Single-Year Tables Intermediate Assumptions Low-Cost Assumptions High-Cost Assumptions


Table V.A2.- Social Security Area Population as of July 1 and Dependency Ratios,
Calendar Years 1950-2090


Calendar year   Population (in thousands)   Dependency ratio
Under 20   20-64   65 and
over
  Total Aged a   Total b

Historical data:
1950   54,477   92,849   12,812   160,138   0.138   0.725
1951   56,429   94,102   13,287   163,817   .141   .741
1952   57,949   94,728   13,719   166,396   .145   .757
1953   59,621   95,217   14,168   169,007   .149   .775
1954   61,405   95,670   14,633   171,709   .153   .795
1955   63,257   96,190   15,074   174,521   .157   .814
1956   65,300   97,081   15,490   177,871   .160   .832
1957   67,394   97,990   15,931   181,314   .163   .850
1958   69,338   98,535   16,393   184,265   .166   .870
1959   71,207   99,127   16,851   187,185   .170   .888
1960   73,059   99,818   17,278   190,155   .173   .905
1961   74,846   100,631   17,674   193,152   .176   .919
1962   76,407   101,618   18,053   196,077   .178   .930
1963   77,694   102,742   18,402   198,838   .179   .935
1964   78,897   103,840   18,743   201,480   .180   .940
1965   79,999   104,879   19,070   203,948   .182   .945
1966   80,648   106,129   19,402   206,179   .183   .943
1967   80,728   107,806   19,762   208,296   .183   .932
1968   80,644   109,602   20,116   210,362   .184   .919
1969   80,695   111,302   20,483   212,480   .184   .909
1970   80,886   112,987   20,888   214,760   .185   .901
1971   80,974   114,699   21,327   217,001   .186   .892
1972   80,714   116,507   21,761   218,982   .187   .880
1973   80,148   118,408   22,202   220,757   .188   .864
1974   79,439   120,431   22,660   222,530   .188   .848
1975   78,651   122,551   23,166   224,367   .189   .831
1976   77,783   124,728   23,729   226,241   .190   .814
1977   76,927   127,019   24,295   228,240   .191   .797
1978   76,147   129,379   24,866   230,391   .192   .781
1979   75,453   131,753   25,519   232,726   .194   .766
1980   74,891   134,036   26,176   235,103   .195   .754
1981   74,393   136,239   26,760   237,391   .196   .742
1982   73,965   138,418   27,367   239,750   .198   .732
1983   73,595   140,549   27,945   242,088   .199   .722
1984   73,280   142,621   28,485   244,386   .200   .714
1985   73,160   144,505   29,069   246,735   .201   .707
1986   73,263   146,180   29,688   249,132   .203   .704
1987   73,510   147,760   30,277   251,547   .205   .702
1988   73,877   149,326   30,815   254,018   .206   .701
1989   74,314   150,980   31,335   256,629   .208   .700
1990   74,937   152,718   31,909   259,563   .209   .700
1991   75,751   154,453   32,519   262,723   .211   .701
1992   76,685   156,075   33,090   265,850   .212   .703
1993   77,734   157,559   33,590   268,882   .213   .707
1994   78,742   159,022   34,026   271,790   .214   .709
1995   79,637   160,513   34,424   274,574   .214   .711
1996   80,436   162,070   34,771   277,277   .215   .711
1997   81,108   163,784   35,067   279,959   .214   .709
1998   81,653   165,665   35,295   282,613   .213   .706
1999   82,075   167,712   35,481   285,269   .212   .701
2000   82,432   169,779   35,692   287,902   .210   .696
2001   82,810   171,777   35,925   290,512   .209   .691
2002   83,119   173,781   36,176   293,076   .208   .686
2003   83,424   175,748   36,477   295,650   .208   .682
2004   83,750   177,678   36,867   298,294   .207   .679
2005   84,036   179,644   37,322   301,002   .208   .676
2006   84,352   181,626   37,870   303,848   .209   .673
