Single-Year Tables Historical Data Intermediate Assumptions Low-Cost Assumptions High-Cost Assumptions


Table V.A3.- Social Security Area Population as of July 1 and Dependency Ratios,
Calendar Years 1941-2090
Calendar year   Population (in thousands)   Dependency ratio
Under 20   20-64   65 and
over		   Total Aged a   Total b

Historical data:
1941   48,423   83,776   9,826   142,025   0.117   0.695
1942   48,489   84,899   10,095   143,483   .119   .690
1943   48,744   86,001   10,350   145,096   .120   .687
1944   48,973   87,076   10,606   146,655   .122   .684
1945   49,121   88,109   10,900   148,130   .124   .681
1946   49,575   89,094   11,227   149,896   .126   .682
1947   50,550   90,026   11,578   152,154   .129   .690
1948   51,673   90,877   11,952   154,502   .132   .700
1949   52,769   91,655   12,353   156,778   .135   .711
1950   53,903   92,382   12,769   159,053   .138   .722
1951   56,504   94,164   13,291   163,959   .141   .741
1952   58,018   94,779   13,722   166,519   .145   .757
1953   59,679   95,257   14,171   169,107   .149   .775
1954   61,458   95,699   14,635   171,793   .153   .795
1955   63,293   96,207   15,075   174,576   .157   .815
1956   65,232   96,725   15,491   177,448   .160   .835
1957   67,418   97,990   15,931   181,338   .163   .851
1958   69,363   98,535   16,392   184,290   .166   .870
1959   71,246   99,127   16,851   187,224   .170   .889
1960   73,074   99,802   17,277   190,153   .173   .905
1961   74,900   100,632   17,675   193,207   .176   .920
1962   76,451   101,621   18,054   196,126   .178   .930
1963   77,731   102,747   18,404   198,882   .179   .936
1964   78,929   103,845   18,745   201,519   .181   .941
1965   80,020   104,885   19,071   203,975   .182   .945
1966   80,670   106,133   19,403   206,207   .183   .943
1967   80,760   107,805   19,763   208,328   .183   .932
1968   80,695   109,595   20,115   210,406   .184   .920
1969   80,801   111,292   20,482   212,575   .184   .910
1970   81,019   112,995   20,898   214,912   .185   .902
1971   81,050   114,743   21,362   217,155   .186   .893
1972   80,745   116,574   21,821   219,140   .187   .880
1973   80,151   118,494   22,289   220,934   .188   .865
1974   79,424   120,534   22,777   222,735   .189   .848
1975   78,623   122,663   23,316   224,602   .190   .831
1976   77,756   124,850   23,913   226,519   .192   .814
1977   76,909   127,158   24,513   228,581   .193   .798
1978   76,119   129,517   25,119   230,755   .194   .782
1979   75,433   131,850   25,724   233,007   .195   .767
1980   74,844   134,100   26,307   235,251   .196   .754
1981   74,318   136,293   26,880   237,492   .197   .743
1982   73,859   138,459   27,477   239,795   .198   .732
1983   73,459   140,583   28,041   242,083   .199   .722
1984   73,126   142,659   28,570   244,354   .200   .713
1985   72,997   144,545   29,144   246,686   .202   .707
1986   73,097   146,221   29,752   249,071   .203   .703
1987   73,356   147,806   30,330   251,491   .205   .701
1988   73,742   149,371   30,858   253,972   .207   .700
1989   74,189   151,021   31,368   256,578   .208   .699
1990   74,800   152,764   31,924   259,489   .209   .699
1991   75,581   154,520   32,509   262,611   .210   .700
1992   76,473   156,170   33,056   265,699   .212   .701
1993   77,473   157,687   33,531   268,692   .213   .704
1994   78,433   159,187   33,942   271,562   .213   .706
1995   79,285   160,718   34,316   274,318   .214   .707
1996   80,037   162,320   34,647   277,004   .213   .707
1997   80,658   164,075   34,927   279,660   .213   .704
1998   81,180   165,979   35,143   282,301   .212   .701
