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Selected Economic Variables

Single-Year Tables

Intermediate Assumptions Low-Cost Assumptions High-Cost Assumptions

Table VI.F6.- Selected Economic Variables,
Calendar Years 2008-85

[GDP and taxable payroll in billions]

Calendar year   Adjusted
CPI a
  Average
wage index b
  Taxable
payroll c
  Gross
domestic
product
  Compound
interest-rate
factor d

Intermediate:
2008   101.03   $41,679.58   $5,493   $14,260   0.9709
2009   100.00   42,041.84   5,525   14,088   1.0000
2010   101.65   43,451.28   5,676   14,585   1.0403
2011   104.04   45,194.92   5,942   15,437   1.0933
2012   106.85   47,013.95   6,312   16,382   1.1561
2013   110.13   48,969.10   6,647   17,355   1.2268
2014   113.51   50,962.45   6,974   18,327   1.3010
2015   116.70   53,085.22   7,310   19,267   1.3760
2016   119.97   55,070.22   7,629   20,165   1.4543
2017   123.32   57,165.32   7,961   21,107   1.5373
2018   126.78   59,362.72   8,298   22,087   1.6263
2019   130.33   61,643.78   8,656   23,100   1.7203
2020   133.98   64,015.44   9,028   24,158   1.8198
2021   137.73   66,483.55   9,416   25,264   1.9250
2022   141.58   69,037.10   9,820   26,420   2.0363
2023   145.55   71,677.11   10,244   27,631   2.1540
2024   149.62   74,436.76   10,685   28,897   2.2785
2025   153.81   77,313.68   11,146   30,222   2.4103
2026   158.12   80,303.57   11,626   31,602   2.5496
2027   162.55   83,418.72   12,129   33,050   2.6970
2028   167.10   86,653.14   12,653   34,563   2.8529
2029   171.78   90,015.51   13,204   36,153   3.0179
2030   176.59   93,515.03   13,779   37,818   3.1923
2031   181.53   97,160.67   14,383   39,566   3.3769
2032   186.62   100,961.69   15,017   41,401   3.5721
2033   191.84   104,918.94   15,678   43,320   3.7786
2034   197.21   109,031.60   16,370   45,332   3.9971
2035   202.73   113,303.44   17,093   47,435   4.2281
2036   208.41   117,742.49   17,850   49,638   4.4726
2037   214.25   122,362.79   18,644   51,951   4.7311
2038   220.24   127,169.84   19,477   54,379   5.0047
2039   226.41   132,167.68   20,348   56,923   5.2940
2040   232.75   137,360.95   21,258   59,581   5.6000
2041   239.27   142,757.80   22,207   62,358   5.9238
2042   245.97   148,364.51   23,198   65,263   6.2663
2043   252.85   154,188.44   24,235   68,305   6.6285
2044   259.93   160,238.64   25,317   71,483   7.0117
2045   267.21   166,519.95   26,445   74,801   7.4171
2046   274.69   173,043.13   27,620   78,263   7.8459
2047   282.39   179,816.75   28,845   81,878   8.2995
2048   290.29   186,849.96   30,123   85,654   8.7793
2049   298.42   194,155.50   31,454   89,594   9.2868
2050   306.78   201,741.66   32,839   93,703   9.8237
2051   315.37   209,615.40   34,283   97,992   10.3916
2052   324.20   217,792.70   35,791   102,477   10.9924
2053   333.27   226,288.67   37,365   107,166   11.6279
2054   342.61   235,110.37   39,006   112,063   12.3001
2055   352.20   244,272.24   40,718   117,181   13.0112
2056   362.06   253,789.30   42,505   122,532   13.7634
2057   372.20   263,673.11   44,373   128,135   14.5591
2058   382.62   273,946.36   46,325   133,999   15.4008
2059   393.33   284,626.73   48,364   140,134   16.2912
2060   404.35   295,727.43   50,492   146,547   17.2330
2061   415.67   307,268.85   52,711   153,244   18.2293
2062   427.31   319,268.94   55,026   160,244   19.2831
2063   439.27   331,734.98   57,442   167,562   20.3979
2064   451.57   344,685.07   59,962   175,210   21.5772
2065   464.22   358,142.06   62,590   183,196   22.8246
2066   477.21   372,128.08   65,334   191,551   24.1441
2067   490.58   386,659.42   68,198   200,287   25.5400
2068   504.31   401,759.28   71,187   209,419   27.0165
2069   518.43   417,448.22   74,303   218,954   28.5784
2070   532.95   433,747.20   77,552   228,914   30.2305
2071   547.87   450,678.12   80,939   239,316   31.9782
2072   563.21   468,261.59   84,479   250,204   33.8269
2073   578.98   486,529.91   88,170   261,579   35.7825
2074   595.19   505,514.82   92,018   273,460   37.8512
2075   611.86   525,251.00   96,025   285,852   40.0395
2076   628.99   545,750.85   100,199   298,787   42.3542
2077   646.60   567,046.47   104,550   312,294   44.8028
2078   664.71   589,174.20   109,085   326,398   47.3929
2079   683.32   612,166.78   113,809   341,117   50.1328
2080   702.45   636,051.02   118,735   356,490   53.0311
2081   722.12   660,866.08   123,871   372,549   56.0969
2082   742.34   686,642.66   129,225   389,322   59.3400
2083   763.13   713,426.43   134,812   406,856   62.7706
2084   784.49   741,306.28   140,641   425,155   66.3995
2085   806.46   770,353.35   146,739   444,284   70.2381

