These provisions modify: (1) the current-law OASDI payroll tax rate of 12.4 percent (6.2 percent each for employees and employers); or (2) the contribution and benefit base (taxable maximum), which limits the amount of earnings subject to payroll tax and credited for benefit computation. We provide a summary list of all options (printer-friendly PDF version) in this category. For each provision listed below, we provide an estimate of the financial effect on the OASDI program over the long-range period (the next 75 years) and for the 75th year. In addition, we provide graphs and detailed single year tables. We base all estimates on the intermediate assumptions described in the 2018 Trustees Report.
Choose the type of estimates (summary or detailed) from the list of provisions.
We group these provisions as follows:
Number | Table and graph selection |
---|---|
E1.1 |
Increase the payroll tax rate (currently 12.4 percent) to 15.4 percent
in 2019 and later.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E1.2 |
Increase the payroll tax rate (currently 12.4 percent) to 15.5 percent
in 2031-2060, and to 18.6 percent in years 2061 and later.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E1.4 |
Increase the payroll tax rate (currently 12.4 percent) by 0.1 percentage
point each year from 2024-2043, until the rate reaches 14.4 percent in
2043 and later.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E1.8 |
Increase the payroll tax rate (currently 12.4 percent) by 0.1 percentage
point each year from 2021-2026, until the rate reaches 13.0 percent for
2026 and later.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E1.9 |
Increase the payroll tax rate (currently 12.4 percent) by 0.1 percentage
point each year from 2022-2045, until the rate reaches 14.8 percent in
2045. Then increase the payroll tax rate an additional 0.1 percentage point
in each year from 2084-2088, until the rate reaches 15.3 percent for 2088
and later.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E1.10 |
Increase the payroll tax rate by 0.1 percentage point per year for
2020 through 2029 so that it equals 13.4 percent for 2029 and later.
The increase would be split evenly between the employer and employee
share, and would be split between OASI and DI in proportion to currently
scheduled payroll tax rates.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E2.1 |
Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2019 and later, and apply full
12.4 percent payroll tax rate to all earnings. Do not provide benefit
credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E2.2 |
Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2019 and later, and apply full
12.4 percent payroll tax rate to all earnings. Provide benefit credit
for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E2.3 |
Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2019 and later, and apply full
12.4 percent payroll tax rate to all earnings. Provide benefit credit
for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum. Create a new bend
point at the current-law taxable maximum with a 3 percent formula factor
applying above the new bend point.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E2.4 |
Eliminate the taxable maximum for years 2025 and later (phased in 2019-2025),
and apply full 12.4 percent payroll tax rate to all earnings. Provide benefit
credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum that are subject to
the payroll tax, using a secondary PIA formula. This secondary PIA formula involves:
(1) an "AIME+" derived from annual earnings from each year after 2018 that were
in excess of that year's current-law taxable maximum; (2) a new bend point equal
to 134 percent of the monthly current-law taxable maximum; and (3) formula factors
of 3 percent and 0.25 percent below and above the new bend point, respectively.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E2.5 |
Apply 12.4 percent payroll tax rate on earnings above $250,000
starting in 2019, and tax all earnings once the current-law taxable
maximum exceeds $250,000. Do not provide benefit credit for additional
earnings taxed.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memoranda containing this or a similar provision: |
E2.6 |
Apply a 3 percent payroll tax on earnings above the current-law taxable
maximum starting in 2019. Do not provide benefit credit for earnings above
the current-law taxable maximum.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E2.8 |
Apply a 2 percent payroll tax on earnings above the current-law taxable
maximum for years 2021-2068, and a 3 percent rate for years 2069 and later.
Do not provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable
maximum.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E2.11 |
Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2024 and later. Phase in elimination
by taxing all earnings above the current-law taxable maximum at: 2.48 percent
in 2020, 4.96 percent in 2021, and so on, up to 12.40 percent in 2024. Provide
benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum that are subject
to the payroll tax, using a secondary PIA formula. This secondary PIA formula
involves: (1) an "AIME+" derived from annual earnings from each year after 2019
that were in excess of that year's current-law taxable maximum; and (2) a formula
factor of 5 percent on this newly computed "AIME+".
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E2.12 |
Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2030 and later. Phase in
elimination by taxing all earnings above the current-law taxable
maximum at: 1.24 percent in 2021, 2.48 percent in 2022, and so on,
up to 12.40 percent in 2030. Provide benefit credit for earnings
above the current-law taxable maximum. Create a new bend point at
the current-law taxable maximum with a 3 percent formula factor
applying above the new bend point.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E2.13 |
Apply OASDI 12.4 percent payroll tax rate on earnings above $400,000
starting in 2020, and tax all earnings once the current-law taxable
maximum exceeds $400,000. Provide benefit credit for earnings above
the current-law taxable maximum that are subject to the payroll tax,
using a secondary PIA formula. This secondary PIA formula involves:
(1) an "AIME+" derived from annual earnings from each year after 2019
that were in excess of that year's current-law taxable maximum; and
(2) a formula factor of 2 percent on this newly computed "AIME+".
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E2.14 |
Apply OASDI 12.4 percent payroll tax rate on earnings above $250,000
starting in 2020, and tax all earnings once the current-law taxable
maximum exceeds $250,000. Provide benefit credit for earnings above
the current-law taxable maximum that are subject to the payroll tax,
using a secondary PIA formula. This secondary PIA formula involves:
(1) an "AIME+" derived from annual earnings from each year after 2019
that were in excess of that year's current-law taxable maximum; and
(2) a formula factor of 2 percent on this newly computed "AIME+".
