Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

A. NUMBER OF DISABILITY INSURANCE (DI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.A23—DI Male Disabled Workers With Benefits In Force, Awarded, Terminated, Withheld,
and In Current-Payment Status
(Calendar years 1975-2000, and calendar quarters 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar
period
In force
beginning
of period
Awards
during
period
Gross terminations
In force
end of
period
Benefits withheld end of period
In current-
payment status
end of period
Rate
(per 1,000)
Number
Per 1,000
in force
end of period
Number
1975
1,560.2
408.5
139.93
246.9
1,721.8
6.92
11.9
1,709.9
1976
1,721.8
381.9
139.80
267.4
1,836.3
7.26
13.3
1,823.0
1977
1,836.3
395.0
143.26
291.4
1,939.9
5.56
10.8
1,929.1
1978
1,939.9
341.4
149.68
315.9
1,965.4
7.48
14.7
1,950.7
1979
1,965.4
304.6
151.95
321.8
1,948.3
5.51
10.7
1,937.5
1980
1,948.3
291.2
145.45
304.5
1,934.9
4.64
9.0
1,925.9
1981
1,934.9
264.7
154.83
320.1
1,879.5
7.19
13.5
1,866.0
1982
1,879.5
233.6
176.92
353.2
1,759.9
10.38
18.3
1,741.6
1983
1,759.9
296.5
163.06
311.1
1,745.3
10.71
18.7
1,726.6
1984
1,745.3
280.3
139.33
262.7
1,762.8
10.81
19.1
1,743.8
1985
1,762.8
281.1
126.89
241.5
1,802.4
11.47
20.7
1,781.7
1986
1,802.4
284.4
123.91
240.9
1,845.8
12.09
22.3
1,823.5
1987
1,845.8
279.0
124.66
247.5
1,877.3
12.57
23.6
1,853.7
1988
1,877.3
273.2
123.98
249.7
1,900.9
14.46
27.5
1,873.4
1989
1,900.9
278.8
119.67
244.2
1,935.5
17.05
33.0
1,902.5
1990
1,935.5
303.6
115.54
241.2
1,997.9
17.18
34.3
1,963.6
1991
1,997.9
343.4
111.56
242.0
2,099.3
16.79
35.2
2,064.1
1992
2,099.3
402.7
108.62
249.9
2,252.1
15.91
35.8
2,216.3
1993
2,252.1
394.4
104.19
255.2
2,391.3
15.95
38.1
2,353.2
1994
2,391.3
381.4
100.86
260.4
2,512.3
17.25
43.3
2,469.0
1995
2,512.3
378.5
101.32
273.7
2,617.1
20.57
53.8
2,563.3
1996
2,617.1
355.5
96.02
268.4
2,704.2
24.31
65.7
2,638.5
1997
2,704.2
326.8
106.51
305.4
2,725.6
23.96
65.3
2,660.3
1998
2,725.6
333.0
88.88
257.1
2,801.6
25.10
70.3
2,731.3
1999
2,801.6
337.5
91.45
271.6
2,867.5
25.57
73.3
2,794.2
2000
2,867.5
338.8
93.06
282.6
2,923.7
24.54
71.7
2,851.9
2001-I
2,923.7
88.3
23.47
69.6
2,942.3
24.85
73.1
2,869.2
2001-II
2,942.3
88.3
22.86
68.3
2,962.3
25.16
74.5
2,887.8
2001-III
2,962.3
88.3
22.71
68.3
2,982.4
25.48
76.0
2,906.4
2001-IV
2,982.4
82.7
22.13
66.9
2,998.2
25.79
77.3
2,920.9
2002-I
2,998.2
91.9
23.30
70.9
3,019.2
25.68
77.5
2,941.7
2002-II
3,019.2
91.9
22.68
69.5
3,041.6
25.58
77.8
2,963.8
2002-III
3,041.6
91.9
22.52
69.5
3,064.0
25.47
78.0
2,986.0
2002-IV
3,064.0
86.1
21.93
68.1
3,082.0
25.36
78.2
3,003.8
2003-I
3,082.0
95.3
21.61
67.6
3,109.7
25.24
78.5
3,031.2
2003-II
3,109.7
95.3
21.00
66.3
3,138.7
25.11
78.8
3,059.9
2003-III
3,138.7
95.3
20.81
66.3
3,167.7
24.99
79.2
3,088.5
2003-IV
3,167.7
89.3
20.23
65.0
3,192.0
24.87
79.4
3,112.7
2004-I
3,192.0
98.4
21.61
70.0
3,220.4
24.74
79.7
3,140.8
2004-II
3,220.4
98.4
21.00
68.7
3,250.2
24.61
80.0
3,170.2
2004-III
3,250.2
98.4
20.81
68.7
3,280.0
24.48
80.3
3,199.7
2004-IV
3,280.0
