Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
||
Year |
65-NRA1
|
|||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Male |
||||||||||||
1.3 |
23.5 |
54.1 |
58.3 |
69.5 |
106.4 |
165.2 |
270.7 |
396.2 |
564.8 |
... |
1,709.9 |
|
1.0 |
21.4 |
57.4 |
88.4 |
96.0 |
115.3 |
171.4 |
276.4 |
462.6 |
635.9 |
... |
1,925.9 |
|
.5 |
19.4 |
61.4 |
95.7 |
123.4 |
131.0 |
153.6 |
229.5 |
382.3 |
584.9 |
... |
1,781.7 |
|
.9 |
19.1 |
67.8 |
127.1 |
168.5 |
202.6 |
210.5 |
251.7 |
373.0 |
542.4 |
... |
1,963.6 |
|
1.0 |
21.6 |
70.6 |
135.2 |
183.7 |
221.8 |
231.9 |
269.5 |
384.2 |
544.6 |
... |
2,064.1 |
|
1.0 |
25.8 |
77.2 |
147.2 |
205.5 |
242.6 |
261.8 |
297.2 |
403.0 |
555.0 |
... |
2,216.3 |
|
1.0 |
27.3 |
81.4 |
156.8 |
223.3 |
264.0 |
289.2 |
325.0 |
424.4 |
560.8 |
... |
2,353.2 |
|
.8 |
26.1 |
81.2 |
160.5 |
235.2 |
281.3 |
317.1 |
349.8 |
441.6 |
575.2 |
... |
2,469.0 |
|
.8 |
23.0 |
79.3 |
157.8 |
241.1 |
295.7 |
344.9 |
370.6 |
461.0 |
589.1 |
... |
2,563.3 |
|
.8 |
20.0 |
75.6 |
150.9 |
242.6 |
307.3 |
363.2 |
396.3 |
482.0 |
599.7 |
... |
2,638.5 |
|
.7 |
18.3 |
69.2 |
139.5 |
233.3 |
308.5 |
362.6 |
417.2 |
503.6 |
607.3 |
... |
2,660.3 |
|
.8 |
18.1 |
64.8 |
132.4 |
230.7 |
317.5 |
374.1 |
440.6 |
529.6 |
622.7 |
... |
2,731.3 |
|
.8 |
18.9 |
60.7 |
124.6 |
226.7 |
323.6 |
386.5 |
467.6 |
551.6 |
633.1 |
... |
2,794.2 |
|
.9 |
20.8 |
57.5 |
118.9 |
218.3 |
325.9 |
398.0 |
494.6 |
569.8 |
647.2 |
... |
2,851.9 |
|
.9 |
22.8 |
55.8 |
114.0 |
208.6 |
325.8 |
408.5 |
512.3 |
599.1 |
672.9 |
... |
2,920.9 |
|
.9 |
24.5 |
56.6 |
110.4 |
200.1 |
324.6 |
421.7 |
520.3 |
634.4 |
710.4 |
... |
3,003.8 |
|
.9 |
25.9 |
59.0 |
106.9 |
192.1 |
322.8 |
432.6 |
533.8 |
664.0 |
752.2 |
22.5 |
3,112.7 |
|
.9 |
26.6 |
62.0 |
103.6 |
184.3 |
319.4 |
440.4 |
549.5 |
701.3 |
790.0 |
46.5 |
3,224.4 |
|
.9 |
27.1 |
65.3 |
100.1 |
180.2 |
312.4 |
446.6 |
567.6 |
742.9 |
823.2 |
73.5 |
3,339.9 |
|
.9 |
27.3 |
68.6 |
98.3 |
177.1 |
303.0 |
450.2 |
585.7 |
767.6 |
872.3 |
104.7 |
3,455.7 |
|
.9 |
27.4 |
71.5 |
99.2 |
173.9 |
292.8 |
450.5 |
603.7 |
778.1 |
926.6 |
145.4 |
3,570.0 |
|
.9 |
27.6 |
73.9 |
101.9 |
170.0 |
282.9 |
449.8 |
619.0 |
798.7 |
970.2 |
184.6 |
3,679.4 |
|
1.0 |
27.9 |
75.3 |
105.6 |
165.7 |
274.5 |
446.9 |
631.2 |
823.3 |
1,025.9 |
180.7 |
3,757.9 |
|
1.0 |
28.3 |
76.5 |
110.0 |
161.2 |
270.9 |
439.7 |
642.4 |
852.2 |
1,088.4 |
180.4 |
3,851.0 |
|
Female |
||||||||||||
.3 |
