Single-Year Tables | Historical Data | Intermediate Assumptions | Low-Cost Assumptions | High-Cost Assumptions |
Percentage of GDP | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OASDI | HI | Combined | ||||||||||||||||||
Calendar year |
In- come a |
Cost b | Bal- ance b |
In- come a |
Cost | Bal- ance |
In- come a |
Cost b | Bal- ance b |
GDP in dollars (billions) |
||||||||||
Historical: |
||||||||||||||||||||
1970 | 3.27 | 3.08 | 0.19 | 0.53 | 0.50 | 0.03 | 3.80 | 3.58 | 0.22 | 1,076 | ||||||||||
1971 | 3.33 | 3.30 | .03 | .47 | .52 | -.05 | 3.80 | 3.82 | -.02 | 1,168 | ||||||||||
1972 | 3.39 | 3.37 | .01 | .47 | .52 | -.05 | 3.85 | 3.90 | -.04 | 1,282 | ||||||||||
1973 | 3.67 | 3.72 | -.05 | .79 | .52 | .27 | 4.46 | 4.24 | .22 | 1,429 | ||||||||||
1974 | 3.84 | 3.91 | -.08 | .75 | .62 | .13 | 4.59 | 4.53 | .05 | 1,549 | ||||||||||
1975 | 3.84 | 4.10 | -.26 | .73 | .71 | .02 | 4.56 | 4.80 | -.24 | 1,689 | ||||||||||
1976 | 3.85 | 4.17 | -.32 | .69 | .73 | -.04 | 4.54 | 4.90 | -.36 | 1,878 | ||||||||||
1977 | 3.81 | 4.18 | -.37 | .72 | .76 | -.04 | 4.53 | 4.94 | -.41 | 2,086 | ||||||||||
1978 | 3.80 | 4.07 | -.27 | .79 | .79 | c | 4.59 | 4.86 | -.27 | 2,357 | ||||||||||
1979 | 3.94 | 4.08 | -.14 | .86 | .82 | .04 | 4.80 | 4.90 | -.09 | 2,632 | ||||||||||
1980 | 4.10 | 4.32 | -.22 | .87 | .91 | -.04 | 4.97 | 5.22 | -.26 | 2,862 | ||||||||||
1981 | 4.37 | 4.50 | -.13 | 1.05 | .97 | .08 | 5.41 | 5.47 | -.05 | 3,211 | ||||||||||
1982 | 4.38 | 4.79 | -.41 | 1.06 | 1.08 | -.02 | 5.44 | 5.87 | -.43 | 3,345 | ||||||||||
1983 | 4.48 | 4.71 | -.23 | 1.12 | 1.11 | .01 | 5.60 | 5.82 | -.21 | 3,638 | ||||||||||
1984 | 4.53 | 4.47 | .07 | 1.09 | 1.12 | -.03 | 5.63 | 5.59 | .04 | 4,041 | ||||||||||
1985 | 4.62 | 4.39 | .23 | 1.13 | 1.11 | .02 | 5.75 | 5.50 | .25 | 4,347 | ||||||||||
1986 | 4.64 | 4.39 | .25 | 1.22 | 1.09 | .13 | 5.86 | 5.48 | .38 | 4,590 | ||||||||||
1987 | 4.63 | 4.29 | .34 | 1.22 | 1.07 | .15 | 5.85 | 5.36 | .49 | 4,870 | ||||||||||
1988 | 4.86 | 4.24 | .62 | 1.21 | 1.02 | .20 | 6.07 | 5.25 | .82 | 5,253 | ||||||||||
1989 | 4.89 | 4.18 | .72 | 1.20 | 1.09 | .12 | 6.10 | 5.26 | .83 | 5,658 | ||||||||||
1990 | 4.99 | 4.23 | .75 | 1.20 | 1.12 | .08 | 6.19 | 5.35 | .84 | 5,980 | ||||||||||
1991 | 4.99 | 4.44 | .54 | 1.30 | 1.19 | .11 | 6.28 | 5.63 | .65 | 6,174 | ||||||||||
1992 | 4.85 | 4.46 | .39 | 1.29 | 1.30 | c | 6.15 | 5.76 | .39 | 6,539 | ||||||||||
1993 | 4.76 | 4.49 | .28 | 1.28 | 1.38 | -.11 | 6.04 | 5.87 | .17 | 6,879 | ||||||||||
1994 | 4.79 | 4.42 | .37 | 1.40 | 1.47 | -.08 | 6.18 | 5.89 | .29 | 7,309 | ||||||||||
1995 | 4.76 | 4.43 | .32 | 1.41 | 1.55 | -.14 | 6.17 | 5.98 | .18 | 7,664 | ||||||||||
1996 | 4.76 | 4.36 | .40 | 1.41 | 1.59 | -.18 | 6.17 | 5.96 | .21 | 8,100 | ||||||||||
1997 | 4.81 | 4.29 | .52 | 1.43 | 1.59 | -.17 | 6.24 | 5.88 | .35 | 8,609 | ||||||||||
1998 | 4.84 | 4.21 | .63 | 1.47 | 1.45 | .02 | 6.31 | 5.66 | .65 | 9,089 | ||||||||||
1999 | 4.88 | 4.07 | .81 | 1.49 | 1.35 | .14 | 6.37 | 5.42 | .95 | 9,661 | ||||||||||
2000 | 4.90 | 4.04 | .86 | 1.52 | 1.29 | .22 | 6.42 | 5.33 | 1.09 | 10,285 | ||||||||||
2001 | 4.98 | 4.13 | .85 | 1.50 | 1.37 | .13 | 6.48 | 5.50 | .98 | 10,622 | ||||||||||
2002 | 4.98 | 4.21 | .77 | 1.45 | 1.40 | .05 | 6.43 | 5.61 | .83 | 10,978 | ||||||||||
