Description of Proposed Provision:
E1.3: Reduce the payroll tax rate (currently 12.4 percent) to 11.4 percent in 2018 and later.

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201713.4113.03-0.38
298
0.000.000.00
201813.4912.02-1.47
287
0.00-0.91-0.91
201913.7011.99-1.71
266
0.00-0.96-0.96
202013.8612.00-1.85
246
0.00-0.96-0.96
202114.0212.03-1.99
226
0.00-0.96-0.96
202214.2612.06-2.19
205
0.00-0.96-0.96
202314.5512.09-2.46
184
0.00-0.96-0.96
202414.8312.12-2.71
163
0.00-0.96-0.96
202515.1012.14-2.96
141
0.00-0.96-0.96
202615.3812.18-3.20
119
0.00-0.96-0.96
202715.6212.19-3.43
96
0.00-0.96-0.96
202815.8612.21-3.65
73
0.01-0.96-0.96
202916.0712.22-3.85
50
0.01-0.96-0.96
203016.2712.24-4.03
27
0.01-0.96-0.96
203116.4512.25-4.20
3
0.01-0.96-0.96
203216.6112.26-4.35
----
0.01-0.96-0.97
203316.7512.27-4.48
----
0.01-0.96-0.97
203416.8612.28-4.58
----
0.01-0.96-0.97
203516.9412.28-4.66
----
0.01-0.96-0.97
203617.0012.29-4.71
----
0.01-0.96-0.97
203717.0312.29-4.74
----
0.01-0.96-0.97
203817.0312.29-4.74
----
0.01-0.96-0.97
203917.0112.29-4.72
----
0.01-0.96-0.97
204016.9812.29-4.69
----
0.01-0.96-0.97
204116.9312.29-4.64
----
0.02-0.96-0.97
204216.8812.28-4.59
----
0.02-0.96-0.97
204316.8212.28-4.54
----
0.02-0.96-0.98
204416.7812.28-4.50
----
0.02-0.96-0.98
204516.7412.28-4.46
----
0.02-0.96-0.98
204616.7012.28-4.42
----
0.02-0.96-0.98
204716.6712.28-4.39
----
0.02-0.96-0.98
204816.6412.27-4.36
----
0.02-0.96-0.98
204916.6112.27-4.34
----
0.02-0.96-0.98
205016.5912.27-4.32
----
0.02-0.96-0.98
205116.5812.27-4.31
----
0.02-0.96-0.98
205216.5812.27-4.31
----
0.03-0.96-0.99
205316.6012.27-4.32
----
0.03-0.96-0.99
205416.6212.28-4.34
----
0.03-0.96-0.99
205516.6512.28-4.37
----
0.03-0.96-0.99
205616.6912.28-4.41
----
0.03-0.96-0.99
205716.7312.28-4.44
----
0.03-0.96-0.99
205816.7712.29-4.49
----
0.03-0.96-0.99
205916.8212.29-4.53
----
0.03-0.96-0.99
206016.8612.29-4.57
----
0.03-0.96-0.99
206116.9112.30-4.61
----
0.04-0.96-1.00
206216.9612.30-4.66
----
0.04-0.96-1.00
206317.0112.30-4.71
----
0.04-0.96-1.00
206417.0612.30-4.75
----
0.04-0.96-1.00
206517.1112.31-4.80
----
0.04-0.96-1.00
206617.1612.31-4.85
----
0.04-0.96-1.00
206717.2112.31-4.90
----
0.04-0.96-1.00
206817.2612.32-4.95
----
0.04-0.96-1.00
206917.3212.32-5.00
----
0.04-0.96-1.00
207017.3712.32-5.04
----
0.04-0.96-1.00
207117.4112.33-5.09
----
0.04-0.96-1.00
207217.4612.33-5.13
----
0.04-0.96-1.00
207317.4912.33-5.16
----
0.04-0.96-1.00
207417.5212.33-5.19
----
0.04-0.96-1.01
207517.5512.33-5.21
----
0.04-0.96-1.01
207617.5612.34-5.23
----
0.04-0.96-1.01
207717.5712.34-5.23
----
0.04-0.96-1.01
207817.5712.34-5.23
----
0.04-0.96-1.01
207917.5612.34-5.23
----
0.04-0.96-1.01
208017.5512.33-5.22
----
0.04-0.96-1.01
208117.5512.33-5.22
----
0.04-0.96-1.01
208217.5512.33-5.22
----
0.04-0.96-1.01
208317.5612.33-5.22
----
0.04-0.96-1.01
208417.5712.33-5.24
----
0.04-0.96-1.01
208517.5912.33-5.26
----
0.04-0.96-1.01
208617.6312.34-5.29
----
0.04-0.96-1.01
208717.6612.34-5.32
----
0.04-0.96-1.01
208817.7012.34-5.36
----
0.04-0.97-1.01
208917.7412.34-5.40
----
0.04-0.97-1.01
209017.7912.35-5.45
----
0.04-0.97-1.01
209117.8412.35-5.49
----
0.04-0.97-1.01
209217.8912.35-5.53
----
0.04-0.97-1.01


Summarized Estimates

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
2017-2091 16.69% 12.89% -3.80%
2031
0.02% -0.95% -0.97%

1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.