2007   84,720   183,515   38,599   306,835   .210   .672
2008   85,015   185,347   39,437   309,799   .213   .671
2009   85,113   187,268   40,272   312,653   .215   .670
2010   84,997   189,138   41,054   315,189   .217   .666
2011 c   84,919   190,647   42,012   317,579   .220   .666

Intermediate:
2012   85,045   191,733   43,350   320,127   .226   .670
2013   85,309   192,680   44,794   322,783   .232   .675
2014   85,699   193,667   46,191   325,556   .239   .681
2015   86,190   194,635   47,615   328,440   .245   .687
2016   86,756   195,536   49,079   331,371   .251   .695
2017   87,359   196,327   50,603   334,289   .258   .703
2018   87,967   197,020   52,204   337,190   .265   .711
2019   88,551   197,633   53,890   340,074   .273   .721
2020   89,096   198,201   55,639   342,936   .281   .730
2021   89,641   198,705   57,427   345,773   .289   .740
2022   90,206   199,113   59,262   348,581   .298   .751
2023   90,752   199,497   61,104   351,354   .306   .761
2024   91,262   199,889   62,938   354,089   .315   .771
2025   91,745   200,268   64,769   356,782   .323   .782
2026   92,175   200,705   66,549   359,430   .332   .791
2027   92,544   201,239   68,244   362,027   .339   .799
2028   92,919   201,787   69,864   364,570   .346   .807
2029   93,386   202,278   71,391   367,055   .353   .815
2030   93,958   202,776   72,747   369,481   .359   .822
2031   94,481   203,484   73,881   371,847   .363   .827
2032   94,893   204,412   74,848   374,154   .366   .830
2033   95,266   205,400   75,737   376,403   .369   .833
2034   95,610   206,354   76,633   378,597   .371   .835
2035   95,929   207,252   77,556   380,737   .374   .837
2036   96,231   208,196   78,399   382,826   .377   .839
2037   96,530   209,311   79,030   384,871   .378   .839
2038   96,830   210,601   79,446   386,877   .377   .837
2039   97,132   211,965   79,749   388,846   .376   .834
2040   97,437   213,336   80,009   390,782   .375   .832
2041   97,747   214,703   80,235   392,686   .374   .829
2042   98,065   216,028   80,471   394,564   .373   .826
2043   98,392   217,282   80,746   396,420   .372   .824
2044   98,731   218,437   81,091   398,259   .371   .823
2045   99,080   219,478   81,523   400,081   .371   .823
2046   99,442   220,462   81,990   401,894   .372   .823
2047   99,817   221,429   82,456   403,702   .372   .823
2048   100,206   222,397   82,904   405,507   .373   .823
2049   100,609   223,362   83,344   407,314   .373   .824
2050   101,025   224,291   83,812   409,127   .374   .824
2051   101,450   225,192   84,307   410,949   .374   .825
2052   101,883   226,080   84,820   412,783   .375   .826
2053   102,319   226,928   85,384   414,631   .376   .827
2054   102,757   227,695   86,043   416,495   .378   .829
2055   103,195   228,390   86,791   418,376   .380   .832
2056   103,631   229,087   87,556   420,274   .382   .835
2057   104,061   229,839   88,291   422,190   .384   .837
2058   104,480   230,659   88,988   424,126   .386   .839
2059   104,889   231,540   89,653   426,082   .387   .840
2060   105,290   232,469   90,299   428,058   .388   .841
2061   105,684   233,444   90,924   430,051   .389   .842
2062   106,069   234,454   91,539   432,062   .390   .843
2063   106,445   235,474   92,167   434,086   .391   .843
2064   106,815   236,477   92,830   436,122   .393   .844
2065   107,179   237,452   93,536   438,167   .394   .845
2066   107,538   238,434   94,246   440,217   .395   .846
2067   107,893   239,442   94,937   442,271   .396   .847
2068   108,245   240,442   95,638   444,326   .398   .848