2003 | 4.75 | 4.16 | .59 | 1.43 | 1.39 | .04 | 6.18 | 5.55 | .63 | 11,511 | ||||||||||
2004 | 4.63 | 4.09 | .55 | 1.42 | 1.41 | .02 | 6.06 | 5.49 | .56 | 12,275 | ||||||||||
2005 | 4.64 | 4.05 | .59 | 1.41 | 1.43 | -.02 | 6.05 | 5.48 | .57 | 13,094 | ||||||||||
2006 | 4.64 | 4.01 | .63 | 1.42 | 1.43 | -.01 | 6.05 | 5.44 | .61 | 13,856 | ||||||||||
2007 | 4.66 | 4.11 | .55 | 1.44 | 1.45 | -.01 | 6.10 | 5.55 | .54 | 14,478 | ||||||||||
2008 | 4.68 | 4.25 | .43 | 1.44 | 1.53 | -.09 | 6.12 | 5.78 | .34 | 14,719 | ||||||||||
2009 | 4.78 | 4.76 | .02 | 1.42 | 1.66 | -.24 | 6.20 | 6.42 | -.22 | 14,419 | ||||||||||
2010 | 4.43 | 4.76 | -.33 | 1.40 | 1.64 | -.24 | 5.84 | 6.40 | -.57 | 14,964 | ||||||||||
2011 | 4.45 | 4.74 | -.29 | 1.41 | 1.66 | -.25 | 5.86 | 6.40 | -.54 | 15,518 | ||||||||||
2012 | 4.53 | 4.86 | -.34 | 1.43 | 1.63 | -.20 | 5.96 | 6.50 | -.54 | 16,155 | ||||||||||
2013 | 4.51 | 4.94 | -.42 | 1.46 | 1.62 | -.16 | 5.98 | 6.56 | -.58 | 16,663 | ||||||||||
2014 | 4.53 | 4.95 | -.42 | 1.48 | 1.56 | -.08 | 6.01 | 6.51 | -.50 | 17,348 | ||||||||||
2015 | 4.60 | 5.00 | -.39 | 1.50 | 1.54 | -.04 | 6.10 | 6.53 | -.43 | 17,956 | ||||||||||
Intermediate: |
||||||||||||||||||||
2016 | 4.59 | 4.98 | -0.39 | 1.51 | 1.54 | -0.03 | 6.09 | 6.52 | -0.43 | 18,659 | ||||||||||
2017 | 4.62 | 4.91 | -.29 | 1.52 | 1.54 | -.01 | 6.14 | 6.44 | -.30 | 19,677 | ||||||||||
2018 | 4.65 | 4.98 | -.32 | 1.54 | 1.54 | c | 6.19 | 6.52 | -.32 | 20,745 | ||||||||||
2019 | 4.68 | 5.05 | -.37 | 1.55 | 1.56 | c | 6.23 | 6.60 | -.37 | 21,836 | ||||||||||
2020 | 4.70 | 5.12 | -.42 | 1.57 | 1.59 | -.02 | 6.27 | 6.70 | -.44 | 22,948 | ||||||||||
2021 | 4.72 | 5.18 | -.46 | 1.58 | 1.62 | -.04 | 6.30 | 6.80 | -.50 | 24,081 | ||||||||||
2022 | 4.75 | 5.28 | -.53 | 1.59 | 1.65 | -.06 | 6.34 | 6.93 | -.59 | 25,204 | ||||||||||
2023 | 4.77 | 5.39 | -.62 | 1.60 | 1.69 | -.09 | 6.37 | 7.08 | -.71 | 26,327 | ||||||||||
2024 | 4.79 | 5.50 | -.71 | 1.62 | 1.73 | -.11 | 6.41 | 7.22 | -.82 | 27,499 | ||||||||||
2025 | 4.81 | 5.60 | -.80 | 1.63 | 1.75 | -.13 | 6.43 | 7.36 | -.92 | 28,719 | ||||||||||
2026 | 4.81 | 5.67 | -.86 | 1.63 | 1.82 | -.19 | 6.44 | 7.49 | -1.05 | 30,009 | ||||||||||
2027 | 4.81 | 5.73 | -.92 | 1.64 | 1.86 | -.22 | 6.45 | 7.58 | -1.13 | 31,353 | ||||||||||
2028 | 4.81 | 5.78 | -.97 | 1.65 | 1.89 | -.24 | 6.46 | 7.67 | -1.21 | 32,741 | ||||||||||
2029 | 4.81 | 5.83 | -1.02 | 1.65 | 1.92 | -.27 | 6.46 | 7.75 | -1.29 | 34,179 | ||||||||||
2030 | 4.81 | 5.87 | -1.07 | 1.66 | 1.94 | -.28 | 6.47 | 7.81 | -1.35 | 35,680 | ||||||||||
2031 | 4.80 | 5.91 | -1.10 | 1.67 | 1.97 | -.31 | 6.47 | 7.88 | -1.41 | 37,238 | ||||||||||
2032 | 4.80 | 5.94 | -1.14 | 1.67 | 2.00 | -.33 | 6.47 | 7.94 | -1.47 | 38,859 | ||||||||||
2033 | 4.80 | 5.96 | -1.16 | 1.68 | 2.03 | -.35 | 6.47 | 7.99 | -1.52 | 40,557 | ||||||||||
2034 | 4.80 | 5.98 | -1.18 | 1.68 | 2.05 | -.37 | 6.48 | 8.03 | -1.55 | 42,330 | ||||||||||
2035 | 4.79 | 5.98 | -1.19 | 1.68 | 2.08 | -.40 | 6.48 | 8.06 | -1.58 | 44,187 | ||||||||||
2036 | 4.79 | 6.00 | -1.21 | 1.69 | 2.10 | -.41 | 6.48 | 8.10 | -1.62 | 46,118 | ||||||||||
2037 | 4.79 | 6.01 | -1.22 | 1.69 | 2.12 | -.43 | 6.48 | 8.13 | -1.65 | 48,150 | ||||||||||
