Population Characteristics for Modeling Income in the Near Term Projections

Current-Law Beneficiaries Aged 60 or Older: Population Characteristics in 2024 (for race & ethnicity profiles and Social Security benefits, household income, and poverty projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
  All beneficiaries
Total 31,329 62,786 100%
Sex
Female 17,686 34,046 54%
Male 13,643 28,740 46%
Race and ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 1,905 5,597 9%
White, non-Hispanic 24,813 47,863 76%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 2,944 6,073 10%
All other races, non-Hispanic 1,667 3,253 5%
Country of birth
United States 27,854 54,628 87%
Other countries 3,475 8,158 13%
Age
60–69 11,122 24,044 38%
70–79 13,211 26,012 41%
80–89 5,893 10,813 17%
90 or older 1,103 1,917 3%
Marital status
Married 17,851 36,023 57%
Divorced 5,378 11,003 18%
Widowed 6,218 11,668 19%
Never married 1,882 4,092 7%
Highest education level
Graduate 3,885 7,608 12%
Bachelor 5,533 11,051 18%
Associate 6,800 13,937 22%
High school 12,407 24,664 39%
Less than high school 2,704 5,526 9%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 29,797 59,607 95%
In poverty 1,532 3,179 5%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 6,237 12,555 20%
Second highest 6,271 12,558 20%
Middle 6,325 12,560 20%
Second lowest 6,265 12,556 20%
Lowest 6,231 12,557 20%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 21,402 43,558 69%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 5,706 10,671 17%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 3,108 6,038 10%
Disabled worker only 1,113 2,519 4%
  Hispanic or Latino, any race
Subtotal 1,905 5,597 100%
Sex
Female 1,073 2,961 53%
Male 832 2,637 47%
Country of birth
United States 860 2,629 47%
Other countries 1,045 2,968 53%
Marital status
Married 1,153 3,429 61%
Divorced 260 813 15%
Widowed 377 1,001 18%
Never married 115 354 6%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 1,695 5,016 90%
In poverty 210 582 10%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 211 680 12%
Second highest 269 869 16%
Middle 317 932 17%
Second lowest 453 1,288 23%
Lowest 655 1,828 33%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 1,277 3,861 69%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 318 836 15%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 206 608 11%
Disabled worker only 104 292 5%
  White, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 24,813 47,863 100%
Sex
Female 13,881 25,895 54%
Male 10,932 21,968 46%
Country of birth
United States 23,509 45,163 94%
Other countries 1,304 2,699 6%
Age
60–69 8,295 17,100 36%
70–79 10,566 20,155 42%
80–89 4,993 8,957 19%
90 or older 959 1,650 3%
Marital status
Married 14,449 27,907 58%
Divorced 4,194 8,289 17%
Widowed 4,909 8,967 19%
Never married 1,261 2,699 6%
Highest education level
Graduate 3,384 6,467 14%
Bachelor 4,706 9,064 19%
Associate 5,606 11,111 23%
High school 9,701 18,618 39%
Less than high school 1,416 2,602 5%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 23,927 46,089 96%
In poverty 886 1,773 4%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 5,448 10,629 22%
Second highest 5,306 10,236 21%
Middle 5,194 9,949 21%
Second lowest 4,718 9,043 19%
Lowest 4,147 8,006 17%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 16,955 33,182 69%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 4,564 8,351 17%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 2,570 4,763 10%
Disabled worker only 724 1,566 3%
  Black or African American, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 2,944 6,073 100%
Sex
Female 1,790 3,390 56%
Male 1,154 2,683 44%
Country of birth
United States 2,626 5,303 87%
Other countries 318 770 13%
Marital status
Married 1,256 2,663 44%
Divorced 655 1,426 23%
Widowed 619 1,126 19%
Never married 414 858 14%
Highest education level
Graduate 227 517 9%
Bachelor 320 728 12%
Associate 592 1,327 22%
High school 1,410 2,810 46%
Less than high school 395 691 11%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 2,629 5,469 90%
In poverty 315 604 10%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 269 594 10%
Second highest 417 899 15%
Middle 527 1,120 18%
Second lowest 703 1,484 24%
Lowest 1,028 1,975 33%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 2,003 4,200 69%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 568 1,033 17%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 148 296 5%
Disabled worker only 225 544 9%
  All other races, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 1,667 3,253 100%
Sex
Female 942 1,800 55%
Male 725 1,452 45%
Country of birth
United States 859 1,532 47%
Other countries 808 1,720 53%
Highest education level
Graduate 207 424 13%
Bachelor 359 790 24%
Associate 312 585 18%
High school 619 1,168 36%
Less than high school 170 285 9%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 1,546 3,033 93%
In poverty 121 220 7%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 309 652 20%
Second highest 279 554 17%
Middle 287 559 17%
Second lowest 391 742 23%
Lowest 401 747 23%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.23. Run ID: SB PopProfiles 03/06/2024.
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Beneficiaries Aged 60 or Older: Population Characteristics in 2030 (for race & ethnicity profiles and Social Security benefits, household income, and poverty projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
  All beneficiaries
Total 33,489 70,451 100%
Sex
Female 18,863 38,007 54%
Male 14,626 32,444 46%
Race and ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 2,661 7,930 11%
White, non-Hispanic 25,725 51,410 73%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 3,100 7,074 10%
All other races, non-Hispanic 2,003 4,037 6%
Country of birth
United States 28,904 59,365 84%
Other countries 4,585 11,085 16%
Age
60–69 9,912 22,853 32%
70–79 14,342 30,014 43%
80–89 7,793 14,959 21%
90 or older 1,442 2,625 4%
Marital status
Married 18,706 39,580 56%
Divorced 6,037 12,856 18%
Widowed 6,538 12,908 18%
Never married 2,208 5,107 7%
Highest education level
Graduate 4,200 8,471 12%
Bachelor 6,493 13,378 19%
Associate 7,412 16,032 23%
High school 12,697 26,652 38%
Less than high school 2,687 5,918 8%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 31,899 66,986 95%
In poverty 1,590 3,465 5%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 6,739 14,090 20%
Second highest 6,763 14,090 20%
Middle 6,692 14,089 20%
Second lowest 6,760 14,091 20%
Lowest 6,535 14,091 20%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 23,232 49,542 70%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 6,049 11,876 17%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 3,063 6,318 9%
Disabled worker only 1,145 2,715 4%
  Hispanic or Latino, any race
Subtotal 2,661 7,930 100%
Sex
Female 1,475 4,097 52%
Male 1,186 3,832 48%
Country of birth
United States 1,102 3,392 43%
Other countries 1,559 4,538 57%
Marital status
Married 1,639 4,915 62%
Divorced 337 1,040 13%
Widowed 515 1,449 18%
Never married 170 525 7%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 2,409 7,257 92%
In poverty 252 672 8%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 275 907 11%
Second highest 418 1,268 16%
Middle 502 1,537 19%
Second lowest 603 1,758 22%
Lowest 863 2,458 31%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 1,740 5,299 67%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 426 1,173 15%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 304 900 11%
Disabled worker only 191 558 7%
  White, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 25,725 51,410 100%
Sex
Female 14,368 27,779 54%
Male 11,357 23,631 46%
Country of birth
United States 24,167 48,142 94%
Other countries 1,558 3,269 6%
Age
60–69 6,962 14,978 29%
70–79 11,068 22,204 43%
80–89 6,430 11,969 23%
90 or older 1,265 2,260 4%
Marital status
Married 14,605 29,173 57%
Divorced 4,684 9,576 19%
Widowed 5,014 9,460 18%
Never married 1,422 3,201 6%
Highest education level
Graduate 3,597 7,021 14%
Bachelor 5,403 10,668 21%
Associate 5,974 12,354 24%