2069   108,596   241,420   96,365   446,381   .399   .849
2070   108,948   242,384   97,104   448,435   .401   .850
2071   109,301   243,310   97,877   450,487   .402   .851
2072   109,656   244,190   98,687   452,534   .404   .853
2073   110,015   245,088   99,471   454,574   .406   .855
2074   110,378   246,079   100,151   456,609   .407   .856
2075   110,746   247,173   100,718   458,637   .407   .856
2076   111,120   248,227   101,311   460,658   .408   .856
2077   111,498   249,184   101,990   462,673   .409   .857
2078   111,882   250,106   102,694   464,682   .411   .858
2079   112,270   251,001   103,415   466,687   .412   .859
2080   112,662   251,872   104,154   468,689   .414   .861
2081   113,058   252,727   104,905   470,690   .415   .862
2082   113,455   253,572   105,663   472,690   .417   .864
2083   113,855   254,411   106,425   474,691   .418   .866
2084   114,254   255,244   107,193   476,692   .420   .868
2085   114,654   256,075   107,966   478,695   .422   .869
2086   115,052   256,905   108,743   480,701   .423   .871
2087   115,449   257,738   109,521   482,708   .425   .873
2088   115,843   258,575   110,298   484,716   .427   .875
2089   116,234   259,418   111,074   486,727   .428   .876
2090   116,622   260,269   111,847   488,738   .430   .878

Low-cost:
2012   85,078   191,770   43,346   320,194   .226   .670
2013   85,419   192,790   44,774   322,983   .232   .675
2014   85,908   193,843   46,142   325,893   .238   .681
2015   86,525   194,873   47,525   328,923   .244   .688
2016   87,259   195,871   48,940   332,070   .250   .695
2017   88,086   196,829   50,408   335,323   .256   .704
2018   88,976   197,759   51,946   338,681   .263   .713
2019   89,883   198,643   53,565   342,090   .270   .722
2020   90,780   199,479   55,238   345,497   .277   .732
2021   91,705   200,249   56,945   348,899   .284   .742
2022   92,681   200,921   58,691   352,292   .292   .753
2023   93,669   201,566   60,439   355,674   .300   .765
2024   94,653   202,217   62,170   359,040   .307   .776
2025   95,641   202,853   63,894   362,388   .315   .786
2026   96,608   203,546   65,559   365,713   .322   .797
2027   97,546   204,332   67,134   369,012   .329   .806
2028   98,522   205,133   68,626   372,281   .335   .815
2029   99,623   205,873   70,021   375,517   .340   .824
2030   100,860   206,618   71,239   378,718   .345   .833
2031   102,083   207,570   72,233   381,886   .348   .840
2032   103,217   208,751   73,056   385,023   .350   .844
2033   104,321   210,013   73,799   388,134   .351   .848
2034   105,409   211,267   74,545   391,220   .353   .852
2035   106,485   212,488   75,315   394,288   .354   .856
2036   107,559   213,780   76,004   397,343   .356   .859
2037   108,627   215,267   76,484   400,378   .355   .860
2038   109,680   216,955   76,751   403,387   .354   .859
2039   110,718   218,747   76,910   406,376   .352   .858
2040   111,742   220,578   77,029   409,348   .349   .856
2041   112,755   222,436   77,119   412,310   .347   .854
2042   113,764   224,283   77,222   415,269   .344   .852
2043   114,773   226,090   77,371   418,233   .342   .850
2044   115,785   227,829   77,595   421,208   .341   .849
2045   116,802   229,487   77,910   424,199   .339   .848
2046   117,828   231,116   78,269   427,214   .339   .848
2047   118,866   232,758   78,634   430,258   .338   .849
2048   119,919   234,428   78,991   433,338   .337   .848
2049   120,988   236,122   79,348   436,457   .336   .848
2050   122,073   237,808   79,741   439,622   .335   .849
2051   123,171   239,495   80,169   442,835   .335   .849