2038 | 4.78 | 6.01 | -1.22 | 1.70 | 2.14 | -.44 | 6.48 | 8.14 | -1.66 | 50,295 | ||||||||||
2039 | 4.78 | 6.00 | -1.22 | 1.70 | 2.15 | -.45 | 6.48 | 8.15 | -1.67 | 52,536 | ||||||||||
2040 | 4.78 | 5.99 | -1.21 | 1.71 | 2.16 | -.45 | 6.48 | 8.15 | -1.67 | 54,881 | ||||||||||
2041 | 4.77 | 5.97 | -1.20 | 1.71 | 2.17 | -.46 | 6.48 | 8.15 | -1.66 | 57,338 | ||||||||||
2042 | 4.77 | 5.96 | -1.19 | 1.71 | 2.18 | -.47 | 6.48 | 8.14 | -1.66 | 59,901 | ||||||||||
2043 | 4.77 | 5.94 | -1.18 | 1.72 | 2.19 | -.47 | 6.49 | 8.13 | -1.65 | 62,592 | ||||||||||
2044 | 4.76 | 5.93 | -1.17 | 1.72 | 2.19 | -.47 | 6.49 | 8.12 | -1.63 | 65,402 | ||||||||||
2045 | 4.76 | 5.92 | -1.16 | 1.73 | 2.20 | -.47 | 6.49 | 8.12 | -1.63 | 68,304 | ||||||||||
2046 | 4.76 | 5.91 | -1.15 | 1.73 | 2.20 | -.47 | 6.49 | 8.11 | -1.62 | 71,346 | ||||||||||
2047 | 4.76 | 5.90 | -1.14 | 1.74 | 2.20 | -.46 | 6.49 | 8.10 | -1.60 | 74,512 | ||||||||||
2048 | 4.76 | 5.89 | -1.13 | 1.74 | 2.20 | -.46 | 6.50 | 8.09 | -1.59 | 77,804 | ||||||||||
2049 | 4.75 | 5.88 | -1.13 | 1.75 | 2.20 | -.45 | 6.50 | 8.08 | -1.58 | 81,238 | ||||||||||
2050 | 4.75 | 5.87 | -1.12 | 1.75 | 2.20 | -.44 | 6.50 | 8.07 | -1.57 | 84,817 | ||||||||||
2051 | 4.75 | 5.87 | -1.12 | 1.76 | 2.19 | -.44 | 6.51 | 8.06 | -1.56 | 88,537 | ||||||||||
2052 | 4.75 | 5.87 | -1.13 | 1.76 | 2.19 | -.43 | 6.51 | 8.06 | -1.55 | 92,414 | ||||||||||
2053 | 4.75 | 5.88 | -1.13 | 1.77 | 2.18 | -.41 | 6.51 | 8.06 | -1.55 | 96,452 | ||||||||||
2054 | 4.75 | 5.89 | -1.14 | 1.77 | 2.18 | -.40 | 6.52 | 8.06 | -1.55 | 100,654 | ||||||||||
2055 | 4.74 | 5.90 | -1.15 | 1.78 | 2.18 | -.40 | 6.52 | 8.07 | -1.55 | 105,031 | ||||||||||
2056 | 4.74 | 5.91 | -1.17 | 1.78 | 2.17 | -.39 | 6.53 | 8.08 | -1.56 | 109,587 | ||||||||||
2057 | 4.74 | 5.92 | -1.18 | 1.79 | 2.17 | -.38 | 6.53 | 8.10 | -1.57 | 114,331 | ||||||||||
2058 | 4.74 | 5.94 | -1.20 | 1.79 | 2.17 | -.38 | 6.53 | 8.11 | -1.57 | 119,279 | ||||||||||
2059 | 4.74 | 5.95 | -1.21 | 1.80 | 2.17 | -.37 | 6.54 | 8.12 | -1.58 | 124,435 | ||||||||||
2060 | 4.74 | 5.97 | -1.23 | 1.81 | 2.17 | -.36 | 6.54 | 8.13 | -1.59 | 129,808 | ||||||||||
2061 | 4.73 | 5.98 | -1.25 | 1.81 | 2.17 | -.36 | 6.54 | 8.15 | -1.60 | 135,413 | ||||||||||
2062 | 4.73 | 5.99 | -1.26 | 1.82 | 2.17 | -.35 | 6.55 | 8.16 | -1.62 | 141,264 | ||||||||||
2063 | 4.73 | 6.01 | -1.28 | 1.82 | 2.17 | -.35 | 6.55 | 8.18 | -1.63 | 147,373 | ||||||||||
2064 | 4.73 | 6.02 | -1.29 | 1.83 | 2.18 | -.35 | 6.55 | 8.19 | -1.64 | 153,755 | ||||||||||
2065 | 4.72 | 6.03 | -1.31 | 1.83 | 2.18 | -.35 | 6.55 | 8.21 | -1.66 | 160,417 | ||||||||||
2066 | 4.72 | 6.04 | -1.32 | 1.83 | 2.19 | -.35 | 6.55 | 8.23 | -1.68 | 167,373 | ||||||||||
2067 | 4.72 | 6.06 | -1.34 | 1.84 | 2.19 | -.35 | 6.56 | 8.25 | -1.69 | 174,635 | ||||||||||
2068 | 4.71 | 6.07 | -1.36 | 1.84 | 2.20 | -.36 | 6.56 | 8.27 | -1.71 | 182,214 | ||||||||||
2069 | 4.71 | 6.08 | -1.37 | 1.85 | 2.20 | -.36 | 6.56 | 8.29 | -1.73 | 190,124 | ||||||||||
2070 | 4.71 | 6.09 | -1.39 | 1.85 | 2.21 | -.36 | 6.56 | 8.30 | -1.75 | 198,390 | ||||||||||
2071 | 4.70 | 6.10 | -1.40 | 1.86 | 2.22 | -.36 | 6.56 | 8.32 | -1.76 | 207,026 | ||||||||||
2072 | 4.70 | 6.11 | -1.41 | 1.86 | 2.22 | -.36 | 6.56 | 8.34 | -1.78 | 216,047 | ||||||||||
