Description of Proposed Provision:
B4.3: For the OASI and DI computation of the PIA, gradually reduce the maximum number of drop-out years from 5 to 0, phased in over the years 2019-2027.

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201713.4113.03-0.38
298
0.000.000.00
201813.4912.93-0.56
287
0.000.000.00
201913.7012.95-0.75
273
-0.00-0.000.00
202013.8512.96-0.89
259
-0.01-0.000.00
202114.0112.99-1.01
245
-0.01-0.000.01
202214.2413.02-1.21
231
-0.02-0.000.02
202314.5113.05-1.46
216
-0.03-0.000.03
202414.7813.08-1.69
200
-0.05-0.000.05
202515.0313.10-1.93
184
-0.07-0.000.07
202615.2713.13-2.14
168
-0.10-0.000.10
202715.4813.15-2.34
151
-0.13-0.010.13
202815.6813.16-2.52
134
-0.17-0.010.16
202915.8613.17-2.69
117
-0.21-0.010.20
203016.0213.18-2.83
100
-0.25-0.010.24
203116.1613.19-2.97
83
-0.29-0.010.27
203216.2813.20-3.07
65
-0.33-0.020.31
203316.3713.21-3.16
47
-0.37-0.020.35
203416.4413.22-3.23
29
-0.40-0.020.39
203516.4913.22-3.27
10
-0.44-0.020.42
203616.5113.22-3.29
----
-0.48-0.020.45
203716.5113.22-3.29
----
-0.51-0.020.48
203816.4813.22-3.26
----
-0.54-0.030.51
203916.4313.22-3.21
----
-0.57-0.030.54
204016.3713.22-3.15
----
-0.59-0.030.56
204116.3013.22-3.08
----
-0.62-0.030.59
204216.2213.21-3.01
----
-0.64-0.030.61
204316.1413.21-2.94
----
-0.66-0.030.63
204416.0713.20-2.87
----
-0.68-0.030.65
204516.0113.20-2.81
----
-0.71-0.030.67
204615.9513.20-2.76
----
-0.73-0.040.69
204715.9013.20-2.70
----
-0.74-0.040.71
204815.8513.20-2.66
----
-0.76-0.040.72
204915.8113.19-2.62
----
-0.78-0.040.74
205015.7713.19-2.58
----
-0.79-0.040.75
205115.7513.19-2.56
----
-0.81-0.040.77
205215.7313.19-2.54
----
-0.82-0.040.78
205315.7313.19-2.54
----
-0.84-0.040.79
205415.7413.19-2.55
----
-0.85-0.040.80
205515.7613.19-2.57
----
-0.86-0.040.81
205615.7913.20-2.59
----
-0.87-0.040.82
205715.8213.20-2.62
----
-0.88-0.040.83
205815.8613.20-2.65
----
-0.88-0.050.84
205915.8913.20-2.69
----
-0.89-0.050.85
206015.9313.21-2.72
----
-0.90-0.050.85
206115.9713.21-2.76
----
-0.90-0.050.86
206216.0113.21-2.80
----
-0.91-0.050.86
206316.0613.22-2.84
----
-0.91-0.050.87
206416.1013.22-2.88
----
-0.92-0.050.87
206516.1413.22-2.92
----
-0.92-0.050.88
206616.1913.22-2.97
----
-0.93-0.050.88
206716.2413.23-3.01
----
-0.93-0.050.88
206816.2913.23-3.06
----
-0.94-0.050.89
206916.3413.23-3.10
----
-0.94-0.050.89
207016.3813.24-3.15
----
-0.94-0.050.89
207116.4313.24-3.19
----
-0.95-0.050.90
207216.4613.24-3.22
----
-0.95-0.050.90
207316.5013.24-3.25
----
-0.95-0.050.90
207416.5313.25-3.28
----
-0.95-0.050.90
207516.5513.25-3.30
----
-0.96-0.050.91
207616.5613.25-3.31
----
-0.96-0.050.91
207716.5713.25-3.32
----
-0.96-0.050.91
207816.5713.25-3.32
----
-0.96-0.050.91
207916.5613.25-3.31
----
-0.96-0.050.91
208016.5513.25-3.31
----
-0.96-0.050.91
208116.5513.25-3.30
----
-0.96-0.050.91
208216.5513.25-3.30
----
-0.96-0.050.91
208316.5613.25-3.31
----
-0.96-0.050.91
208416.5713.25-3.32
----
-0.96-0.050.91
208516.5913.25-3.34
----
-0.96-0.050.91
208616.6213.25-3.37
----
-0.96-0.050.91
208716.6513.25-3.40
----
-0.96-0.050.91
208816.6913.26-3.44
----
-0.97-0.050.92
208916.7313.26-3.47
----
-0.97-0.050.92
209016.7813.26-3.52
----
-0.97-0.050.92
209116.8213.26-3.56
----
-0.97-0.050.92
209216.8713.27-3.60
----
-0.98-0.050.93


Summarized Estimates

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
2017-2091 16.04% 13.81% -2.23%
2035
-0.63% -0.03% 0.60%

1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.