Description of Proposed Provision:
E3.1: Increase the taxable maximum such that 90 percent of earnings would be subject to the payroll tax (phased in 2018-2027). Provide benefit credit for earnings up to the revised taxable maximum.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2017 | 13.41 | 13.03 | -0.38 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.49 | 13.07 | -0.42 | 287 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.14 | ||
2019 | 13.70 | 13.22 | -0.48 | 274 | -0.00 | 0.27 | 0.27 | ||
2020 | 13.85 | 13.36 | -0.49 | 261 | -0.00 | 0.40 | 0.40 | ||
2021 | 14.02 | 13.50 | -0.52 | 250 | -0.00 | 0.51 | 0.51 | ||
2022 | 14.26 | 13.63 | -0.62 | 239 | 0.00 | 0.61 | 0.61 | ||
2023 | 14.55 | 13.75 | -0.80 | 227 | 0.00 | 0.70 | 0.70 | ||
2024 | 14.83 | 13.87 | -0.96 | 216 | 0.00 | 0.79 | 0.78 | ||
2025 | 15.10 | 13.97 | -1.13 | 204 | 0.01 | 0.87 | 0.86 | ||
2026 | 15.38 | 14.08 | -1.30 | 192 | 0.01 | 0.95 | 0.94 | ||
2027 | 15.63 | 14.17 | -1.46 | 179 | 0.01 | 1.02 | 1.01 | ||
2028 | 15.87 | 14.19 | -1.68 | 167 | 0.02 | 1.02 | 1.01 | ||
2029 | 16.09 | 14.21 | -1.88 | 155 | 0.02 | 1.02 | 1.00 | ||
2030 | 16.29 | 14.22 | -2.07 | 143 | 0.03 | 1.03 | 1.00 | ||
2031 | 16.48 | 14.24 | -2.25 | 130 | 0.03 | 1.03 | 0.99 | ||
2032 | 16.65 | 14.25 | -2.40 | 117 | 0.04 | 1.03 | 0.99 | ||
2033 | 16.79 | 14.26 | -2.53 | 103 | 0.05 | 1.03 | 0.98 | ||
2034 | 16.90 | 14.27 | -2.64 | 89 | 0.06 | 1.03 | 0.98 | ||
2035 | 16.99 | 14.27 | -2.72 | 74 | 0.06 | 1.03 | 0.97 | ||
2036 | 17.06 | 14.28 | -2.78 | 59 | 0.07 | 1.04 | 0.96 | ||
2037 | 17.10 | 14.28 | -2.82 | 44 | 0.08 | 1.04 | 0.96 | ||
2038 | 17.11 | 14.29 | -2.82 | 28 | 0.09 | 1.04 | 0.95 | ||
2039 | 17.10 | 14.29 | -2.81 | 12 | 0.10 | 1.04 | 0.94 | ||
2040 | 17.07 | 14.29 | -2.78 | ---- | 0.11 | 1.04 | 0.93 | ||
2041 | 17.03 | 14.29 | -2.74 | ---- | 0.12 | 1.04 | 0.93 | ||
2042 | 16.99 | 14.29 | -2.70 | ---- | 0.12 | 1.04 | 0.92 | ||
2043 | 16.94 | 14.29 | -2.65 | ---- | 0.13 | 1.05 | 0.91 | ||
2044 | 16.90 | 14.29 | -2.62 | ---- | 0.14 | 1.05 | 0.90 | ||
2045 | 16.87 | 14.29 | -2.59 | ---- | 0.15 | 1.05 | 0.89 | ||
2046 | 16.84 | 14.29 | -2.56 | ---- | 0.16 | 1.05 | 0.89 | ||
2047 | 16.82 | 14.29 | -2.53 | ---- | 0.17 | 1.05 | 0.88 | ||
2048 | 16.80 | 14.29 | -2.51 | ---- | 0.18 | 1.05 | 0.87 | ||
2049 | 16.78 | 14.29 | -2.50 | ---- | 0.20 | 1.05 | 0.86 | ||
2050 | 16.77 | 14.29 | -2.48 | ---- | 0.21 | 1.06 | 0.85 | ||
2051 | 16.77 | 14.29 | -2.48 | ---- | 0.22 | 1.06 | 0.84 | ||
2052 | 16.78 | 14.29 | -2.49 | ---- | 0.23 | 1.06 | 0.83 | ||
2053 | 16.81 | 14.30 | -2.51 | ---- | 0.24 | 1.06 | 0.82 | ||
2054 | 16.84 | 14.30 | -2.54 | ---- | 0.25 | 1.06 | 0.81 | ||
2055 | 16.88 | 14.30 | -2.58 | ---- | 0.26 | 1.07 | 0.80 | ||
2056 | 16.93 | 14.31 | -2.62 | ---- | 0.27 | 1.07 | 0.79 | ||
2057 | 16.98 | 14.31 | -2.67 | ---- | 0.29 | 1.07 | 0.78 | ||
2058 | 17.04 | 14.32 | -2.72 | ---- | 0.30 | 1.07 | 0.77 | ||