2073 | 4.70 | 6.12 | -1.42 | 1.86 | 2.23 | -.36 | 6.56 | 8.35 | -1.79 | 225,462 | ||||||||||
2074 | 4.69 | 6.12 | -1.43 | 1.87 | 2.23 | -.37 | 6.56 | 8.36 | -1.80 | 235,288 | ||||||||||
2075 | 4.69 | 6.13 | -1.44 | 1.87 | 2.23 | -.37 | 6.56 | 8.36 | -1.80 | 245,548 | ||||||||||
2076 | 4.68 | 6.12 | -1.44 | 1.87 | 2.24 | -.37 | 6.56 | 8.36 | -1.81 | 256,255 | ||||||||||
2077 | 4.68 | 6.12 | -1.44 | 1.87 | 2.24 | -.36 | 6.55 | 8.36 | -1.80 | 267,422 | ||||||||||
2078 | 4.67 | 6.11 | -1.44 | 1.88 | 2.24 | -.36 | 6.55 | 8.35 | -1.80 | 279,069 | ||||||||||
2079 | 4.67 | 6.11 | -1.44 | 1.88 | 2.24 | -.36 | 6.55 | 8.34 | -1.79 | 291,226 | ||||||||||
2080 | 4.66 | 6.10 | -1.43 | 1.88 | 2.24 | -.35 | 6.54 | 8.33 | -1.79 | 303,911 | ||||||||||
2081 | 4.66 | 6.09 | -1.43 | 1.88 | 2.23 | -.35 | 6.54 | 8.32 | -1.78 | 317,131 | ||||||||||
2082 | 4.66 | 6.09 | -1.43 | 1.88 | 2.23 | -.35 | 6.54 | 8.32 | -1.78 | 330,903 | ||||||||||
2083 | 4.65 | 6.09 | -1.44 | 1.89 | 2.23 | -.34 | 6.54 | 8.31 | -1.78 | 345,243 | ||||||||||
2084 | 4.65 | 6.09 | -1.44 | 1.89 | 2.23 | -.34 | 6.54 | 8.31 | -1.78 | 360,174 | ||||||||||
2085 | 4.64 | 6.09 | -1.45 | 1.89 | 2.22 | -.33 | 6.54 | 8.32 | -1.78 | 375,722 | ||||||||||
2086 | 4.64 | 6.10 | -1.46 | 1.89 | 2.22 | -.33 | 6.54 | 8.32 | -1.79 | 391,918 | ||||||||||
2087 | 4.64 | 6.11 | -1.47 | 1.90 | 2.22 | -.32 | 6.54 | 8.33 | -1.79 | 408,793 | ||||||||||
2088 | 4.64 | 6.12 | -1.48 | 1.90 | 2.22 | -.32 | 6.54 | 8.34 | -1.80 | 426,374 | ||||||||||
2089 | 4.63 | 6.13 | -1.50 | 1.90 | 2.22 | -.31 | 6.54 | 8.35 | -1.81 | 444,693 | ||||||||||
2090 | 4.63 | 6.14 | -1.51 | 1.90 | 2.21 | -.31 | 6.54 | 8.36 | -1.82 | 463,784 | ||||||||||
Low-cost: |
||||||||||||||||||||
2016 | 4.57 | 4.92 | -.34 | 1.51 | 1.50 | c | 6.08 | 6.42 | -.34 | 18,843 | ||||||||||
2017 | 4.62 | 4.77 | -.15 | 1.52 | 1.46 | .06 | 6.14 | 6.23 | -.09 | 20,219 | ||||||||||
2018 | 4.66 | 4.79 | -.13 | 1.54 | 1.43 | .10 | 6.20 | 6.22 | -.02 | 21,655 | ||||||||||
2019 | 4.70 | 4.80 | -.11 | 1.55 | 1.42 | .13 | 6.25 | 6.22 | .02 | 23,097 | ||||||||||
2020 | 4.73 | 4.83 | -.10 | 1.56 | 1.42 | .14 | 6.29 | 6.25 | .04 | 24,560 | ||||||||||
2021 | 4.76 | 4.86 | -.10 | 1.57 | 1.42 | .15 | 6.33 | 6.28 | .05 | 26,035 | ||||||||||
2022 | 4.79 | 4.91 | -.12 | 1.58 | 1.42 | .16 | 6.37 | 6.33 | .04 | 27,550 | ||||||||||
2023 | 4.82 | 4.97 | -.15 | 1.59 | 1.42 | .16 | 6.41 | 6.40 | .01 | 29,135 | ||||||||||
2024 | 4.85 | 5.03 | -.18 | 1.60 | 1.42 | .18 | 6.45 | 6.46 | -.01 | 30,806 | ||||||||||
2025 | 4.87 | 5.09 | -.22 | 1.61 | 1.42 | .19 | 6.49 | 6.51 | -.02 | 32,556 | ||||||||||
2026 | 4.88 | 5.12 | -.24 | 1.62 | 1.45 | .17 | 6.50 | 6.57 | -.07 | 34,426 | ||||||||||
2027 | 4.88 | 5.14 | -.26 | 1.63 | 1.45 | .18 | 6.51 | 6.59 | -.08 | 36,395 | ||||||||||
2028 | 4.88 | 5.16 | -.28 | 1.64 | 1.44 | .19 | 6.52 | 6.60 | -.09 | 38,458 | ||||||||||
2029 | 4.88 | 5.18 | -.29 | 1.64 | 1.44 | .20 | 6.53 | 6.62 | -.09 | 40,625 | ||||||||||
2030 | 4.88 | 5.19 | -.31 | 1.65 | 1.43 | .22 | 6.53 | 6.62 | -.09 | 42,912 | ||||||||||
2031 | 4.88 | 5.20 | -.31 | 1.66 | 1.42 | .23 | 6.54 | 6.62 | -.08 | 45,320 | ||||||||||
2032 | 4.88 | 5.20 | -.32 | 1.66 | 1.42 | .25 | 6.55 | 6.62 | -.07 | 47,860 | ||||||||||