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E2.15 |
Apply OASDI 12.4 percent payroll tax rate on earnings above $300,000
starting in 2020, and tax all earnings once the current-law taxable
maximum exceeds $300,000. Provide benefit credit for earnings above
the current-law taxable maximum that are subject to the payroll tax,
using a secondary PIA formula. This secondary PIA formula involves:
(1) an "AIME+" derived from annual earnings from each year after 2019
that were in excess of that year's current-law taxable maximum; and
(2) a formula factor of 3 percent on this newly computed "AIME+".
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E3.1 |
Increase the taxable maximum such that 90 percent of earnings
would be subject to the payroll tax (phased in 2019-2028). Provide
benefit credit for earnings up to the revised taxable maximum.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E3.2 |
Increase the taxable maximum such that 90 percent of earnings
would be subject to the payroll tax (phased in 2019-2028). Do
not provide benefit credit for additional earnings taxed.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E3.5 |
Increase the taxable maximum each year by an additional 2 percent
beginning in 2019 until taxable earnings equal 90 percent of covered
earnings. Provide benefit credit for earnings up to the revised
taxable maximum.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memoranda containing this or a similar provision: |
E3.6 |
Increase the taxable maximum each year by an additional 2 percent
beginning in 2021 until taxable earnings equal 90 percent of covered
earnings. Do not provide benefit credit for additional earnings taxed.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E3.7 |
Increase the taxable maximum by an additional 2 percent per year
beginning in 2020 until taxable earnings equal 90 percent of covered
earnings. Provide benefit credit for earnings up to the revised
taxable maximum. Create a new bend point equal to the current-law
taxable maximum with a 5 percent formula factor applying above the
new bend point.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E3.8 |
Beginning in 2026, apply 2 percent payroll tax rate on earnings
over the wage-indexed equivalent of $200,000 in 2017 (about $279,300
in 2026), with the threshold wage-indexed after 2026. Provide
proportional benefit credit for additional earnings taxed, based
on the payroll tax rate applied to the additional earnings divided
by the full 12.4 percent payroll tax rate.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E3.9 |
Beginning in 2026, apply 2 percent payroll tax rate on earnings
over the wage-indexed equivalent of $200,000 in 2017 (about $279,300
in 2026), with the threshold wage-indexed after 2026. Do not provide
benefit credit for additional earnings taxed.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E3.10 |
Beginning in 2026, apply 2 percent payroll tax rate on earnings over
the wage-indexed equivalent of $300,000 in 2017 (about $419,100 in
2026), with the threshold wage-indexed after 2026. Provide proportional
benefit credit for additional earnings taxed, based on the payroll tax
rate applied to the additional earnings divided by the full 12.4 percent
payroll tax rate.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E3.11 |
Beginning in 2026, apply 2 percent payroll tax rate on earnings
over the wage-indexed equivalent of $300,000 in 2017 (about $419,100
in 2026), with the threshold wage-indexed after 2026. Do not provide
benefit credit for additional earnings taxed.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E3.12 |
Beginning in 2026, apply 2 percent payroll tax rate on earnings over
the wage-indexed equivalent of $400,000 in 2017 (about $558,900 in 2026),
with the threshold wage-indexed after 2026. Provide proportional benefit
credit for additional earnings taxed, based on the payroll tax rate
applied to the additional earnings divided by the full 12.4 percent
payroll tax rate.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E3.13 |
Beginning in 2026, apply 2 percent payroll tax rate on earnings
over the wage-indexed equivalent of $400,000 in 2017 (about $558,900
in 2026), with the threshold wage-indexed after 2026. Do not provide
benefit credit for additional earnings taxed.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E3.14 |
Eliminate the taxable maximum for the employer payroll tax (6.2 percent)
beginning in 2019. For the employee payroll tax (6.2 percent) and for
benefit credit purposes, beginning in 2019, increase the taxable maximum
by an additional 2 percent per year until taxable earnings equal 90 percent
of covered earnings.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E3.15 |
Increase the taxable maximum such that 90 percent of earnings are
subject to the payroll tax (phased in 2019-2028). In addition,
apply a tax rate of 6.2 percent for earnings above the revised
taxable maximum (phased in from 2019-2028). Provide benefit credit
for earnings taxed up to the revised taxable maximum.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E3.16 |
Beginning in 2020, apply 4 percent payroll tax rate on earnings above
the wage-indexed equivalent of $400,000 in 2015 (about $462,300 in 2020),
with the threshold wage-indexed after 2020. Provide benefit credit for
additional earnings taxed, using a secondary PIA formula. This secondary
PIA formula involves: (1) an "AIME+" derived from annual earnings taxed
only between 2015 wage-indexed equivalents of $400,000 and $500,000, or
about $462,300 and $578,100 in 2020 (with thresholds wage-indexed after
2020); and (2) a formula factor of 2 percent on this newly computed "AIME+".
Summary measures and graphs
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E3.17 |
Beginning in 2020, increase the taxable maximum by twice the rate of
increase in the national Average Wage Index, but never by less than 3
percent. Provide benefit credit for earnings up to the revised taxable
maximum levels.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E3.18 |
Increase the taxable maximum linearly over 4 years to $222,600 for 2023.
After 2023, index the taxable maximum to AWI plus 0.5 percentage point.
Apply benefit credit on additional earnings taxed.
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |
E3.19 |
Increase the taxable maximum such that 90 percent of earnings would
be subject to the payroll tax (phased in linearly from 2020-2025).
Provide benefit credit for additional earnings taxed, using a secondary
PIA formula. This secondary PIA formula involves: (1) an "AIME+" derived
from additional annual earnings taxed over the current-law taxable
maximum; and (2) a formula factor of 2.5 percent on this newly
computed "AIME+".
Summary measures and graphs
(PDF version)
Detailed single year tables (PDF version) Memorandum containing this or a similar provision: |