Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
||
Year |
65-NRA 1
|
|||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Male |
||||||||||||
3,210.2 |
9,375.9 |
9,230.2 |
7,153.4 |
5,846.6 |
5,367.4 |
5,543.1 |
5,527.3 |
4,919.4 |
4,278.1 |
... |
60,451.6 |
|
3,700.4 |
10,222.5 |
10,198.0 |
9,310.7 |
7,119.1 |
5,787.7 |
5,247.3 |
5,338.3 |
5,213.1 |
4,567.3 |
... |
66,704.4 |
|
2,324.7 |
9,407.2 |
10,870.9 |
10,232.7 |
9,219.5 |
7,029.0 |
5,676.2 |
5,073.1 |
5,051.8 |
4,861.3 |
... |
69,746.4 |
|
2,568.3 |
8,652.2 |
10,728.5 |
11,049.5 |
10,176.8 |
9,092.0 |
6,893.5 |
5,513.9 |
4,849.2 |
4,822.8 |
... |
74,346.7 |
|
2,302.5 |
8,615.5 |
10,475.0 |
11,173.6 |
10,419.8 |
9,210.9 |
7,381.6 |
5,718.4 |
4,872.7 |
4,782.7 |
... |
74,952.7 |
|
2,077.2 |
8,462.5 |
10,156.6 |
11,204.7 |
10,673.9 |
9,343.4 |
7,749.2 |
6,028.4 |
4,966.1 |
4,677.7 |
... |
75,339.7 |
|
1,957.3 |
8,227.7 |
9,868.5 |
11,207.9 |
10,856.8 |
9,575.2 |
8,087.8 |
6,297.2 |
5,091.3 |
4,639.1 |
... |
75,808.8 |
|
1,962.1 |
7,952.6 |
9,690.3 |
11,128.3 |
10,995.8 |
9,838.0 |
8,476.4 |
6,534.0 |
5,171.9 |
4,566.8 |
... |
76,316.2 |
|
2,077.9 |
7,704.4 |
9,660.6 |
10,933.2 |
11,116.3 |
10,104.3 |
8,900.7 |
6,721.2 |
5,289.2 |
4,624.8 |
... |
77,132.6 |
|
2,177.4 |
7,560.7 |
9,625.7 |
10,661.7 |
11,200.2 |
10,348.3 |
9,095.5 |
7,130.1 |
5,484.2 |
4,605.8 |
... |
77,889.6 |
|
2,249.7 |
7,567.4 |
9,521.6 |
10,361.6 |
11,234.3 |
10,590.7 |
9,208.1 |
7,547.2 |
5,760.0 |
4,730.4 |
... |
78,771.0 |
|
2,362.7 |
7,664.7 |
9,357.3 |
10,100.3 |
11,242.1 |
10,782.7 |
9,422.2 |
7,866.5 |
6,042.4 |
4,776.9 |
... |
79,617.8 |
|
2,426.9 |
7,845.0 |
9,125.1 |
9,933.9 |
11,172.8 |
10,947.8 |
9,682.5 |
8,251.0 |
6,276.0 |
4,902.2 |
... |
80,563.2 |
|
2,473.2 |
8,075.4 |
8,875.3 |
9,881.7 |
11,002.9 |
11,076.4 |
9,958.4 |
8,674.1 |
6,468.4 |
4,990.5 |
... |
81,476.3 |
|
2,498.0 |
8,339.6 |
8,711.7 |
9,853.6 |
10,738.7 |
11,167.9 |
10,233.2 |
8,908.0 |
6,842.8 |
5,169.6 |
... |
82,463.1 |
|
2,492.6 |
8,592.9 |
8,715.8 |
9,746.4 |
10,438.8 |
11,212.7 |
10,485.7 |
9,021.3 |
7,284.4 |
5,437.5 |
... |
83,428.1 |
|
2,481.0 |
8,805.1 |
8,843.7 |
9,574.2 |
10,166.6 |
11,225.7 |
10,688.4 |
9,243.8 |
7,608.8 |
5,724.4 |
159.6 |
84,521.2 |
|
2,489.7 |
8,921.9 |
9,052.9 |
9,352.6 |
9,994.3 |
11,165.3 |
10,850.6 |
9,502.3 |
7,982.2 |
5,947.4 |
325.8 |
85,585.0 |
|
2,497.6 |
8,995.6 |
9,304.8 |
9,112.8 |
9,940.7 |
10,998.7 |
10,988.7 |
9,778.0 |
