Long Range Solvency Provisions

Description of Proposed Provision:
E2.2: Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2021 and later, and apply full 12.4 percent payroll tax rate to all earnings. Provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum.

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

	Proposal				Change from Current Law
	Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll			Trust fund ratio as of January 1	Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll
Calendar year	Cost rate	Income rate	Annual balance	Trust fund ratio as of January 1	Cost rate	Income rate	Annual balance
2020	13.92	13.00	-0.92	261	0.00	0.00	0.00
2021	14.05	15.12	1.07	248	0.00	2.22	2.22
2022	14.25	15.24	0.99	248	-0.00	2.31	2.31
2023	14.44	15.24	0.80	247	0.00	2.30	2.30
2024	14.65	15.27	0.62	244	0.01	2.29	2.28
2025	14.89	15.29	0.40	241	0.01	2.30	2.28
2026	15.14	15.42	0.29	236	0.02	2.30	2.27
2027	15.38	15.45	0.07	231	0.04	2.30	2.27
2028	15.64	15.50	-0.13	224	0.05	2.31	2.26
2029	15.90	15.55	-0.35	218	0.07	2.32	2.25
2030	16.11	15.56	-0.54	211	0.08	2.32	2.24
2031	16.29	15.58	-0.71	205	0.10	2.32	2.22
2032	16.46	15.60	-0.86	199	0.12	2.33	2.21
2033	16.59	15.61	-0.99	192	0.14	2.33	2.19
2034	16.71	15.62	-1.09	186	0.16	2.33	2.17
2035	16.81	15.63	-1.18	180	0.19	2.34	2.15
2036	16.89	15.64	-1.25	174	0.21	2.34	2.13
2037	16.97	15.65	-1.32	168	0.23	2.35	2.12
2038	17.04	15.66	-1.38	161	0.25	2.35	2.10
2039	17.09	15.67	-1.43	155	0.28	2.35	2.08
2040	17.15	15.67	-1.47	147	0.30	2.36	2.06
2041	17.18	15.68	-1.50	140	0.33	2.36	2.04
2042	17.21	15.68	-1.52	133	0.35	2.37	2.02
2043	17.22	15.69	-1.53	125	0.37	2.37	2.00
2044	17.23	15.69	-1.54	117	0.40	2.37	1.98
2045	17.24	15.70	-1.54	110	0.42	2.38	1.96
2046	17.25	15.70	-1.55	102	0.45	2.38	1.94
2047	17.26	15.71	-1.56	94	0.47	2.39	1.91
2048	17.28	15.71	-1.57	86	0.50	2.39	1.89
2049	17.31	15.72	-1.59	77	0.52	2.40	1.87
2050	17.33	15.72	-1.61	69	0.55	2.40	1.85
2051	17.37	15.73	-1.64	60	0.57	2.40	1.83
2052	17.41	15.73	-1.67	51	0.60	2.41	1.81
2053	17.45	15.74	-1.71	42	0.62	2.41	1.79
2054	17.51	15.75	-1.76	33	0.65	2.42	1.77
2055	17.57	15.76	-1.81	23	0.67	2.42	1.75
2056	17.63	15.76	-1.87	13	0.70	2.42	1.73
2057	17.70	15.77	-1.93	3	0.72	2.43	1.71
2058	17.78	15.78	-2.00	----	0.75	2.43	1.68
2059	17.86	15.79	-2.07	----	0.77	2.44	1.66
2060	17.94	15.80	-2.14	----	0.80	2.44	1.64
2061	18.02	15.81	-2.22	----	0.82	2.44	1.62
2062	18.11	15.81	-2.29	----	0.84	2.45	1.61
2063	18.19	15.82	-2.37	----	0.86	2.45	1.59
2064	18.28	15.83	-2.44	----	0.88	2.46	1.57
2065	18.36	15.84	-2.52	----	0.90	2.46	1.56
2066	18.45	15.85	-2.60	----	0.92	2.46	1.54
2067	18.53	15.86	-2.68	----	0.94	2.47	1.53
2068	18.62	15.86	-2.75	----	0.95	2.47	1.51
2069	18.70	15.87	-2.83	----	0.97	2.47	1.50
2070	18.79	15.88	-2.91	----	0.99	2.48	1.49
2071	18.87	15.89	-2.98	----	1.00	2.48	1.48
2072	18.94	15.90	-3.04	----	1.01	2.48	1.47
2073	19.01	15.90	-3.10	----	1.02	2.48	1.46
2074	19.07	15.91	-3.16	----	1.03	2.49	1.45
2075	19.12	15.92	-3.21	----	1.04	2.49	1.44
2076	19.17	15.92	-3.25	----	1.05	2.49	1.44
2077	19.20	15.93	-3.27	----	1.06	2.49	1.43
2078	19.22	15.93	-3.29	----	1.07	2.50	1.43
2079	19.22	15.93	-3.29	----	1.07	2.50	1.43
2080	19.21	15.93	-3.28	----	1.07	2.50	1.43
2081	19.19	15.93	-3.26	----	1.08	2.50	1.42
2082	19.17	15.93	-3.24	----	1.08	2.50	1.43
2083	19.14	15.93	-3.21	----	1.08	2.50	1.43
2084	19.11	15.93	-3.18	----	1.08	2.50	1.43
2085	19.07	15.93	-3.14	----	1.08	2.51	1.43
2086	19.03	15.93	-3.10	----	1.07	2.51	1.43
2087	19.00	15.93	-3.07	----	1.07	2.51	1.44
2088	18.97	15.93	-3.04	----	1.07	2.51	1.44
2089	18.95	15.93	-3.02	----	1.07	2.51	1.44
2090	18.94	15.93	-3.01	----	1.07	2.51	1.44
2091	18.94	15.93	-3.01	----	1.07	2.51	1.44
2092	18.95	15.93	-3.02	----	1.07	2.51	1.44
2093	18.98	15.94	-3.04	----	1.07	2.52	1.44
2094	19.01	15.94	-3.07	----	1.08	2.52	1.44
2095	19.05	15.94	-3.11	----	1.08	2.52	1.44

Summarized Estimates

	Proposal				Change from Current Law
Years	Cost rate	Income rate	Actuarial balance	Year of reserve depletion¹	Cost rate	Income rate	Actuarial balance
2020-2094	17.66%	16.22%	-1.43%	2057	0.60%	2.38%	1.78%
¹ Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2035.

Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2020 Trustees Report.

Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision: E2.2: Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2021 and later, and apply full 12.4 percent payroll tax rate to all earnings. Provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum.

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

Summarized Estimates

Description of Proposed Provision:
E2.2: Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2021 and later, and apply full 12.4 percent payroll tax rate to all earnings. Provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum.