Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
||
Year |
65-NRA1
|
|||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Male |
||||||||||||
11,245.7 |
10,471.1 |
9,515.8 |
7,440.6 |
6,242.4 |
5,798.7 |
6,074.8 |
6,022.7 |
5,383.1 |
4,570.4 |
... |
72,765.3 |
|
10,754.4 |
11,400.8 |
10,625.9 |
9,619.5 |
7,445.4 |
6,208.5 |
5,702.5 |
5,876.1 |
5,695.9 |
4,932.8 |
... |
78,261.8 |
|
9,869.4 |
11,054.9 |
11,633.7 |
10,718.4 |
9,611.3 |
7,388.0 |
6,101.1 |
5,524.6 |
5,582.2 |
5,248.7 |
... |
82,732.2 |
|
8,951.6 |
10,091.4 |
11,345.4 |
11,820.7 |
10,714.7 |
9,520.4 |
7,271.8 |
5,932.7 |
5,275.5 |
5,190.3 |
... |
86,114.6 |
|
8,857.4 |
10,024.0 |
11,024.8 |
11,892.5 |
10,978.6 |
9,653.7 |
7,766.6 |
6,131.8 |
5,284.8 |
5,160.4 |
... |
86,774.7 |
|
8,952.9 |
9,890.7 |
10,700.7 |
11,876.3 |
11,255.5 |
9,795.9 |
8,148.2 |
6,429.8 |
5,372.4 |
5,074.6 |
... |
87,496.9 |
|
9,125.1 |
9,697.4 |
10,427.9 |
11,838.9 |
11,478.8 |
10,032.3 |
8,486.3 |
6,695.9 |
5,499.7 |
4,996.8 |
... |
88,279.0 |
|
9,346.2 |
9,488.5 |
10,257.3 |
11,714.0 |
11,651.4 |
10,303.9 |
8,879.0 |
6,919.1 |
5,582.3 |
4,969.6 |
... |
89,111.4 |
|
9,600.5 |
9,251.8 |
10,231.0 |
11,475.5 |
11,792.4 |
10,587.5 |
9,320.3 |
7,081.1 |
5,695.5 |
4,954.6 |
... |
89,990.0 |
|
9,835.3 |
9,154.0 |
10,197.2 |
11,189.6 |
11,876.4 |
10,866.2 |
9,528.0 |
7,489.5 |
5,872.1 |
4,967.8 |
... |
90,976.0 |
|
10,028.3 |
9,211.7 |
10,093.1 |
10,888.0 |
11,884.3 |
11,141.0 |
9,644.8 |
7,916.4 |
6,136.5 |
5,042.3 |
... |
91,986.4 |
|
10,157.3 |
9,357.8 |
9,927.5 |
10,621.6 |
11,854.7 |
11,366.3 |
9,867.2 |
8,241.2 |
6,406.9 |
5,153.0 |
... |
92,953.6 |
|
10,219.3 |
9,583.6 |
9,723.4 |
10,441.6 |
11,755.9 |
11,559.1 |
10,140.8 |
8,639.8 |
6,636.4 |
5,253.9 |
... |
93,953.7 |
|
10,277.0 |
9,835.0 |
9,510.0 |
10,389.5 |
11,549.2 |
11,720.4 |
10,431.1 |
9,082.9 |
6,820.3 |
5,363.6 |
... |
94,978.9 |
|
10,327.1 |
10,064.1 |
9,396.3 |
10,357.9 |
11,265.9 |
11,816.2 |
10,728.3 |
9,331.0 |
7,195.2 |
5,530.3 |
... |
96,012.3 |
|
10,378.7 |
10,259.0 |
9,452.9 |
10,259.5 |
10,962.1 |
11,840.8 |
11,015.6 |
9,449.7 |
7,644.1 |
5,788.5 |
... |
97,050.8 |
|
10,489.9 |
10,391.5 |
9,615.5 |
10,099.2 |
10,692.5 |
11,823.1 |
11,256.8 |
9,682.9 |
7,976.9 |
6,063.9 |
171.3 |
98,263.4 |
|
10,656.6 |
10,459.0 |
9,844.9 |
9,903.3 |
10,520.8 |
11,731.5 |
11,452.8 |
9,956.9 |
8,367.1 |
6,286.6 |
348.4 |
99,527.8 |
|
