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1997 OASDI Trustees Report



TABLES

I.D1 Summary of OASDI Trust Fund Operations 8
I.D2 Tax Rates for 1997 8
I.F1 Ultimate Economic and Demographic Assumptions 13
I.H1 OASDI Income and Cost Rates for 25-Year Subperiods 23
I.H2 OASDI Income and Cost Rates for 75-Year Valuation Period 24
I.H3 OASDI Trust Fund Ratios 26
II.B1 Contribution and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates 34
II.C1 Statement of Operations of the OASI Trust Fund During Fiscal Year 1996 41
II.C2 Assets of the OASI Trust Fund, by Type, Interest Rate, and Year of Maturity, at End of Fiscal Year, 1995 and 1996 43
II.C3 Statement of Operations of the DI Trust Fund During Fiscal Year 1996 46
II.C4 Assets of the DI Trust Fund, by Type, Interest Rate, and Year of Maturity, at End of Fiscal Year, 1995 and 1996 48
II.C5 Statement of Operations of the OASI and DI Trust Funds,
Combined, During Fiscal Year 1996
49
II.C6 Comparison of Actual and Estimated Operations of the
OASI and DI Trust Funds, Fiscal Year 1996
51
II.C7 Estimated Distribution of Benefit Payments From the OASI
and DI Trust Funds, by Type of Beneficiary or Payment,
Fiscal Years 1995 and 1996
52
II.C8 Net Administrative Expenses as a Percentage of
Contribution Income and of Benefit Payments, by Trust Fund, Fiscal Years 1992-96
53
II.C9 Investment Transactions of the OASI and DI Trust Funds in Fiscal Year 1996 53
II.D1 Selected Economic Assumptions by Alternative, Calendar Years 1960-2075 60
II.D2 Selected Demographic Assumptions by Alternative, Calendar Years 1940-2075 63
II.E1 Average Wage Index, Calendar Years 1951-95 67
II.E2 Cost-of-Living Benefit Increases, Average Wage Index Increases, OASDI Contribution and Benefit Bases, and Retirement Earnings Test Exempt Amounts, by Alternative, 1975-2006 68
II.E3 Selected OASDI Program Amounts Determined Under the Automatic-Adjustment Provisions, Calendar Years 1978-97, and Projected Future Amounts, Calendar Years 1998-2006, on the Basis of the Intermediate Set of Assumptions 71
II.F1 Estimated Operations of the OASI Trust Fund by Alternative, Calendar Years 1996-2006 79
II.F2 Estimated Operations of the DI Trust Fund by Alternative, Calendar Years 1996-2006 84
II.F3 Estimated Operations of the OASI and DI Trust Funds, Combined, by Alternative, Calendar Years 1996-2006 87
II.F4 Trust Fund Ratios by Trust Fund, Selected Calendar Years 1950-96, and Estimated Future Ratios by Alternative, Calendar Years 1997-2006 90
II.F5 Change in OASI and DI Trust Fund Ratios at the Beginning of the Tenth Year of Projection, Based on the Intermediate Assumptions, by Reason for Change 92
II.F6 Comparison of Income Rates and Cost Rates, by Trust Fund, Selected Calendar Years 1950-96, and Estimated Rates by Alternative, Calendar years 1997-2006 94
II.F7 Operations of the OASI Trust Fund During Selected Fiscal Years 1940-96 and Estimated Future Operations During Fiscal Years 1997-2006, on the Basis of the Intermediate Set of Assumptions 96
II.F8 Operations of the OASI Trust Fund During Selected Calendar Years 1940-96 and Estimated Future Operations During Calendar Years 1997-2006, on the Basis of the Intermediate Set of Assumptions 98
II.F9 Operations of the DI Trust Fund During Selected Fiscal Years 1960-96 and Estimated Future Operations During Fiscal Years 1997-2006, on the Basis of the Intermediate Set of Assumptions 100
II.F10 Operations of the DI Trust Fund During Selected Calendar Years 1960-96 and Estimated Future Operations During Calendar Years 1997-2006, on the Basis of the Intermediate Set of Assumptions 102
II.F11 Operations of the OASI and DI Trust Funds, Combined, During Selected Fiscal Years 1960-96 and Estimated Future Operations During Fiscal Years 1997-2006, on the Basis of the Intermediate Set of Assumptions 104
II.F12 Operations of the OASI and DI Trust Funds, Combined, During Selected Calendar Years 1960-96 and Estimated Future Operations During Calendar Years 1997-2006, on the Basis of the Intermediate Set of Assumptions 106
II.F13 Comparison of Estimated Income Rates and Cost Rates by Trust Fund and Alternative, Calendar Years 1997-2075 110
II.F14 Comparison of Summarized Income Rates and Cost Rates for 25-Year Subperiods, by Trust Fund and Alternative, Calendar Years 1997-2071 114
II.F15 Comparison of Summarized Income Rates and Cost Rates for Valuation Periods, by Trust Fund and Alternative, Calendar Years 1997-2071 115
