[Table of Contents] [List of Tables]

SOCIAL SECURITY
DISABILITY INSURANCE PROGRAM
WORKER EXPERIENCE

ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 114

by Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.


Termination Study by Select Age and Duration

 

Table 13A.--DI Male Disabled Worker Expected Time on the DI Rolls

(1991-1995 Social Security disability experience)


Select
age


Duration of disability


Attained
age


0


1


2


3


4


5


6


7


8


9


10+


20

25.04

24.73

24.46

24.02

23.80

24.17

24.63

24.89

24.93

24.79

24.51

30

21

24.87

24.65

24.46

24.08

23.87

24.20

24.58

24.75

24.73

24.52

24.19

31

22

24.59

24.47

24.38

24.05

23.86

24.14

24.45

24.53

24.44

24.17

23.79

32

23

24.15

24.14

24.16

23.92

23.74

23.98

24.20

24.22

24.06

23.74

23.31

33

24

23.54

23.65

23.81

23.66

23.51

23.70

23.85

23.81

23.59

23.23

22.77

34

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

25

22.79

23.04

23.37

23.32

23.20

23.35

23.42

23.32

23.06

22.68

22.19

35

26

22.01

22.41

22.88

22.94

22.84

22.93

22.94

22.78

22.50

22.09

21.58

36

27

21.27

21.80

22.39

22.52

22.43

22.47

22.42

22.21

21.89

21.47

20.94

37

28

20.59

21.23

21.90

22.07

21.98

21.97

21.87

21.62

21.27

20.82

20.28

38

29

19.97

20.67

21.40

21.59

21.49

21.44

21.28

21.00

20.62

20.15

19.60

39

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

30

19.42

20.15

20.89

21.09

20.97

20.88

20.68

20.37

19.97

19.48

18.91

40

31

18.95

19.68

20.40

20.58

20.45

20.32

20.08

19.74

19.31

18.80

18.22

41

32

18.49

19.21

19.91

20.06

19.91

19.74

19.47

19.09

18.64

18.12

17.53

42

33

18.06

18.76

19.41

19.53

19.35

19.15

18.85

18.45

17.97

17.44

16.84

43

34

17.65

18.32

18.91

18.99

18.79

18.55

18.22

17.80

17.30

16.74

16.13

44

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

35

17.23

17.86

18.40

18.43

18.21

17.94

17.59

17.14

16.62

16.05

15.43

45

36

16.82

17.41

17.89

17.88

17.62

17.33

16.94

16.48

15.94

15.35

14.72

46

37

16.42

16.97

17.40

17.35

17.05

16.72

16.30

15.82

15.25

14.65

14.02

47

38

16.05

16.57

16.93

16.82

16.48

16.11

15.67

15.16

14.58

13.97

13.32

48

39

15.67

16.16

16.45

16.28

15.90

15.49

15.02

14.49

13.90

13.27

12.61

49

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

40

15.28

15.72

15.94

15.71

15.29

14.85

14.35

13.80

13.20

12.57

11.89

50

41

14.87

15.26

15.41

15.12

14.66

14.19

13.66

13.09

12.48

11.85

11.17

51

42

14.44

14.77

14.84

14.51

14.02

13.52

12.96

12.38

11.76

11.12

10.45

52

43

13.98

14.26

14.26

13.89

13.38

12.85

12.27

11.67

11.04

10.39

9.73

53

44

13.50

13.73

13.67

13.27

12.74

12.19

11.59

10.97

10.33

9.68

9.00

54

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

45

13.01

13.20

13.07

12.64

12.09

11.52

10.92

10.28

9.63

8.96

8.27

55

46

12.48

12.64

12.46

11.99

11.43

10.84

10.22

9.58

8.91

8.23

7.53

56

47

11.93

12.06

11.84

11.34

10.76

10.16

9.52

8.86

8.19

7.50

6.78

57

48

11.42

11.50

11.22

10.69

10.08

9.47

8.82

8.15

7.46

6.75

6.02

58

49

10.94

10.95

10.61

10.05

9.42

8.78

8.12

7.43

6.72

5.99

5.25

59

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

50

10.46

10.39

9.99

9.40

8.75

8.09

7.41

6.71

5.98

5.22

4.45

60

51

9.85

9.76

9.33

8.73

8.05

7.38

6.68

5.96

5.21

4.43

3.63

61

52

9.25

9.13

8.67

8.04

7.36

6.66

5.94

5.20

4.42

3.62

2.78

62

53

8.68

8.51

8.01

7.35

6.64

5.92

5.18

4.41

3.61

2.77

1.90

63

54

8.14

7.90

7.35

6.66

5.92

5.18

4.41

3.61

2.77

1.89

0.97

64

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

55

7.60

7.26

6.67

5.94

5.18

4.41

3.61

2.77

1.89

0.97

--

65

56

6.96

6.57

5.94

5.19

4.41

3.61

2.77

1.89

0.97

--

--

66

57

6.28

5.84

5.18

4.41

3.61

2.77

1.89

0.97

--

--

--

67

58

5.59

5.10

4.40

3.61

2.77

1.89

0.97

--

--

--

--

68

59

4.88

4.33

3.60

2.77

1.89

0.97

--

--

--

--

--

69

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

60

4.15

3.54

2.76

1.89

0.97

--

--

--

--

--

--

70

61

3.37

2.72

1.89

0.97

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

71

62

2.59

1.86

0.97

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

72

63

1.78

0.96

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

73

64

0.94

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

74


Notes:
(1) Average duration of disability entitlement prior to termination due to death, recovery, or attainment of age 65. Values are expressed as years since attained age [ x ]+ t , and are based on survivorship experience found in table 11A (through attained age 65).
(2) Values are read across the row for durations 0-10, and down the ultimate column ("10+") for durations greater than 10.

