Description of Proposed Provision:
E2.2: Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2018 and later, and apply full 12.4 percent payroll tax rate to all earnings. Provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2017 | 13.41 | 13.03 | -0.38 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.49 | 15.12 | 1.63 | 287 | 0.00 | 2.19 | 2.19 | ||
2019 | 13.69 | 15.27 | 1.57 | 288 | -0.00 | 2.32 | 2.33 | ||
2020 | 13.85 | 15.29 | 1.44 | 290 | -0.00 | 2.33 | 2.33 | ||
2021 | 14.02 | 15.33 | 1.31 | 291 | 0.00 | 2.33 | 2.33 | ||
2022 | 14.27 | 15.35 | 1.09 | 291 | 0.01 | 2.33 | 2.32 | ||
2023 | 14.56 | 15.36 | 0.80 | 289 | 0.02 | 2.32 | 2.30 | ||
2024 | 14.86 | 15.40 | 0.54 | 286 | 0.03 | 2.31 | 2.29 | ||
2025 | 15.14 | 15.42 | 0.28 | 282 | 0.04 | 2.32 | 2.28 | ||
2026 | 15.43 | 15.45 | 0.02 | 276 | 0.05 | 2.32 | 2.26 | ||
2027 | 15.69 | 15.47 | -0.22 | 270 | 0.07 | 2.32 | 2.25 | ||
2028 | 15.94 | 15.49 | -0.45 | 264 | 0.08 | 2.32 | 2.24 | ||
2029 | 16.17 | 15.51 | -0.66 | 258 | 0.10 | 2.32 | 2.22 | ||
2030 | 16.39 | 15.52 | -0.86 | 252 | 0.12 | 2.33 | 2.21 | ||
2031 | 16.59 | 15.54 | -1.05 | 246 | 0.14 | 2.33 | 2.19 | ||
2032 | 16.76 | 15.55 | -1.21 | 240 | 0.16 | 2.33 | 2.18 | ||
2033 | 16.92 | 15.56 | -1.35 | 234 | 0.18 | 2.34 | 2.16 | ||
2034 | 17.04 | 15.57 | -1.47 | 227 | 0.20 | 2.34 | 2.14 | ||
2035 | 17.14 | 15.58 | -1.56 | 219 | 0.22 | 2.34 | 2.13 | ||
2036 | 17.22 | 15.59 | -1.63 | 212 | 0.24 | 2.34 | 2.11 | ||
2037 | 17.28 | 15.60 | -1.68 | 204 | 0.26 | 2.35 | 2.09 | ||
2038 | 17.30 | 15.60 | -1.70 | 197 | 0.28 | 2.35 | 2.08 | ||
2039 | 17.29 | 15.60 | -1.69 | 189 | 0.29 | 2.35 | 2.06 | ||
2040 | 17.27 | 15.60 | -1.67 | 182 | 0.31 | 2.36 | 2.04 | ||
2041 | 17.25 | 15.61 | -1.64 | 174 | 0.33 | 2.36 | 2.03 | ||
2042 | 17.21 | 15.61 | -1.61 | 167 | 0.35 | 2.36 | 2.01 | ||
2043 | 17.18 | 15.61 | -1.57 | 160 | 0.37 | 2.37 | 2.00 | ||
2044 | 17.15 | 15.61 | -1.54 | 153 | 0.39 | 2.37 | 1.98 | ||
2045 | 17.13 | 15.61 | -1.52 | 146 | 0.41 | 2.37 | 1.96 | ||
2046 | 17.11 | 15.61 | -1.50 | 138 | 0.43 | 2.38 | 1.95 | ||
2047 | 17.09 | 15.61 | -1.48 | 131 | 0.45 | 2.38 | 1.93 | ||
2048 | 17.08 | 15.61 | -1.47 | 124 | 0.47 | 2.38 | 1.92 | ||
2049 | 17.07 | 15.62 | -1.46 | 117 | 0.48 | 2.38 | 1.90 | ||
2050 | 17.07 | 15.62 | -1.45 | 110 | 0.50 | 2.39 | 1.88 | ||
2051 | 17.08 | 15.62 | -1.46 | 103 | 0.52 | 2.39 | 1.87 | ||
2052 | 17.10 | 15.63 | -1.47 | 96 | 0.54 | 2.39 | 1.85 | ||
2053 | 17.13 | 15.63 | -1.50 | 88 | 0.56 | 2.40 | 1.84 | ||
2054 | 17.17 | 15.63 | -1.53 | 80 | 0.58 | 2.40 | 1.82 | ||
2055 | 17.22 | 15.64 | -1.58 | 72 | 0.60 | 2.40 | 1.81 | ||
2056 | 17.27 | 15.65 | -1.63 | 64 | 0.62 | 2.41 | 1.79 | ||