Low-cost:
2008   101.21   41,698.13   5,496   14,274   .9681
2009   100.00   42,276.96   5,577   14,245   1.0000
2010   101.26   43,659.88   5,750   14,788   1.0387
2011   102.70   45,301.16   6,029   15,651   1.0870
2012   104.45   46,961.47   6,321   16,590   1.1438
2013   106.62   48,656.14   6,742   17,511   1.2071
2014   108.82   50,243.82   7,036   18,345   1.2713
2015   110.79   52,029.44   7,343   19,171   1.3375
2016   112.78   53,791.01   7,646   20,016   1.4086
2017   114.81   55,658.55   7,962   20,895   1.4853
2018   116.88   57,642.09   8,289   21,805   1.5662
2019   118.98   59,647.83   8,624   22,732   1.6518
2020   121.13   61,700.55   8,967   23,685   1.7421
2021   123.31   63,829.07   9,323   24,677   1.8373
2022   125.53   66,021.51   9,693   25,707   1.9377
2023   127.78   68,277.51   10,078   26,781   2.0436
2024   130.08   70,628.99   10,477   27,897   2.1553
2025   132.43   73,074.23   10,892   29,056   2.2731
2026   134.81   75,603.45   11,322   30,259   2.3973
2027   137.24   78,224.08   11,772   31,517   2.5283
2028   139.71   80,928.70   12,240   32,826   2.6665
2029   142.22   83,724.33   12,729   34,196   2.8122
2030   144.78   86,621.69   13,242   35,631   2.9659
2031   147.39   89,627.59   13,780   37,134   3.1279
2032   150.04   92,748.75   14,344   38,711   3.2989
2033   152.74   95,983.29   14,933   40,360   3.4792
2034   155.49   99,331.99   15,551   42,085   3.6693
2035   158.29   102,798.62   16,198   43,891   3.8698
2036   161.14   106,388.34   16,876   45,783   4.0813
2037   164.04   110,110.86   17,588   47,768   4.3043
2038   166.99   113,969.77   18,336   49,853   4.5395
2039   170.00   117,967.77   19,120   52,038   4.7876
2040   173.06   122,108.41   19,941   54,322   5.0492
2041   176.17   126,396.06   20,798   56,708   5.3252
2042   179.34   130,835.26   21,694   59,204   5.6162
2043   182.57   135,430.86   22,633   61,813   5.9231
2044   185.86   140,188.91   23,612   64,539   6.2468
2045   189.20   145,111.83   24,635   67,384   6.5882
2046   192.61   150,205.97   25,703   70,353   6.9482
2047   196.08   155,479.05   26,817   73,453   7.3279
2048   199.61   160,936.83   27,982   76,692   7.7283
2049   203.20   166,581.28   29,198   80,075   8.1507
2050   206.86   172,415.87   30,466   83,604   8.5961
2051   210.58   178,457.07   31,789   87,285   9.0659
2052   214.37   184,718.52   33,175   91,141   9.5613
2053   218.23   191,207.07   34,623   95,171   10.0838
2054   222.16   197,925.45   36,133   99,375   10.6349
2055   226.16   204,880.30   37,708   103,762   11.2160
2056   230.23   212,080.74   39,352   108,343   11.8290
2057   234.37   219,536.35   41,071   113,135   12.4754
2058   238.59   227,258.43   42,870   118,148   13.1572
2059   242.88   235,255.32   44,751   123,392   13.8762
2060   247.26   243,538.16   46,717   128,876   14.6345
2061   251.71   252,118.37   48,773   134,616   15.4342
2062   256.24   261,003.08   50,923   140,614   16.2777
2063   260.85   270,200.97   53,169   146,885   17.1672
2064   265.54   279,721.81   55,519   153,448   18.1054
2065   270.32   289,575.63   57,974   160,308   19.0948
2066   275.19   299,776.01   60,542   167,488   20.1383
2067   280.14   310,335.74   63,226   174,994   21.2388
2068   285.19   321,271.74   66,031   182,841   22.3994
2069   290.32   332,589.21   68,960   191,040   23.6235
2070   295.55   344,303.73   72,021   199,610   24.9145
2071   300.87   356,427.11   75,219   208,570   26.2760
2072   306.28   368,974.00   78,559   217,932   27.7120
2073   311.79   381,964.61   82,046   227,711   29.2264
2074   317.41   395,412.67   85,686   237,924   30.8235
2075   323.12   409,331.60   89,482   248,584   32.5080
2076   328.94   423,736.21   93,445   259,716   34.2845
2077   334.86   438,642.13   97,577   271,335   36.1581
2078   340.88   454,066.81   101,889   283,464   38.1340
2079   347.02   470,029.16   106,386   296,121   40.2180
2080   353.27   486,548.41   111,075   309,329   42.4158
2081   359.63   503,645.02   115,965   323,110   44.7337
2082   366.10   521,337.56   121,063   337,490   47.1784
2083   372.69   539,653.91   126,384   352,507   49.7566
2084   379.40   558,644.99   131,937   368,167   52.4756
2085   386.23   578,362.07   137,741   384,507   55.3433

