Description of Proposed Provision:
E2.12: Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2029 and later. Phase in elimination by taxing all earnings above the current-law taxable maximum at: 1.24 percent in 2020, 2.48 percent in 2021, and so on, up to 12.40 percent in 2029. Provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum. Create a new bend point at the current-law taxable maximum with a 3 percent formula factor applying above the new bend point.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2017 | 13.41 | 13.03 | -0.38 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.49 | 12.93 | -0.56 | 287 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.70 | 12.95 | -0.75 | 273 | 0.00 | -0.00 | -0.00 | ||
2020 | 13.85 | 13.20 | -0.65 | 259 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.24 | ||
2021 | 14.02 | 13.48 | -0.54 | 246 | -0.00 | 0.49 | 0.49 | ||
2022 | 14.26 | 13.75 | -0.50 | 235 | -0.00 | 0.73 | 0.73 | ||
2023 | 14.54 | 14.01 | -0.53 | 225 | -0.00 | 0.96 | 0.96 | ||
2024 | 14.83 | 14.28 | -0.55 | 215 | 0.00 | 1.19 | 1.19 | ||
2025 | 15.10 | 14.53 | -0.57 | 205 | 0.00 | 1.42 | 1.42 | ||
2026 | 15.38 | 14.78 | -0.59 | 197 | 0.01 | 1.65 | 1.64 | ||
2027 | 15.63 | 15.02 | -0.61 | 189 | 0.01 | 1.87 | 1.86 | ||
2028 | 15.87 | 15.26 | -0.61 | 182 | 0.02 | 2.09 | 2.07 | ||
2029 | 16.09 | 15.49 | -0.60 | 176 | 0.02 | 2.30 | 2.28 | ||
2030 | 16.30 | 15.51 | -0.78 | 171 | 0.03 | 2.32 | 2.29 | ||
2031 | 16.49 | 15.52 | -0.96 | 166 | 0.04 | 2.32 | 2.28 | ||
2032 | 16.65 | 15.54 | -1.12 | 160 | 0.05 | 2.32 | 2.27 | ||
2033 | 16.80 | 15.55 | -1.25 | 154 | 0.06 | 2.32 | 2.26 | ||
2034 | 16.92 | 15.56 | -1.36 | 148 | 0.07 | 2.32 | 2.26 | ||
2035 | 17.01 | 15.56 | -1.44 | 141 | 0.08 | 2.32 | 2.25 | ||
2036 | 17.08 | 15.57 | -1.51 | 133 | 0.09 | 2.33 | 2.24 | ||
2037 | 17.12 | 15.58 | -1.54 | 126 | 0.10 | 2.33 | 2.23 | ||
2038 | 17.13 | 15.58 | -1.55 | 118 | 0.11 | 2.33 | 2.22 | ||
2039 | 17.12 | 15.58 | -1.53 | 111 | 0.12 | 2.33 | 2.21 | ||
2040 | 17.09 | 15.58 | -1.51 | 103 | 0.13 | 2.33 | 2.21 | ||
2041 | 17.05 | 15.58 | -1.47 | 96 | 0.14 | 2.34 | 2.20 | ||
2042 | 17.01 | 15.58 | -1.42 | 89 | 0.15 | 2.34 | 2.19 | ||
2043 | 16.96 | 15.58 | -1.38 | 82 | 0.15 | 2.34 | 2.19 | ||
2044 | 16.92 | 15.58 | -1.34 | 75 | 0.16 | 2.34 | 2.18 | ||
2045 | 16.89 | 15.58 | -1.31 | 68 | 0.17 | 2.34 | 2.17 | ||
2046 | 16.86 | 15.58 | -1.28 | 61 | 0.18 | 2.35 | 2.17 | ||
2047 | 16.83 | 15.58 | -1.25 | 55 | 0.19 | 2.35 | 2.16 | ||
2048 | 16.81 | 15.58 | -1.23 | 48 | 0.19 | 2.35 | 2.16 | ||
2049 | 16.79 | 15.58 | -1.21 | 41 | 0.20 | 2.35 | 2.15 | ||
2050 | 16.77 | 15.58 | -1.19 | 35 | 0.21 | 2.35 | 2.15 | ||
2051 | 16.77 | 15.58 | -1.18 | 28 | 0.21 | 2.35 | 2.14 | ||
2052 | 16.77 | 15.59 | -1.19 | 22 | 0.22 | 2.35 | 2.14 | ||
2053 | 16.79 | 15.59 | -1.20 | 15 | 0.22 | 2.36 | 2.13 | ||
2054 | 16.82 | 15.59 | -1.22 | 8 | 0.23 | 2.36 | 2.13 | ||
2055 | 16.85 | 15.60 | -1.26 | 1 | 0.23 | 2.36 | 2.13 | ||
2056 | 16.89 | 15.60 | -1.29 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.36 | 2.12 | ||