2033 | 4.88 | 5.20 | -.32 | 1.67 | 1.41 | .26 | 6.55 | 6.61 | -.06 | 50,554 | ||||||||||
2034 | 4.88 | 5.19 | -.31 | 1.68 | 1.40 | .28 | 6.56 | 6.59 | -.03 | 53,404 | ||||||||||
2035 | 4.88 | 5.17 | -.29 | 1.68 | 1.39 | .29 | 6.56 | 6.56 | c | 56,428 | ||||||||||
2036 | 4.88 | 5.16 | -.29 | 1.69 | 1.38 | .31 | 6.57 | 6.54 | .03 | 59,619 | ||||||||||
2037 | 4.88 | 5.15 | -.27 | 1.70 | 1.36 | .33 | 6.58 | 6.51 | .06 | 63,020 | ||||||||||
2038 | 4.88 | 5.13 | -.25 | 1.70 | 1.35 | .36 | 6.58 | 6.48 | .11 | 66,652 | ||||||||||
2039 | 4.88 | 5.10 | -.23 | 1.71 | 1.33 | .38 | 6.59 | 6.43 | .16 | 70,498 | ||||||||||
2040 | 4.88 | 5.08 | -.20 | 1.72 | 1.31 | .41 | 6.59 | 6.39 | .21 | 74,581 | ||||||||||
2041 | 4.88 | 5.04 | -.17 | 1.72 | 1.29 | .43 | 6.60 | 6.34 | .26 | 78,919 | ||||||||||
2042 | 4.88 | 5.02 | -.14 | 1.73 | 1.27 | .46 | 6.61 | 6.29 | .32 | 83,513 | ||||||||||
2043 | 4.88 | 4.99 | -.11 | 1.74 | 1.25 | .48 | 6.61 | 6.24 | .37 | 88,401 | ||||||||||
2044 | 4.88 | 4.96 | -.08 | 1.74 | 1.24 | .51 | 6.62 | 6.20 | .43 | 93,580 | ||||||||||
2045 | 4.88 | 4.94 | -.06 | 1.75 | 1.22 | .53 | 6.63 | 6.16 | .47 | 99,022 | ||||||||||
2046 | 4.88 | 4.92 | -.04 | 1.76 | 1.20 | .56 | 6.64 | 6.12 | .52 | 104,800 | ||||||||||
2047 | 4.88 | 4.90 | -.02 | 1.77 | 1.19 | .58 | 6.65 | 6.08 | .57 | 110,900 | ||||||||||
2048 | 4.88 | 4.88 | c | 1.77 | 1.17 | .60 | 6.66 | 6.05 | .61 | 117,336 | ||||||||||
2049 | 4.88 | 4.86 | .02 | 1.78 | 1.15 | .63 | 6.67 | 6.02 | .65 | 124,137 | ||||||||||
2050 | 4.89 | 4.85 | .04 | 1.79 | 1.14 | .65 | 6.68 | 5.99 | .69 | 131,321 | ||||||||||
2051 | 4.89 | 4.84 | .05 | 1.80 | 1.12 | .67 | 6.69 | 5.97 | .72 | 138,896 | ||||||||||
2052 | 4.89 | 4.84 | .05 | 1.80 | 1.11 | .69 | 6.70 | 5.95 | .75 | 146,897 | ||||||||||
2053 | 4.89 | 4.84 | .06 | 1.81 | 1.10 | .71 | 6.71 | 5.93 | .77 | 155,339 | ||||||||||
2054 | 4.90 | 4.84 | .06 | 1.82 | 1.09 | .73 | 6.72 | 5.93 | .79 | 164,243 | ||||||||||
2055 | 4.90 | 4.84 | .06 | 1.83 | 1.08 | .75 | 6.73 | 5.92 | .80 | 173,643 | ||||||||||
2056 | 4.90 | 4.85 | .05 | 1.84 | 1.07 | .76 | 6.74 | 5.92 | .82 | 183,565 | ||||||||||
2057 | 4.90 | 4.86 | .05 | 1.84 | 1.06 | .78 | 6.75 | 5.92 | .83 | 194,045 | ||||||||||
2058 | 4.91 | 4.87 | .04 | 1.85 | 1.06 | .79 | 6.76 | 5.92 | .83 | 205,124 | ||||||||||
2059 | 4.91 | 4.87 | .04 | 1.86 | 1.05 | .80 | 6.77 | 5.93 | .84 | 216,829 | ||||||||||
2060 | 4.91 | 4.88 | .03 | 1.86 | 1.05 | .82 | 6.78 | 5.93 | .85 | 229,200 | ||||||||||
2061 | 4.91 | 4.89 | .03 | 1.87 | 1.05 | .82 | 6.78 | 5.93 | .85 | 242,282 | ||||||||||
2062 | 4.92 | 4.89 | .03 | 1.88 | 1.05 | .83 | 6.79 | 5.94 | .86 | 256,127 | ||||||||||
2063 | 4.92 | 4.89 | .02 | 1.88 | 1.05 | .84 | 6.80 | 5.94 | .86 | 270,785 | ||||||||||
2064 | 4.92 | 4.90 | .02 | 1.89 | 1.05 | .84 | 6.81 | 5.95 | .86 | 286,314 | ||||||||||
2065 | 4.92 | 4.90 | .02 | 1.90 | 1.05 | .84 | 6.81 | 5.95 | .86 | 302,759 | ||||||||||
2066 | 4.92 | 4.90 | .02 | 1.90 | 1.06 | .84 | 6.82 | 5.96 | .86 | 320,173 | ||||||||||
2067 | 4.92 | 4.90 | .02 | 1.91 | 1.06 | .85 | 6.83 | 5.97 | .86 | 338,617 | ||||||||||
2068 | 4.92 | 4.91 | .02 | 1.91 | 1.06 | .85 | 6.83 | 5.97 | .86 | 358,151 | ||||||||||
2069 | 4.92 | 4.91 | .01 | 1.92 | 1.07 | .85 | 6.84 | 5.98 | .86 | 378,839 | ||||||||||
