Detailed Single Year Tables
Description of Proposed Provision:
B7.11: Beginning in January 2025, eliminate the retirement earnings test for all beneficiaries under normal retirement age, including retired workers, aged spouses, aged widow(er)s, young spouses with a child in care, young surviving spouses with a child in care, and children.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
|
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
| 2022 | 14.05 | 12.79 | -1.26 | 230 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2023 | 14.31 | 13.04 | -1.27 | 211 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2024 | 14.45 | 12.95 | -1.49 | 194 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2025 | 14.96 | 12.98 | -1.98 | 173 | 0.31 | 0.02 | -0.29 | ||
| 2026 | 15.18 | 13.10 | -2.09 | 155 | 0.30 | 0.02 | -0.28 | ||
| 2027 | 15.38 | 13.12 | -2.26 | 137 | 0.28 | 0.02 | -0.26 | ||
| 2028 | 15.58 | 13.16 | -2.43 | 118 | 0.26 | 0.02 | -0.24 | ||
| 2029 | 15.76 | 13.19 | -2.57 | 101 | 0.23 | 0.01 | -0.22 | ||
| 2030 | 15.93 | 13.21 | -2.71 | 83 | 0.20 | 0.01 | -0.19 | ||
| 2031 | 16.09 | 13.24 | -2.85 | 65 | 0.19 | 0.01 | -0.17 | ||
| 2032 | 16.23 | 13.26 | -2.98 | 47 | 0.17 | 0.01 | -0.16 | ||
| 2033 | 16.35 | 13.27 | -3.09 | 29 | 0.15 | 0.01 | -0.14 | ||
| 2034 | 16.45 | 13.27 | -3.18 | 10 | 0.13 | 0.01 | -0.12 | ||
| 2035 | 16.53 | 13.28 | -3.25 | ---- | 0.11 | 0.01 | -0.11 | ||
| 2036 | 16.59 | 13.29 | -3.31 | ---- | 0.09 | 0.01 | -0.09 | ||
| 2037 | 16.65 | 13.29 | -3.36 | ---- | 0.07 | 0.01 | -0.07 | ||
| 2038 | 16.69 | 13.30 | -3.40 | ---- | 0.05 | 0.00 | -0.05 | ||
| 2039 | 16.73 | 13.30 | -3.43 | ---- | 0.04 | 0.00 | -0.04 | ||
| 2040 | 16.75 | 13.30 | -3.45 | ---- | 0.03 | 0.00 | -0.03 | ||
| 2041 | 16.76 | 13.30 | -3.46 | ---- | 0.02 | 0.00 | -0.02 | ||
| 2042 | 16.78 | 13.31 | -3.47 | ---- | 0.01 | 0.00 | -0.01 | ||
| 2043 | 16.79 | 13.31 | -3.48 | ---- | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | ||
| 2044 | 16.80 | 13.31 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2045 | 16.81 | 13.31 | -3.50 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2046 | 16.82 | 13.31 | -3.51 | ---- | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
| 2047 | 16.84 | 13.31 | -3.53 | ---- | -0.03 | -0.00 | 0.03 | ||
| 2048 | 16.85 | 13.31 | -3.54 | ---- | -0.03 | -0.00 | 0.03 | ||
| 2049 | 16.87 | 13.32 | -3.56 | ---- | -0.04 | -0.00 | 0.04 | ||
| 2050 | 16.90 | 13.32 | -3.58 | ---- | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2051 | 16.93 | 13.32 | -3.61 | ---- | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2052 | 16.96 | 13.32 | -3.63 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2053 | 17.00 | 13.33 | -3.67 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2054 | 17.04 | 13.33 | -3.71 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2055 | 17.08 | 13.33 | -3.75 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2056 | 17.13 | 13.34 | -3.80 | ---- | -0.07 | -0.00 | 0.07 | ||
| 2057 | 17.19 | 13.34 | -3.84 | ---- | -0.08 | -0.00 | 0.07 | ||
| 2058 | 17.24 | 13.35 | -3.90 | ---- | -0.08 | -0.00 | 0.08 | ||
| 2059 | 17.30 | 13.35 | -3.95 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.00 | 0.08 | ||
| 2060 | 17.36 | 13.36 | -4.00 | ---- | -0.09 | -0.00 | 0.09 | ||
| 2061 | 17.42 | 13.36 | -4.06 | ---- | -0.10 | -0.00 | 0.09 | ||
