Description of Proposed Provision:
B7.3: Give credit to parents with a child under 6 for earnings for up to five years. The earnings credited for a childcare year equal one half of the SSA average wage index (about $24,682 in 2016). The credits are available for all past years to newly eligible retired-worker and disabled-worker beneficiaries starting in 2018. The 5 years are chosen to yield the largest increase in AIME.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2017 | 13.41 | 13.03 | -0.38 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.49 | 12.93 | -0.56 | 287 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.71 | 12.95 | -0.77 | 273 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -0.01 | ||
2020 | 13.88 | 12.96 | -0.92 | 258 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -0.02 | ||
2021 | 14.05 | 12.99 | -1.06 | 244 | 0.03 | 0.00 | -0.03 | ||
2022 | 14.30 | 13.02 | -1.28 | 229 | 0.05 | 0.00 | -0.05 | ||
2023 | 14.61 | 13.05 | -1.55 | 213 | 0.06 | 0.00 | -0.06 | ||
2024 | 14.90 | 13.09 | -1.81 | 197 | 0.07 | 0.00 | -0.07 | ||
2025 | 15.19 | 13.11 | -2.08 | 180 | 0.09 | 0.00 | -0.08 | ||
2026 | 15.47 | 13.14 | -2.33 | 162 | 0.10 | 0.00 | -0.10 | ||
2027 | 15.73 | 13.16 | -2.57 | 144 | 0.11 | 0.00 | -0.11 | ||
2028 | 15.98 | 13.17 | -2.81 | 126 | 0.13 | 0.00 | -0.12 | ||
2029 | 16.20 | 13.19 | -3.02 | 107 | 0.14 | 0.01 | -0.13 | ||
2030 | 16.41 | 13.20 | -3.21 | 88 | 0.15 | 0.01 | -0.14 | ||
2031 | 16.61 | 13.21 | -3.39 | 69 | 0.16 | 0.01 | -0.15 | ||
2032 | 16.77 | 13.22 | -3.55 | 49 | 0.17 | 0.01 | -0.16 | ||
2033 | 16.92 | 13.23 | -3.68 | 29 | 0.18 | 0.01 | -0.17 | ||
2034 | 17.04 | 13.24 | -3.79 | 8 | 0.19 | 0.01 | -0.18 | ||
2035 | 17.12 | 13.25 | -3.87 | ---- | 0.20 | 0.01 | -0.19 | ||
2036 | 17.19 | 13.25 | -3.94 | ---- | 0.20 | 0.01 | -0.20 | ||
2037 | 17.23 | 13.26 | -3.98 | ---- | 0.21 | 0.01 | -0.20 | ||
2038 | 17.24 | 13.26 | -3.98 | ---- | 0.22 | 0.01 | -0.21 | ||
2039 | 17.22 | 13.26 | -3.96 | ---- | 0.22 | 0.01 | -0.22 | ||
2040 | 17.19 | 13.26 | -3.93 | ---- | 0.23 | 0.01 | -0.22 | ||
2041 | 17.15 | 13.26 | -3.89 | ---- | 0.24 | 0.01 | -0.23 | ||
2042 | 17.10 | 13.25 | -3.85 | ---- | 0.24 | 0.01 | -0.23 | ||
2043 | 17.05 | 13.25 | -3.80 | ---- | 0.24 | 0.01 | -0.23 | ||
2044 | 17.01 | 13.25 | -3.76 | ---- | 0.25 | 0.01 | -0.24 | ||
2045 | 16.97 | 13.25 | -3.73 | ---- | 0.25 | 0.01 | -0.24 | ||
2046 | 16.94 | 13.25 | -3.69 | ---- | 0.26 | 0.01 | -0.25 | ||
2047 | 16.91 | 13.25 | -3.66 | ---- | 0.26 | 0.01 | -0.25 | ||
2048 | 16.89 | 13.24 | -3.64 | ---- | 0.27 | 0.01 | -0.26 | ||
2049 | 16.86 | 13.24 | -3.62 | ---- | 0.27 | 0.01 | -0.26 | ||
2050 | 16.85 | 13.24 | -3.60 | ---- | 0.28 | 0.01 | -0.27 | ||
2051 | 16.84 | 13.24 | -3.59 | ---- | 0.28 | 0.01 | -0.27 | ||
2052 | 16.84 | 13.24 | -3.60 | ---- | 0.29 | 0.01 | -0.27 | ||
2053 | 16.86 | 13.25 | -3.61 | ---- | 0.29 | 0.01 | -0.28 | ||
2054 | 16.88 | 13.25 | -3.63 | ---- | 0.29 | 0.01 | -0.28 | ||
2055 | 16.92 | 13.25 | -3.66 | ---- | 0.30 | 0.01 | -0.28 | ||
2056 | 16.95 | 13.25 | -3.70 | ---- | 0.30 | 0.01 | -0.29 | ||
2057 | 17.00 | 13.26 | -3.74 | ---- | 0.30 | 0.01 | -0.29 | ||
2058 | 17.04 | 13.26 | -3.78 | ---- | 0.30 | 0.01 | -0.29 | ||