High school 9,519 18,972 37%
Less than high school 1,232 2,395 5%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 24,793 49,467 96%
In poverty 932 1,943 4%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 5,743 11,511 22%
Second highest 5,554 11,043 21%
Middle 5,246 10,466 20%
Second lowest 5,009 9,892 19%
Lowest 4,173 8,499 17%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 17,952 36,445 71%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 4,693 8,828 17%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 2,399 4,662 9%
Disabled worker only 681 1,476 3%
  Black or African American, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 3,100 7,074 100%
Sex
Female 1,865 3,890 55%
Male 1,235 3,184 45%
Country of birth
United States 2,711 6,107 86%
Other countries 389 967 14%
Marital status
Married 1,286 3,041 43%
Divorced 697 1,636 23%
Widowed 620 1,260 18%
Never married 497 1,137 16%
Highest education level
Graduate 241 592 8%
Bachelor 388 945 13%
Associate 684 1,731 24%
High school 1,479 3,210 45%
Less than high school 308 596 8%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 2,833 6,497 92%
In poverty 267 577 8%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 306 796 11%
Second highest 462 1,100 16%
Middle 573 1,322 19%
Second lowest 745 1,670 24%
Lowest 1,014 2,186 31%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 2,166 4,988 71%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 587 1,231 17%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 142 326 5%
Disabled worker only 205 529 7%
  All other races, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 2,003 4,037 100%
Sex
Female 1,155 2,241 56%
Male 848 1,796 44%
Country of birth
United States 924 1,725 43%
Other countries 1,079 2,312 57%
Marital status
Married 1,176 2,451 61%
Divorced 319 604 15%
Widowed 389 738 18%
Never married 119 244 6%
Highest education level
Graduate 267 552 14%
Bachelor 483 1,083 27%
Associate 361 699 17%
High school 712 1,385 34%
Less than high school 180 319 8%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 1,864 3,764 93%
In poverty 139 273 7%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 415 875 22%
Second highest 329 680 17%
Middle 371 765 19%
Second lowest 403 770 19%
Lowest 485 947 23%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.23. Run ID: SB PopProfiles 03/06/2024.
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Beneficiaries Aged 60 or Older: Population Characteristics in 2050 (for race & ethnicity profiles and Social Security benefits, household income, and poverty projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
  All beneficiaries
Total 36,364 82,958 100%
Sex
Female 20,341 44,468 54%
Male 16,023 38,491 46%
Race and ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 6,103 15,255 18%
White, non-Hispanic 23,867 52,265 63%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 3,464 9,011 11%
All other races, non-Hispanic 2,930 6,426 8%
Country of birth
United States 27,853 64,355 78%
Other countries 8,511 18,604 22%
Age
60–69 10,674 23,171 28%
70–79 12,667 30,617 37%
80–89 9,365 21,510 26%
90 or older 3,658 7,661 9%
Marital status
Married 18,580 42,648 51%
Divorced 6,762 15,379 19%
Widowed 6,949 15,220 18%
Never married 4,073 9,712 12%
Highest education level
Graduate 4,887 11,537 14%
Bachelor 7,879 18,496 22%
Associate 7,516 18,774 23%
High school 12,143 26,544 32%
Less than high school 3,939 7,607 9%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 34,572 79,177 95%
In poverty 1,792 3,782 5%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 7,073 16,591 20%
Second highest 7,136 16,591 20%
Middle 7,239 16,590 20%
Second lowest 7,370 16,592 20%
Lowest 7,546 16,595 20%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 25,989 61,099 74%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 5,700 12,252 15%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 3,190 6,422 8%
Disabled worker only 1,485 3,186 4%
  Hispanic or Latino, any race
Subtotal 6,103 15,255 100%
Sex
Female 3,314 7,798 51%
Male 2,789 7,457 49%
Country of birth
United States 2,601 6,765 44%
Other countries 3,502 8,490 56%
Age
60–69 2,644 5,139 34%
70–79 2,242 6,393 42%
80–89 1,005 3,050 20%
90 or older 212 674 4%
Marital status
Married 3,411 8,615 56%
Divorced 772 1,980 13%
Widowed 1,118 2,867 19%
Never married 802 1,793 12%
Highest education level
Graduate 275 835 5%
Bachelor 465 1,418 9%
Associate 830 2,487 16%
High school 2,327 5,936 39%
Less than high school 2,206 4,580 30%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 5,628 14,198 93%
In poverty 475 1,058 7%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 714 1,913 13%
Second highest 960 2,476 16%
Middle 1,151 2,891 19%
Second lowest 1,407 3,531 23%
Lowest 1,871 4,444 29%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 4,236 10,933 72%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 829 2,046 13%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 682 1,561 10%
Disabled worker only 356 715 5%
  White, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 23,867 52,265 100%
Sex
Female 13,281 28,230 54%
Male 10,586 24,035 46%
Country of birth
United States 21,524 48,010 92%
Other countries 2,343 4,255 8%
Age
60–69 6,003 13,607 26%
70–79 8,022 18,006 34%
80–89 6,865 14,700 28%
90 or older 2,977 5,952 11%
Marital status
Married 12,391 27,324 52%
Divorced 4,783 10,415 20%
Widowed 4,742 9,867 19%
Never married 1,951 4,660 9%
Highest education level
Graduate 3,635 8,202 16%
Bachelor 6,014 13,477 26%
Associate 5,439 12,890 25%
High school 7,529 15,515 30%
Less than high school 1,250 2,181 4%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 23,024 50,524 97%
In poverty 843 1,741 3%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 5,183 11,738 22%
Second highest 5,153 11,504 22%
Middle 5,010 11,008 21%
Second lowest 4,640 9,883 19%
Lowest 3,881 8,133 16%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 17,174 38,584 74%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 4,006 8,226 16%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 1,934 3,792 7%
Disabled worker only 753 1,663 3%
  Black or African American, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 3,464 9,011 100%
Sex
Female 2,058 4,911 55%
Male 1,406 4,100 45%
Country of birth
United States 2,872 7,598 84%
Other countries 592 1,414 16%
Age
60–69 1,325 2,885 32%
70–79 1,155 3,497 39%
80–89 746 2,072 23%
90 or older 238 558 6%
Marital status
Married 1,153 3,077 34%
Divorced 807 2,118 24%
Widowed 522 1,314 15%
Never married 982 2,502 28%
Highest education level
Graduate 290 881 10%
Bachelor 523 1,577 18%
Associate 775 2,270 25%
High school 1,567 3,710 41%
Less than high school 309 573 6%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 3,173 8,355 93%
In poverty 291 657 7%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 348 961 11%
Second highest 530 1,464 16%
Middle 624 1,677 19%
Second lowest 800 2,100 23%
Lowest 1,162 2,810 31%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 2,557 6,892 76%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 443 1,133 13%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 157 334 4%
Disabled worker only 307 652 7%
  All other races, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 2,930 6,426 100%
Sex
Female 1,688 3,528 55%
Male 1,242 2,898 45%
Country of birth
United States 856 1,982 31%
Other countries 2,074 4,444 69%
Age
60–69 702 1,540 24%
70–79 1,248 2,721 42%
80–89 749 1,689 26%
90 or older 231 477 7%
Marital status
Married 1,625 3,633 57%
Divorced 400 865 13%
Widowed 567 1,171 18%
Never married 338 757 12%
Highest education level
Graduate 687 1,618 25%
Bachelor 877 2,024 32%
Associate 472 1,128 18%
High school 720 1,382 22%
Less than high school 174 273 4%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 2,747 6,100 95%
In poverty 183 326 5%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 828 1,980 31%
Second highest 493 1,147 18%
Middle 454 1,014 16%
Second lowest 523 1,078 17%
Lowest 632 1,208 19%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.23. Run ID: SB PopProfiles 03/06/2024.