7.6 |
17.9 |
21.8 |
25.7 |
40.9 |
70.0 |
126.4 |
198.1 |
268.9 |
... |
777.7 |
|
.4 |
7.7 |
23.8 |
35.9 |
40.3 |
49.2 |
76.4 |
133.9 |
236.8 |
325.9 |
... |
930.4 |
|
.2 |
7.7 |
25.2 |
43.0 |
54.6 |
60.2 |
72.0 |
112.1 |
194.9 |
301.4 |
... |
871.4 |
|
.4 |
9.0 |
32.2 |
61.0 |
85.0 |
103.2 |
115.3 |
141.2 |
206.3 |
289.4 |
... |
1,043.1 |
|
.5 |
10.7 |
34.5 |
66.7 |
95.3 |
116.5 |
131.3 |
156.5 |
218.9 |
295.6 |
... |
1,126.5 |
|
.6 |
13.6 |
39.5 |
74.9 |
108.4 |
132.9 |
152.5 |
180.1 |
236.7 |
308.3 |
... |
1,247.4 |
|
.6 |
15.1 |
43.4 |
82.7 |
121.6 |
149.6 |
173.2 |
204.0 |
257.8 |
319.8 |
... |
1,367.9 |
|
.5 |
15.0 |
45.2 |
89.3 |
133.1 |
166.9 |
195.9 |
228.3 |
278.4 |
336.6 |
... |
1,489.1 |
|
.5 |
13.8 |
46.7 |
93.0 |
143.6 |
184.8 |
221.1 |
252.5 |
303.7 |
356.2 |
... |
1,615.9 |
|
.5 |
12.4 |
47.2 |
94.1 |
152.1 |
201.6 |
242.7 |
281.3 |
331.8 |
376.0 |
... |
1,739.8 |
|
.5 |
11.6 |
45.9 |
92.6 |
155.1 |
213.0 |
256.7 |
308.2 |
361.6 |
395.1 |
... |
1,840.4 |
|
.4 |
11.7 |
44.9 |
91.7 |
160.3 |
226.1 |
275.0 |
334.3 |
394.8 |
420.5 |
... |
1,959.7 |
|
.5 |
12.6 |
43.9 |
89.9 |
164.3 |
238.2 |
294.7 |
362.6 |
426.3 |
443.1 |
... |
2,076.0 |
|
.6 |
14.3 |
43.2 |
89.7 |
164.9 |
246.8 |
312.5 |
391.5 |
451.6 |
468.8 |
... |
2,183.7 |
|
.6 |
15.7 |
43.1 |
90.2 |
163.2 |
253.6 |
328.9 |
413.2 |
485.6 |
500.7 |
... |
2,294.8 |
|
.6 |
16.9 |
44.5 |
90.5 |
161.7 |
259.1 |
344.3 |
429.3 |
522.2 |
541.8 |
... |
2,410.8 |
|
.6 |
17.7 |
46.7 |
90.4 |
159.4 |
264.4 |
358.2 |
448.8 |
554.0 |
585.0 |
16.8 |
2,542.0 |
|
.6 |
18.1 |
49.1 |
89.8 |
156.8 |
267.4 |
370.5 |
470.0 |
591.9 |
624.7 |
35.2 |
2,674.2 |
|
.6 |
18.3 |
51.5 |
88.4 |
157.3 |
267.1 |
381.5 |
492.3 |
635.0 |
658.9 |
56.8 |
2,807.8 |
|
.6 |
18.5 |
53.9 |
88.0 |
158.9 |
264.1 |
390.5 |
513.9 |
665.4 |
708.0 |
81.6 |
2,943.4 |
|
.6 |
18.5 |
55.9 |
89.4 |
159.6 |
260.4 |
396.8 |
533.8 |
685.4 |
761.5 |
115.5 |
3,077.4 |
|
.6 |
18.6 |
57.6 |
92.2 |
159.4 |
256.5 |
402.6 |
552.0 |
713.2 |
807.1 |
148.4 |
3,208.2 |
|
.6 |
18.7 |
58.6 |
95.7 |
158.0 |
253.5 |
405.8 |
569.0 |
743.9 |
861.7 |
147.4 |
3,312.9 |
|
.6 |
18.9 |
59.3 |
99.5 |
155.7 |
254.8 |
404.6 |
584.9 |
776.8 |
922.3 |
148.2 |
3,425.6 |
|
Total |
||||||||||||
1.6 |
31.2 |
72.0 |
80.1 |
95.2 |
147.3 |
235.2 |
397.1 |
594.3 |
833.6 |
... |
2,487.6 |
|
1.5 |
29.2 |
81.2 |
124.3 |
136.3 |
164.5 |
247.9 |
410.3 |
699.4 |
961.8 |
... |
2,856.4 |
|
.7 |
27.2 |
86.6 |
138.7 |