2059 | 17.09 | 13.26 | -3.83 | ---- | 0.31 | 0.01 | -0.29 | ||
2060 | 17.14 | 13.27 | -3.87 | ---- | 0.31 | 0.01 | -0.29 | ||
2061 | 17.19 | 13.27 | -3.92 | ---- | 0.31 | 0.01 | -0.30 | ||
2062 | 17.24 | 13.27 | -3.96 | ---- | 0.31 | 0.01 | -0.30 | ||
2063 | 17.28 | 13.28 | -4.01 | ---- | 0.31 | 0.01 | -0.30 | ||
2064 | 17.33 | 13.28 | -4.05 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.01 | -0.30 | ||
2065 | 17.38 | 13.28 | -4.10 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.01 | -0.30 | ||
2066 | 17.44 | 13.29 | -4.15 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.01 | -0.30 | ||
2067 | 17.49 | 13.29 | -4.20 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.01 | -0.31 | ||
2068 | 17.54 | 13.29 | -4.25 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.01 | -0.31 | ||
2069 | 17.60 | 13.30 | -4.30 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.01 | -0.31 | ||
2070 | 17.65 | 13.30 | -4.35 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.01 | -0.31 | ||
2071 | 17.70 | 13.30 | -4.40 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.01 | -0.31 | ||
2072 | 17.74 | 13.31 | -4.43 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.01 | -0.31 | ||
2073 | 17.78 | 13.31 | -4.47 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.01 | -0.31 | ||
2074 | 17.81 | 13.31 | -4.50 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.01 | -0.31 | ||
2075 | 17.83 | 13.31 | -4.52 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.31 | ||
2076 | 17.85 | 13.31 | -4.53 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.31 | ||
2077 | 17.85 | 13.31 | -4.54 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.31 | ||
2078 | 17.85 | 13.31 | -4.54 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.31 | ||
2079 | 17.85 | 13.31 | -4.53 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.31 | ||
2080 | 17.84 | 13.31 | -4.53 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.31 | ||
2081 | 17.83 | 13.31 | -4.52 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.31 | ||
2082 | 17.83 | 13.31 | -4.52 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.31 | ||
2083 | 17.84 | 13.31 | -4.53 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.31 | ||
2084 | 17.86 | 13.31 | -4.54 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.31 | ||
2085 | 17.88 | 13.31 | -4.57 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.31 | ||
2086 | 17.91 | 13.32 | -4.60 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.32 | ||
2087 | 17.95 | 13.32 | -4.63 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.32 | ||
2088 | 17.99 | 13.32 | -4.67 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.32 | ||
2089 | 18.03 | 13.32 | -4.71 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.32 | ||
2090 | 18.08 | 13.33 | -4.76 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.32 | ||
2091 | 18.13 | 13.33 | -4.80 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.32 | ||
2092 | 18.18 | 13.33 | -4.85 | ---- | 0.34 | 0.02 | -0.32 |
Summarized Estimates
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
2017-2091 | 16.90% | 13.85% | -3.05% | 2034 | 0.24% | 0.01% | -0.22% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.