10,835.9 |
10,520.1 |
10,097.9 |
9,695.8 |
10,473.6 |
11,531.6 |
11,616.7 |
10,246.4 |
8,798.4 |
6,465.1 |
537.5 |
100,819.0 |
|
11,006.5 |
10,573.9 |
10,328.7 |
9,587.0 |
10,446.7 |
11,256.1 |
11,716.3 |
10,542.8 |
9,043.8 |
6,826.1 |
750.8 |
102,078.8 |
|
11,135.4 |
10,626.0 |
10,523.3 |
9,644.2 |
10,350.3 |
10,957.9 |
11,744.1 |
10,828.3 |
9,165.2 |
7,258.8 |
1,032.9 |
103,266.5 |
|
11,193.6 |
10,737.5 |
10,656.0 |
9,806.6 |
10,192.5 |
10,693.5 |
11,730.2 |
11,068.7 |
9,396.4 |
7,580.6 |
1,291.4 |
104,346.9 |
|
11,162.0 |
10,904.1 |
10,724.0 |
10,035.4 |
9,999.3 |
10,526.0 |
11,643.4 |
11,265.1 |
9,667.0 |
7,954.8 |
1,262.4 |
105,143.6 |
|
11,062.4 |
11,083.2 |
10,785.8 |
10,287.6 |
9,794.7 |
10,481.4 |
11,449.7 |
11,430.0 |
9,952.5 |
8,366.2 |
1,252.4 |
105,945.9 |
|
Female |
||||||||||||
10,792.5 |
10,132.5 |
9,341.2 |
7,379.6 |
6,219.4 |
5,825.5 |
6,202.5 |
6,324.9 |
5,791.0 |
5,212.1 |
... |
73,221.2 |
|
10,324.7 |
10,990.1 |
10,351.6 |
9,484.5 |
7,424.7 |
6,225.6 |
5,785.1 |
6,103.1 |
6,154.8 |
5,552.0 |
... |
78,396.3 |
|
9,411.3 |
10,583.0 |
11,219.1 |
10,471.2 |
9,512.0 |
7,405.5 |
6,170.6 |
5,686.5 |
5,942.2 |
5,899.8 |
... |
82,301.2 |
|
8,557.8 |
9,649.6 |
10,880.6 |
11,426.0 |
10,531.5 |
9,485.4 |
7,350.1 |
6,083.1 |
5,552.5 |
5,716.5 |
... |
85,233.0 |
|
8,473.5 |
9,607.5 |
10,595.4 |
11,493.8 |
10,774.0 |
9,619.7 |
7,835.2 |
6,284.9 |
5,551.6 |
5,653.6 |
... |
85,889.1 |
|
8,561.9 |
9,509.8 |
10,310.4 |
11,487.1 |
11,029.0 |
9,760.3 |
8,220.4 |
6,583.5 |
5,633.8 |
5,543.2 |
... |
86,639.4 |
|
8,721.9 |
9,351.4 |
10,077.2 |
11,459.2 |
11,237.1 |
9,993.3 |
8,560.1 |
6,854.9 |
5,764.5 |
5,440.5 |
... |
87,460.1 |
|
8,926.2 |
9,166.6 |
9,937.3 |
11,358.7 |
11,399.7 |
10,256.3 |
8,953.9 |
7,085.9 |
5,848.6 |
5,405.9 |
... |
88,339.1 |
|
9,159.7 |
8,941.9 |
9,943.1 |
11,147.7 |
11,533.0 |
10,533.8 |
9,396.0 |
7,257.2 |
5,962.6 |
5,378.6 |
... |
89,253.7 |
|
9,374.0 |
8,840.9 |
9,943.0 |
10,897.5 |
11,615.0 |
10,800.3 |
9,611.7 |
7,666.5 |
6,143.3 |
5,381.1 |
... |
90,273.2 |
|
9,551.4 |
8,883.9 |
9,870.9 |
10,629.2 |
11,623.6 |
11,053.7 |
9,732.9 |
8,096.3 |
6,411.1 |
5,448.5 |
... |
91,301.4 |
|
9,672.7 |
9,005.0 |
9,730.3 |
10,392.9 |
11,596.7 |
11,258.8 |
9,953.5 |
8,426.5 |
6,687.6 |
5,558.7 |
... |
92,282.5 |
|
9,737.9 |
9,193.3 |
9,525.1 |
10,239.5 |
11,507.5 |
11,431.4 |
10,218.1 |
8,829.8 |
6,925.9 |
5,663.1 |
... |
93,271.4 |
