Detailed Single Year Tables
Description of Proposed Provision:
B3.8: Beginning with those newly eligible for OASDI benefits in 2026, create a new bend point at the 50th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers and gradually reduce all PIA factors except for the 90 percent factor. By 2059: a) the 32 percent PIA factor below the new bend point reduces to 30 percent; b) the 32 percent PIA factor above the new bend point reduces to 10 percent; and c) the 15 percent PIA factor reduces to 5 percent.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
|
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
| 2019 | 13.91 | 12.85 | -1.06 | 273 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2020 | 13.94 | 12.87 | -1.07 | 260 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2021 | 14.09 | 12.90 | -1.19 | 245 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2022 | 14.23 | 12.92 | -1.31 | 229 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2023 | 14.40 | 12.94 | -1.46 | 213 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2024 | 14.59 | 12.97 | -1.62 | 197 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2025 | 14.79 | 12.99 | -1.80 | 180 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2026 | 14.99 | 13.11 | -1.88 | 163 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2027 | 15.19 | 13.13 | -2.06 | 147 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2028 | 15.43 | 13.17 | -2.25 | 130 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2029 | 15.62 | 13.19 | -2.43 | 114 | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2030 | 15.79 | 13.20 | -2.59 | 97 | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2031 | 15.95 | 13.22 | -2.73 | 81 | -0.02 | -0.00 | 0.02 | ||
| 2032 | 16.08 | 13.23 | -2.85 | 64 | -0.03 | -0.00 | 0.03 | ||
| 2033 | 16.19 | 13.24 | -2.96 | 46 | -0.04 | -0.00 | 0.04 | ||
| 2034 | 16.27 | 13.24 | -3.03 | 29 | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2035 | 16.33 | 13.25 | -3.08 | 11 | -0.07 | -0.00 | 0.07 | ||
| 2036 | 16.36 | 13.25 | -3.11 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.00 | 0.09 | ||
| 2037 | 16.40 | 13.26 | -3.14 | ---- | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
| 2038 | 16.42 | 13.26 | -3.16 | ---- | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
| 2039 | 16.42 | 13.26 | -3.16 | ---- | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.17 | ||
| 2040 | 16.40 | 13.26 | -3.14 | ---- | -0.21 | -0.01 | 0.20 | ||
| 2041 | 16.36 | 13.26 | -3.10 | ---- | -0.25 | -0.01 | 0.23 | ||
| 2042 | 16.30 | 13.26 | -3.05 | ---- | -0.29 | -0.02 | 0.27 | ||
| 2043 | 16.23 | 13.26 | -2.98 | ---- | -0.33 | -0.02 | 0.31 | ||
| 2044 | 16.15 | 13.25 | -2.90 | ---- | -0.37 | -0.02 | 0.35 | ||
| 2045 | 16.07 | 13.25 | -2.82 | ---- | -0.41 | -0.02 | 0.39 | ||
| 2046 | 15.99 | 13.24 | -2.75 | ---- | -0.46 | -0.03 | 0.44 | ||
| 2047 | 15.91 | 13.24 | -2.67 | ---- | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
| 2048 | 15.84 | 13.24 | -2.60 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2049 | 15.76 | 13.24 | -2.53 | ---- | -0.62 | -0.03 | 0.59 | ||
| 2050 | 15.69 | 13.23 | -2.46 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