2070 | 4.92 | 4.91 | .01 | 1.92 | 1.07 | .85 | 6.85 | 5.98 | .86 | 400,758 | ||||||||||
2071 | 4.92 | 4.91 | .02 | 1.93 | 1.08 | .85 | 6.85 | 5.99 | .86 | 423,991 | ||||||||||
2072 | 4.93 | 4.91 | .02 | 1.93 | 1.08 | .85 | 6.86 | 5.99 | .87 | 448,604 | ||||||||||
2073 | 4.93 | 4.90 | .02 | 1.94 | 1.08 | .85 | 6.86 | 5.99 | .87 | 474,664 | ||||||||||
2074 | 4.93 | 4.89 | .03 | 1.94 | 1.09 | .85 | 6.87 | 5.98 | .88 | 502,266 | ||||||||||
2075 | 4.93 | 4.88 | .04 | 1.94 | 1.09 | .85 | 6.87 | 5.98 | .89 | 531,492 | ||||||||||
2076 | 4.93 | 4.87 | .05 | 1.95 | 1.09 | .85 | 6.87 | 5.97 | .91 | 562,426 | ||||||||||
2077 | 4.93 | 4.86 | .07 | 1.95 | 1.10 | .85 | 6.87 | 5.95 | .92 | 595,144 | ||||||||||
2078 | 4.92 | 4.84 | .08 | 1.95 | 1.10 | .86 | 6.88 | 5.94 | .94 | 629,745 | ||||||||||
2079 | 4.92 | 4.82 | .10 | 1.96 | 1.10 | .86 | 6.88 | 5.92 | .96 | 666,350 | ||||||||||
2080 | 4.92 | 4.81 | .12 | 1.96 | 1.10 | .86 | 6.88 | 5.91 | .98 | 705,051 | ||||||||||
2081 | 4.92 | 4.80 | .13 | 1.96 | 1.10 | .86 | 6.89 | 5.90 | .99 | 745,939 | ||||||||||
2082 | 4.92 | 4.79 | .14 | 1.96 | 1.10 | .87 | 6.89 | 5.89 | 1.00 | 789,105 | ||||||||||
2083 | 4.93 | 4.78 | .14 | 1.97 | 1.10 | .87 | 6.89 | 5.88 | 1.01 | 834,659 | ||||||||||
2084 | 4.93 | 4.78 | .14 | 1.97 | 1.10 | .87 | 6.90 | 5.88 | 1.02 | 882,730 | ||||||||||
2085 | 4.93 | 4.79 | .14 | 1.98 | 1.10 | .88 | 6.90 | 5.89 | 1.02 | 933,466 | ||||||||||
2086 | 4.93 | 4.80 | .13 | 1.98 | 1.10 | .88 | 6.91 | 5.90 | 1.01 | 987,012 | ||||||||||
2087 | 4.93 | 4.81 | .12 | 1.98 | 1.10 | .88 | 6.92 | 5.91 | 1.01 | 1,043,525 | ||||||||||
2088 | 4.93 | 4.82 | .11 | 1.99 | 1.10 | .89 | 6.92 | 5.92 | 1.00 | 1,103,186 | ||||||||||
2089 | 4.94 | 4.84 | .10 | 1.99 | 1.10 | .89 | 6.93 | 5.94 | .99 | 1,166,184 | ||||||||||
2090 | 4.94 | 4.85 | .09 | 2.00 | 1.10 | .90 | 6.94 | 5.96 | .98 | 1,232,721 | ||||||||||
High-cost: |
||||||||||||||||||||
2016 | 4.62 | 5.09 | -.47 | 1.51 | 1.60 | -.10 | 6.13 | 6.69 | -.56 | 18,299 | ||||||||||
2017 | 4.58 | 5.17 | -.59 | 1.52 | 1.64 | -.12 | 6.10 | 6.81 | -.71 | 18,757 | ||||||||||
2018 | 4.63 | 5.29 | -.65 | 1.54 | 1.68 | -.14 | 6.17 | 6.96 | -.79 | 19,490 | ||||||||||
2019 | 4.65 | 5.41 | -.76 | 1.56 | 1.73 | -.17 | 6.21 | 7.13 | -.93 | 20,275 | ||||||||||
2020 | 4.67 | 5.53 | -.86 | 1.57 | 1.79 | -.22 | 6.24 | 7.32 | -1.08 | 21,065 | ||||||||||
2021 | 4.69 | 5.64 | -.95 | 1.59 | 1.87 | -.28 | 6.28 | 7.51 | -1.23 | 21,862 | ||||||||||
2022 | 4.71 | 5.77 | -1.06 | 1.60 | 1.95 | -.35 | 6.31 | 7.72 | -1.41 | 22,670 | ||||||||||
2023 | 4.73 | 5.91 | -1.19 | 1.62 | 2.04 | -.42 | 6.35 | 7.95 | -1.60 | 23,483 | ||||||||||
2024 | 4.74 | 6.06 | -1.32 | 1.64 | 2.12 | -.48 | 6.38 | 8.17 | -1.80 | 24,309 | ||||||||||
2025 | 4.75 | 6.20 | -1.45 | 1.65 | 2.19 | -.54 | 6.40 | 8.39 | -1.99 | 25,140 | ||||||||||
2026 | 4.75 | 6.30 | -1.55 | 1.66 | 2.32 | -.67 | 6.41 | 8.62 | -2.22 | 25,982 | ||||||||||
2027 | 4.75 | 6.40 | -1.65 | 1.66 | 2.41 | -.75 | 6.41 | 8.81 | -2.40 | 26,830 | ||||||||||
2028 | 4.75 | 6.49 | -1.74 | 1.67 | 2.50 | -.83 | 6.42 | 8.99 | -2.57 | 27,691 | ||||||||||
2029 | 4.75 | 6.58 | -1.83 | 1.67 | 2.59 | -.91 | 6.42 | 9.16 | -2.74 | 28,570 | ||||||||||
2030 | 4.74 | 6.66 | -1.91 | 1.68 | 2.67 | -.99 | 6.42 | 9.33 | -2.90 | 29,477 | ||||||||||
