Summary of Provisions That Would Change the Social Security Program
Description of Proposed Provisions:
Provisions Affecting Retirement Age
Estimates based on the intermediate assumptions of
the 2023 Trustees Report
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|
Change from current law [percent of payroll] |
Shortfall eliminated | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Long-range actuarial balance |
Annual balance in 75th year |
Long-range actuarial balance |
Annual balance in 75th year |
|||
| Current law shortfall in long-range actuarial balance is 3.61 percent of payroll and in annual balance for the 75th year is 4.35 percent of payroll. | ||||||
| C1.1 |
Starting with those age 62 in 2024, increase the normal retirement age
(NRA) 1 month every 2 years until the NRA reaches 68.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board 2005) |
0.43 | 0.69 | 12% | 16% | |
| C1.2 |
Increase the normal retirement age (NRA) 2 months per year for those age
62 starting in 2024 and ending in 2029 (NRA reaches 68 for those age 62 in 2029).
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Liebman, MacGuineas, Samwick 2005) |
0.53 | 0.69 | 15% | 16% | |
| C1.3 |
Starting for those age 62 in 2024, index the normal retirement age (NRA)
to maintain a constant ratio of expected retirement years (life expectancy
at NRA) to potential work years (NRA minus 20). We assume the NRA will
increase 1 month every 2 years.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Ryan 2010) | memo (AARP 2008) | memo (Ryan 2008) | memo (Social Security Advisory Board 2005) |
0.68 | 1.73 | 19% | 40% | |
| C1.4 |
Increase the normal retirement age (NRA) 2 months per year for those age
62 starting in 2024 and ending in 2035 (NRA reaches 69 for those age 62
in 2035). Thereafter, increase the NRA 1 month every 2 years.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Ribble 2016) | memo (Chaffetz 2011) |
1.33 | 2.47 | 37% | 57% | |
| C1.6 |
Starting with those age 62 in 2024, increase the normal retirement age (NRA)
1 month every 2 years until the NRA reaches 69. Also increase the age up to
which the delayed retirement credit may be earned at the same rate (from 70
to 72). No change to earliest eligibility age.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center October 2016) | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center June 2016) |
0.64 | 1.31 | 18% | 30% | |
| C1.7 |
Increase the normal retirement age (NRA) 3 months per year for those age
62 starting in 2024 and ending in 2031 (NRA reaches 69 for those age 62
in 2031). Increase the age up to which delayed retirement credits may be
earned from 70 to 72 on the same schedule. Increase the widow(er) NRA in
the same manner. The earliest eligibility age (EEA) for worker's and widow(er)'s
benefit is unchanged.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Johnson 2016) |
1.01 | 1.32 | 28% | 30% | |
| C2.1 |
Increase the earliest eligibility age (EEA) by 2 months per year for those
age 62 starting in 2025 and ending in 2042 (EEA reaches 65 for those age 62
in 2042).
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (AARP 2008) |
-0.10 | -0.43 | -3% | -10% | |
| C2.2 |
Starting for those age 62 in 2024, index the normal retirement age (NRA)
to maintain a constant ratio of expected retirement years (life expectancy
at NRA) to potential work years (NRA minus 20). We assume the NRA will
increase 1 month every 2 years. Also, raise the earliest eligibility age
(EEA) for retired-workers, aged widow(er)s, and disabled widow(er)s by the
same amount as the NRA starting for those attaining 62 in 2024.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (NRC/NAPA 2010) | memo (Warshawsky 2008) |
0.65 | 1.52 | 18% | 35% | |
| C2.3 |
Starting for those age 62 in 2024, index the normal retirement age (NRA)
to maintain a constant ratio of expected retirement years (life expectancy
at NRA) to potential work years (NRA minus 20). We assume the NRA will
increase 1 month every 2 years. Also, increase the earliest eligibility
age (EEA) by the same amount as the NRA starting for those age 62 in 2024
so as to maintain a 5 year difference between the two ages. Include a "hardship
exemption" with no EEA/NRA change for a worker with 25 years of earnings
(with 4 quarters of coverage each), and average indexed monthly earnings
(AIME) less than 250 percent of the poverty level (wage-indexed from 2013).
The hardship exemption is phased out for those with AIME above 400 percent
of the poverty level.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Fiscal Commission 2010) |
0.49 | 1.17 | 14% | 27% | |
| C2.4 |
Starting for those age 62 in 2024, increase both the normal retirement age
(NRA) and the earliest eligibility age (EEA) by 36/47 of a month per year
until the NRA and EEA reach 70 and 65 respectively. For each year, the computed
NRA and EEA round down to the next lower full month.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Lummis 2011) |
0.89 | 1.80 | 25% | 41% | |
| C2.5 |
Increase the normal retirement age (NRA) 3 months per year for those age
62 starting in 2024 and ending in 2035 (NRA reaches 70 for those age 62
in 2035). Thereafter, index the NRA to maintain a constant ratio of expected
retirement years (life expectancy at NRA) to potential work years (NRA minus
20). We assume the NRA will increase 1 month every 2 years. Also, increase
the earliest eligibility age (EEA) from 62 to 64 at the same time the NRA
increases from 67 to 69; that is, for those attaining age 62 in 2024 through
2031. Keep EEA at 64 thereafter.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Graham, Paul, Lee 2011) |
1.62 | 2.76 | 45% | 63% | |
| C2.6 |
Increase the normal retirement age (NRA) and the earliest eligibility
age (EEA) for those age 62 in 2024-2025 to 68 and 63, respectively, and
then by 3 months per year in 2026-2029 to 69 and 64, respectively.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Hutchison 2011) |
0.91 | 1.08 | 25% | 25% | |
| C2.7 |
Increase the normal retirement age (NRA) and the earliest eligibility
age (EEA) for those age 62 starting in 2024 by 3 months per year until
EEA reaches 64 in 2031 and NRA reaches 69 in 2031.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Hutchison 2011) |
0.87 | 1.08 | 24% | 25% | |
| C2.8 |
Starting in 2026, convert all disabled-worker beneficiaries to retired-worker
status upon attainment of their earliest eligibility age (EEA) rather than their
normal retirement age (NRA). After conversion, apply the early retirement reduction
for retirement at EEA (currently 30 percent for those age 62 in 2026) phased
in over 40 years.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Warshawsky 2008) |
0.40 | 0.70 | 11% | 16% | |