| 2051 | 15.63 | 13.23 | -2.40 | ---- | -0.73 | -0.04 | 0.69 | ||
| 2052 | 15.57 | 13.23 | -2.34 | ---- | -0.80 | -0.04 | 0.75 | ||
| 2053 | 15.51 | 13.23 | -2.29 | ---- | -0.86 | -0.05 | 0.81 | ||
| 2054 | 15.46 | 13.22 | -2.24 | ---- | -0.92 | -0.05 | 0.87 | ||
| 2055 | 15.42 | 13.22 | -2.20 | ---- | -0.99 | -0.06 | 0.93 | ||
| 2056 | 15.39 | 13.22 | -2.16 | ---- | -1.06 | -0.06 | 1.00 | ||
| 2057 | 15.36 | 13.22 | -2.14 | ---- | -1.12 | -0.06 | 1.06 | ||
| 2058 | 15.33 | 13.22 | -2.11 | ---- | -1.19 | -0.07 | 1.13 | ||
| 2059 | 15.31 | 13.22 | -2.09 | ---- | -1.27 | -0.07 | 1.19 | ||
| 2060 | 15.29 | 13.22 | -2.07 | ---- | -1.34 | -0.08 | 1.26 | ||
| 2061 | 15.27 | 13.22 | -2.05 | ---- | -1.41 | -0.08 | 1.33 | ||
| 2062 | 15.26 | 13.22 | -2.04 | ---- | -1.48 | -0.08 | 1.39 | ||
| 2063 | 15.24 | 13.22 | -2.02 | ---- | -1.55 | -0.09 | 1.46 | ||
| 2064 | 15.23 | 13.22 | -2.01 | ---- | -1.61 | -0.09 | 1.52 | ||
| 2065 | 15.22 | 13.22 | -1.99 | ---- | -1.68 | -0.10 | 1.58 | ||
| 2066 | 15.21 | 13.22 | -1.99 | ---- | -1.75 | -0.10 | 1.65 | ||
| 2067 | 15.20 | 13.22 | -1.98 | ---- | -1.81 | -0.10 | 1.70 | ||
| 2068 | 15.21 | 13.22 | -1.98 | ---- | -1.87 | -0.11 | 1.76 | ||
| 2069 | 15.21 | 13.22 | -1.99 | ---- | -1.93 | -0.11 | 1.81 | ||
| 2070 | 15.21 | 13.22 | -1.99 | ---- | -1.98 | -0.11 | 1.87 | ||
| 2071 | 15.22 | 13.22 | -2.00 | ---- | -2.03 | -0.12 | 1.91 | ||
| 2072 | 15.22 | 13.23 | -2.00 | ---- | -2.08 | -0.12 | 1.96 | ||
| 2073 | 15.22 | 13.23 | -2.00 | ---- | -2.12 | -0.12 | 2.00 | ||
| 2074 | 15.23 | 13.23 | -2.00 | ---- | -2.17 | -0.13 | 2.04 | ||
| 2075 | 15.23 | 13.23 | -2.00 | ---- | -2.20 | -0.13 | 2.08 | ||
| 2076 | 15.22 | 13.23 | -1.99 | ---- | -2.24 | -0.13 | 2.11 | ||
| 2077 | 15.21 | 13.23 | -1.98 | ---- | -2.27 | -0.13 | 2.14 | ||
| 2078 | 15.19 | 13.23 | -1.96 | ---- | -2.30 | -0.13 | 2.16 | ||
| 2079 | 15.16 | 13.23 | -1.93 | ---- | -2.32 | -0.14 | 2.18 | ||
| 2080 | 15.13 | 13.22 | -1.90 | ---- | -2.34 | -0.14 | 2.20 | ||
| 2081 | 15.09 | 13.22 | -1.87 | ---- | -2.35 | -0.14 | 2.21 | ||
| 2082 | 15.06 | 13.22 | -1.84 | ---- | -2.37 | -0.14 | 2.23 | ||
| 2083 | 15.02 | 13.22 | -1.81 | ---- | -2.38 | -0.14 | 2.24 | ||
| 2084 | 14.99 | 13.22 | -1.77 | ---- | -2.39 | -0.14 | 2.25 | ||
| 2085 | 14.96 | 13.21 | -1.75 | ---- | -2.40 | -0.14 | 2.26 | ||
| 2086 | 14.93 | 13.21 | -1.72 | ---- | -2.40 | -0.14 | 2.26 | ||
| 2087 | 14.92 | 13.21 | -1.71 | ---- | -2.41 | -0.14 | 2.27 | ||
| 2088 | 14.91 | 13.21 | -1.70 | ---- | -2.42 | -0.14 | 2.28 | ||
| 2089 | 14.91 | 13.21 | -1.70 | ---- | -2.42 | -0.14 | 2.28 | ||
| 2090 | 14.92 | 13.21 | -1.71 | ---- | -2.43 | -0.14 | 2.29 | ||
| 2091 | 14.95 | 13.21 | -1.73 | ---- | -2.44 | -0.14 | 2.30 | ||
| 2092 | 14.98 | 13.21 | -1.76 | ---- | -2.45 | -0.14 | 2.31 | ||
| 2093 | 15.01 | 13.22 | -1.80 | ---- | -2.46 | -0.14 | 2.32 | ||
| 2094 | 15.05 | 13.22 | -1.83 | ---- | -2.47 | -0.15 | 2.32 | ||
Summarized Estimates
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
| 2019-2093 | 15.57% | 13.75% | -1.82% | 2035 | -1.03% | -0.06% | 0.97% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2035. |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2019 Trustees Report.