2031 | 4.74 | 6.73 | -1.99 | 1.68 | 2.76 | -1.08 | 6.43 | 9.49 | -3.06 | 30,405 | ||||||||||
2032 | 4.74 | 6.79 | -2.06 | 1.69 | 2.86 | -1.17 | 6.43 | 9.65 | -3.22 | 31,358 | ||||||||||
2033 | 4.73 | 6.85 | -2.12 | 1.69 | 2.95 | -1.26 | 6.43 | 9.80 | -3.37 | 32,345 | ||||||||||
2034 | 4.73 | 6.89 | -2.17 | 1.70 | 3.04 | -1.35 | 6.43 | 9.94 | -3.51 | 33,361 | ||||||||||
2035 | 4.72 | 6.93 | -2.21 | 1.70 | 3.14 | -1.44 | 6.42 | 10.07 | -3.64 | 34,409 | ||||||||||
2036 | 4.72 | 6.98 | -2.26 | 1.71 | 3.23 | -1.53 | 6.42 | 10.21 | -3.79 | 35,479 | ||||||||||
2037 | 4.71 | 7.02 | -2.31 | 1.71 | 3.32 | -1.61 | 6.42 | 10.34 | -3.92 | 36,590 | ||||||||||
2038 | 4.71 | 7.05 | -2.34 | 1.71 | 3.41 | -1.70 | 6.42 | 10.46 | -4.04 | 37,748 | ||||||||||
2039 | 4.70 | 7.08 | -2.37 | 1.72 | 3.50 | -1.78 | 6.42 | 10.57 | -4.15 | 38,936 | ||||||||||
2040 | 4.70 | 7.09 | -2.40 | 1.72 | 3.59 | -1.87 | 6.42 | 10.68 | -4.27 | 40,162 | ||||||||||
2041 | 4.69 | 7.10 | -2.41 | 1.72 | 3.68 | -1.95 | 6.42 | 10.78 | -4.37 | 41,428 | ||||||||||
2042 | 4.69 | 7.12 | -2.43 | 1.73 | 3.76 | -2.03 | 6.41 | 10.88 | -4.46 | 42,728 | ||||||||||
2043 | 4.68 | 7.12 | -2.44 | 1.73 | 3.84 | -2.11 | 6.41 | 10.96 | -4.55 | 44,078 | ||||||||||
2044 | 4.68 | 7.13 | -2.46 | 1.73 | 3.91 | -2.18 | 6.41 | 11.04 | -4.64 | 45,468 | ||||||||||
2045 | 4.67 | 7.14 | -2.47 | 1.74 | 3.99 | -2.25 | 6.41 | 11.13 | -4.72 | 46,875 | ||||||||||
2046 | 4.67 | 7.15 | -2.49 | 1.74 | 4.05 | -2.32 | 6.40 | 11.20 | -4.80 | 48,332 | ||||||||||
2047 | 4.66 | 7.16 | -2.50 | 1.74 | 4.11 | -2.37 | 6.40 | 11.27 | -4.87 | 49,823 | ||||||||||
2048 | 4.65 | 7.16 | -2.51 | 1.74 | 4.16 | -2.42 | 6.40 | 11.33 | -4.93 | 51,347 | ||||||||||
2049 | 4.65 | 7.17 | -2.52 | 1.74 | 4.21 | -2.46 | 6.39 | 11.38 | -4.98 | 52,909 | ||||||||||
2050 | 4.64 | 7.18 | -2.54 | 1.75 | 4.25 | -2.51 | 6.39 | 11.43 | -5.04 | 54,511 | ||||||||||
2051 | 4.64 | 7.19 | -2.55 | 1.75 | 4.29 | -2.54 | 6.39 | 11.49 | -5.10 | 56,149 | ||||||||||
2052 | 4.64 | 7.21 | -2.57 | 1.75 | 4.33 | -2.57 | 6.39 | 11.54 | -5.15 | 57,832 | ||||||||||
2053 | 4.63 | 7.23 | -2.60 | 1.76 | 4.35 | -2.60 | 6.39 | 11.58 | -5.20 | 59,559 | ||||||||||
2054 | 4.63 | 7.25 | -2.62 | 1.76 | 4.38 | -2.62 | 6.38 | 11.63 | -5.25 | 61,330 | ||||||||||
2055 | 4.62 | 7.27 | -2.65 | 1.76 | 4.41 | -2.65 | 6.38 | 11.68 | -5.30 | 63,148 | ||||||||||
2056 | 4.62 | 7.30 | -2.68 | 1.76 | 4.44 | -2.67 | 6.38 | 11.73 | -5.36 | 65,012 | ||||||||||
2057 | 4.61 | 7.33 | -2.71 | 1.77 | 4.46 | -2.69 | 6.38 | 11.78 | -5.41 | 66,923 | ||||||||||
2058 | 4.61 | 7.35 | -2.75 | 1.77 | 4.48 | -2.71 | 6.38 | 11.83 | -5.45 | 68,889 | ||||||||||
2059 | 4.60 | 7.38 | -2.78 | 1.77 | 4.49 | -2.72 | 6.37 | 11.87 | -5.49 | 70,907 | ||||||||||
2060 | 4.60 | 7.41 | -2.81 | 1.78 | 4.50 | -2.73 | 6.37 | 11.91 | -5.54 | 72,980 | ||||||||||
2061 | 4.59 | 7.43 | -2.84 | 1.78 | 4.51 | -2.73 | 6.37 | 11.94 | -5.57 | 75,109 | ||||||||||
2062 | 4.58 | 7.46 | -2.87 | 1.78 | 4.52 | -2.74 | 6.37 | 11.98 | -5.62 | 77,299 | ||||||||||
2063 | 4.58 | 7.49 | -2.91 | 1.78 | 4.53 | -2.75 | 6.36 | 12.02 | -5.66 | 79,550 | ||||||||||
2064 | 4.57 | 7.51 | -2.94 | 1.79 | 4.54 | -2.75 | 6.36 | 12.05 | -5.69 | 81,867 | ||||||||||