1999   81,604   168,027   35,310   284,942   .210   .696
2000   82,006   170,160   35,505   287,671   .209   .691
2001   82,401   172,349   35,741   290,491   .207   .685
2002   82,748   174,552   36,000   293,301   .206   .680
2003   83,103   176,601   36,317   296,020   .206   .676
2004   83,520   178,601   36,705   298,826   .206   .673
2005   84,014   180,875   37,163   302,052   .205   .670
2006   84,602   183,171   37,728   305,502   .206   .668
2007   85,173   184,836   38,483   308,492   .208   .669
2008   85,553   185,713   39,369   310,635   .212   .673
2009   85,768   186,706   40,247   312,721   .216   .675
2010   85,699   188,331   41,050   315,080   .218   .673
2011   85,391   189,776   42,038   317,205   .222   .671
2012   85,126   190,789   43,453   319,367   .228   .674
2013 c   84,953   191,780   44,954   321,687   .234   .677
2014 c   84,960   192,833   46,380   324,174   .241   .681
2015 d   85,146   193,941   47,841   326,928   .247   .686

Intermediate:
2016   85,466   195,043   49,366   329,875   .253   .691
2017   85,884   196,025   50,978   332,888   .260   .698
2018   86,366   196,988   52,641   335,995   .267   .706
2019   86,893   197,932   54,371   339,196   .275   .714
2020   87,420   198,796   56,165   342,381   .283   .722
2021   87,989   199,564   57,992   345,545   .291   .732
2022   88,632   200,168   59,881   348,680   .299   .742
2023   89,276   200,743   61,753   351,773   .308   .752
2024   89,895   201,341   63,598   354,834   .316   .762
2025   90,466   201,895   65,471   357,831   .324   .772
2026   90,951   202,510   67,300   360,761   .332   .781
2027   91,342   203,236   69,042   363,620   .340   .789
2028   91,716   203,996   70,707   366,419   .347   .796
2029   92,198   204,685   72,283   369,167   .353   .804
2030   92,811   205,362   73,686   371,859   .359   .811
2031   93,515   206,116   74,861   374,493   .363   .817
2032   94,271   206,912   75,881   377,065   .367   .822
2033   95,033   207,712   76,830   379,574   .370   .827
2034   95,790   208,449   77,782   382,022   .373   .833
2035   96,512   209,092   78,803   384,407   .377   .838
2036   97,168   209,814   79,751   386,733   .380   .843
2037   97,739   210,805   80,458   389,003   .382   .845
2038   98,229   212,050   80,941   391,219   .382   .845
2039   98,643   213,424   81,320   393,387   .381   .843
2040   98,987   214,843   81,678   395,509   .380   .841
2041   99,271   216,316   82,004   397,590   .379   .838
2042   99,502   217,770   82,365   399,636   .378   .835
2043   99,694   219,196   82,764   401,654   .378   .832
2044   99,887   220,562   83,201   403,650   .377   .830
2045   100,113   221,772   83,745   405,630   .378   .829
2046   100,378   222,917   84,305   407,599   .378   .828
2047   100,683   224,033   84,849   409,566   .379   .828
2048   101,020   225,142   85,375   411,538   .379   .828
2049   101,378   226,286   85,855   413,519   .379   .827
2050   101,761   227,380   86,376   415,517   .380   .827
2051   102,170   228,440   86,926   417,536   .381   .828
2052   102,607   229,485   87,486   419,578   .381   .828
2053   103,070   230,456   88,120   421,646   .382   .830
2054   103,555   231,325   88,857   423,738   .384   .832
2055   104,060   232,085   89,709   425,854   .387   .835
2056   104,580   232,806   90,607   427,993   .389   .838
2057   105,112   233,562   91,480   430,154   .392   .842
2058   105,650   234,375   92,309   432,334   .394   .845
2059   106,192   235,256   93,083   434,531   .396   .847
2060   106,735   236,185   93,823   436,743   .397   .849