2059 | 17.09 | 14.32 | -2.77 | ---- | 0.31 | 1.07 | 0.76 | ||
2060 | 17.15 | 14.33 | -2.82 | ---- | 0.32 | 1.07 | 0.76 | ||
2061 | 17.21 | 14.33 | -2.87 | ---- | 0.33 | 1.08 | 0.75 | ||
2062 | 17.26 | 14.34 | -2.93 | ---- | 0.34 | 1.08 | 0.74 | ||
2063 | 17.32 | 14.34 | -2.98 | ---- | 0.35 | 1.08 | 0.73 | ||
2064 | 17.38 | 14.35 | -3.03 | ---- | 0.36 | 1.08 | 0.72 | ||
2065 | 17.44 | 14.35 | -3.08 | ---- | 0.37 | 1.08 | 0.71 | ||
2066 | 17.50 | 14.36 | -3.14 | ---- | 0.38 | 1.09 | 0.71 | ||
2067 | 17.56 | 14.36 | -3.19 | ---- | 0.39 | 1.09 | 0.70 | ||
2068 | 17.62 | 14.37 | -3.25 | ---- | 0.40 | 1.09 | 0.69 | ||
2069 | 17.68 | 14.37 | -3.31 | ---- | 0.41 | 1.09 | 0.69 | ||
2070 | 17.74 | 14.38 | -3.36 | ---- | 0.41 | 1.09 | 0.68 | ||
2071 | 17.79 | 14.38 | -3.41 | ---- | 0.42 | 1.10 | 0.67 | ||
2072 | 17.84 | 14.39 | -3.45 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.10 | 0.67 | ||
2073 | 17.88 | 14.39 | -3.49 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.10 | 0.67 | ||
2074 | 17.92 | 14.39 | -3.52 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.10 | 0.66 | ||
2075 | 17.95 | 14.40 | -3.55 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.10 | 0.66 | ||
2076 | 17.97 | 14.40 | -3.57 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.10 | 0.65 | ||
2077 | 17.98 | 14.40 | -3.57 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.10 | 0.65 | ||
2078 | 17.98 | 14.40 | -3.57 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.10 | 0.65 | ||
2079 | 17.97 | 14.40 | -3.57 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.11 | 0.65 | ||
2080 | 17.97 | 14.40 | -3.57 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.11 | 0.65 | ||
2081 | 17.97 | 14.40 | -3.56 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.11 | 0.65 | ||
2082 | 17.97 | 14.41 | -3.56 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.11 | 0.65 | ||
2083 | 17.98 | 14.41 | -3.57 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2084 | 17.99 | 14.41 | -3.59 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2085 | 18.02 | 14.41 | -3.61 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2086 | 18.05 | 14.41 | -3.64 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2087 | 18.09 | 14.42 | -3.67 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2088 | 18.13 | 14.42 | -3.71 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2089 | 18.18 | 14.42 | -3.75 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2090 | 18.23 | 14.43 | -3.80 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.12 | 0.64 | ||
2091 | 18.28 | 14.43 | -3.85 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.12 | 0.64 | ||
2092 | 18.32 | 14.43 | -3.89 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.12 | 0.63 |
Summarized Estimates
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
2017-2091 | 16.88% | 14.82% | -2.06% | 2039 | 0.22% | 0.98% | 0.77% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.