2052   124,279   241,198   80,624   446,101   .334   .850
2053   125,395   242,892   81,135   449,421   .334   .850
2054   126,514   244,538   81,745   452,797   .334   .852
2055   127,634   246,147   82,448   456,229   .335   .853
2056   128,750   247,794   83,174   459,718   .336   .855
2057   129,872   249,517   83,875   463,264   .336   .857
2058   131,007   251,317   84,542   466,866   .336   .858
2059   132,154   253,188   85,179   470,521   .336   .858
2060   133,312   255,121   85,797   474,230   .336   .859
2061   134,478   257,115   86,395   477,988   .336   .859
2062   135,651   259,163   86,980   481,794   .336   .859
2063   136,828   261,242   87,574   485,644   .335   .859
2064   138,007   263,330   88,199   489,536   .335   .859
2065   139,187   265,418   88,859   493,465   .335   .859
2066   140,368   267,541   89,520   497,429   .335   .859
2067   141,549   269,720   90,156   501,425   .334   .859
2068   142,729   271,925   90,798   505,452   .334   .859
2069   143,908   274,141   91,459   509,508   .334   .859
2070   145,087   276,379   92,127   513,593   .333   .858
2071   146,266   278,616   92,823   517,705   .333   .858
2072   147,445   280,848   93,551   521,844   .333   .858
2073   148,625   283,133   94,250   526,008   .333   .858
2074   149,808   285,548   94,845   530,200   .332   .857
2075   150,993   288,099   95,326   534,419   .331   .855
2076   152,183   290,651   95,832   538,666   .330   .853
2077   153,378   293,134   96,432   542,944   .329   .852
2078   154,580   295,597   97,076   547,253   .328   .851
2079   155,789   298,049   97,759   551,596   .328   .851
2080   157,006   300,489   98,480   555,975   .328   .850
2081   158,231   302,925   99,236   560,391   .328   .850
2082   159,464   305,359   100,023   564,846   .328   .850
2083   160,706   307,793   100,842   569,340   .328   .850
2084   161,956   310,224   101,695   573,875   .328   .850
2085   163,214   312,655   102,581   578,450   .328   .850
2086   164,480   315,087   103,500   583,066   .328   .850
2087   165,752   317,523   104,447   587,722   .329   .851
2088   167,030   319,966   105,421   592,417   .329   .852
2089   168,314   322,417   106,420   597,151   .330   .852
2090   169,604   324,878   107,441   601,922   .331   .853

High-cost:
2012   84,998   191,659   43,356   320,013   .226   .670
2013   85,122   192,378   44,818   322,318   .233   .675
2014   85,278   192,979   46,240   324,497   .240   .682
2015   85,479   193,484   47,696   326,659   .247   .688
2016   85,746   193,964   49,203   328,912   .254   .696
2017   86,051   194,411   50,781   331,243   .261   .704
2018   86,363   194,836   52,445   333,644   .269   .712
2019   86,634   195,222   54,203   336,059   .278   .721
2020   86,836   195,566   56,031   338,433   .287   .731
2021   87,006   195,849   57,907   340,762   .296   .740
2022   87,167   196,038   59,836   343,040   .305   .750
2023   87,280   196,203   61,781   345,264   .315   .760
2024   87,328   196,377   63,723   347,429   .324   .769
2025   87,321   196,539   65,672   349,531   .334   .778
2026   87,232   196,759   67,577   351,568   .343   .787
2027   87,053   197,077   69,403   353,534   .352   .794
2028   86,852   197,412   71,161   355,425   .360   .800
2029   86,713   197,693   72,832   357,238   .368   .807
2030   86,647   197,985   74,338   358,970   .375   .813
2031   86,502   198,492   75,626   360,620   .381   .817
2032   86,227   199,212   76,749   362,187   .385   .818
2033   85,908   199,965   77,797   363,670   .389   .819
2034   85,562   200,651   78,856   365,069   .393   .819
