Immigration Assumptions — 2018 OASDI Trustees Report

Table V.A2.- Immigration Assumptions, ^a
Calendar Years 1940-2095
[in thousands]
Historical data:
Calendar year	LPR immigration				Other-than-LPR immigration ^b				Total net immigration
Calendar year	LPR in	Legal out	Adjustments of status ^c ^d	Net LPR	Other- than- LPR in	Other- than- LPR out	Adjustments of status ^c ^d	Net other- than- LPR	Total net immigration
1940	61	15	-	46	-	-	-	-	-
1941	40	10	-	30	-	-	-	-	-
1942	26	7	-	20	-	-	-	-	-
1943	26	7	-	20	-	-	-	-	-
1944	33	8	-	25	-	-	-	-	-
1945	73	18	-	55	-	-	-	-	-
1946	128	32	-	96	-	-	-	-	-
1947	159	40	-	119	-	-	-	-	-
1948	179	45	-	135	-	-	-	-	-
1949	219	55	-	164	-	-	-	-	-
1950	227	57	-	171	-	-	-	-	-
1951	236	59	-	177	-	-	-	-	-
1952	218	55	-	164	-	-	-	-	-
1953	189	47	-	142	-	-	-	-	-
1954	223	56	-	167	-	-	-	-	-
1955	280	70	-	210	-	-	-	-	-
1956	324	81	-	243	-	-	-	-	-
1957	290	73	-	218	-	-	-	-	-
1958	257	64	-	193	-	-	-	-	-
1959	263	66	-	197	-	-	-	-	-
1960	268	67	-	201	-	-	-	-	-
1961	278	69	-	208	-	-	-	-	-
1962	295	74	-	221	-	-	-	-	-
1963	252	75	47	224	-	-	47	-	-
1964	248	74	46	221	-	-	46	-	-
1965	261	77	49	232	-	-	49	-	-
1966	289	86	54	257	-	-	54	-	-
1967	307	102	101	306	-	-	101	-	-
1968	322	102	85	305	-	-	85	-	-
1969	319	91	47	274	-	-	47	-	-
1970	307	93	65	279	-	-	65	-	-
1971	296	94	81	283	-	-	81	-	-
1972	302	98	90	294	-	-	90	-	-
1973	334	99	63	297	-	-	63	-	-
1974	338	97	52	292	-	-	52	-	-
1975	340	98	53	294	-	-	53	-	-
1976	356	104	59	311	-	-	59	-	-
1977	421	123	70	369	-	-	70	-	-
1978	447	135	94	406	-	-	94	-	-
1979	353	107	74	320	-	-	74	-	-
1980	431	136	112	407	-	-	112	208	614
1981	467	145	113	435	-	-	113	219	654
1982	417	134	121	403	-	-	121	222	625
1983	432	137	116	411	-	-	116	240	651
1984	439	137	109	411	-	-	109	261	672
1985	458	144	119	432	-	-	119	264	696
1986	479	150	121	450	-	-	121	283	733
1987	474	153	136	458	-	-	136	285	743
1988	467	158	167	475	-	-	167	258	733
1989	499	155	123	466	-	-	123	294	760
1990	548	166	114	497	-	-	114	620	1,116
1991	594	181	129	542	-	-	129	617	1,159
1992	635	207	194	622	-	-	194	567	1,190
1993	649	216	217	649	-	-	217	560	1,209
1994	583	195	196	585	-	-	196	597	1,181
1995	511	192	255	575	-	-	255	557	1,132
1996	535	221	349	663	-	-	349	474	1,137
1997	468	190	293	570	-	-	293	546	1,117
1998	418	163	233	488	-	-	233	605	1,093
1999	451	173	243	520	1,288	419	243	626	1,146
2000	482	224	413	672	1,409	294	413	703	1,374
2001	517	265	542	794	1,358	113	542	703	1,497
2002	483	243	487	728	1,296	106	487	704	1,432
2003	414	192	354	575	1,170	111	354	705	1,280
2004	466	250	533	749	1,340	102	533	705	1,454
2005	561	290	597	869	1,822	84	597	1,141	2,010
2006	639	303	573	909	1,426	53	573	800	1,709
2007	584	267	482	800	926	373	482	71	871
2008	635	278	478	835	708	985	478	-755	79
2009	633	277	475	832	802	222	475	104	935
2010	622	262	426	786	678	203	426	50	835
2011	647	264	408	791	594	254	408	-69	722
2012	621	255	401	766	687	694	401	-407	359
2013	589	249	409	748	815	494	409	-88	660
2014	627	256	398	769	1,073	364	398	311	1,080
2015	689	271	395	813	1,082	324	395	364	1,177
2016	^e 776	^e 296	^e 408	^e 888	^f 1,450	^e 192	^e 408	^f 849	^f 1,737
2017	^f 700	^f 288	^f 450	^f 863	^f 1,450	^f 231	^f 450	^f 769	^f 1,632
Intermediate:
2018	650	275	450	825	1,550	247	450	853	1,678
2019	600	263	450	788	1,550	268	450	832	1,619
2020	600	263	450	788	1,450	290	450	710	1,498
2021	600	263	450	788	1,450	303	450	697	1,484
2022	600	263	450	788	1,350	314	450	586	1,373
2023	600	263	450	788	1,350	323	450	577	1,365
2024	600	263	450	788	1,350	330	450	570	1,357
2025	600	263	450	788	1,350	338	450	562	1,349
2026	600	263	450	788	1,350	344	450	556	1,343
2027	600	263	450	788	1,350	350	450	550	1,338
2028	600	263	450	788	1,350	356	450	544	1,332
2029	600	263	450	788	1,350	361	450	539	1,326
2030	600	263	450	788	1,350	367	450	533	1,321
2031	600	263	450	788	1,350	372	450	528	1,315
2032	600	263	450	788	1,350	377	450	523	1,310
2033	600	263	450	788	1,350	382	450	518	1,305
2034	600	263	450	788	1,350	388	450	512	1,300
2035	600	263	450	788	1,350	393	450	507	1,295
2036	600	263	450	788	1,350	398	450	502	1,290
2037	600	263	450	788	1,350	403	450	497	1,285
2038	600	263	450	788	1,350	407	450	493	1,280
2039	600	263	450	788	1,350	411	450	489	1,276
2040	600	263	450	788	1,350	415	450	485	1,272
2041	600	263	450	788	1,350	419	450	481	1,269
