Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
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Year |
65-NRA1
|
|||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Male |
||||||||||||
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
5.5 |
||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.2 |
.3 |
.6 |
.6 |
2.4 |
||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
.3 |
.9 |
.6 |
2.5 |
|||
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.3 |
.2 |
.2 |
.3 |
1.5 |
.2 |
3.4 |
|||
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.3 |
.3 |
.3 |
.3 |
1.6 |
.2 |
3.5 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
3.7 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
3.9 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
3.9 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
4.6 |
||
.1 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
4.3 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
3.9 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
3.9 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.4 |
.4 |
.4 |
.3 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
5.4 |
||
.1 |
.2 |
.4 |
.5 |
.6 |
.6 |
.4 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
7.0 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.3 |
.4 |
.4 |
.4 |
.3 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
5.0 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.4 |
.4 |
.4 |
.3 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
5.2 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.4 |
.4 |
.5 |
.4 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
5.9 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.4 |
.5 |
.5 |
.4 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
6.6 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.4 |
.5 |
.5 |
.4 |
1.8 |
3.3 |
7.3 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.5 |
.5 |
.4 |
1.9 |
4.1 |
8.2 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.5 |
.5 |
.4 |
1.9 |
5.1 |
9.2 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.5 |
.5 |
.4 |
2.0 |
6.0 |
10.3 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.5 |
.5 |
.4 |
2.3 |
6.7 |
11.2 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.5 |
.5 |
.5 |
2.4 |
6.6 |
11.2 |
|||
Female |
||||||||||||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.5 |
.4 |
1.7 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.2 |
.8 |
||||||||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.3 |
.2 |
.9 |
|||||||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.5 |
.2 |
1.5 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.6 |
.1 |
1.6 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.5 |
.5 |
1.4 |
|||||||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.6 |
.6 |
1.6 |
||||||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.7 |
.6 |
1.7 |
||||||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.7 |
.7 |
2.0 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.7 |
.6 |
2.0 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.6 |
.7 |
1.7 |
|||||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.7 |
.8 |
2.0 |
|||||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.2 |
.2 |
.1 |
.7 |
.8 |
2.7 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.3 |
.4 |
.4 |
.3 |
.1 |
.6 |
.9 |
3.2 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.3 |
.2 |
.1 |
.5 |
.7 |
2.4 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.3 |
.2 |
.1 |
.5 |
.7 |
2.5 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.3 |
.2 |
.1 |
.6 |
1.1 |
2.9 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.3 |
.2 |
.1 |
.6 |
1.4 |
3.3 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.3 |
.2 |
.1 |
.7 |
1.7 |
3.7 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.3 |
.2 |
.1 |
.7 |
2.1 |
4.1 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.3 |
.2 |
.1 |
.7 |
2.7 |
4.7 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.3 |
.3 |
.2 |
.8 |
3.2 |
5.4 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.3 |
.3 |
.2 |
.9 |
3.6 |
5.9 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.3 |
.3 |
.2 |
.9 |
3.6 |
5.9 |
|||
Total |
||||||||||||
.2 |
.3 |
.3 |
.3 |
.4 |
.5 |
.7 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
7.3 |
||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
.3 |
.4 |
.8 |
.8 |
3.2 |
||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
.4 |
1.2 |
.7 |
3.4 |
||
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.4 |
.4 |
.4 |
.4 |
.4 |
2.0 |
.3 |
4.9 |
||
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.4 |
.4 |
.4 |
.4 |
.5 |
2.1 |
.3 |
5.1 |
||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.2 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
5.1 |
|||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.1 |
.2 |
.2 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
5.4 |
||
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
5.6 |
||
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.3 |
.3 |
.3 |
.3 |
.3 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
6.6 |
||
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.3 |
.3 |
.3 |
.3 |
.3 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
6.3 |
||
.1 |
.1 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
5.6 |
|||
.1 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
.2 |
.3 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
6.0 |
|||
.1 |
.2 |
.3 |
.4 |
.6 |
.6 |
.6 |
.4 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
8.1 |
||
.2 |
.3 |
.7 |
.9 |
.9 |
.8 |
.6 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
10.2 |
|||
.2 |
.2 |
.5 |
.6 |
.7 |
.6 |
.4 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
7.4 |
|||
.2 |
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.7 |
.6 |
.5 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
7.7 |
|||
.2 |
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.7 |
.7 |
.5 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
8.7 |
|||
.2 |
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.8 |
.7 |
.5 |
2.3 |
4.0 |
9.8 |
|||
.2 |
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.8 |
.7 |
.5 |
2.5 |
5.0 |
11.0 |
|||
.2 |
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.8 |
.7 |
.6 |
2.6 |
6.2 |
12.3 |
|||
.2 |
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.8 |
.8 |
.6 |
2.6 |
7.7 |
13.9 |
|||
.2 |
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.8 |
.8 |
.6 |
2.8 |
9.2 |
15.6 |
|||
.2 |
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.8 |
.8 |
.6 |
3.1 |
10.2 |
17.0 |
|||
.2 |
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.8 |
.8 |
.6 |
3.3 |
10.2 |
17.2 |
1 See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age." 2 Fewer than 50. |
· Historical figures based on SSA administrative records.
· Projected terminations computed by applying projected "other" termination rates to exposure of disabled worker in force population.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001