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Beneficiaries Aged 60 or Older: Population Characteristics in 2070 (for race & ethnicity profiles and Social Security benefits, household income, and poverty projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
  All beneficiaries
Total 40,849 92,320 100%
Sex
Female 21,501 48,329 52%
Male 19,348 43,990 48%
Race and ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 10,326 21,549 23%
White, non-Hispanic 22,576 52,672 57%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 4,052 9,259 10%
All other races, non-Hispanic 3,895 8,840 10%
Country of birth
United States 30,579 72,273 78%
Other countries 10,270 20,047 22%
Age
60–69 11,635 25,612 28%
70–79 15,572 35,208 38%
80–89 10,097 22,905 25%
90 or older 3,545 8,595 9%
Marital status
Married 18,893 42,649 46%
Divorced 7,952 18,291 20%
Widowed 6,715 14,609 16%
Never married 7,289 16,772 18%
Highest education level
Graduate 6,478 17,301 19%
Bachelor 6,741 17,419 19%
Associate 7,368 20,068 22%
High school 14,240 27,962 30%
Less than high school 6,022 9,569 10%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 39,368 89,498 97%
In poverty 1,481 2,822 3%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 7,436 18,463 20%
Second highest 7,714 18,464 20%
Middle 8,059 18,468 20%
Second lowest 8,495 18,463 20%
Lowest 9,145 18,462 20%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 29,924 69,837 76%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 5,807 12,361 13%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 3,419 6,460 7%
Disabled worker only 1,699 3,662 4%
  Hispanic or Latino, any race
Subtotal 10,326 21,549 100%
Sex
Female 5,276 10,922 51%
Male 5,050 10,627 49%
Country of birth
United States 6,082 12,941 60%
Other countries 4,244 8,608 40%
Age
60–69 3,741 7,549 35%
70–79 4,000 8,320 39%
80–89 2,120 4,382 20%
90 or older 465 1,298 6%
Marital status
Married 5,094 10,573 49%
Divorced 1,590 3,466 16%
Widowed 1,611 3,326 15%
Never married 2,031 4,185 19%
Highest education level
Graduate 680 1,923 9%
Bachelor 569 1,595 7%
Associate 1,305 3,664 17%
High school 4,110 8,332 39%
Less than high school 3,662 6,035 28%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 9,847 20,586 96%
In poverty 479 963 4%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 1,228 2,698 13%
Second highest 1,685 3,670 17%
Middle 2,024 4,303 20%
Second lowest 2,462 5,012 23%
Lowest 2,927 5,865 27%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 7,321 15,382 71%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 1,386 2,887 13%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 1,015 2,059 10%
Disabled worker only 604 1,222 6%
  White, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 22,576 52,672 100%
Sex
Female 11,819 27,503 52%
Male 10,757 25,170 48%
Country of birth
United States 19,954 48,329 92%
Other countries 2,622 4,343 8%
Age
60–69 5,643 13,073 25%
70–79 8,352 19,632 37%
80–89 6,085 14,272 27%
90 or older 2,496 5,695 11%
Marital status
Married 10,780 25,230 48%
Divorced 4,966 11,697 22%
Widowed 3,974 8,819 17%
Never married 2,856 6,926 13%
Highest education level
Graduate 4,323 11,480 22%
Bachelor 4,466 11,527 22%
Associate 4,670 12,681 24%
High school 7,524 14,584 28%
Less than high school 1,593 2,400 5%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 21,980 51,547 98%
In poverty 596 1,125 2%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 4,546 11,663 22%
Second highest 4,727 11,631 22%
Middle 4,708 11,100 21%
Second lowest 4,551 10,141 19%
Lowest 4,044 8,138 15%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 16,601 40,226 76%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 3,563 7,684 15%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 1,699 3,168 6%
Disabled worker only 713 1,595 3%
  Black or African American, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 4,052 9,259 100%
Sex
Female 2,167 4,972 54%
Male 1,885 4,286 46%
Country of birth
United States 3,387 7,960 86%
Other countries 665 1,298 14%
Age
60–69 1,278 2,786 30%
70–79 1,618 3,598 39%
80–89 939 2,143 23%
90 or older 217 732 8%
Marital status
Married 1,063 2,439 26%
Divorced 976 2,200 24%
Widowed 453 1,068 12%
Never married 1,560 3,553 38%
Highest education level
Graduate 454 1,294 14%
Bachelor 612 1,660 18%
Associate 740 2,042 22%
High school 1,782 3,565 39%
Less than high school 464 698 8%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 3,815 8,833 95%
In poverty 237 426 5%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 483 1,152 12%
Second highest 657 1,598 17%
Middle 721 1,732 19%
Second lowest 832 1,930 21%
Lowest 1,359 2,847 31%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 3,165 7,341 79%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 412 934 10%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 195 375 4%
Disabled worker only 280 609 7%
  All other races, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 3,895 8,840 100%
Sex
Female 2,239 4,932 56%
Male 1,656 3,907 44%
Country of birth
United States 1,156 3,043 34%
Other countries 2,739 5,797 66%
Age
60–69 973 2,203 25%
70–79 1,602 3,658 41%
80–89 953 2,109 24%
90 or older 367 869 10%
Marital status
Married 1,956 4,407 50%
Divorced 420 928 10%
Widowed 677 1,397 16%
Never married 842 2,108 24%
Highest education level
Graduate 1,021 2,605 29%
Bachelor 1,094 2,637 30%
Associate 653 1,682 19%
High school 824 1,480 17%
Less than high school 303 436 5%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 3,726 8,531 97%
In poverty 169 309 3%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 1,179 2,950 33%
Second highest 645 1,565 18%
Middle 606 1,332 15%
Second lowest 650 1,380 16%
Lowest 815 1,613 18%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 2,837 6,888 78%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 446 857 10%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 510 859 10%
Disabled worker only 102 237 3%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.23. Run ID: SB PopProfiles 03/06/2024.