2061   107,275   237,143   94,551   438,969   .399   .851
2062   107,810   238,119   95,275   441,204   .400   .853
2063   108,336   239,079   96,030   443,445   .402   .855
2064   108,852   240,016   96,823   445,691   .403   .857
2065   109,355   240,929   97,653   447,938   .405   .859
2066   109,844   241,861   98,480   450,184   .407   .861
2067   110,316   242,844   99,267   452,427   .409   .863
2068   110,772   243,823   100,071   454,666   .410   .865
2069   111,210   244,794   100,896   456,901   .412   .866
2070   111,631   245,765   101,733   459,129   .414   .868
2071   112,035   246,705   102,612   461,352   .416   .870
2072   112,425   247,604   103,538   463,568   .418   .872
2073   112,804   248,523   104,450   465,777   .420   .874
2074   113,174   249,561   105,244   467,979   .422   .875
2075   113,540   250,737   105,899   470,176   .422   .875
2076   113,906   252,015   106,446   472,367   .422   .874
2077   114,275   253,357   106,921   474,554   .422   .873
2078   114,651   254,721   107,367   476,739   .422   .872
2079   115,036   256,089   107,797   478,923   .421   .870
2080   115,432   257,432   108,244   481,108   .420   .869
2081   115,841   258,715   108,741   483,296   .420   .868
2082   116,263   259,919   109,307   485,488   .421   .868
2083   116,698   261,046   109,942   487,686   .421   .868
2084   117,146   262,099   110,642   489,888   .422   .869
2085   117,605   263,085   111,404   492,095   .423   .870
2086   118,074   264,011   112,223   494,308   .425   .872
2087   118,550   264,885   113,091   496,526   .427   .874
2088   119,033   265,718   113,999   498,749   .429   .877
2089   119,518   266,546   114,913   500,977   .431   .880
2090   120,005   267,398   115,804   503,208   .433   .882

Low-cost:
2016   85,630   195,206   49,320   330,156   .253   .691
2017   86,255   196,408   50,895   333,558   .259   .698
2018   86,995   197,626   52,511   337,132   .266   .706
2019   87,813   198,825   54,187   340,825   .273   .714
2020   88,667   199,947   55,919   344,534   .280   .723
2021   89,600   200,973   57,678   348,251   .287   .733
2022   90,644   201,837   59,491   351,972   .295   .744
2023   91,728   202,672   61,282   355,683   .302   .755
2024   92,837   203,531   63,039   359,407   .310   .766
2025   93,942   204,348   64,816   363,106   .317   .777
2026   94,995   205,227   66,543   366,765   .324   .787
2027   95,985   206,216   68,178   370,380   .331   .796
2028   96,977   207,240   69,730   373,946   .336   .804
2029   98,079   208,193   71,186   377,458   .342   .813
2030   99,315   209,133   72,464   380,911   .346   .821
2031   100,644   210,147   73,511   384,303   .350   .829
2032   102,026   211,204   74,399   387,629   .352   .835
2033   103,417   212,262   75,212   390,891   .354   .842
2034   104,806   213,258   76,025   394,089   .356   .848
2035   106,148   214,176   76,902   397,226   .359   .855
2036   107,394   215,206   77,706   400,305   .361   .860
2037   108,525   216,538   78,269   403,332   .361   .863
2038   109,545   218,159   78,609   406,313   .360   .862
2039   110,460   219,945   78,848   409,253   .358   .861
2040   111,278   221,815   79,068   412,161   .356   .858
2041   112,009   223,776   79,258   415,043   .354   .855
2042   112,663   225,758   79,487   417,908   .352   .851
2043   113,257   227,751   79,758   420,767   .350   .847
2044   113,824   229,733   80,072   423,628   .349   .844
2045   114,401   231,604   80,496   426,502   .348   .842
2046   115,010   233,443   80,943   429,396   .347   .839
2047   115,657   235,282   81,382   432,320   .346   .837