2057 | 16.94 | 15.61 | -1.33 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.36 | 2.12 | ||
2058 | 16.99 | 15.61 | -1.38 | ---- | 0.25 | 2.36 | 2.12 | ||
2059 | 17.03 | 15.61 | -1.42 | ---- | 0.25 | 2.36 | 2.11 | ||
2060 | 17.08 | 15.62 | -1.46 | ---- | 0.25 | 2.37 | 2.11 | ||
2061 | 17.13 | 15.62 | -1.51 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.37 | 2.11 | ||
2062 | 17.18 | 15.63 | -1.55 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.37 | 2.11 | ||
2063 | 17.23 | 15.63 | -1.60 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.37 | 2.11 | ||
2064 | 17.28 | 15.64 | -1.64 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.37 | 2.11 | ||
2065 | 17.33 | 15.64 | -1.69 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.37 | 2.11 | ||
2066 | 17.38 | 15.65 | -1.74 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.37 | 2.11 | ||
2067 | 17.43 | 15.65 | -1.78 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.38 | 2.11 | ||
2068 | 17.49 | 15.65 | -1.83 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.38 | 2.11 | ||
2069 | 17.54 | 15.66 | -1.88 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.38 | 2.11 | ||
2070 | 17.59 | 15.66 | -1.93 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.38 | 2.11 | ||
2071 | 17.64 | 15.67 | -1.97 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.38 | 2.12 | ||
2072 | 17.68 | 15.67 | -2.00 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.38 | 2.12 | ||
2073 | 17.71 | 15.67 | -2.04 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.38 | 2.12 | ||
2074 | 17.74 | 15.68 | -2.06 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.38 | 2.12 | ||
2075 | 17.76 | 15.68 | -2.08 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.38 | 2.12 | ||
2076 | 17.78 | 15.68 | -2.10 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.39 | 2.13 | ||
2077 | 17.78 | 15.69 | -2.10 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.39 | 2.13 | ||
2078 | 17.78 | 15.69 | -2.09 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.39 | 2.13 | ||
2079 | 17.77 | 15.69 | -2.09 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.39 | 2.13 | ||
2080 | 17.77 | 15.69 | -2.08 | ---- | 0.26 | 2.39 | 2.13 | ||
2081 | 17.76 | 15.69 | -2.07 | ---- | 0.25 | 2.39 | 2.14 | ||
2082 | 17.76 | 15.69 | -2.07 | ---- | 0.25 | 2.39 | 2.14 | ||
2083 | 17.76 | 15.69 | -2.07 | ---- | 0.25 | 2.39 | 2.14 | ||
2084 | 17.78 | 15.69 | -2.09 | ---- | 0.25 | 2.40 | 2.14 | ||
2085 | 17.80 | 15.70 | -2.11 | ---- | 0.25 | 2.40 | 2.15 | ||
2086 | 17.83 | 15.70 | -2.13 | ---- | 0.25 | 2.40 | 2.15 | ||
2087 | 17.87 | 15.70 | -2.17 | ---- | 0.25 | 2.40 | 2.15 | ||
2088 | 17.91 | 15.71 | -2.20 | ---- | 0.25 | 2.40 | 2.15 | ||
2089 | 17.95 | 15.71 | -2.24 | ---- | 0.25 | 2.40 | 2.15 | ||
2090 | 18.00 | 15.71 | -2.29 | ---- | 0.25 | 2.40 | 2.15 | ||
2091 | 18.05 | 15.72 | -2.33 | ---- | 0.25 | 2.40 | 2.15 | ||
2092 | 18.10 | 15.72 | -2.37 | ---- | 0.25 | 2.41 | 2.15 |
Summarized Estimates
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
2017-2091 | 16.82% | 15.92% | -0.91% | 2055 | 0.16% | 2.08% | 1.92% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.