2057 | 17.33 | 15.65 | -1.68 | 55 | 0.63 | 2.41 | 1.77 | ||
2058 | 17.39 | 15.66 | -1.73 | 46 | 0.65 | 2.41 | 1.76 | ||
2059 | 17.45 | 15.66 | -1.79 | 37 | 0.67 | 2.41 | 1.75 | ||
2060 | 17.51 | 15.67 | -1.84 | 27 | 0.69 | 2.42 | 1.73 | ||
2061 | 17.58 | 15.68 | -1.90 | 17 | 0.70 | 2.42 | 1.72 | ||
2062 | 17.64 | 15.68 | -1.96 | 7 | 0.72 | 2.42 | 1.71 | ||
2063 | 17.70 | 15.69 | -2.01 | ---- | 0.73 | 2.43 | 1.70 | ||
2064 | 17.76 | 15.69 | -2.06 | ---- | 0.74 | 2.43 | 1.69 | ||
2065 | 17.82 | 15.70 | -2.12 | ---- | 0.75 | 2.43 | 1.68 | ||
2066 | 17.88 | 15.70 | -2.18 | ---- | 0.76 | 2.43 | 1.67 | ||
2067 | 17.94 | 15.71 | -2.23 | ---- | 0.77 | 2.44 | 1.66 | ||
2068 | 18.01 | 15.72 | -2.29 | ---- | 0.78 | 2.44 | 1.65 | ||
2069 | 18.07 | 15.72 | -2.35 | ---- | 0.79 | 2.44 | 1.65 | ||
2070 | 18.13 | 15.73 | -2.40 | ---- | 0.80 | 2.44 | 1.64 | ||
2071 | 18.18 | 15.73 | -2.45 | ---- | 0.81 | 2.44 | 1.63 | ||
2072 | 18.23 | 15.74 | -2.49 | ---- | 0.82 | 2.45 | 1.63 | ||
2073 | 18.27 | 15.74 | -2.53 | ---- | 0.82 | 2.45 | 1.62 | ||
2074 | 18.31 | 15.75 | -2.56 | ---- | 0.83 | 2.45 | 1.62 | ||
2075 | 18.34 | 15.75 | -2.59 | ---- | 0.84 | 2.45 | 1.62 | ||
2076 | 18.36 | 15.75 | -2.61 | ---- | 0.84 | 2.45 | 1.61 | ||
2077 | 18.37 | 15.75 | -2.61 | ---- | 0.84 | 2.46 | 1.61 | ||
2078 | 18.37 | 15.76 | -2.61 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.46 | 1.61 | ||
2079 | 18.36 | 15.76 | -2.61 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.46 | 1.61 | ||
2080 | 18.36 | 15.76 | -2.60 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.46 | 1.61 | ||
2081 | 18.36 | 15.76 | -2.60 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.46 | 1.61 | ||
2082 | 18.36 | 15.76 | -2.60 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.46 | 1.61 | ||
2083 | 18.36 | 15.76 | -2.60 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.46 | 1.61 | ||
2084 | 18.38 | 15.76 | -2.62 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.47 | 1.61 | ||
2085 | 18.41 | 15.77 | -2.64 | ---- | 0.86 | 2.47 | 1.61 | ||
2086 | 18.44 | 15.77 | -2.67 | ---- | 0.86 | 2.47 | 1.61 | ||
2087 | 18.48 | 15.77 | -2.70 | ---- | 0.86 | 2.47 | 1.61 | ||
2088 | 18.52 | 15.78 | -2.74 | ---- | 0.86 | 2.47 | 1.61 | ||
2089 | 18.57 | 15.78 | -2.78 | ---- | 0.87 | 2.47 | 1.61 | ||
2090 | 18.62 | 15.79 | -2.83 | ---- | 0.87 | 2.48 | 1.61 | ||
2091 | 18.67 | 15.79 | -2.88 | ---- | 0.87 | 2.48 | 1.60 | ||
2092 | 18.72 | 15.80 | -2.92 | ---- | 0.87 | 2.48 | 1.60 |
Summarized Estimates
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
2017-2091 | 17.13% | 16.19% | -0.94% | 2062 | 0.46% | 2.35% | 1.89% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.