Detailed Single Year Tables
Description of Proposed Provision:
B7.7: Reduce individual Social Security benefits if modified adjusted gross income, or MAGI (AGI less taxable Social Security benefits plus nontaxable interest income) is above $60,000 for single taxpayers or $120,000 for taxpayers filing jointly. This provision is effective for individuals newly eligible for benefits in 2024 or later. The percentage reduction increases linearly up to 50 percent for single/joint filers with MAGI of $180,000/$360,000 or above. Index the MAGI thresholds for years after 2024, based on changes in the SSA average wage index.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
|
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
| 2019 | 13.91 | 12.85 | -1.06 | 273 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2020 | 13.94 | 12.87 | -1.07 | 260 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2021 | 14.09 | 12.90 | -1.19 | 245 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2022 | 14.23 | 12.92 | -1.31 | 229 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2023 | 14.40 | 12.94 | -1.46 | 213 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2024 | 14.58 | 12.97 | -1.61 | 197 | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2025 | 14.77 | 12.98 | -1.78 | 180 | -0.02 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2026 | 14.96 | 13.11 | -1.85 | 164 | -0.03 | -0.00 | 0.02 | ||
| 2027 | 15.14 | 13.13 | -2.01 | 148 | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2028 | 15.36 | 13.17 | -2.19 | 131 | -0.08 | -0.00 | 0.07 | ||
| 2029 | 15.51 | 13.18 | -2.33 | 116 | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
| 2030 | 15.65 | 13.20 | -2.45 | 100 | -0.16 | -0.01 | 0.15 | ||
| 2031 | 15.77 | 13.21 | -2.57 | 84 | -0.19 | -0.01 | 0.18 | ||
| 2032 | 15.87 | 13.21 | -2.66 | 68 | -0.24 | -0.01 | 0.22 | ||
| 2033 | 15.94 | 13.22 | -2.72 | 52 | -0.29 | -0.02 | 0.27 | ||
| 2034 | 16.01 | 13.23 | -2.79 | 35 | -0.31 | -0.02 | 0.30 | ||
| 2035 | 16.05 | 13.23 | -2.82 | 19 | -0.34 | -0.02 | 0.32 | ||
| 2036 | 16.08 | 13.24 | -2.85 | 2 | -0.38 | -0.02 | 0.36 | ||
| 2037 | 16.12 | 13.24 | -2.88 | ---- | -0.40 | -0.02 | 0.38 | ||
| 2038 | 16.15 | 13.24 | -2.91 | ---- | -0.41 | -0.02 | 0.39 | ||
| 2039 | 16.17 | 13.25 | -2.93 | ---- | -0.43 | -0.02 | 0.41 | ||
| 2040 | 16.17 | 13.25 | -2.92 | ---- | -0.44 | -0.02 | 0.42 | ||
| 2041 | 16.15 | 13.25 | -2.90 | ---- | -0.46 | -0.03 | 0.43 | ||
| 2042 | 16.12 | 13.25 | -2.88 | ---- | -0.47 | -0.03 | 0.44 | ||
| 2043 | 16.08 | 13.25 | -2.84 | ---- | -0.47 | -0.03 | 0.45 | ||
| 2044 | 16.04 | 13.24 | -2.80 | ---- | -0.48 | -0.03 | 0.45 | ||
| 2045 | 16.00 | 13.24 | -2.76 | ---- | -0.49 | -0.03 | 0.46 | ||
| 2046 | 15.96 | 13.24 | -2.71 | ---- | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.47 | ||
| 2047 | 15.93 | 13.24 | -2.69 | ---- | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.47 | ||
| 2048 | 15.91 | 13.24 | -2.66 | ---- | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.47 | ||
| 2049 | 15.88 | 13.24 | -2.64 | ---- | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.47 | ||
| 2050 | 15.86 | 13.24 | -2.62 | ---- | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.47 | ||
| 2051 | 15.86 | 13.24 | -2.61 | ---- | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
| 2052 | 15.86 | 13.24 | -2.61 | ---- | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
| 2053 | 15.86 | 13.24 | -2.62 | ---- | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
| 2054 | 15.87 | 13.25 | -2.63 | ---- | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
| 2055 | 15.89 | 13.25 | -2.65 | ---- | -0.52 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
| 2056 | 15.92 | 13.25 | -2.67 | ---- | -0.52 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
| 2057 | 15.96 | 13.25 | -2.70 | ---- | -0.52 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
| 2058 | 16.00 | 13.26 | -2.74 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2059 | 16.05 | 13.26 | -2.78 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2060 | 16.09 | 13.27 | -2.83 | ---- | -0.54 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2061 | 16.14 | 13.27 | -2.87 | ---- | -0.54 | -0.03 | 0.51 | ||
| 2062 | 16.19 | 13.27 | -2.92 | ---- | -0.54 | -0.03 | 0.51 | ||
| 2063 | 16.24 | 13.28 | -2.97 | ---- | -0.54 | -0.03 | 0.51 | ||
| 2064 | 16.30 | 13.28 | -3.01 | ---- | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.51 | ||
| 2065 | 16.35 | 13.29 | -3.06 | ---- | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
| 2066 | 16.41 | 13.29 | -3.12 | ---- | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
| 2067 | 16.46 | 13.29 | -3.17 | ---- | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
| 2068 | 16.52 | 13.30 | -3.22 | ---- | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
| 2069 | 16.58 | 13.30 | -3.28 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
| 2070 | 16.64 | 13.31 | -3.33 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2071 | 16.69 | 13.31 | -3.38 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2072 | 16.74 | 13.31 | -3.43 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2073 | 16.79 | 13.32 | -3.47 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2074 | 16.83 | 13.32 | -3.51 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2075 | 16.86 | 13.32 | -3.54 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2076 | 16.89 | 13.33 | -3.57 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2077 | 16.91 | 13.33 | -3.58 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2078 | 16.92 | 13.33 | -3.59 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2079 | 16.91 | 13.33 | -3.58 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2080 | 16.90 | 13.33 | -3.57 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2081 | 16.88 | 13.33 | -3.55 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2082 | 16.86 | 13.33 | -3.53 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2083 | 16.84 | 13.32 | -3.51 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2084 | 16.81 | 13.32 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2085 | 16.79 | 13.32 | -3.47 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2086 | 16.78 | 13.32 | -3.46 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2087 | 16.77 | 13.32 | -3.45 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2088 | 16.77 | 13.32 | -3.45 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2089 | 16.77 | 13.32 | -3.45 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2090 | 16.79 | 13.32 | -3.47 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2091 | 16.82 | 13.32 | -3.50 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2092 | 16.86 | 13.33 | -3.54 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2093 | 16.91 | 13.33 | -3.58 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2094 | 16.96 | 13.33 | -3.62 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
Summarized Estimates
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
| 2019-2093 | 16.18% | 13.79% | -2.39% | 2036 | -0.42% | -0.02% | 0.39% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2035. |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2019 Trustees Report.