High-cost:
2008   100.38   41,672.33   5,490   14,252   .9677
2009   100.00   42,100.53   5,511   14,052   1.0000
2010   102.21   43,502.26   5,638   14,505   1.0416
2011   104.79   45,273.05   5,938   15,345   1.0952
2012   109.29   46,607.81   6,176   16,026   1.1567
2013   115.82   49,339.09   6,521   17,097   1.2466
2014   122.56   52,785.62   6,972   18,616   1.3564
2015   128.31   56,005.14   7,441   19,977   1.4579
2016   133.37   58,775.40   7,880   21,204   1.5539
2017   138.43   61,324.49   8,297   22,381   1.6510
2018   143.70   63,781.41   8,678   23,490   1.7494
2019   149.16   66,442.33   9,076   24,648   1.8540
2020   154.82   69,266.04   9,496   25,876   1.9649
2021   160.71   72,222.54   9,938   27,168   2.0824
2022   166.81   75,294.41   10,399   28,523   2.2069
2023   173.15   78,484.16   10,883   29,949   2.3389
2024   179.73   81,827.87   11,391   31,448   2.4788
2025   186.56   85,325.34   11,925   33,026   2.6270
2026   193.65   88,980.50   12,482   34,679   2.7841
2027   201.01   92,806.94   13,067   36,421   2.9506
2028   208.65   96,800.19   13,681   38,248   3.1270
2029   216.58   100,972.01   14,324   40,172   3.3140
2030   224.81   105,333.13   14,997   42,188   3.5121
2031   233.35   109,894.07   15,701   44,302   3.7222
2032   242.22   114,672.45   16,441   46,528   3.9447
2033   251.42   119,665.78   17,213   48,861   4.1806
2034   260.98   124,877.23   18,023   51,310   4.4306
2035   270.89   130,312.17   18,869   53,878   4.6956
2036   281.19   135,983.33   19,753   56,567   4.9764
2037   291.87   141,904.89   20,679   59,387   5.2739
2038   302.96   148,089.13   21,644   62,338   5.5893
2039   314.48   154,541.96   22,653   65,429   5.9235
2040   326.43   161,272.36   23,706   68,666   6.2777
2041   338.83   168,295.17   24,803   72,047   6.6531
2042   351.71   175,615.50   25,949   75,588   7.0510
2043   365.07   183,242.29   27,146   79,297   7.4726
2044   378.94   191,196.29   28,391   83,164   7.9195
2045   393.34   199,485.10   29,687   87,203   8.3930
2046   408.29   208,122.81   31,031   91,407   8.8949
2047   423.80   217,128.99   32,429   95,793   9.4268
2048   439.91   226,513.93   33,888   100,384   9.9905
2049   456.63   236,299.51   35,408   105,178   10.5879
2050   473.98   246,504.19   36,984   110,168   11.2211
2051   491.99   257,118.64   38,625   115,382   11.8921
2052   510.68   268,165.60   40,338   120,838   12.6032
2053   530.09   279,679.65   42,120   126,533   13.3568
2054   550.23   291,669.38   43,974   132,476   14.1555