2048   116,346   237,129   81,809   435,284   .345   .836
2049   117,086   239,008   82,200   438,294   .344   .834
2050   117,880   240,838   82,638   441,356   .343   .833
2051   118,731   242,632   83,111   444,475   .343   .832
2052   119,640   244,409   83,604   447,653   .342   .832
2053   120,604   246,112   84,175   450,891   .342   .832
2054   121,619   247,712   84,855   454,186   .343   .834
2055   122,679   249,205   85,653   457,538   .344   .836
2056   123,777   250,661   86,502   460,940   .345   .839
2057   124,905   252,156   87,330   464,391   .346   .842
2058   126,055   253,711   88,118   467,884   .347   .844
2059   127,219   255,339   88,856   471,414   .348   .846
2060   128,391   257,024   89,562   474,977   .348   .848
2061   129,563   258,748   90,256   478,568   .349   .850
2062   130,730   260,505   90,946   482,181   .349   .851
2063   131,884   262,265   91,665   485,813   .350   .852
2064   133,019   264,022   92,419   489,460   .350   .854
2065   134,132   265,779   93,208   493,119   .351   .855
2066   135,218   267,581   93,989   496,788   .351   .857
2067   136,274   269,461   94,730   500,465   .352   .857
2068   137,300   271,369   95,483   504,151   .352   .858
2069   138,293   273,300   96,253   507,846   .352   .858
2070   139,256   275,263   97,031   511,550   .353   .858
2071   140,192   277,228   97,846   515,266   .353   .859
2072   141,103   279,187   98,703   518,993   .354   .859
2073   141,995   281,197   99,543   522,736   .354   .859
2074   142,874   283,354   100,265   526,494   .354   .858
2075   143,747   285,674   100,849   530,270   .353   .856
2076   144,621   288,120   101,327   534,069   .352   .854
2077   145,502   290,654   101,734   537,890   .350   .851
2078   146,396   293,230   102,113   541,739   .348   .847
2079   147,309   295,831   102,476   545,616   .346   .844
2080   148,245   298,408   102,869   549,523   .345   .842
2081   149,207   300,914   103,342   553,463   .343   .839
2082   150,197   303,324   103,915   557,436   .343   .838
2083   151,216   305,638   104,590   561,443   .342   .837
2084   152,261   307,857   105,364   565,482   .342   .837
2085   153,333   309,988   106,232   569,554   .343   .837
2086   154,427   312,038   107,192   573,657   .344   .838
2087   155,541   314,014   108,234   577,790   .345   .840
2088   156,671   315,929   109,351   581,951   .346   .842
2089   157,811   317,811   110,516   586,139   .348   .844
2090   158,959   319,693   111,699   590,351   .349   .847

High-cost:
2016   85,180   194,671   49,410   329,260   .254   .691
2017   85,293   195,252   51,060   331,605   .262   .698
2018   85,384   195,719   52,767   333,869   .270   .706
2019   85,455   196,097   54,549   336,101   .278   .714
2020   85,533   196,457   56,404   338,393   .287   .722
2021   85,671   196,816   58,302   340,789   .296   .732
2022   85,899   197,108   60,271   343,277   .306   .742
2023   86,124   197,438   62,233   345,795   .315   .751
2024   86,301   197,793   64,174   348,268   .324   .761
2025   86,427   198,104   66,151   350,682   .334   .770
2026   86,464   198,478   68,092   353,034   .343   .779
2027   86,405   198,963   69,953   355,322   .352   .786
2028   86,314   199,483   71,744   357,541   .360   .792
2029   86,302   199,935   73,452   359,689   .367   .799
2030   86,390   200,376   74,993   361,760   .374   .805
2031   86,542   200,897   76,312   363,750   .380   .811
2032   86,717   201,463   77,478   365,657   .385   .815
2033   86,884   202,031   78,578   367,493   .389   .819
2034   87,046   202,539   79,685   369,270   .393   .823
