 138 | 0.01 | 0.69 | 0.68 | ||
2029 | 15.98 | 13.90 | -2.07 | 125 | 0.01 | 0.74 | 0.72 | ||
2030 | 16.12 | 13.96 | -2.16 | 112 | 0.02 | 0.78 | 0.76 | ||
2031 | 16.24 | 14.01 | -2.23 | 100 | 0.02 | 0.82 | 0.80 | ||
2032 | 16.35 | 14.06 | -2.29 | 87 | 0.02 | 0.86 | 0.84 | ||
2033 | 16.44 | 14.11 | -2.33 | 73 | 0.03 | 0.90 | 0.87 | ||
2034 | 16.50 | 14.15 | -2.34 | 60 | 0.03 | 0.94 | 0.91 | ||
2035 | 16.54 | 14.19 | -2.34 | 47 | 0.04 | 0.98 | 0.94 | ||
2036 | 16.60 | 14.24 | -2.36 | 33 | 0.04 | 1.02 | 0.97 | ||
2037 | 16.65 | 14.28 | -2.37 | 20 | 0.05 | 1.05 | 1.00 | ||
2038 | 16.67 | 14.32 | -2.36 | 6 | 0.06 | 1.09 | 1.03 | ||
2039 | 16.67 | 14.35 | -2.32 | ---- | 0.06 | 1.12 | 1.05 | ||
2040 | 16.66 | 14.38 | -2.28 | ---- | 0.07 | 1.15 | 1.08 | ||
2041 | 16.64 | 14.42 | -2.23 | ---- | 0.08 | 1.18 | 1.10 | ||
2042 | 16.62 | 14.45 | -2.18 | ---- | 0.09 | 1.21 | 1.13 | ||
2043 | 16.60 | 14.48 | -2.12 | ---- | 0.10 | 1.24 | 1.15 | ||
2044 | 16.57 | 14.50 | -2.07 | ---- | 0.11 | 1.27 | 1.17 | ||
2045 | 16.56 | 14.53 | -2.03 | ---- | 0.12 | 1.30 | 1.19 | ||
2046 | 16.55 | 14.56 | -1.99 | ---- | 0.12 | 1.33 | 1.21 | ||
2047 | 16.54 | 14.59 | -1.95 | ---- | 0.14 | 1.36 | 1.22 | ||
2048 | 16.53 | 14.62 | -1.91 | ---- | 0.15 | 1.39 | 1.24 | ||
2049 | 16.53 | 14.65 | -1.88 | ---- | 0.16 | 1.41 | 1.26 | ||
2050 | 16.53 | 14.67 | -1.85 | ---- | 0.17 | 1.44 | 1.27 | ||
2051 | 16.54 | 14.70 | -1.84 | ---- | 0.18 | 1.46 | 1.28 | ||
2052 | 16.56 | 14.72 | -1.84 | ---- | 0.19 | 1.49 | 1.30 | ||
2053 | 16.60 | 14.75 | -1.85 | ---- | 0.20 | 1.51 | 1.31 | ||
2054 | 16.64 | 14.78 | -1.87 | ---- | 0.22 | 1.54 | 1.32 | ||
2055 | 16.69 | 14.80 | -1.89 | ---- | 0.23 | 1.56 | 1.33 | ||
2056 | 16.75 | 14.83 | -1.92 | ---- | 0.25 | 1.58 | 1.34 | ||
2057 | 16.82 | 14.86 | -1.96 | ---- | 0.26 | 1.60 | 1.34 | ||
2058 | 16.88 | 14.88 | -2.00 | ---- | 0.27 | 1.63 | 1.35 | ||
2059 | 16.95 | 14.91 | -2.04 | ---- | 0.29 | 1.65 | 1.36 | ||
2060 | 17.01 | 14.93 | -2.08 | ---- | 0.30 | 1.67 | 1.37 | ||
2061 | 17.07 | 14.95 | -2.12 | ---- | 0.32 | 1.69 | 1.37 | ||
2062 | 17.14 | 14.98 | -2.16 | ---- | 0.33 | 1.71 | 1.38 | ||
2063 | 17.20 | 15.00 | -2.20 | ---- | 0.35 | 1.73 | 1.38 | ||
2064 | 17.27 | 15.02 | -2.24 | ---- | 0.36 | 1.75 | 1.39 | ||
2065 | 17.33 | 15.04 | -2.28 | ---- | 0.37 | 1.77 | 1.39 | ||
2066 | 17.40 | 15.07 | -2.33 | ---- | 0.39 | 1.78 | 1.40 | ||
2067 | 17.46 | 15.09 | -2.37 | ---- | 0.40 | 1.80 | 1.40 | ||
2068 | 17.53 | 15.11 | -2.42 | ---- | 0.42 | 1.82 | 1.40 | ||
2069 | 17.60 | 15.13 | -2.46 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.84 | 1.41 | ||
2070 | 17.66 | 15.15 | -2.51 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.85 | 1.41 | ||
2071 | 17.72 | 15.17 | -2.55 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.87 | 1.41 | ||
2072 | 17.77 | 15.19 | -2.58 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.89 | 1.42 | ||
2073 | 17.82 | 15.21 | -2.61 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.90 | 1.42 | ||
2074 | 17.86 | 15.23 | -2.64 | ---- | 0.49 | 1.92 | 1.42 | ||
2075 | 17.90 | 15.24 | -2.65 | ---- | 0.51 | 1.93 | 1.43 | ||
2076 | 17.92 | 15.26 | -2.66 | ---- | 0.52 | 1.95 | 1.43 | ||
2077 | 17.94 | 15.28 | -2.66 | ---- | 0.53 | 1.96 | 1.44 | ||
2078 | 17.95 | 15.29 | -2.66 | ---- | 0.54 | 1.98 | 1.44 | ||
2079 | 17.95 | 15.30 | -2.65 | ---- | 0.55 | 1.99 | 1.44 | ||
2080 | 17.96 | 15.32 | -2.64 | ---- | 0.56 | 2.01 | 1.45 | ||
2081 | 17.97 | 15.33 | -2.64 | ---- | 0.57 | 2.02 | 1.45 | ||
2082 | 17.98 | 15.34 | -2.64 | ---- | 0.57 | 2.03 | 1.46 | ||
2083 | 18.00 | 15.36 | -2.64 | ---- | 0.58 | 2.05 | 1.46 | ||
2084 | 18.03 | 15.37 | -2.66 | ---- | 0.59 | 2.06 | 1.47 | ||
2085 | 18.07 | 15.39 | -2.68 | ---- | 0.60 | 2.07 | 1.47 | ||
2086 | 18.11 | 15.40 | -2.71 | ---- | 0.61 | 2.08 | 1.47 | ||
2087 | 18.16 | 15.42 | -2.75 | ---- | 0.62 | 2.10 | 1.48 | ||
2088 | 18.22 | 15.43 | -2.78 | ---- | 0.63 | 2.11 | 1.48 | ||
2089 | 18.27 | 15.45 | -2.82 | ---- | 0.64 | 2.12 | 1.48 | ||
2090 | 18.32 | 15.46 | -2.87 | ---- | 0.65 | 2.13 | 1.48 | ||
2091 | 18.38 | 15.47 | -2.91 | ---- | 0.66 | 2.14 | 1.49 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 16.72% | 15.11% | -1.61% | 2038 | 0.22% | 1.27% | 1.05% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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