Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
||
Year |
Total |
Male |
Female |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
123.2 |
74.4 |
48.8 |
69.3 |
46.8 |
22.5 |
53.8 |
27.6 |
26.3 |
|
126.0 |
76.1 |
49.9 |
70.4 |
47.5 |
22.9 |
55.5 |
28.6 |
27.0 |
|
129.0 |
78.1 |
50.9 |
71.7 |
48.4 |
23.3 |
57.3 |
29.7 |
27.6 |
|
133.3 |
80.3 |
53.0 |
73.7 |
49.4 |
24.3 |
59.7 |
30.9 |
28.8 |
|
137.3 |
83.0 |
54.3 |
75.4 |
50.6 |
24.8 |
61.9 |
32.4 |
29.5 |
|
140.4 |
85.3 |
55.0 |
76.6 |
51.6 |
25.1 |
63.8 |
33.8 |
30.0 |
|
142.9 |
88.0 |
54.9 |
77.6 |
52.7 |
25.0 |
65.2 |
35.3 |
29.9 |
|
144.7 |
90.7 |
54.0 |
78.3 |
53.8 |
24.5 |
66.4 |
36.9 |
29.5 |
|
146.5 |
94.0 |
52.5 |
79.0 |
55.2 |
23.8 |
67.5 |
38.8 |
28.7 |
|
148.3 |
96.9 |
51.4 |
79.6 |
56.3 |
23.3 |
68.6 |
40.5 |
28.1 |
|
150.9 |
100.1 |
50.8 |
80.7 |
57.6 |
23.1 |
70.1 |
42.4 |
27.7 |
|
153.2 |
103.3 |
49.9 |
81.7 |
59.0 |
22.7 |
71.5 |
44.3 |
27.2 |
|
155.7 |
107.4 |
48.3 |
82.7 |
60.8 |
21.9 |
73.0 |
46.6 |
26.4 |
|
158.3 |
110.7 |
47.6 |
83.8 |
62.1 |
21.7 |
74.5 |
48.5 |
26.0 |
|
161.3 |
113.6 |
47.8 |
85.2 |
63.3 |
22.0 |
76.1 |
50.3 |
25.8 |
|
164.0 |
116.4 |
47.6 |
86.5 |
64.3 |
22.1 |
77.5 |
52.1 |
25.5 |
|
165.9 |
118.8 |
47.2 |
87.3 |
65.2 |
22.1 |
78.7 |
53.6 |
25.1 |
|
167.5 |
121.1 |
46.4 |
87.9 |
66.0 |
21.9 |
79.6 |
55.1 |
24.5 |
|
169.1 |
123.6 |
45.6 |
88.5 |
66.9 |
21.6 |
80.6 |
56.7 |
24.0 |
|
170.8 |
125.9 |
44.9 |
89.2 |
67.8 |
21.4 |
81.6 |
58.1 |
23.5 |
|
173.1 |
128.3 |
44.7 |
90.1 |
68.7 |
21.4 |
82.9 |
59.6 |
23.4 |
|
175.2 |
130.8 |
44.4 |
91.0 |
69.8 |
21.2 |
84.2 |
61.1 |
23.1 |
|
177.7 |
133.7 |
43.9 |
92.0 |
71.0 |
21.0 |
85.7 |
62.7 |
23.0 |
|
179.8 |
136.0 |
43.8 |
92.9 |
71.9 |
21.0 |
86.9 |
64.1 |
22.8 |
|
182.2 |
138.4 |
43.8 |
94.0 |
72.9 |
21.1 |
88.3 |
65.5 |
22.8 |
|
184.6 |
140.6 |
44.0 |
95.0 |
73.8 |
21.2 |
89.6 |
66.8 |
22.8 |
|
187.0 |
142.9 |
44.1 |
96.1 |
74.7 |
21.4 |
90.9 |
68.1 |
22.8 |
|
189.4 |
145.1 |
44.3 |
97.2 |
75.6 |
21.6 |
92.2 |
69.4 |
22.8 |
|
191.8 |
147.2 |
44.6 |
98.2 |
76.5 |
21.7 |
93.5 |
70.7 |
22.8 |
|
194.1 |
149.3 |
44.8 |
99.3 |
77.4 |
21.9 |
94.8 |
72.0 |
22.9 |
|
196.4 |
151.5 |
45.0 |
100.3 |
78.3 |
22.0 |
96.1 |
73.2 |
22.9 |
|
198.7 |
153.6 |
45.1 |
101.3 |
79.2 |
22.2 |
97.4 |
74.4 |
23.0 |
|
201.1 |
155.8 |
45.3 |
102.3 |
80.1 |
22.3 |
98.7 |
75.7 |
23.0 |
|
203.5 |
158.0 |
45.5 |
103.4 |
81.0 |
22.4 |
100.0 |
76.9 |
23.1 |
|
205.8 |
160.1 |
45.7 |
104.5 |
82.0 |
22.5 |
101.4 |
78.2 |
23.2 |
|
208.2 |
162.3 |
45.9 |
105.5 |
82.9 |
22.6 |
102.7 |
79.4 |
23.3 |
1 Figures exclude workers who are currently insured only; such workers are insured for certain survivor benefits only. There were 2.1 million such workers at the end of 1996. |
Source: Estimates prepared by the Office of the Chief Actuary based on data from Continuous Work History Sample.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
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December 26, 2001