Detailed Single Year Tables
Description of Proposed Provision:
B7.10: Replace the current-law WEP with a new calculation for most OASI and DI benefits based on covered and non-covered earnings, phased in for beneficiaries becoming newly eligible in 2027 through 2036. For this new approach, compute a PIA based on all past earnings (covered and non-covered), and multiply by the "non-covered earnings ratio." This ratio is equal to the current-law concept of the average indexed monthly earnings computed without non-covered earnings divided by a modified average indexed monthly earnings that includes both covered and non-covered earnings in our records.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
|
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
| 2020 | 13.92 | 13.00 | -0.92 | 261 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2021 | 14.05 | 12.90 | -1.15 | 248 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2022 | 14.25 | 12.93 | -1.32 | 233 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2023 | 14.43 | 12.94 | -1.49 | 217 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2024 | 14.64 | 12.98 | -1.67 | 200 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2025 | 14.88 | 13.00 | -1.88 | 183 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2026 | 15.11 | 13.12 | -1.99 | 165 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2027 | 15.35 | 13.15 | -2.20 | 148 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2028 | 15.58 | 13.19 | -2.39 | 130 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2029 | 15.83 | 13.23 | -2.61 | 112 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2030 | 16.02 | 13.24 | -2.78 | 94 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2031 | 16.19 | 13.26 | -2.93 | 76 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2032 | 16.33 | 13.27 | -3.06 | 58 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2033 | 16.45 | 13.28 | -3.17 | 39 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2034 | 16.54 | 13.29 | -3.26 | 20 | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2035 | 16.62 | 13.29 | -3.33 | 1 | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2036 | 16.68 | 13.30 | -3.38 | ---- | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2037 | 16.73 | 13.30 | -3.42 | ---- | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2038 | 16.77 | 13.31 | -3.46 | ---- | -0.02 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2039 | 16.80 | 13.31 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.02 | -0.00 | 0.02 | ||
| 2040 | 16.82 | 13.31 | -3.51 | ---- | -0.02 | -0.00 | 0.02 | ||
| 2041 | 16.83 | 13.32 | -3.52 | ---- | -0.03 | -0.00 | 0.02 | ||
| 2042 | 16.83 | 13.32 | -3.51 | ---- | -0.03 | -0.00 | 0.03 | ||
| 2043 | 16.82 | 13.32 | -3.50 | ---- | -0.03 | -0.00 | 0.03 | ||
| 2044 | 16.80 | 13.32 | -3.48 | ---- | -0.04 | -0.00 | 0.03 | ||
| 2045 | 16.78 | 13.32 | -3.46 | ---- | -0.04 | -0.00 | 0.04 | ||
| 2046 | 16.76 | 13.32 | -3.44 | ---- | -0.04 | -0.00 | 0.04 | ||
| 2047 | 16.74 | 13.32 | -3.43 | ---- | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.04 | ||
| 2048 | 16.74 | 13.32 | -3.42 | ---- | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2049 | 16.73 | 13.32 | -3.41 | ---- | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2050 | 16.73 | 13.32 | -3.41 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2051 | 16.73 | 13.32 | -3.41 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2052 | 16.75 | 13.32 | -3.42 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2053 | 16.77 | 13.32 | -3.44 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2054 | 16.79 | 13.33 | -3.46 | ---- | -0.07 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2055 | 16.82 | 13.33 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.07 | -0.00 | 0.07 | ||
| 2056 | 16.86 | 13.33 | -3.53 | ---- | -0.07 | -0.00 | 0.07 | ||
| 2057 | 16.90 | 13.34 | -3.56 | ---- | -0.07 | -0.00 | 0.07 | ||
| 2058 | 16.95 | 13.34 | -3.61 | ---- | -0.08 | -0.00 | 0.07 | ||
| 2059 | 17.01 | 13.35 | -3.66 | ---- | -0.08 | -0.00 | 0.07 | ||
| 2060 | 17.06 | 13.35 | -3.71 | ---- | -0.08 | -0.00 | 0.07 | ||
| 2061 | 17.12 | 13.36 | -3.77 | ---- | -0.08 | -0.00 | 0.08 | ||
| 2062 | 17.18 | 13.36 | -3.82 | ---- | -0.08 | -0.00 | 0.08 | ||
| 2063 | 17.25 | 13.37 | -3.88 | ---- | -0.08 | -0.00 | 0.08 | ||
| 2064 | 17.31 | 13.37 | -3.94 | ---- | -0.08 | -0.00 | 0.08 | ||
| 2065 | 17.37 | 13.38 | -4.00 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.08 | ||
| 2066 | 17.44 | 13.38 | -4.06 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.08 | ||
| 2067 | 17.51 | 13.39 | -4.12 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.08 | ||
| 2068 | 17.58 | 13.39 | -4.19 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.08 | ||
| 2069 | 17.65 | 13.40 | -4.25 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.08 | ||
| 2070 | 17.72 | 13.40 | -4.32 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.08 | ||
| 2071 | 17.78 | 13.41 | -4.38 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.08 | ||
| 2072 | 17.84 | 13.41 | -4.43 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.08 | ||
| 2073 | 17.89 | 13.41 | -4.48 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.08 | ||
| 2074 | 17.94 | 13.42 | -4.53 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2075 | 17.99 | 13.42 | -4.57 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2076 | 18.02 | 13.42 | -4.60 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2077 | 18.05 | 13.43 | -4.62 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2078 | 18.06 | 13.43 | -4.63 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2079 | 18.06 | 13.43 | -4.63 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2080 | 18.05 | 13.43 | -4.62 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2081 | 18.03 | 13.43 | -4.60 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2082 | 18.00 | 13.43 | -4.58 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2083 | 17.97 | 13.42 | -4.55 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2084 | 17.94 | 13.42 | -4.52 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2085 | 17.91 | 13.42 | -4.48 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2086 | 17.87 | 13.42 | -4.45 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2087 | 17.83 | 13.42 | -4.42 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2088 | 17.81 | 13.41 | -4.39 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2089 | 17.79 | 13.41 | -4.37 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2090 | 17.78 | 13.41 | -4.36 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2091 | 17.78 | 13.41 | -4.37 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2092 | 17.79 | 13.41 | -4.38 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2093 | 17.81 | 13.41 | -4.40 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2094 | 17.85 | 13.42 | -4.43 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
| 2095 | 17.88 | 13.42 | -4.46 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
Summarized Estimates
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
| 2020-2094 | 17.01% | 13.84% | -3.16% | 2035 | -0.05% | -0.00% | 0.05% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2035. |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2020 Trustees Report.