Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
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III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS
A. NUMBER OF DISABILITY INSURANCE (DI) BENEFICIARIES
Table III.A24.- DI Female Disabled Workers With Benefits In Force, Awarded, Terminated, Withheld,
and In Current-Payment Status
(Calendar years 1975-2000, and calendar quarters 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar period |
In force beginning of period |
Awards during period |
Gross terminations |
In force end of period |
Benefits withheld end of period |
In current- payment status end of period |
Rate (per 1,000) |
Number |
Per 1,000 in force end of period |
Number |
|
691.1 |
183.5 |
118.63 |
92.9 |
781.7 |
5.13 |
4.0 |
777.7 |
|
781.7 |
169.6 |
116.79 |
101.2 |
850.1 |
4.34 |
3.7 |
846.4 |
|
850.1 |
173.9 |
121.18 |
113.6 |
910.4 |
3.66 |
3.3 |
907.1 |
|
910.4 |
149.4 |
129.38 |
127.5 |
932.4 |
5.30 |
4.9 |
927.5 |
|
932.4 |
135.9 |
133.86 |
133.9 |
934.4 |
3.63 |
3.4 |
931.0 |
|
934.4 |
129.1 |
130.23 |
130.1 |
933.4 |
3.14 |
2.9 |
930.4 |
|
933.4 |
116.4 |
141.27 |
140.1 |
909.6 |
4.30 |
3.9 |
905.7 |
|
909.6 |
102.5 |
154.98 |
148.9 |
863.2 |
6.42 |
5.5 |
857.7 |
|
863.2 |
132.0 |
163.32 |
151.8 |
843.4 |
7.00 |
5.9 |
837.5 |
|
843.4 |
129.7 |
130.87 |
118.9 |
854.3 |
6.84 |
5.8 |
848.4 |
|
854.3 |
135.0 |
120.80 |
111.3 |
877.9 |
7.39 |
6.5 |
871.4 |
|
877.9 |
140.5 |
116.46 |
110.4 |
908.0 |
7.58 |
6.9 |
901.1 |
|
908.0 |
141.3 |
115.92 |
113.4 |
935.9 |
8.41 |
7.9 |
928.0 |
|
935.9 |
142.1 |
114.64 |
115.4 |
962.5 |
10.23 |
9.8 |
952.7 |
|
962.5 |
151.9 |
109.27 |
113.5 |
1,001.0 |
12.86 |
12.9 |
988.1 |
|
1,001.0 |
168.5 |
104.05 |
112.9 |
1,056.5 |
12.73 |
13.5 |
1,043.1 |
|
1,056.5 |
197.4 |
98.19 |
113.4 |
1,140.5 |
12.26 |
14.0 |
1,126.5 |
|
1,140.5 |
239.4 |
93.57 |
117.9 |
1,261.9 |
11.51 |
14.5 |
1,247.4 |
|
1,261.9 |
243.0 |
87.73 |
121.4 |
1,383.5 |
11.34 |
15.7 |
1,367.9 |
|
1,383.5 |
250.4 |
84.26 |
127.1 |
1,506.8 |
11.75 |
17.7 |
1,489.1 |
|
1,506.8 |
267.1 |
83.90 |
137.6 |
1,636.3 |
12.46 |
20.4 |
1,615.9 |
|
1,636.3 |
268.8 |
80.25 |
142.1 |
1,763.0 |
13.17 |
23.2 |
1,739.8 |
|
1,763.0 |
260.9 |
83.56 |
158.2 |
1,865.7 |
13.56 |
25.3 |
1,840.4 |
|
1,865.7 |
275.4 |
76.36 |
153.0 |
1,988.0 |
14.27 |
28.4 |
1,959.7 |
|
1,988.0 |
283.0 |
77.38 |
164.8 |
2,106.3 |
14.36 |
30.2 |
2,076.0 |
|
2,106.3 |
282.5 |
78.36 |
176.1 |
2,212.7 |
13.09 |
29.0 |
2,183.7 |
|
2,212.7 |
73.4 |
19.89 |
44.7 |
2,241.3 |
13.19 |
29.6 |
2,211.8 |
|
2,241.3 |
73.4 |
19.26 |
43.9 |
2,270.9 |
13.28 |
30.2 |
2,240.7 |
|
2,270.9 |
73.4 |
19.01 |
43.9 |
2,300.4 |
13.38 |
30.8 |
2,269.6 |
|
2,300.4 |
68.8 |
18.41 |
43.0 |
2,326.2 |
13.47 |
31.3 |
2,294.8 |
|
2,326.2 |
76.5 |
19.83 |
46.9 |
2,355.8 |
13.43 |
31.6 |
2,324.1 |
|
2,355.8 |
76.5 |
19.20 |
46.0 |
2,386.3 |
13.39 |
32.0 |
2,354.3 |
|
2,386.3 |
76.5 |
18.96 |
46.0 |
2,416.8 |
13.36 |
32.3 |
2,384.5 |
|
2,416.8 |
71.6 |
18.36 |
45.0 |
2,443.4 |
13.32 |
32.5 |
2,410.8 |
|
2,443.4 |
78.7 |
18.25 |
45.3 |
2,476.8 |
13.26 |
32.8 |
2,443.9 |
|
2,476.8 |
78.7 |
17.66 |
44.4 |
2,511.1 |
13.20 |
33.2 |
2,477.9 |
|
2,511.1 |
78.7 |
17.42 |
44.4 |
2,545.4 |
13.14 |
33.5 |
2,512.0 |
|
2,545.4 |
73.8 |
16.86 |
43.5 |
2,575.7 |
13.09 |
33.7 |
2,542.0 |
|
2,575.7 |
81.2 |
18.18 |
47.6 |
2,609.3 |
13.02 |