92.2
20.23
67.3
3,304.9
24.36
80.5
3,224.4
2005-I
3,304.9
102.0
21.67
72.7
3,334.2
24.23
80.8
3,253.5
2005-II
3,334.2
102.0
21.06
71.3
3,365.0
24.10
81.1
3,283.9
2005-III
3,365.0
102.0
20.87
71.3
3,395.8
23.98
81.4
3,314.3
2005-IV
3,395.8
95.6
20.29
69.9
3,421.5
23.85
81.6
3,339.9
2006-I
3,421.5
105.1
21.80
75.7
3,450.9
23.73
81.9
3,369.0
2006-II
3,450.9
105.1
21.20
74.3
3,481.8
23.61
82.2
3,399.6
2006-III
3,481.8
105.1
21.01
74.3
3,512.7
23.49
82.5
3,430.2
2006-IV
3,512.7
98.5
20.43
72.8
3,538.4
23.38
82.7
3,455.7
2007-I
3,538.4
108.2
22.06
79.3
3,567.4
23.27
83.0
3,484.4
2007-II
3,567.4
108.2
21.45
77.7
3,598.0
23.16
83.3
3,514.7
2007-III
3,598.0
108.2
21.27
77.7
3,628.5
23.05
83.6
3,544.9
2007-IV
3,628.5
101.4
20.70
76.1
3,653.8
22.94
83.8
3,570.0
2008-I
3,653.8
111.4
22.55
83.7
3,681.5
22.85
84.1
3,597.4
2008-II
3,681.5
111.4
21.95
82.0
3,710.9
22.75
84.4
3,626.5
2008-III
3,710.9
111.4
21.77
82.0
3,740.3
22.65
84.7
3,655.6
2008-IV
3,740.3
104.4
21.19
80.4
3,764.3
22.55
84.9
3,679.4
2009-I
3,764.3
114.7
24.82
94.9
3,784.1
22.50
85.1
3,699.0
2009-II
3,784.1
114.7
24.21
93.0
3,805.8
22.45
85.4
3,720.4
2009-III
3,805.8
114.7
24.08
93.0
3,827.5
22.40
85.7
3,741.8
2009-IV
3,827.5
107.5
23.49
91.2
3,843.8
22.34
85.9
3,757.9
2010-I
3,843.8
118.4
24.30
94.8
3,867.3
22.27
86.1
3,781.2
2010-II
3,867.3
118.4
23.68
93.0
3,892.7
22.20
86.4
3,806.3
2010-III
3,892.7
118.4
23.53
93.0
3,918.1
22.14
86.7
3,831.3
2010-IV
3,918.1
110.9
22.93
91.1
3,937.9
22.07
86.9
3,851.0

Sources:

· Historical number in force from 1-A Table In Force Supplement; future number in force computed by adding awards to number in force at beginning of period, and subtracting number of terminations.

· Historical awards based on SSA administrative records; future quarterly awards interpolated from annual awards (shown earlier).

· Historical termination rates computed as ratio of (a) terminations, to (b) exposure of in force population during the period; future termination rates projected based on historical trend and judgment.

· Historical number of terminations computed as beginning-of-period in force plus awards minus end-of-period in force; future number of terminations computed by applying termination rate to exposure of in force population during the period.

· Historical percentage of benefits withheld computed by dividing number withheld by end-of-period in force; future withheld percentages projected based on historical trend and judgment.

· Historical number of benefits withheld computed as end-of-period in force minus number in current-payment status; future number of benefits withheld computed by applying withheld percentage to end-of-period in force.

· Historical number of benefits in current-payment status from 1-A Table Current-Payment Supplement; future number of benefits in current-payment status computed as end-of-period in force minus number withheld.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

Contents Glossary

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December 26, 2001