178.0 |
191.3 |
225.6 |
341.6 |
577.1 |
886.3 |
... |
2,653.1 |
|
1.3 |
28.1 |
100.0 |
188.1 |
253.5 |
305.8 |
325.8 |
392.9 |
579.4 |
831.8 |
... |
3,006.7 |
|
1.5 |
32.3 |
105.1 |
201.9 |
279.0 |
338.3 |
363.2 |
426.0 |
603.1 |
840.1 |
... |
3,190.6 |
|
1.6 |
39.4 |
116.7 |
222.1 |
313.9 |
375.5 |
414.3 |
477.2 |
639.7 |
863.2 |
... |
3,463.7 |
|
1.6 |
42.3 |
124.8 |
239.6 |
344.9 |
413.6 |
462.5 |
529.0 |
682.2 |
880.6 |
... |
3,721.1 |
|
1.3 |
41.1 |
126.5 |
249.8 |
368.3 |
448.2 |
513.0 |
578.2 |
720.0 |
911.7 |
... |
3,958.2 |
|
1.3 |
36.8 |
126.0 |
250.8 |
384.7 |
480.4 |
566.0 |
623.2 |
764.6 |
945.3 |
... |
4,179.3 |
|
1.2 |
32.4 |
122.8 |
245.1 |
394.7 |
508.9 |
605.9 |
677.6 |
813.9 |
975.7 |
... |
4,378.3 |
|
1.2 |
29.9 |
115.1 |
232.2 |
388.4 |
521.5 |
619.3 |
725.4 |
865.3 |
1,002.4 |
... |
4,500.7 |
|
1.2 |
29.9 |
109.7 |
224.1 |
391.0 |
543.6 |
649.1 |
774.9 |
924.4 |
1,043.2 |
... |
4,690.9 |
|
1.3 |
31.6 |
104.7 |
214.4 |
391.0 |
561.8 |
681.2 |
830.2 |
977.9 |
1,076.2 |
... |
4,870.2 |
|
1.5 |
35.1 |
100.7 |
208.5 |
383.2 |
572.7 |
710.5 |
886.1 |
1,021.4 |
1,116.0 |
... |
5,035.6 |
|
1.5 |
38.6 |
98.9 |
204.2 |
371.8 |
579.5 |
737.4 |
925.4 |
1,084.7 |
1,173.7 |
... |
5,215.7 |
|
1.5 |
41.4 |
101.1 |
200.9 |
361.8 |
583.7 |
766.1 |
949.5 |
1,156.5 |
1,252.2 |
... |
5,414.6 |
|
1.5 |
43.6 |
105.7 |
197.4 |
351.5 |
587.1 |
790.8 |
982.6 |
1,217.9 |
1,337.2 |
39.3 |
5,654.6 |
|
1.5 |
44.8 |
111.2 |
193.3 |
341.2 |
586.8 |
810.9 |
1,019.4 |
1,293.2 |
1,414.7 |
81.7 |
5,898.6 |
|
1.5 |
45.4 |
116.8 |
188.5 |
337.6 |
579.5 |
828.2 |
1,059.9 |
1,377.9 |
1,482.2 |
130.3 |
6,147.7 |
|
1.5 |
45.8 |
122.4 |
186.3 |
336.0 |
567.1 |
840.7 |
1,099.6 |
1,433.1 |
1,580.3 |
186.4 |
6,399.2 |
|
1.5 |
45.9 |
127.4 |
188.6 |
333.5 |
553.2 |
847.3 |
1,137.5 |
1,463.6 |
1,688.1 |
260.9 |
6,647.4 |
|
1.5 |
46.2 |
131.4 |
194.1 |
329.3 |
539.4 |
852.4 |
1,171.0 |
1,511.9 |
1,777.3 |
333.0 |
6,887.6 |
|
1.6 |
46.6 |
133.9 |
201.3 |
323.7 |
528.0 |
852.6 |
1,200.1 |
1,567.3 |
1,887.6 |
328.1 |
7,070.8 |
|
1.6 |
47.1 |
135.8 |
209.4 |
316.9 |
525.7 |
844.3 |
1,227.2 |
1,629.0 |
2,010.8 |
328.6 |
7,276.5 |
1 See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age." |
· Historical figures based on SSA administrative records.
· Projected figures computed by subtracting disabled workers withheld from disabled workers in force at end of year.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001