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Payroll Taxpayers Aged 31 or Older: Population Characteristics in 2024 (for race & ethnicity profiles and Social Security taxes paid projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
  All taxpayers
Total 52,681 120,730 100%
Sex
Female 25,609 56,877 47%
Male 27,072 63,853 53%
Race and ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 8,716 21,252 18%
White, non-Hispanic 34,507 76,600 63%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 5,545 13,938 12%
All other races, non-Hispanic 3,913 8,940 7%
Country of birth
United States 42,176 96,944 80%
Other countries 10,505 23,786 20%
Age
31–39 14,323 32,803 27%
40–49 13,394 31,891 26%
50–59 12,872 30,134 25%
60–69 8,509 18,862 16%
70 or older 3,583 7,040 6%
Marital status
Married 32,234 73,717 61%
Divorced 7,845 17,843 15%
Widowed 2,096 4,376 4%
Never married 10,506 24,794 21%
Highest education level
Graduate 7,462 18,231 15%
Bachelor 10,445 24,918 21%
Associate 11,298 28,477 24%
High school 17,870 38,484 32%
Less than high school 5,606 10,620 9%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 10,284 24,147 20%
Second highest 10,319 24,146 20%
Middle 10,540 24,149 20%
Second lowest 10,640 24,143 20%
Lowest 10,898 24,146 20%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 9,880 24,141 20%
Second highest 10,220 24,152 20%
Middle 10,589 24,148 20%
Second lowest 10,912 24,137 20%
Lowest 11,080 24,153 20%
  Hispanic or Latino, any race
Subtotal 8,716 21,252 100%
Sex
Female 3,997 9,273 44%
Male 4,719 11,978 56%
Country of birth
United States 4,199 10,400 49%
Other countries 4,517 10,851 51%
Age
31–39 3,274 6,550 31%
40–49 2,811 6,730 32%
50–59 1,795 5,418 25%
60–69 699 2,165 10%
70 or older 137 389 2%
Marital status
Married 5,369 13,486 63%
Divorced 881 2,305 11%
Widowed 248 674 3%
Never married 2,218 4,787 23%
Highest education level
Graduate 429 1,305 6%
Bachelor 559 1,698 8%
Associate 1,270 3,808 18%
High school 3,298 8,116 38%
Less than high school 3,160 6,325 30%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 935 2,549 12%
Second highest 1,349 3,505 16%
Middle 1,729 4,156 20%
Second lowest 2,159 5,275 25%
Lowest 2,544 5,767 27%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 811 2,198 10%
Second highest 1,305 3,373 16%
Middle 2,020 4,986 23%
Second lowest 2,285 5,340 25%
Lowest 2,295 5,355 25%
  White, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 34,507 76,600 100%
Sex
Female 16,521 35,915 47%
Male 17,986 40,685 53%
Country of birth
United States 31,813 71,238 93%
Other countries 2,694 5,362 7%
Age
31–39 8,294 19,808 26%
40–49 8,010 18,761 24%
50–59 8,747 18,766 24%
60–69 6,460 13,530 18%
70 or older 2,996 5,736 7%
Marital status
Married 22,297 49,186 64%
Divorced 5,634 12,272 16%
Widowed 1,535 3,025 4%
Never married 5,041 12,118 16%
Highest education level
Graduate 5,584 13,110 17%
Bachelor 7,987 18,229 24%
Associate 8,105 19,500 25%
High school 11,170 22,860 30%
Less than high school 1,661 2,901 4%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 7,668 17,109 22%
Second highest 7,431 16,751 22%
Middle 7,149 15,978 21%
Second lowest 6,578 14,443 19%
Lowest 5,681 12,319 16%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 7,334 17,245 23%
Second highest 7,402 16,809 22%
Middle 6,787 14,905 19%
Second lowest 6,407 13,725 18%
Lowest 6,577 13,916 18%
  Black or African American, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 5,545 13,938 100%
Sex
Female 3,164 7,396 53%
Male 2,381 6,543 47%
Country of birth
United States 4,762 12,061 87%
Other countries 783 1,877 13%
Age
31–39 1,848 4,167 30%
40–49 1,471 3,846 28%
50–59 1,225 3,471 25%
60–69 740 1,904 14%
70 or older 261 551 4%
Marital status
Married 2,210 5,668 41%
Divorced 890 2,335 17%
Widowed 171 401 3%
Never married 2,274 5,534 40%
Highest education level
Graduate 500 1,446 10%
Bachelor 826 2,396 17%
Associate 1,200 3,418 25%
High school 2,455 5,644 40%
Less than high school 564 1,035 7%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 613 1,820 13%
Second highest 821 2,223 16%
Middle 1,049 2,637 19%
Second lowest 1,278 3,100 22%
Lowest 1,784 4,157 30%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 648 1,969 14%
Second highest 881 2,427 17%
Middle 1,190 2,940 21%
Second lowest 1,420 3,385 24%
Lowest 1,406 3,217 23%
  All other races, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 3,913 8,940 100%
Sex
Female 1,927 4,293 48%
Male 1,986 4,647 52%
Country of birth
United States 1,402 3,246 36%
Other countries 2,511 5,695 64%
Age
31–39 907 2,279 25%
40–49 1,102 2,554 29%
50–59 1,105 2,479 28%
60–69 610 1,264 14%
70 or older 189 364 4%
Marital status
Married 2,358 5,378 60%
Divorced 440 931 10%
Widowed 142 276 3%
Never married 973 2,355 26%
Highest education level
Graduate 949 2,371 27%
Bachelor 1,073 2,596 29%
Associate 723 1,751 20%
High school 947 1,863 21%
Less than high school 221 360 4%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 1,068 2,669 30%
Second highest 718 1,666 19%
Middle 613 1,378 15%
Second lowest 625 1,325 15%
Lowest 889 1,902 21%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 1,087 2,729 31%
Second highest 632 1,543 17%
Middle 592 1,316 15%
Second lowest 800 1,687 19%
Lowest 802 1,665 19%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.23. Run ID: SB PopProfiles 03/06/2024.