2042	600	263	450	788	1,350	422	450	478	1,266
2043	600	263	450	788	1,350	425	450	475	1,263
2044	600	263	450	788	1,350	428	450	472	1,260
2045	600	263	450	788	1,350	430	450	470	1,257
2046	600	263	450	788	1,350	433	450	467	1,255
2047	600	263	450	788	1,350	435	450	465	1,253
2048	600	263	450	788	1,350	437	450	463	1,251
2049	600	263	450	788	1,350	439	450	461	1,249
2050	600	263	450	788	1,350	441	450	459	1,247
2051	600	263	450	788	1,350	442	450	458	1,245
2052	600	263	450	788	1,350	444	450	456	1,244
2053	600	263	450	788	1,350	445	450	455	1,242
2054	600	263	450	788	1,350	447	450	453	1,241
2055	600	263	450	788	1,350	448	450	452	1,239
2056	600	263	450	788	1,350	450	450	450	1,238
2057	600	263	450	788	1,350	451	450	449	1,237
2058	600	263	450	788	1,350	452	450	448	1,235
2059	600	263	450	788	1,350	453	450	447	1,234
2060	600	263	450	788	1,350	454	450	446	1,233
2061	600	263	450	788	1,350	455	450	445	1,232
2062	600	263	450	788	1,350	456	450	444	1,231
2063	600	263	450	788	1,350	457	450	443	1,230
2064	600	263	450	788	1,350	458	450	442	1,229
2065	600	263	450	788	1,350	459	450	441	1,229
2066	600	263	450	788	1,350	460	450	440	1,228
2067	600	263	450	788	1,350	460	450	440	1,227
2068	600	263	450	788	1,350	461	450	439	1,226
2069	600	263	450	788	1,350	462	450	438	1,226
2070	600	263	450	788	1,350	462	450	438	1,225
2071	600	263	450	788	1,350	463	450	437	1,225
2072	600	263	450	788	1,350	464	450	436	1,224
2073	600	263	450	788	1,350	464	450	436	1,223
2074	600	263	450	788	1,350	465	450	435	1,223
2075	600	263	450	788	1,350	465	450	435	1,222
2076	600	263	450	788	1,350	465	450	435	1,222
2077	600	263	450	788	1,350	466	450	434	1,222
2078	600	263	450	788	1,350	466	450	434	1,221
2079	600	263	450	788	1,350	467	450	433	1,221
2080	600	263	450	788	1,350	467	450	433	1,221
2081	600	263	450	788	1,350	467	450	433	1,220
2082	600	263	450	788	1,350	467	450	433	1,220
2083	600	263	450	788	1,350	468	450	432	1,220
2084	600	263	450	788	1,350	468	450	432	1,220
2085	600	263	450	788	1,350	468	450	432	1,219
2086	600	263	450	788	1,350	468	450	432	1,219
2087	600	263	450	788	1,350	469	450	431	1,219
2088	600	263	450	788	1,350	469	450	431	1,219
2089	600	263	450	788	1,350	469	450	431	1,219
2090	600	263	450	788	1,350	469	450	431	1,218
2091	600	263	450	788	1,350	469	450	431	1,218
2092	600	263	450	788	1,350	469	450	431	1,218
2093	600	263	450	788	1,350	470	450	431	1,218
2094	600	263	450	788	1,350	470	450	430	1,218
2095	600	263	450	788	1,350	470	450	430	1,218
Low-cost:
2018	700	250	550	1,000	1,850	256	550	1,044	2,044
2019	700	250	550	1,000	1,850	282	550	1,018	2,018
2020	700	250	550	1,000	1,750	308	550	892	1,892
2021	700	250	550	1,000	1,750	326	550	874	1,874
2022	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	340	550	760	1,760
2023	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	352	550	748	1,748
2024	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	363	550	737	1,737
2025	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	373	550	727	1,727
2026	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	382	550	718	1,718
2027	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	390	550	710	1,710
2028	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	399	550	701	1,701
2029	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	407	550	693	1,693
2030	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	415	550	685	1,685
2031	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	422	550	678	1,678
2032	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	430	550	670	1,670
2033	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	437	550	663	1,663
2034	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	445	550	655	1,655
2035	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	452	550	648	1,648
2036	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	459	550	641	1,641
2037	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	466	550	634	1,634
2038	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	473	550	627	1,627
2039	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	479	550	621	1,621
2040	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	485	550	615	1,615
2041	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	490	550	610	1,610
2042	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	495	550	605	1,605
2043	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	499	550	601	1,601