|
9,800.5 |
9,412.5 |
9,295.8 |
10,215.0 |
11,319.4 |
11,575.2 |
10,497.1 |
9,278.3 |
7,118.1 |
5,774.3 |
... |
94,286.2 |
|
9,856.3 |
9,616.8 |
9,156.1 |
10,207.3 |
11,060.5 |
11,658.8 |
10,777.4 |
9,534.0 |
7,498.4 |
5,944.8 |
... |
95,310.4 |
|
9,913.8 |
9,796.6 |
9,182.8 |
10,127.9 |
10,785.1 |
11,679.3 |
11,041.3 |
9,656.9 |
7,953.8 |
6,209.8 |
... |
96,347.3 |
|
10,026.1 |
9,924.4 |
9,310.5 |
9,980.5 |
10,542.2 |
11,661.9 |
11,260.2 |
9,887.8 |
8,295.6 |
6,494.6 |
188.4 |
97,572.1 |
|
10,188.7 |
9,995.3 |
9,505.3 |
9,784.4 |
10,396.8 |
11,579.6 |
11,437.0 |
10,153.8 |
8,693.6 |
6,727.4 |
382.5 |
98,844.4 |
|
10,363.1 |
10,061.3 |
9,728.1 |
9,561.1 |
10,377.1 |
11,396.7 |
11,583.7 |
10,432.8 |
9,133.8 |
6,914.5 |
589.1 |
100,141.2 |
|
10,530.3 |
10,120.3 |
9,935.8 |
9,426.9 |
10,374.1 |
11,143.7 |
11,670.9 |
10,713.1 |
9,386.9 |
7,284.2 |
821.5 |
101,407.6 |
|
10,652.6 |
10,178.0 |
10,115.5 |
9,454.0 |
10,295.7 |
10,871.2 |
11,693.2 |
10,975.7 |
9,510.0 |
7,726.5 |
1,125.0 |
102,597.5 |
|
10,705.2 |
10,290.4 |
10,243.4 |
9,581.8 |
10,149.5 |
10,631.1 |
11,677.9 |
11,193.9 |
9,738.3 |
8,058.5 |
1,405.0 |
103,674.9 |
|
10,675.8 |
10,452.9 |
10,314.5 |
9,776.5 |
9,954.9 |
10,487.9 |
11,598.1 |
11,370.7 |
10,000.9 |
8,443.2 |
1,374.7 |
104,450.0 |
|
10,582.7 |
10,627.2 |
10,380.6 |
9,999.0 |
9,733.2 |
10,469.6 |
11,418.6 |
11,517.6 |
10,276.1 |
8,867.1 |
1,362.7 |
105,234.5 |
|
Total |
||||||||||||
22,038.2 |
20,603.7 |
18,856.9 |
14,820.2 |
12,461.8 |
11,624.2 |
12,277.3 |
12,347.6 |
11,174.1 |
9,782.5 |
... |
145,986.5 |
|
21,079.1 |
22,391.0 |
20,977.5 |
19,104.0 |
14,870.1 |
12,434.1 |
11,487.6 |
11,979.2 |
11,850.7 |
10,484.8 |
... |
156,658.0 |
|
19,280.7 |
21,637.9 |
22,852.9 |
21,189.5 |
19,123.3 |
14,793.5 |
12,271.6 |
11,211.0 |
11,524.4 |
11,148.5 |
... |
165,033.4 |
|
17,509.4 |
19,741.0 |
22,226.0 |
23,246.6 |
21,246.3 |
19,005.8 |
14,621.9 |
12,015.8 |
10,828.1 |
10,906.8 |
... |
171,347.6 |
|
17,330.9 |
19,631.5 |
21,620.2 |
23,386.3 |
21,752.5 |
19,273.4 |
15,601.9 |
12,416.7 |
10,836.4 |
10,813.9 |
... |
172,663.8 |
|
17,514.8 |
19,400.5 |
21,011.1 |
23,363.4 |
22,284.5 |
19,556.2 |
16,368.6 |
13,013.3 |
11,006.1 |
10,617.8 |
... |
174,136.3 |
|
17,847.0 |
19,048.8 |
20,505.1 |
23,298.1 |
22,715.9 |
20,025.7 |
17,046.4 |
13,550.7 |
11,264.2 |
10,437.3 |
... |
175,739.1 |
|
18,272.5 |
18,655.1 |
20,194.6 |
23,072.7 |