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Payroll Taxpayers Aged 31 or Older: Population Characteristics in 2030 (for race & ethnicity profiles and Social Security taxes paid projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
  All taxpayers
Total 54,435 125,411 100%
Sex
Female 26,318 59,404 47%
Male 28,117 66,006 53%
Race and ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 10,421 24,008 19%
White, non-Hispanic 33,911 77,028 61%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 5,856 14,497 12%
All other races, non-Hispanic 4,247 9,877 8%
Country of birth
United States 42,942 100,194 80%
Other countries 11,493 25,216 20%
Age
31–39 14,214 32,790 26%
40–49 14,915 33,803 27%
50–59 12,086 29,409 23%
60–69 8,973 20,604 16%
70 or older 4,247 8,805 7%
Marital status
Married 31,979 73,722 59%
Divorced 8,214 18,808 15%
Widowed 2,121 4,568 4%
Never married 12,121 28,313 23%
Highest education level
Graduate 8,159 20,624 16%
Bachelor 10,516 25,890 21%
Associate 11,206 29,077 23%
High school 18,312 38,733 31%
Less than high school 6,242 11,086 9%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 10,445 25,084 20%
Second highest 10,614 25,082 20%
Middle 10,865 25,081 20%
Second lowest 11,031 25,082 20%
Lowest 11,480 25,082 20%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 10,060 25,083 20%
Second highest 10,571 25,079 20%
Middle 11,003 25,087 20%
Second lowest 11,398 25,084 20%
Lowest 11,403 25,078 20%
  Hispanic or Latino, any race
Subtotal 10,421 24,008 100%
Sex
Female 4,745 10,630 44%
Male 5,676 13,378 56%
Country of birth
United States 5,394 12,631 53%
Other countries 5,027 11,378 47%
Age
31–39 3,654 7,397 31%
40–49 3,519 7,076 29%
50–59 2,131 6,106 25%
60–69 903 2,749 11%
70 or older 214 680 3%
Marital status
Married 6,114 14,505 60%
Divorced 1,057 2,577 11%
Widowed 291 763 3%
Never married 2,959 6,163 26%
Highest education level
Graduate 599 1,767 7%
Bachelor 664 1,982 8%
Associate 1,421 4,220 18%
High school 4,007 9,163 38%
Less than high school 3,730 6,876 29%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 1,124 2,801 12%
Second highest 1,675 4,022 17%
Middle 2,114 4,887 20%
Second lowest 2,567 5,887 25%
Lowest 2,941 6,411 27%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 1,025 2,531 11%
Second highest 1,530 3,685 15%
Middle 2,466 5,659 24%
Second lowest 2,678 5,922 25%
Lowest 2,722 6,212 26%
  White, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 33,911 77,028 100%
Sex
Female 16,209 36,243 47%
Male 17,702 40,786 53%
Country of birth
United States 31,135 71,592 93%
Other countries 2,776 5,436 7%
Age
31–39 7,728 18,707 24%
40–49 8,491 20,149 26%
50–59 7,621 17,145 22%
60–69 6,576 14,088 18%
70 or older 3,495 6,940 9%
Marital status
Married 21,229 48,087 62%
Divorced 5,754 12,789 17%
Widowed 1,498 3,039 4%
Never married 5,430 13,113 17%
Highest education level
Graduate 5,871 14,419 19%
Bachelor 7,777 18,381 24%
Associate 7,836 19,555 25%
High school 10,741 21,847 28%
Less than high school 1,686 2,827 4%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 7,449 17,369 23%
Second highest 7,230 16,710 22%
Middle 7,035 16,001 21%
Second lowest 6,444 14,437 19%
Lowest 5,753 12,511 16%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 7,083 17,373 23%
Second highest 7,461 17,351 23%
Middle 6,684 14,870 19%
Second lowest 6,336 13,753 18%
Lowest 6,347 13,682 18%
  Black or African American, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 5,856 14,497 100%
Sex
Female 3,324 7,861 54%
Male 2,532 6,636 46%
Country of birth
United States 4,989 12,519 86%
Other countries 867 1,978 14%
Age
31–39 1,793 4,062 28%
40–49 1,805 4,026 28%
50–59 1,200 3,617 25%
60–69 771 2,122 15%
70 or older 287 671 5%
Marital status
Married 2,112 5,311 37%
Divorced 976 2,511 17%
Widowed 185 441 3%
Never married 2,583 6,234 43%
Highest education level
Graduate 553 1,589 11%
Bachelor 870 2,572 18%
Associate 1,200 3,441 24%
High school 2,625 5,860 40%
Less than high school 608 1,035 7%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 646 1,847 13%
Second highest 931 2,508 17%
Middle 1,075 2,701 19%
Second lowest 1,352 3,242 22%
Lowest 1,852 4,198 29%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 705 2,007 14%
Second highest 931 2,482 17%
Middle 1,205 3,060 21%
Second lowest 1,565 3,649 25%
Lowest 1,450 3,299 23%
  All other races, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 4,247 9,877 100%
Sex
Female 2,040 4,671 47%
Male 2,207 5,206 53%
Country of birth
United States 1,424 3,453 35%
Other countries 2,823 6,424 65%
Age
31–39 1,039 2,624 27%
40–49 1,100 2,552 26%
50–59 1,134 2,541 26%
60–69 723 1,645 17%
70 or older 251 515 5%
Marital status
Married 2,524 5,819 59%
Divorced 427 931 9%
Widowed 147 325 3%
Never married 1,149 2,803 28%
Highest education level
Graduate 1,136 2,850 29%
Bachelor 1,205 2,955 30%
Associate 749 1,862 19%
High school 939 1,863 19%
Less than high school 218 348 4%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 1,226 3,066 31%
Second highest 778 1,842 19%
Middle 641 1,493 15%
Second lowest 668 1,515 15%
Lowest 934 1,962 20%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 1,247 3,173 32%
Second highest 649 1,561 16%
Middle 648 1,498 15%
Second lowest 819 1,760 18%
Lowest 884 1,886 19%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.23. Run ID: SB PopProfiles 03/06/2024.