2044	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	503	550	597	1,597
2045	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	507	550	593	1,593
2046	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	511	550	589	1,589
2047	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	515	550	585	1,585
2048	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	518	550	582	1,582
2049	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	521	550	579	1,579
2050	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	524	550	576	1,576
2051	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	527	550	573	1,573
2052	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	529	550	571	1,571
2053	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	532	550	568	1,568
2054	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	534	550	566	1,566
2055	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	537	550	563	1,563
2056	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	539	550	561	1,561
2057	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	541	550	559	1,559
2058	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	543	550	557	1,557
2059	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	544	550	556	1,556
2060	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	546	550	554	1,554
2061	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	548	550	552	1,552
2062	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	549	550	551	1,551
2063	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	551	550	549	1,549
2064	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	552	550	548	1,548
2065	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	553	550	547	1,547
2066	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	555	550	545	1,545
2067	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	556	550	544	1,544
2068	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	557	550	543	1,543
2069	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	558	550	542	1,542
2070	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	559	550	541	1,541
2071	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	560	550	540	1,540
2072	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	560	550	540	1,540
2073	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	561	550	539	1,539
2074	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	562	550	538	1,538
2075	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	563	550	537	1,537
2076	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	563	550	537	1,537
2077	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	564	550	536	1,536
2078	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	564	550	536	1,536
2079	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	565	550	535	1,535
2080	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	565	550	535	1,535
2081	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	566	550	534	1,534
2082	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	566	550	534	1,534
2083	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	566	550	534	1,534
2084	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	567	550	533	1,533
2085	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	567	550	533	1,533
2086	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	567	550	533	1,533
2087	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	567	550	533	1,533
2088	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	567	550	533	1,533
2089	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	568	550	532	1,532
2090	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	568	550	532	1,532
2091	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	568	550	532	1,532
2092	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	568	550	532	1,532
2093	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	568	550	532	1,532
2094	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	568	550	532	1,532
2095	700	250	550	1,000	1,650	569	550	531	1,531
High-cost:
2018	550	270	350	630	750	225	350	175	805
2019	500	255	350	595	750	231	350	169	764
2020	500	255	350	595	850	236	350	264	859
2021	500	255	350	595	950	239	350	361	956
2022	500	255	350	595	1,050	243	350	457	1,052
2023	500	255	350	595	1,050	251	350	449	1,044