2035   87,190   202,934   80,865   370,988   .398   .828
2036   87,301   203,372   81,975   372,648   .403   .832
2037   87,362   204,044   82,842   374,249   .406   .834
2038   87,377   204,932   83,482   375,792   .407   .834
2039   87,353   205,910   84,018   377,280   .408   .832
2040   87,293   206,890   84,529   378,713   .409   .830
2041   87,204   207,884   85,004   380,092   .409   .828
2042   87,090   208,820   85,511   381,421   .409   .827
2043   86,961   209,691   86,051   382,703   .410   .825
2044   86,837   210,482   86,624   383,943   .412   .824
2045   86,731   211,116   87,297   385,144   .414   .824
2046   86,645   211,686   87,979   386,310   .416   .825
2047   86,580   212,230   88,637   387,446   .418   .826
2048   86,538   212,756   89,266   388,560   .420   .826
2049   86,523   213,293   89,839   389,655   .421   .827
2050   86,536   213,757   90,444   390,737   .423   .828
2051   86,579   214,164   91,067   391,809   .425   .829
2052   86,653   214,532   91,691   392,875   .427   .831
2053   86,743   214,816   92,379   393,938   .430   .834
2054   86,833   215,001   93,162   394,996   .433   .837
2055   86,922   215,078   94,053   396,054   .437   .841
2056   87,010   215,116   94,983   397,109   .442   .846
2057   87,093   215,190   95,880   398,164   .446   .850
2058   87,172   215,319   96,727   399,218   .449   .854
2059   87,245   215,512   97,514   400,271   .452   .857
2060   87,314   215,747   98,263   401,323   .455   .860
2061   87,376   215,999   98,999   402,374   .458   .863
2062   87,434   216,259   99,730   403,422   .461   .865
2063   87,484   216,487   100,493   404,465   .464   .868
2064   87,528   216,674   101,297   405,500   .468   .871
2065   87,566   216,819   102,143   406,527   .471   .875
2066   87,596   216,961   102,987   407,544   .475   .878
2067   87,619   217,133   103,795   408,548   .478   .882
2068   87,635   217,279   104,625   409,538   .482   .885
2069   87,643   217,391   105,480   410,514   .485   .888
2070   87,645   217,476   106,352   411,473   .489   .892
2071   87,641   217,503   107,272   412,417   .493   .896
2072   87,633   217,463   108,245   413,341   .498   .901
2073   87,622   217,417   109,208   414,247   .502   .905
2074   87,609   217,468   110,053   415,131   .506   .909
2075   87,597   217,638   110,760   415,994   .509   .911
2076   87,586   217,891   111,358   416,835   .511   .913
2077   87,580   218,191   111,884   417,655   .513   .914
2078   87,578   218,495   112,381   418,454   .514   .915
2079   87,584   218,787   112,862   419,233   .516   .916
2080   87,596   219,055   113,343   419,994   .517   .917
2081   87,616   219,282   113,841   420,739   .519   .919
2082   87,643   219,454   114,369   421,466   .521   .921
2083   87,678   219,575   114,927   422,180   .523   .923
2084   87,719   219,653   115,507   422,879   .526   .925
2085   87,765   219,694   116,105   423,564   .528   .928
2086   87,814   219,704   116,719   424,237   .531   .931
2087   87,866   219,688   117,343   424,897   .534   .934
2088   87,920   219,655   117,971   425,545   .537   .937
2089   87,973   219,623   118,585   426,181   .540   .941
2090   88,025   219,606   119,175   426,805   .543   .944
a Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over to the population at ages 20-64.
b Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over and the population under age 20 to the population at ages 20-64.
c Estimated.
d Estimated, intermediate alternative.

Notes:
1. Historical data are subject to revision.
2. Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components.