2055   571.14   304,157.52   45,902   138,676   15.0020
2056   592.85   317,176.88   47,907   145,143   15.8991
2057   615.37   330,754.58   50,001   151,921   16.8498
2058   638.76   344,909.88   52,192   159,029   17.8574
2059   663.03   359,664.64   54,474   166,457   18.9253
2060   688.23   375,060.42   56,850   174,218   20.0570
2061   714.38   391,116.21   59,330   182,338   21.2563
2062   741.53   407,847.27   61,902   190,793   22.5274
2063   769.70   425,289.69   64,571   199,592   23.8745
2064   798.95   443,503.69   67,358   208,812   25.3022
2065   829.31   462,499.14   70,253   218,416   26.8152
2066   860.83   482,306.05   73,267   228,452   28.4187
2067   893.54   502,962.78   76,406   238,932   30.1181
2068   927.49   524,515.98   79,674   249,877   31.9191
2069   962.74   546,988.52   83,070   261,289   33.8278
2070   999.32   570,425.72   86,602   273,193   35.8506
2071   1,037.30   594,859.14   90,279   285,627   37.9944
2072   1,076.71   620,325.27   94,115   298,635   40.2664
2073   1,117.63   646,883.23   98,100   312,193   42.6742
2074   1,160.10   674,569.28   102,241   326,330   45.2260
2075   1,204.18   703,463.63   106,544   341,065   47.9305
2076   1,249.94   733,597.19   111,012   356,417   50.7966
2077   1,297.44   765,017.43   115,658   372,430   53.8342
2078   1,346.74   797,809.20   120,507   389,194   57.0533
2079   1,397.92   831,999.33   125,562   406,718   60.4650
2080   1,451.04   867,652.91   130,823   425,014   64.0807
2081   1,506.18   904,873.18   136,289   444,086   67.9126
2082   1,563.41   943,707.00   141,978   463,996   71.9736
2083   1,622.82   984,196.53   147,910   484,820   76.2775
2084   1,684.49   1,026,463.77   154,108   506,601   80.8387
2085   1,748.50   1,070,658.02   160,580   529,364   85.6727

a The adjusted CPI is the CPI-W indexed to calendar year 2009.
b The average wage index is used to automatically adjust the contribution and benefit base and other wage-indexed program amounts. (See "Average wage index" in the glossary.)
c Taxable payroll consists of total earnings subject to OASDI contribution rates, adjusted to reflect the lower effective contribution rates (compared to the combined employee-employer rate) which apply to multiple-employer "excess wages."
d The compound interest-rate factor is based on the average of the assumed annual interest rates for special public-debt obligations issuable to the trust funds in the 12 months of the year, under each alternative.
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