2065 | 4.57 | 7.54 | -2.98 | 1.79 | 4.55 | -2.76 | 6.35 | 12.09 | -5.73 | 84,250 | ||||||||||
2066 | 4.56 | 7.57 | -3.01 | 1.79 | 4.55 | -2.76 | 6.35 | 12.12 | -5.77 | 86,700 | ||||||||||
2067 | 4.55 | 7.60 | -3.05 | 1.79 | 4.56 | -2.76 | 6.35 | 12.16 | -5.81 | 89,218 | ||||||||||
2068 | 4.55 | 7.63 | -3.09 | 1.80 | 4.56 | -2.77 | 6.34 | 12.20 | -5.85 | 91,802 | ||||||||||
2069 | 4.54 | 7.66 | -3.12 | 1.80 | 4.57 | -2.77 | 6.34 | 12.23 | -5.89 | 94,458 | ||||||||||
2070 | 4.53 | 7.69 | -3.16 | 1.80 | 4.58 | -2.77 | 6.34 | 12.27 | -5.94 | 97,193 | ||||||||||
2071 | 4.53 | 7.72 | -3.20 | 1.80 | 4.58 | -2.78 | 6.33 | 12.31 | -5.98 | 100,006 | ||||||||||
2072 | 4.52 | 7.75 | -3.23 | 1.81 | 4.59 | -2.78 | 6.33 | 12.34 | -6.01 | 102,903 | ||||||||||
2073 | 4.51 | 7.78 | -3.26 | 1.81 | 4.59 | -2.78 | 6.32 | 12.37 | -6.05 | 105,881 | ||||||||||
2074 | 4.51 | 7.80 | -3.29 | 1.81 | 4.60 | -2.78 | 6.32 | 12.40 | -6.08 | 108,942 | ||||||||||
2075 | 4.50 | 7.82 | -3.32 | 1.81 | 4.60 | -2.78 | 6.31 | 12.42 | -6.10 | 112,090 | ||||||||||
2076 | 4.49 | 7.84 | -3.35 | 1.82 | 4.60 | -2.78 | 6.31 | 12.43 | -6.13 | 115,323 | ||||||||||
2077 | 4.48 | 7.85 | -3.37 | 1.82 | 4.59 | -2.77 | 6.30 | 12.44 | -6.14 | 118,642 | ||||||||||
2078 | 4.48 | 7.86 | -3.39 | 1.82 | 4.59 | -2.77 | 6.29 | 12.45 | -6.15 | 122,053 | ||||||||||
2079 | 4.47 | 7.87 | -3.40 | 1.82 | 4.58 | -2.76 | 6.29 | 12.45 | -6.16 | 125,563 | ||||||||||
2080 | 4.46 | 7.88 | -3.42 | 1.82 | 4.57 | -2.75 | 6.28 | 12.44 | -6.16 | 129,172 | ||||||||||
2081 | 4.45 | 7.88 | -3.43 | 1.82 | 4.56 | -2.74 | 6.27 | 12.44 | -6.17 | 132,881 | ||||||||||
2082 | 4.44 | 7.89 | -3.45 | 1.82 | 4.55 | -2.72 | 6.27 | 12.44 | -6.17 | 136,689 | ||||||||||
2083 | 4.44 | 7.90 | -3.46 | 1.82 | 4.54 | -2.71 | 6.26 | 12.43 | -6.17 | 140,597 | ||||||||||
2084 | 4.43 | 7.91 | -3.48 | 1.82 | 4.52 | -2.70 | 6.25 | 12.43 | -6.18 | 144,609 | ||||||||||
2085 | 4.42 | 7.92 | -3.50 | 1.83 | 4.51 | -2.69 | 6.25 | 12.43 | -6.18 | 148,733 | ||||||||||
2086 | 4.41 | 7.93 | -3.51 | 1.83 | 4.50 | -2.68 | 6.24 | 12.43 | -6.19 | 152,970 | ||||||||||
2087 | 4.41 | 7.94 | -3.53 | 1.83 | 4.49 | -2.67 | 6.24 | 12.43 | -6.19 | 157,325 | ||||||||||
2088 | 4.40 | 7.95 | -3.54 | 1.83 | 4.49 | -2.66 | 6.23 | 12.43 | -6.20 | 161,803 | ||||||||||
2089 | 4.39 | 7.95 | -3.56 | 1.83 | 4.48 | -2.65 | 6.23 | 12.43 | -6.20 | 166,406 | ||||||||||
2090 | 4.39 | 7.96 | -3.57 | 1.83 | 4.47 | -2.63 | 6.22 | 12.43 | -6.21 | 171,138 |
a Income for individual years excludes interest on the trust funds.
b OASDI benefit payments which were scheduled to be paid on January 3 for some past and future years were actually paid on December 31 as required by the statutory provision for early delivery of benefit payments when the normal payment delivery date is a Saturday, Sunday, or legal public holiday. For comparability with the values for historical years and the projections in this report, all trust fund operations and asset reserves reflect the 12 months of benefits scheduled for payment each year.
c Between -0.005 and 0.005 percent of GDP.
Notes:
1. The Trustees show income and cost estimates generally on a cash basis for the OASDI program and on an incurred basis for the HI program.
2. Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components.