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Payroll Taxpayers Aged 31 or Older: Population Characteristics in 2050 (for race & ethnicity profiles and Social Security taxes paid projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
  All taxpayers
Total 59,041 136,409 100%
Sex
Female 27,856 64,782 47%
Male 31,185 71,626 53%
Race and ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 15,569 32,790 24%
White, non-Hispanic 31,334 75,014 55%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 6,448 14,908 11%
All other races, non-Hispanic 5,690 13,696 10%
Country of birth
United States 45,454 108,151 79%
Other countries 13,587 28,258 21%
Age
31–39 14,470 33,259 24%
40–49 16,063 36,853 27%
50–59 14,415 33,098 24%
60–69 9,152 21,275 16%
70 or older 4,941 11,924 9%
Marital status
Married 31,960 74,174 54%
Divorced 9,707 22,606 17%
Widowed 1,678 3,684 3%
Never married 15,696 35,945 26%
Highest education level
Graduate 10,045 27,271 20%
Bachelor 9,908 26,224 19%
Associate 10,778 29,758 22%
High school 20,157 40,142 29%
Less than high school 8,153 13,014 10%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 10,824 27,283 20%
Second highest 11,358 27,282 20%
Middle 11,729 27,279 20%
Second lowest 12,210 27,282 20%
Lowest 12,920 27,283 20%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 10,482 27,287 20%
Second highest 11,209 27,272 20%
Middle 11,970 27,289 20%
Second lowest 12,604 27,278 20%
Lowest 12,776 27,282 20%
  Hispanic or Latino, any race
Subtotal 15,569 32,790 100%
Sex
Female 6,967 14,906 45%
Male 8,602 17,885 55%
Country of birth
United States 9,883 21,318 65%
Other countries 5,686 11,472 35%
Age
31–39 4,651 9,611 29%
40–49 4,877 10,057 31%
50–59 3,683 7,645 23%
60–69 1,802 3,765 11%
70 or older 556 1,712 5%
Marital status
Married 8,549 18,188 55%
Divorced 1,959 4,292 13%
Widowed 327 716 2%
Never married 4,734 9,594 29%
Highest education level
Graduate 1,179 3,365 10%
Bachelor 912 2,595 8%
Associate 1,998 5,680 17%
High school 6,181 12,512 38%
Less than high school 5,299 8,638 26%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 1,852 4,175 13%
Second highest 2,648 5,735 17%
Middle 3,153 6,660 20%
Second lowest 3,746 7,810 24%
Lowest 4,170 8,410 26%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 1,582 3,665 11%
Second highest 2,518 5,528 17%
Middle 3,597 7,559 23%
Second lowest 3,903 7,893 24%
Lowest 3,969 8,145 25%
  White, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 31,334 75,014 100%
Sex
Female 14,742 35,450 47%
Male 16,592 39,564 53%
Country of birth
United States 28,244 68,966 92%
Other countries 3,090 6,048 8%
Age
31–39 6,686 16,130 22%
40–49 7,878 19,073 25%
50–59 7,706 18,511 25%
60–69 5,522 13,330 18%
70 or older 3,542 7,971 11%
Marital status
Married 18,434 44,313 59%
Divorced 6,048 14,373 19%
Widowed 1,067 2,348 3%
Never married 5,785 13,981 19%
Highest education level
Graduate 6,441 17,364 23%
Bachelor 6,366 16,763 22%
Associate 6,587 18,089 24%
High school 10,080 19,946 27%
Less than high school 1,860 2,853 4%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 6,493 16,749 22%
Second highest 6,593 16,422 22%
Middle 6,564 15,754 21%
Second lowest 6,128 14,078 19%
Lowest 5,556 12,011 16%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 6,218 16,594 22%
Second highest 6,784 16,950 23%
Middle 6,155 14,469 19%
Second lowest 6,062 13,593 18%
Lowest 6,115 13,408 18%
  Black or African American, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 6,448 14,908 100%
Sex
Female 3,371 7,839 53%
Male 3,077 7,069 47%
Country of birth
United States 5,417 12,812 86%
Other countries 1,031 2,096 14%
Age
31–39 1,758 4,015 27%
40–49 1,760 3,959 27%
50–59 1,603 3,623 24%
60–69 967 2,228 15%
70 or older 360 1,082 7%
Marital status
Married 1,955 4,542 30%
Divorced 1,178 2,751 18%
Widowed 128 303 2%
Never married 3,187 7,312 49%
Highest education level
Graduate 729 2,053 14%
Bachelor 962 2,655 18%
Associate 1,223 3,423 23%
High school 2,841 5,711 38%
Less than high school 693 1,065 7%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 711 1,795 12%
Second highest 1,021 2,460 16%
Middle 1,152 2,789 19%
Second lowest 1,498 3,456 23%
Lowest 2,066 4,408 30%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 801 2,090 14%
Second highest 1,046 2,631 18%
Middle 1,302 3,085 21%
Second lowest 1,656 3,633 24%
Lowest 1,643 3,469 23%
  All other races, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 5,690 13,696 100%
Sex
Female 2,776 6,588 48%
Male 2,914 7,109 52%
Country of birth
United States 1,910 5,055 37%
Other countries 3,780 8,641 63%
Age
31–39 1,375 3,503 26%
40–49 1,548 3,763 27%
50–59 1,423 3,319 24%
60–69 861 1,952 14%
70 or older 483 1,159 8%
Marital status
Married 3,022 7,132 52%
Divorced 522 1,190 9%
Widowed 156 316 2%
Never married 1,990 5,058 37%
Highest education level
Graduate 1,696 4,489 33%
Bachelor 1,668 4,210 31%
Associate 970 2,566 19%
High school 1,055 1,974 14%
Less than high school 301 457 3%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 1,768 4,564 33%
Second highest 1,096 2,665 19%
Middle 860 2,077 15%
Second lowest 838 1,938 14%
Lowest 1,128 2,453 18%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 1,881 4,939 36%
Second highest 861 2,163 16%
Middle 916 2,176 16%
Second lowest 983 2,160 16%
Lowest 1,049 2,259 16%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.23. Run ID: SB PopProfiles 03/06/2024.
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Payroll Taxpayers Aged 31 or Older: Population Characteristics in 2070 (for race & ethnicity profiles and Social Security taxes paid projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
  All taxpayers
Total 62,234 143,556 100%
Sex
Female 29,308 68,574 48%
Male 32,926 74,982 52%
Race and ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 20,213 42,332 29%
White, non-Hispanic 28,425 68,903 48%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 6,366 14,467 10%
All other races, non-Hispanic 7,230 17,855 12%
Country of birth
United States 47,211 112,399 78%
Other countries 15,023 31,157 22%
Age
31–39 16,379 37,441 26%
40–49 15,907 35,973 25%
50–59 14,525 33,178 23%
60–69 9,882 23,250 16%
70 or older 5,541 13,713 10%
Marital status
Married 32,207 74,482 52%
Divorced 10,669 24,850 17%
Widowed 1,565 3,674 3%
Never married 17,793 40,550 28%
Highest education level
Graduate 11,186 30,853 21%
Bachelor 9,712 26,220 18%
Associate 10,893 30,200 21%
High school 21,201 41,844 29%
Less than high school 9,242 14,440 10%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 11,312 28,710 20%
Second highest 11,876 28,710 20%
Middle 12,415 28,715 20%
Second lowest 12,903 28,708 20%
Lowest 13,728 28,713 20%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 11,016 28,714 20%
Second highest 11,748 28,707 20%
Middle 12,646 28,709 20%
Second lowest 13,323 28,715 20%
Lowest 13,501 28,712 20%
  Hispanic or Latino, any race
Subtotal 20,213 42,332 100%
Sex
Female 9,216 19,800 47%
Male 10,997 22,532 53%
Country of birth
United States 13,942 29,970 71%
Other countries 6,271 12,362 29%
Age
31–39 6,366 13,311 31%
40–49 5,704 11,730 28%
50–59 4,589 9,594 23%
60–69 2,580 5,515 13%
70 or older 974 2,182 5%
Marital status
Married 10,591 22,294 53%
Divorced 2,907 6,340 15%
Widowed 398 862 2%
Never married 6,317 12,835 30%
Highest education level
Graduate 1,823 5,152 12%
Bachelor 1,200 3,375 8%