| 2062 | 17.47 | 13.37 | -4.11 | ---- | -0.10 | -0.00 | 0.09 | ||
| 2063 | 17.53 | 13.37 | -4.16 | ---- | -0.10 | -0.00 | 0.10 | ||
| 2064 | 17.58 | 13.37 | -4.20 | ---- | -0.10 | -0.00 | 0.10 | ||
| 2065 | 17.63 | 13.38 | -4.25 | ---- | -0.10 | -0.01 | 0.10 | ||
| 2066 | 17.68 | 13.38 | -4.30 | ---- | -0.11 | -0.01 | 0.10 | ||
| 2067 | 17.73 | 13.39 | -4.34 | ---- | -0.11 | -0.01 | 0.10 | ||
| 2068 | 17.78 | 13.39 | -4.39 | ---- | -0.11 | -0.01 | 0.10 | ||
| 2069 | 17.84 | 13.39 | -4.44 | ---- | -0.11 | -0.01 | 0.10 | ||
| 2070 | 17.90 | 13.40 | -4.50 | ---- | -0.11 | -0.01 | 0.10 | ||
| 2071 | 17.95 | 13.40 | -4.55 | ---- | -0.11 | -0.01 | 0.10 | ||
| 2072 | 18.00 | 13.41 | -4.59 | ---- | -0.11 | -0.01 | 0.10 | ||
| 2073 | 18.05 | 13.41 | -4.64 | ---- | -0.11 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
| 2074 | 18.09 | 13.41 | -4.68 | ---- | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
| 2075 | 18.13 | 13.42 | -4.71 | ---- | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
| 2076 | 18.16 | 13.42 | -4.74 | ---- | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
| 2077 | 18.18 | 13.42 | -4.76 | ---- | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
| 2078 | 18.19 | 13.42 | -4.76 | ---- | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
| 2079 | 18.18 | 13.42 | -4.76 | ---- | -0.14 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
| 2080 | 18.16 | 13.42 | -4.74 | ---- | -0.14 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
| 2081 | 18.14 | 13.42 | -4.72 | ---- | -0.14 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
| 2082 | 18.10 | 13.42 | -4.68 | ---- | -0.14 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
| 2083 | 18.06 | 13.42 | -4.64 | ---- | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
| 2084 | 18.01 | 13.41 | -4.60 | ---- | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
| 2085 | 17.96 | 13.41 | -4.55 | ---- | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
| 2086 | 17.90 | 13.41 | -4.49 | ---- | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
| 2087 | 17.84 | 13.40 | -4.43 | ---- | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
| 2088 | 17.77 | 13.40 | -4.38 | ---- | -0.14 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
| 2089 | 17.71 | 13.39 | -4.32 | ---- | -0.14 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
| 2090 | 17.66 | 13.39 | -4.27 | ---- | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
| 2091 | 17.61 | 13.39 | -4.22 | ---- | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
| 2092 | 17.57 | 13.39 | -4.19 | ---- | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
| 2093 | 17.55 | 13.38 | -4.16 | ---- | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
| 2094 | 17.53 | 13.38 | -4.15 | ---- | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
| 2095 | 17.52 | 13.38 | -4.14 | ---- | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
| 2096 | 17.52 | 13.38 | -4.14 | ---- | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
| 2097 | 17.53 | 13.38 | -4.14 | ---- | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
Summarized Estimates
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
| 2022-2096 | 17.18% | 13.78% | -3.40% | 2034 | -0.02% | -0.00% | 0.02% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2035. |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2022 Trustees Report.