23,051.0 |
20,560.1 |
17,832.9 |
14,005.0 |
11,431.0 |
10,375.5 |
... |
177,450.5 |
|
18,760.2 |
18,193.7 |
20,174.1 |
22,623.2 |
23,325.4 |
21,121.3 |
18,716.3 |
14,338.3 |
11,658.1 |
10,333.2 |
... |
179,243.7 |
|
19,209.3 |
17,994.9 |
20,140.2 |
22,087.0 |
23,491.4 |
21,666.5 |
19,139.6 |
15,156.0 |
12,015.3 |
10,348.9 |
... |
181,249.2 |
|
19,579.7 |
18,095.6 |
19,963.9 |
21,517.2 |
23,507.9 |
22,194.7 |
19,377.7 |
16,012.6 |
12,547.6 |
10,490.8 |
... |
183,287.8 |
|
19,830.0 |
18,362.8 |
19,657.8 |
21,014.5 |
23,451.4 |
22,625.0 |
19,820.7 |
16,667.7 |
13,094.6 |
10,711.7 |
... |
185,236.1 |
|
19,957.1 |
18,776.8 |
19,248.5 |
20,681.1 |
23,263.4 |
22,990.5 |
20,358.8 |
17,469.6 |
13,562.3 |
10,917.0 |
... |
187,225.2 |
|
20,077.5 |
19,247.4 |
18,805.9 |
20,604.5 |
22,868.5 |
23,295.7 |
20,928.3 |
18,361.1 |
13,938.4 |
11,137.9 |
... |
189,265.1 |
|
20,183.4 |
19,681.0 |
18,552.3 |
20,565.1 |
22,326.5 |
23,475.1 |
21,505.7 |
18,865.0 |
14,693.6 |
11,475.1 |
... |
191,322.7 |
|
20,292.4 |
20,055.5 |
18,635.7 |
20,387.4 |
21,747.2 |
23,520.1 |
22,056.9 |
19,106.6 |
15,597.9 |
11,998.3 |
... |
193,398.1 |
|
20,516.0 |
20,316.0 |
18,926.0 |
20,079.7 |
21,234.6 |
23,485.0 |
22,516.9 |
19,570.6 |
16,272.5 |
12,558.4 |
359.7 |
195,835.5 |
|
20,845.3 |
20,454.3 |
19,350.2 |
19,687.7 |
20,917.6 |
23,311.0 |
22,889.8 |
20,110.6 |
17,060.6 |
13,014.0 |
730.9 |
198,372.2 |
|
21,199.0 |
20,581.4 |
19,825.9 |
19,256.8 |
20,850.7 |
22,928.3 |
23,200.5 |
20,679.2 |
17,932.2 |
13,379.6 |
1,126.6 |
200,960.1 |
|
21,536.8 |
20,694.3 |
20,264.5 |
19,013.9 |
20,820.8 |
22,399.7 |
23,387.2 |
21,255.9 |
18,430.6 |
14,110.3 |
1,572.3 |
203,486.3 |
|
21,787.9 |
20,804.0 |
20,638.8 |
19,098.2 |
20,646.0 |
21,829.1 |
23,437.4 |
21,804.0 |
18,675.3 |
14,985.3 |
2,157.9 |
205,864.0 |
|
21,898.8 |
21,027.9 |
20,899.4 |
19,388.4 |
20,342.0 |
21,324.6 |
23,408.2 |
22,262.6 |
19,134.7 |
15,639.1 |
2,696.3 |
208,021.8 |
|
21,837.8 |
21,357.0 |
21,038.5 |
19,811.8 |
19,954.2 |
21,014.0 |
23,241.5 |
22,635.8 |
19,667.9 |
16,398.0 |
2,637.1 |
209,593.7 |
|
21,645.1 |
21,710.4 |
21,166.4 |
20,286.6 |
19,527.9 |
20,951.0 |
22,868.3 |
22,947.7 |
20,228.6 |
17,233.3 |
2,615.1 |
211,180.4 |
1 See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age." |
Source: Estimates prepared by the Office of the Chief Actuary.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001