II.F16 Comparison of Estimated Long-Range Actuarial Balances With the Minimum Allowable for the Test for Close Actuarial Balance by Trust Fund, Based on Intermediate Estimates 119
II.F17 Components of Annual Income Rates by Trust Fund and Alternative, Calendar Years 1997-2075 121
II.F18 Components of Summarized Income Rates and Cost Rates by Trust Fund and Alternative, Calendar Years 1997-2071 123
II.F19 Comparison of OASDI Covered Workers and Beneficiaries by Alternative, Calendar Years 1945-2075 124
II.F20 Estimated Trust Fund Ratios by Trust Fund and Alternative, Calendar Years 1997-2075 129
II.F21 Change in Actuarial Balance Over the Next 75 Years Based on Intermediate Assumptions by Trust Fund and Reason for Change 131
II.G1 Estimated OASDI Income Rates, Cost Rates, and Actuarial Balances, Based on Intermediate Estimates With Various Fertility Assumptions 135
II.G2 Estimated OASDI Income Rates, Cost Rates, and Actuarial Balances, Based on Intermediate Estimates With Various Death-Rate Assumptions 136
II.G3 Estimated OASDI Income Rates, Cost Rates, and Actuarial Balances, Based on Intermediate Estimates With Various Net-Immigration Assumptions 137
II.G4 Estimated OASDI Income Rates, Cost Rates, and Actuarial Balances, Based on Intermediate Estimates With Various Real-Wage Assumptions 139
II.G5 Estimated OASDI Income Rates, Cost Rates, and Actuarial Balances, Based on Intermediate Estimates With Various CPI-Increase Assumptions 140
II.G6 Estimated OASDI Income Rates, Cost Rates, and Actuarial Balances, Based on Intermediate Estimates With Various Real-Interest Assumptions 141
II.G7 Estimated OASDI Income Rates, Cost Rates, and Actuarial Balances, Based on Intermediate Estimates With Various Disability Incidence Assumptions 142
II.G8 Estimated OASDI Income Rates, Cost Rates, and Actuarial Balances, Based on Intermediate Estimates With Various Disability Termination Assumptions 143
II.H1 Social Security Area Population as of July 1 and Dependency Ratios, by Alternative and Broad Age Group, Calendar Years 1950-2075 148
II.H2 OASI Beneficiaries With Monthly Benefits in Current-Payment Status as of December 31 by Alternative, Calendar Years 1945-2075 159
II.H3 DI Beneficiaries With Monthly Benefits in Current-Payment Status as of December 31 by Alternative, Calendar Years 1960-2075 165
III.A1 Contribution Rates for the OASDI and HI Programs 171
III.A2 Comparison of Estimated Income Rates and Cost Rates for OASDI and HI by Alternative, Calendar Years 1997-2070 172
III.A3 Comparison of Summarized Income Rates and Cost Rates for 25-Year Subperiods, for OASDI and HI by Alternative, Calendar Years 1997-2071 174
III.A4 Comparison of Summarized Income Rates and Cost Rates for Valuation Periods, for OASDI and HI by Alternative, Calendar Years 1997-2071 175
III.B1 Selected Economic Variables by Alternative, Calendar Years 1996-2075 178
III.B2 Estimated Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds in Constant 1997 Dollars by Alternative, Calendar Years 1997-2075 180
III.B3 Estimated Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds in Current Dollars by Alternative, Calendar Years 1997-2075 182
III.B4 Estimated OASDI and HI Income Excluding Interest, Outgo, and Balance in Current Dollars by Alternative, Calendar Years 1997-2070 184
III.B5 Estimated Annual Benefit Amount Payable to Retired Workers With Various Steady Pre-Retirement Earnings Levels Based on Intermediate Assumptions, Calendar Years 1997-2075 186
III.C1 Estimated OASDI and HI Income Excluding Interest, Outgo, and Balance as a Percentage of GDP by Alternative, Calendar Years 1997-2071 190
III.C2 Ratio of OASDI Taxable Payroll to GDP by Alternative, Calendar Years 1997-2075 192
III.D1 Long-Range Actuarial Balances for the OASDI Program as Shown for the Intermediate Assumptions in the Trustees' Reports Issued in Years 1987-97 196
III.E1 Benefit Disbursements From the OASI Trust Fund With Respect to Disabled Beneficiaries, Selected Calendar Years 1960-96 and Estimated Future Disbursements During 1997-2006 Based on Intermediate Assumptions 198
III.E2 Benefit Disbursements Under the OASDI Program With Respect to Disabled Beneficiaries, by Trust Fund, Selected Calendar Years 1960-96, and Estimated Future Disbursements During 1997-2006 Based on Intermediate Assumptions 199



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