2024	500	255	350	595	1,050	258	350	442	1,037
2025	500	255	350	595	1,050	266	350	434	1,029
2026	500	255	350	595	1,050	271	350	429	1,024
2027	500	255	350	595	1,050	276	350	424	1,019
2028	500	255	350	595	1,050	280	350	420	1,015
2029	500	255	350	595	1,050	283	350	417	1,012
2030	500	255	350	595	1,050	287	350	413	1,008
2031	500	255	350	595	1,050	291	350	409	1,004
2032	500	255	350	595	1,050	294	350	406	1,001
2033	500	255	350	595	1,050	298	350	402	997
2034	500	255	350	595	1,050	302	350	398	993
2035	500	255	350	595	1,050	306	350	394	989
2036	500	255	350	595	1,050	309	350	391	986
2037	500	255	350	595	1,050	313	350	387	982
2038	500	255	350	595	1,050	316	350	384	979
2039	500	255	350	595	1,050	319	350	381	976
2040	500	255	350	595	1,050	322	350	378	973
2041	500	255	350	595	1,050	325	350	375	970
2042	500	255	350	595	1,050	328	350	372	967
2043	500	255	350	595	1,050	330	350	370	965
2044	500	255	350	595	1,050	332	350	368	963
2045	500	255	350	595	1,050	335	350	365	960
2046	500	255	350	595	1,050	337	350	363	958
2047	500	255	350	595	1,050	338	350	362	957
2048	500	255	350	595	1,050	340	350	360	955
2049	500	255	350	595	1,050	342	350	358	953
2050	500	255	350	595	1,050	343	350	357	952
2051	500	255	350	595	1,050	344	350	356	951
2052	500	255	350	595	1,050	346	350	354	949
2053	500	255	350	595	1,050	347	350	353	948
2054	500	255	350	595	1,050	348	350	352	947
2055	500	255	350	595	1,050	349	350	351	946
2056	500	255	350	595	1,050	350	350	350	945
2057	500	255	350	595	1,050	351	350	349	944
2058	500	255	350	595	1,050	352	350	348	943
2059	500	255	350	595	1,050	353	350	347	942
2060	500	255	350	595	1,050	354	350	346	941
2061	500	255	350	595	1,050	355	350	345	940
2062	500	255	350	595	1,050	356	350	344	939
2063	500	255	350	595	1,050	357	350	343	938
2064	500	255	350	595	1,050	357	350	343	938
2065	500	255	350	595	1,050	358	350	342	937
2066	500	255	350	595	1,050	359	350	341	936
2067	500	255	350	595	1,050	359	350	341	936
2068	500	255	350	595	1,050	360	350	340	935
2069	500	255	350	595	1,050	360	350	340	935
2070	500	255	350	595	1,050	361	350	339	934
2071	500	255	350	595	1,050	361	350	339	934
2072	500	255	350	595	1,050	362	350	338	933
2073	500	255	350	595	1,050	363	350	337	932
2074	500	255	350	595	1,050	363	350	337	932
2075	500	255	350	595	1,050	363	350	337	932
2076	500	255	350	595	1,050	364	350	336	931
2077	500	255	350	595	1,050	364	350	336	931
2078	500	255	350	595	1,050	365	350	335	930
2079	500	255	350	595	1,050	365	350	335	930
2080	500	255	350	595	1,050	365	350	335	930
2081	500	255	350	595	1,050	366	350	334	929
2082	500	255	350	595	1,050	366	350	334	929
2083	500	255	350	595	1,050	366	350	334	929
2084	500	255	350	595	1,050	367	350	333	928
2085	500	255	350	595	1,050	367	350	333	928
2086	500	255	350	595	1,050	367	350	333	928
2087	500	255	350	595	1,050	367	350	333	928
2088	500	255	350	595	1,050	367	350	333	928
2089	500	255	350	595	1,050	368	350	332	927
2090	500	255	350	595	1,050	368	350	332	927
2091	500	255	350	595	1,050	368	350	332	927
2092	500	255	350	595	1,050	368	350	332	927
2093	500	255	350	595	1,050	368	350	332	927
2094	500	255	350	595	1,050	368	350	332	927
2095	500	255	350	595	1,050	369	350	331	926

^a This table contains basic assumptions along with key summary values that are derived from basic assumptions.
^b Historical other-than-LPR immigration and emigration estimates depend on a residual method. The Office of the Chief Actuary developed these estimates, as well as the resulting other-than-LPR January 1 stock estimates, for years through 2000. For years 2001 and later, the residual method uses stock estimates. For 2001 through 2004, the stock is set to values that linearly grade from the 2000 stock estimate to the DHS 2005 stock estimate. For 2005 through 2012, DHS provided the stock estimates. Because DHS no longer provides stock estimates after 2012, the 2013 through 2015 stock estimates are developed by the Office of the Chief Actuary, based on the same methods used by DHS.
^c Estimates do not include persons who attained LPR status under the special one-time provisions of the Immigration Reform and Control Act of 1986.
^d Adjustments of status are a positive for net LPR immigration and a negative for net other-than-LPR immigration.
^e Estimated.
^f Estimated, intermediate alternative.

Note: Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components.