Associate 2,645 7,471 18%
High school 8,073 16,056 38%
Less than high school 6,472 10,278 24%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 2,537 5,685 13%
Second highest 3,360 7,301 17%
Middle 4,181 8,805 21%
Second lowest 4,860 10,052 24%
Lowest 5,275 10,489 25%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 2,102 4,921 12%
Second highest 3,211 7,020 17%
Middle 4,757 10,039 24%
Second lowest 5,047 10,107 24%
Lowest 5,096 10,246 24%
  White, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 28,425 68,903 100%
Sex
Female 13,232 32,412 47%
Male 15,193 36,491 53%
Country of birth
United States 25,204 62,626 91%
Other countries 3,221 6,277 9%
Age
31–39 6,588 15,861 23%
40–49 6,671 15,950 23%
50–59 6,649 15,902 23%
60–69 5,129 12,593 18%
70 or older 3,388 8,596 12%
Marital status
Married 16,372 39,821 58%
Divorced 5,815 14,005 20%
Widowed 870 2,101 3%
Never married 5,368 12,976 19%
Highest education level
Graduate 6,345 17,499 25%
Bachelor 5,504 14,911 22%
Associate 5,853 16,224 24%
High school 9,026 17,709 26%
Less than high school 1,697 2,560 4%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 5,726 15,205 22%
Second highest 6,041 15,359 22%
Middle 6,005 14,565 21%
Second lowest 5,527 12,815 19%
Lowest 5,126 10,959 16%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 5,618 15,205 22%
Second highest 6,256 15,882 23%
Middle 5,535 13,139 19%
Second lowest 5,482 12,395 18%
Lowest 5,534 12,282 18%
  Black or African American, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 6,366 14,467 100%
Sex
Female 3,329 7,669 53%
Male 3,037 6,797 47%
Country of birth
United States 5,160 12,111 84%
Other countries 1,206 2,355 16%
Age
31–39 1,690 3,822 26%
40–49 1,713 3,810 26%
50–59 1,563 3,557 25%
60–69 961 2,208 15%
70 or older 439 1,069 7%
Marital status
Married 1,733 3,916 27%
Divorced 1,291 2,963 20%
Widowed 118 281 2%
Never married 3,224 7,307 51%
Highest education level
Graduate 799 2,209 15%
Bachelor 895 2,416 17%
Associate 1,149 3,174 22%
High school 2,849 5,651 39%
Less than high school 674 1,015 7%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 736 1,793 12%
Second highest 1,009 2,391 17%
Middle 1,161 2,704 19%
Second lowest 1,470 3,348 23%
Lowest 1,990 4,230 29%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 789 2,032 14%
Second highest 1,076 2,658 18%
Middle 1,287 2,971 21%
Second lowest 1,636 3,509 24%
Lowest 1,578 3,296 23%
  All other races, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 7,230 17,855 100%
Sex
Female 3,531 8,693 49%
Male 3,699 9,162 51%
Country of birth
United States 2,905 7,691 43%
Other countries 4,325 10,163 57%
Age
31–39 1,735 4,447 25%
40–49 1,819 4,483 25%
50–59 1,724 4,124 23%
60–69 1,212 2,934 16%
70 or older 740 1,866 10%
Marital status
Married 3,511 8,451 47%
Divorced 656 1,542 9%
Widowed 179 429 2%
Never married 2,884 7,433 42%
Highest education level
Graduate 2,219 5,992 34%
Bachelor 2,113 5,517 31%
Associate 1,246 3,330 19%
High school 1,253 2,428 14%
Less than high school 399 587 3%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 2,313 6,027 34%
Second highest 1,466 3,659 20%
Middle 1,068 2,641 15%
Second lowest 1,046 2,493 14%
Lowest 1,337 3,035 17%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 2,507 6,556 37%
Second highest 1,205 3,146 18%
Middle 1,067 2,560 14%
Second lowest 1,158 2,705 15%
Lowest 1,293 2,888 16%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.23. Run ID: SB PopProfiles 03/06/2024.
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Workers Born 1960–1969 with a Benefit/Tax Ratio: Population Characteristics (for benefit/tax ratio projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
Total 20,225 45,686 100%
Sex
Female 10,520 22,629 50%
Male 9,705 23,056 50%
Race and ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 2,369 6,960 15%
White, non-Hispanic 13,998 29,589 65%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 2,169 5,696 12%
All other races, non-Hispanic 1,689 3,440 8%
Country of birth
United States 15,909 35,674 78%
Other countries 4,316 10,011 22%
Highest education level
Graduate 2,144 4,730 10%
Bachelor 4,044 8,865 19%
Associate 4,398 10,265 22%
High school 7,531 17,103 37%
Less than high school 2,108 4,723 10%
Current-law initial AIME quintile
Highest 4,006 9,141 20%
Second highest 3,972 9,138 20%
Middle 3,936 9,135 20%
Second lowest 3,947 9,137 20%
Lowest 4,364 9,136 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile
Highest 4,012 9,139 20%
Second highest 4,004 9,138 20%
Middle 3,938 9,135 20%
Second lowest 3,919 9,138 20%
Lowest 4,352 9,136 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)
Highest 4,048 9,139 20%
Second highest 4,025 9,135 20%
Middle 4,013 9,139 20%
Second lowest 3,914 9,136 20%
Lowest 4,225 9,136 20%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.23. Run ID: OACT1001v1 02/20/2024
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Workers Born 1980–1989 with a Benefit/Tax Ratio: Population Characteristics (for benefit/tax ratio projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
Total 22,485 48,312 100%
Sex
Female 11,070 23,684 49%
Male 11,415 24,628 51%
Race and ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 5,496 11,054 23%
White, non-Hispanic 12,127 27,119 56%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 2,835 5,990 12%
All other races, non-Hispanic 2,027 4,148 9%
Country of birth
United States 15,846 36,380 75%
Other countries 6,639 11,931 25%
Highest education level
Graduate 2,931 7,597 16%
Bachelor 3,202 7,979 17%
Associate 3,897 10,399 22%
High school 8,357 15,858 33%
Less than high school 4,098 6,478 13%
Current-law initial AIME quintile
Highest 3,741 9,665 20%
Second highest 4,152 9,664 20%
Middle 4,437 9,660 20%
Second lowest 4,692 9,665 20%
Lowest 5,463 9,658 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile
Highest 3,737 9,664 20%
Second highest 4,148 9,661 20%
Middle 4,405 9,662 20%
Second lowest 4,700 9,663 20%
Lowest 5,495 9,661 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)
Highest 3,718 9,664 20%
Second highest 4,100 9,661 20%
Middle 4,489 9,664 20%
Second lowest 4,791 9,661 20%
Lowest 5,387 9,662 20%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.23. Run ID: OACT1001v1 02/20/2024
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Workers Born 2000–2009 with a Benefit/Tax Ratio: Population Characteristics (for benefit/tax ratio projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
Total 24,057 52,687 100%
Sex
Female 11,789 25,795 49%
Male 12,268 26,892 51%
Race and ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 7,342 15,207 29%
White, non-Hispanic 11,247 25,657 49%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 2,828 6,021 11%
All other races, non-Hispanic 2,640 5,802 11%
Country of birth
United States 17,128 39,681 75%
Other countries 6,929 13,005 25%
Highest education level
Graduate 3,383 9,013 17%
Bachelor 3,278 8,304 16%
Associate 4,128 11,191 21%
High school 8,793 17,009 32%
Less than high school 4,475 7,170 14%
Current-law initial AIME quintile
Highest 4,065 10,542 20%
Second highest 4,424 10,535 20%
Middle 4,722 10,537 20%
Second lowest 5,008 10,537 20%
Lowest 5,838 10,536 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile
Highest 4,051 10,538 20%
Second highest 4,442 10,539 20%
Middle 4,677 10,535 20%
Second lowest 5,009 10,538 20%