34.0 |
2,575.4 |
|
2,609.3 |
81.2 |
17.60 |
46.6 |
2,643.9 |
12.96 |
34.3 |
2,609.7 |
|
2,643.9 |
81.2 |
17.37 |
46.6 |
2,678.5 |
12.90 |
34.5 |
2,644.0 |
|
2,678.5 |
76.1 |
16.82 |
45.7 |
2,709.0 |
12.84 |
34.8 |
2,674.2 |
|
2,709.0 |
84.1 |
18.20 |
50.1 |
2,743.0 |
12.78 |
35.0 |
2,707.9 |
|
2,743.0 |
84.1 |
17.62 |
49.1 |
2,778.0 |
12.71 |
35.3 |
2,742.6 |
|
2,778.0 |
84.1 |
17.40 |
49.1 |
2,812.9 |
12.65 |
35.6 |
2,777.4 |
|
2,812.9 |
78.8 |
16.86 |
48.1 |
2,843.6 |
12.59 |
35.8 |
2,807.8 |
|
2,843.6 |
87.4 |
18.33 |
52.9 |
2,878.1 |
12.53 |
36.1 |
2,842.0 |
|
2,878.1 |
87.4 |
17.76 |
51.9 |
2,913.7 |
12.47 |
36.3 |
2,877.3 |
|
2,913.7 |
87.4 |
17.54 |
51.9 |
2,949.2 |
12.42 |
36.6 |
2,912.6 |
|
2,949.2 |
81.9 |
17.00 |
50.8 |
2,980.3 |
12.36 |
36.8 |
2,943.4 |
|
2,980.3 |
89.9 |
18.45 |
55.8 |
3,014.3 |
12.31 |
37.1 |
2,977.2 |
|
3,014.3 |
89.9 |
17.89 |
54.7 |
3,049.5 |
12.26 |
37.4 |
3,012.1 |
|
3,049.5 |
89.9 |
17.69 |
54.7 |
3,084.7 |
12.21 |
37.7 |
3,047.0 |
|
3,084.7 |
84.2 |
17.16 |
53.6 |
3,115.3 |
12.16 |
37.9 |
3,077.4 |
|
3,115.3 |
92.8 |
18.82 |
59.5 |
3,148.5 |
12.11 |
38.1 |
3,110.4 |
|
3,148.5 |
92.8 |
18.26 |
58.3 |
3,183.0 |
12.07 |
38.4 |
3,144.5 |
|
3,183.0 |
92.8 |
18.06 |
58.3 |
3,217.4 |
12.02 |
38.7 |
3,178.7 |
|
3,217.4 |
86.9 |
17.53 |
57.2 |
3,247.1 |
11.98 |
38.9 |
3,208.2 |
|
3,247.1 |
95.3 |
20.89 |
68.8 |
3,273.6 |
11.94 |
39.1 |
3,234.6 |
|
3,273.6 |
95.3 |
20.32 |
67.5 |
3,301.5 |
11.90 |
39.3 |
3,262.2 |
|
3,301.5 |
95.3 |
20.15 |
67.5 |
3,329.3 |
11.86 |
39.5 |
3,289.9 |
|
3,329.3 |
89.3 |
19.60 |
66.1 |
3,352.5 |
11.82 |
39.6 |
3,312.9 |
|
3,352.5 |
98.2 |
20.46 |
69.6 |
3,381.1 |
11.79 |
39.9 |
3,341.2 |
|
3,381.1 |
98.2 |
19.90 |
68.2 |
3,411.0 |
11.76 |
40.1 |
3,370.9 |
|
3,411.0 |
98.2 |
19.72 |
68.2 |
3,441.0 |
11.72 |
40.3 |
3,400.6 |
|
3,441.0 |
92.0 |
19.18 |
66.9 |
3,466.1 |
11.68 |
40.5 |
3,425.6 |
Sources:
· Historical number in force from 1-A Table In Force Supplement; future number in force computed by adding awards to number in force at beginning of period, and subtracting number of terminations.
· Historical awards based on SSA administrative records; future quarterly awards interpolated from annual awards (shown earlier).
· Historical termination rates computed as ratio of (a) terminations, to (b) exposure of in force population during the period; future termination rates projected based on historical trend and judgment.
· Historical number of terminations computed as beginning-of-period in force plus awards minus end-of-period in force; future number of terminations computed by applying termination rate to exposure of in force population during the period.
· Historical percentage of benefits withheld computed by dividing number withheld by end-of-period in force; future withheld percentages projected based on historical trend and judgment.
· Historical number of benefits withheld computed as end-of-period in force minus number in current-payment status; future number of benefits withheld computed by applying withheld percentage to end-of-period in force.
· Historical number of benefits in current-payment status from 1-A Table Current-Payment Supplement; future number of benefits in current-payment status computed as end-of-period in force minus number withheld.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001