2035   85,195   201,243   79,945   366,383   .397   .821
2036   84,814   201,845   80,954   367,613   .401   .821
2037   84,442   202,584   81,750   368,777   .404   .820
2038   84,094   203,470   82,327   369,891   .405   .818
2039   83,766   204,403   82,787   370,956   .405   .815
2040   83,456   205,315   83,200   371,971   .405   .812
2041   83,165   206,199   83,574   372,939   .405   .809
2042   82,894   207,015   83,952   373,861   .406   .806
2043   82,643   207,733   84,363   374,739   .406   .804
2044   82,412   208,328   84,837   375,576   .407   .803
2045   82,198   208,784   85,389   376,371   .409   .803
2046   82,002   209,159   85,968   377,128   .411   .803
2047   81,823   209,494   86,535   377,852   .413   .804
2048   81,661   209,809   87,073   378,543   .415   .804
2049   81,515   210,099   87,591   379,205   .417   .805
2050   81,384   210,331   88,126   379,841   .419   .806
2051   81,265   210,512   88,678   380,455   .421   .807
2052   81,156   210,654   89,240   381,050   .424   .809
2053   81,057   210,728   89,843   381,628   .426   .811
2054   80,965   210,690   90,536   382,191   .430   .814
2055   80,882   210,546   91,313   382,741   .434   .818
2056   80,807   210,369   92,103   383,279   .438   .822
2057   80,724   210,226   92,859   383,809   .442   .826
2058   80,617   210,139   93,575   384,331   .445   .829
2059   80,490   210,101   94,258   384,849   .449   .832
2060   80,345   210,097   94,922   385,364   .452   .834
2061   80,185   210,123   95,567   385,875   .455   .836
2062   80,010   210,166   96,205   386,381   .458   .838
2063   79,823   210,199   96,860   386,883   .461   .841
2064   79,627   210,194   97,555   387,377   .464   .843
2065   79,424   210,138   98,298   387,860   .468   .846
2066   79,218   210,065   99,049   388,332   .472   .849
2067   79,008   209,994   99,786   388,789   .475   .851
2068   78,800   209,891   100,539   389,230   .479   .854
2069   78,593   209,738   101,322   389,654   .483   .858
2070   78,392   209,544   102,124   390,060   .487   .861
2071   78,197   209,284   102,965   390,446   .492   .866
2072   78,009   208,951   103,849   390,808   .497   .870
2073   77,830   208,606   104,711   391,147   .502   .875
2074   77,661   208,330   105,470   391,461   .506   .879
2075   77,501   208,131   106,117   391,749   .510   .882
2076   77,351   207,865   106,794   392,010   .514   .886
2077   77,209   207,485   107,549   392,243   .518   .890
2078   77,076   207,072   108,301   392,450   .523   .895
2079   76,950   206,641   109,039   392,630   .528   .900
2080   76,829   206,199   109,756   392,785   .532   .905
2081   76,713   205,754   110,448   392,916   .537   .910
2082   76,601   205,311   111,111   393,023   .541   .914
2083   76,490   204,871   111,747   393,108   .545   .919
2084   76,380   204,434   112,358   393,171   .550   .923
2085   76,270   204,000   112,945   393,214   .554   .928
2086   76,159   203,571   113,507   393,237   .558   .932
2087   76,046   203,152   114,043   393,240   .561   .936
2088   75,930   202,743   114,552   393,225   .565   .940
2089   75,812   202,346   115,033   393,191   .568   .943
2090   75,690   201,963   115,486   393,138   .572   .947

a Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over to the population at ages 20-64.
b Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over and the population under age 20 to the population at ages 20-64.
c Estimated.

Notes:
1. Historical data are subject to revision.
2. Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components.