 

Table 13B.--DI Female Disabled Worker Expected Time on the DI Rolls

(1991-1995 Social Security disability experience)


Select
age


Duration of disability


Attained
age


0


1


2


3


4


5


6


7


8


9


10+


20

26.92

26.51

26.11

25.64

25.37

25.70

26.13

26.37

26.41

26.22

25.89

30

21

26.86

26.51

26.17

25.72

25.44

25.68

25.99

26.12

26.06

25.81

25.44

31

22

26.74

26.45

26.16

25.73

25.44

25.61

25.79

25.81

25.67

25.36

24.94

32

23

26.54

26.29

26.05

25.64

25.35

25.44

25.51

25.43

25.22

24.86

24.40

33

24

26.25

26.04

25.83

25.45

25.15

25.16

25.14

24.98

24.71

24.31

23.82

34

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

25

25.90

25.71

25.53

25.15

24.83

24.78

24.67

24.45

24.14

23.71

23.20

35

26

25.48

25.33

25.17

24.78

24.43

24.32

24.15

23.88

23.53

23.09

22.56

36

27

25.02

24.90

24.75

24.37

23.99

23.82

23.60

23.28

22.90

22.44

21.90

37

28

24.53

24.43

24.31

23.91

23.50

23.28

23.02

22.67

22.26

21.79

21.23

38

29

24.02

23.95

23.82

23.43

22.99

22.72

22.41

22.03

21.60

21.12

20.55

39

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

30

23.51

23.46

23.33

22.92

22.47

22.15

21.81

21.39

20.94

20.45

19.87

40

31

22.99

22.95

22.82

22.40

21.93

21.57

21.20

20.76

20.29

19.77

19.18

41

32

22.45

22.42

22.29

21.86

21.37

20.98

20.59

20.12

19.64

19.09

18.50

42

33

21.92

21.89

21.75

21.32

20.80

20.38

19.96

19.47

18.97

18.41

17.80

43

34

21.37

21.35

21.20

20.76

20.23

19.77

19.33

18.82

18.29

17.72

17.09

44

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

35

20.82

20.82

20.65

20.20

19.65

19.16

18.70

18.18

17.62

17.02

16.38

45

36

20.26

20.26

20.09

19.62

19.06

18.55

18.07

17.53

16.94

16.32

15.66

46

37

19.68

19.67

19.50

19.02

18.44

17.93

17.42

16.86

16.25

15.60

14.93

47

38

19.08

19.08

18.90

18.41

17.82

17.30

16.76

16.18

15.56

14.88

14.20

48

39

18.47

18.48

18.28

17.79

17.18

16.64

16.09

15.49

14.85

14.16

13.46

49

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

40

17.87

17.88

17.66

17.15

16.53

15.96

15.39

14.78

14.12

13.42

12.70

50

41

17.25

17.26

17.02

16.49

15.85

15.27

14.67

14.04

13.37

12.67

11.94

51

42

16.62

16.64

16.37

15.82

15.17

14.57

13.94

13.29

12.61

11.90

11.16

52

43

16.00

16.01

15.72

15.15

14.49

13.87

13.21

12.54

11.84

11.12

10.37

53

44

15.36

15.35

15.05

14.46

13.80

13.16

12.48

11.78

11.06

10.34

9.58

54

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

45

14.71

14.68

14.36

13.76

13.09

12.43

11.74

11.02

10.29

9.55

8.79

55

46

14.07

14.02

13.67

13.06

12.37

11.70

10.99

10.26

9.51

8.76

7.99

56

47

13.44

13.36

12.98

12.35

11.65

10.95

10.23

9.48

8.73

7.96

7.17

57

48

12.82

12.71

12.29

11.64

10.92

10.20

9.47

8.70

7.93

7.14

6.34

58

49

12.22

12.05

11.58

10.91

10.18

9.44

8.69

7.91

7.12

6.32

5.49

59

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

50

11.60

11.37

10.87

10.18

9.43

8.68

7.91

7.11

6.30

5.48

4.63

60

51

10.89

10.64

10.12

9.41

8.66

7.89

7.10

6.29

5.47

4.62

3.76

61

52

10.17

9.89

9.34

8.63

7.86

7.07

6.28

5.46

4.61

3.75

2.86

62

53

9.47

9.15

8.57

7.83

7.05

6.26

5.44

4.60

3.74

2.85

1.93

63

54

8.81

8.42

7.80

7.04

6.24

5.43

4.60

3.74

2.85

1.93

0.98

64

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

55

8.12

7.68

7.02

6.24

5.42

4.59

3.73

2.84

1.93

0.98

--

65

56

7.39

6.90

6.21

5.42

4.58

3.73

2.84

1.93

0.98

--

--

66

57

6.63

6.10

5.38

4.58

3.72

2.84

1.93

0.98

--

--

--

67

58

5.87

5.29

4.55

3.72

2.84

1.93

0.98

--

--

--

--

68

59

5.09

4.47

3.69

2.83

1.92

0.98

--

--

--

--

--

69

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

60

4.29

3.63

2.81

1.92

0.98

--

--

--

--

--

--

70

61

3.48

2.77

1.91

0.98

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

71

62

2.66

1.88

0.98

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

72

63

1.82

0.97

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

73

64

0.95

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

74


Notes:
(1) Average duration of disability entitlement prior to termination due to death, recovery, or attainment of age 65. Values are expressed as years since attained age [ x ]+ t , and are based on survivorship experience found in table 11B (through attained age 65).
(2) Values are read across the row for durations 0-10, and down the ultimate column ("10+") for durations greater than 10.


[Table of Contents] [List of Tables]

July 30, 1999