Lowest 5,878 10,536 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)
Highest 4,026 10,538 20%
Second highest 4,434 10,538 20%
Middle 4,753 10,537 20%
Second lowest 5,063 10,537 20%
Lowest 5,781 10,536 20%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.23. Run ID: OACT1001v1 02/20/2024
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Workers Born 2020–2029 with a Benefit/Tax Ratio: Population Characteristics (for benefit/tax ratio projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
Total 23,669 51,482 100%
Sex
Female 11,587 25,065 49%
Male 12,082 26,417 51%
Race and ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 8,371 17,368 34%
White, non-Hispanic 9,568 21,565 42%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 2,713 5,779 11%
All other races, non-Hispanic 3,017 6,770 13%
Country of birth
United States 16,188 37,181 72%
Other countries 7,481 14,302 28%
Highest education level
Graduate 3,428 9,111 18%
Bachelor 3,239 8,169 16%
Associate 3,917 10,535 20%
High school 8,607 16,563 32%
Less than high school 4,478 7,105 14%
Current-law initial AIME quintile
Highest 4,004 10,299 20%
Second highest 4,424 10,296 20%
Middle 4,684 10,294 20%
Second lowest 4,915 10,298 20%
Lowest 5,642 10,294 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile
Highest 4,008 10,299 20%
Second highest 4,402 10,295 20%
Middle 4,652 10,297 20%
Second lowest 4,881 10,296 20%
Lowest 5,726 10,295 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)
Highest 3,975 10,299 20%
Second highest 4,394 10,296 20%
Middle 4,670 10,295 20%
Second lowest 5,001 10,297 20%
Lowest 5,629 10,295 20%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.23. Run ID: OACT1001v1 02/20/2024
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Beneficiaries Born 1960–1969 with a Replacement Rate: Population Characteristics (for initial replacement rate projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
Total 16,183 37,013 100%
Sex
Female 8,252 17,967 49%
Male 7,931 19,047 51%
Race and ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 1,686 5,127 14%
White, non-Hispanic 11,648 24,844 67%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 1,718 4,563 12%
All other races, non-Hispanic 1,131 2,480 7%
Country of birth
United States 13,409 29,944 81%
Other countries 2,774 7,069 19%
Highest education level
Graduate 1,794 4,040 11%
Bachelor 3,382 7,528 20%
Associate 3,680 8,642 23%
High school 5,986 13,710 37%
Less than high school 1,341 3,093 8%
Current-law initial AIME quintile
Highest 3,239 7,403 20%
Second highest 3,237 7,404 20%
Middle 3,212 7,403 20%
Second lowest 3,201 7,402 20%
Lowest 3,294 7,401 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile
Highest 3,264 7,404 20%
Second highest 3,244 7,404 20%
Middle 3,198 7,402 20%
Second lowest 3,208 7,404 20%
Lowest 3,269 7,399 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)
Highest 3,275 7,403 20%
Second highest 3,302 7,405 20%
Middle 3,225 7,400 20%
Second lowest 3,196 7,403 20%
Lowest 3,185 7,402 20%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.23. Run ID: OACT1001v1 02/20/2024
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Beneficiaries Born 1980–1989 with a Replacement Rate: Population Characteristics (for initial replacement rate projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
Total 16,503 37,027 100%
Sex
Female 7,942 18,021 49%
Male 8,561 19,006 51%
Race and ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 3,776 7,442 20%
White, non-Hispanic 9,508 22,331 60%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 2,065 4,587 12%
All other races, non-Hispanic 1,154 2,667 7%
Country of birth
United States 12,894 30,072 81%
Other countries 3,609 6,956 19%
Highest education level
Graduate 2,331 6,349 17%
Bachelor 2,397 6,418 17%
Associate 3,074 8,441 23%
High school 6,157 11,916 32%
Less than high school 2,544 3,903 11%
Current-law initial AIME quintile
Highest 2,837 7,407 20%
Second highest 3,119 7,407 20%
Middle 3,323 7,410 20%
Second lowest 3,469 7,399 20%
Lowest 3,755 7,405 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile
Highest 2,831 7,405 20%
Second highest 3,109 7,406 20%
Middle 3,305 7,407 20%
Second lowest 3,487 7,405 20%
Lowest 3,771 7,405 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)
Highest 2,828 7,406 20%
Second highest 3,055 7,407 20%
Middle 3,312 7,406 20%
Second lowest 3,524 7,405 20%
Lowest 3,784 7,404 20%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.23. Run ID: OACT1001v1 02/20/2024
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Beneficiaries Born 2000–2009 with a Replacement Rate: Population Characteristics (for initial replacement rate projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
Total 18,045 41,266 100%
Sex
Female 8,669 20,156 49%
Male 9,376 21,110 51%
Race and ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 5,323 10,946 27%
White, non-Hispanic 8,964 21,565 52%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 2,056 4,628 11%
All other races, non-Hispanic 1,702 4,127 10%
Country of birth
United States 14,120 33,235 81%
Other countries 3,925 8,030 19%
Highest education level
Graduate 2,760 7,659 19%
Bachelor 2,515 6,885 17%
Associate 3,322 9,276 22%
High school 6,552 12,917 31%
Less than high school 2,896 4,529 11%
Current-law initial AIME quintile
Highest 3,148 8,254 20%
Second highest 3,419 8,253 20%
Middle 3,623 8,255 20%
Second lowest 3,763 8,251 20%
Lowest 4,092 8,253 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile
Highest 3,134 8,254 20%
Second highest 3,422 8,253 20%
Middle 3,601 8,254 20%
Second lowest 3,774 8,254 20%
Lowest 4,114 8,251 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)
Highest 3,119 8,253 20%
Second highest 3,397 8,255 20%
Middle 3,617 8,253 20%
Second lowest 3,808 8,252 20%
Lowest 4,104 8,252 20%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.23. Run ID: OACT1001v1 02/20/2024
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Beneficiaries Born 2020–2029 with a Replacement Rate: Population Characteristics (for initial replacement rate projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
Total 17,822 40,295 100%
Sex
Female 8,547 19,529 48%
Male 9,275 20,766 52%
Race and ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 6,221 12,781 32%
White, non-Hispanic 7,600 18,094 45%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 2,002 4,512 11%
All other races, non-Hispanic 1,999 4,908 12%
Country of birth
United States 13,431 31,289 78%
Other countries 4,391 9,005 22%
Highest education level
Graduate 2,790 7,687 19%
Bachelor 2,471 6,679 17%
Associate 3,107 8,604 21%
High school 6,493 12,771 32%
Less than high school 2,961 4,554 11%
Current-law initial AIME quintile
Highest 3,102 8,060 20%
Second highest 3,401 8,059 20%
Middle 3,590 8,058 20%
Second lowest 3,733 8,060 20%
Lowest 3,996 8,058 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile
Highest 3,100 8,061 20%
Second highest 3,391 8,060 20%
Middle 3,573 8,058 20%
Second lowest 3,731 8,059 20%
Lowest 4,027 8,057 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)
Highest 3,086 8,060 20%
Second highest 3,362 8,059 20%
Middle 3,566 8,060 20%
Second lowest 3,756 8,059 20%
Lowest 4,052 8,057 20%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.23. Run ID: OACT1001v1 02/20/2024
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.