8,387.9 |
6,133.6 |
504.5 |
86,642.9 |
|
2,501.8 |
9,058.1 |
9,560.8 |
8,961.2 |
9,908.3 |
10,736.8 |
11,092.2 |
10,055.1 |
8,613.0 |
6,484.6 |
707.3 |
87,679.2 |
|
2,526.9 |
9,079.0 |
9,799.0 |
8,965.4 |
9,799.9 |
10,438.3 |
11,144.1 |
10,312.1 |
8,726.6 |
6,901.3 |
975.7 |
88,668.3 |
|
2,574.2 |
9,120.4 |
9,991.1 |
9,072.5 |
9,624.2 |
10,170.5 |
11,159.9 |
10,521.2 |
8,949.2 |
7,212.2 |
1,222.3 |
89,617.7 |
|
2,627.6 |
9,163.7 |
10,112.3 |
9,258.3 |
9,400.5 |
9,995.3 |
11,100.1 |
10,696.4 |
9,213.3 |
7,576.4 |
1,196.8 |
90,340.7 |
|
2,644.6 |
9,241.7 |
10,205.8 |
9,482.0 |
9,162.9 |
9,941.0 |
10,931.8 |
10,847.1 |
9,492.7 |
7,969.6 |
1,189.1 |
91,108.3 |
|
Female |
||||||||||||
2,094.1 |
7,562.2 |
7,827.0 |
5,562.7 |
4,300.9 |
3,869.8 |
4,061.3 |
4,188.7 |
3,710.1 |
3,235.2 |
... |
46,412.0 |
|
2,857.7 |
8,930.5 |
9,071.3 |
7,888.2 |
5,665.6 |
4,451.7 |
3,962.6 |
4,063.7 |
4,053.5 |
3,664.3 |
... |
54,609.1 |
|
1,976.2 |
8,327.7 |
9,899.7 |
9,065.7 |
7,880.3 |
5,750.3 |
4,528.4 |
3,968.6 |
3,968.0 |
3,980.6 |
... |
59,345.5 |
|
2,237.0 |
7,796.3 |
9,739.4 |
10,046.9 |
9,135.1 |
8,006.7 |
5,831.2 |
4,531.9 |
3,899.9 |
3,988.0 |
... |
65,212.4 |
|
2,022.7 |
7,824.9 |
9,495.9 |
10,152.9 |
9,387.3 |
8,220.9 |
6,314.4 |
4,762.0 |
3,934.3 |
3,943.9 |
... |
66,059.2 |
|
1,882.6 |
7,669.5 |
9,225.4 |
10,174.8 |
9,630.1 |
8,420.5 |
6,720.8 |
5,069.3 |
4,037.6 |
3,867.2 |
... |
66,697.8 |
|
1,785.9 |
7,507.7 |
9,004.3 |
10,169.7 |
9,824.0 |
8,681.7 |
7,111.6 |
5,357.6 |
4,180.0 |
3,860.4 |
... |
67,482.9 |
|
1,790.7 |
7,282.0 |
8,869.3 |
10,103.0 |
9,987.9 |
8,940.3 |
7,546.8 |
5,618.5 |
4,303.2 |
3,836.0 |
... |
68,277.7 |
|
1,904.7 |
7,153.3 |
8,894.3 |
9,924.8 |
10,135.0 |
9,208.4 |
8,017.3 |
5,832.6 |
4,459.1 |
3,887.1 |
... |
69,416.6 |
|
2,048.2 |
7,053.4 |
8,915.4 |
9,693.7 |
10,236.1 |
9,454.3 |
8,279.0 |
6,248.1 |
4,674.9 |
3,885.7 |
... |
70,488.8 |
|
2,118.5 |
7,119.1 |
8,891.5 |
9,461.7 |
10,286.6 |
9,697.6 |
8,449.0 |
6,691.4 |
4,952.4 |
4,041.0 |
... |
71,708.8 |
|
2,230.5 |
7,280.5 |
8,793.5 |
9,276.4 |
10,314.4 |
9,893.1 |
8,693.0 |
7,072.2 |
5,254.8 |
4,127.9 |
... |
72,936.3 |
|
2,274.2 |
7,487.6 |
8,646.0 |
9,177.0 |
10,257.9 |
10,076.0 |
8,958.8 |
7,489.2 |
5,505.3 |
4,267.7 |
... |
74,139.7 |
|
2,320.1 |
7,722.5 |
8,473.1 |
9,196.7 |
10,106.6 |
10,240.3 |
9,237.0 |
7,944.5 |
5,725.8 |
4,391.8 |
... |
75,358.4 |
|
2,348.4 |
7,962.0 |
8,367.8 |
9,241.0 |
9,884.6 |
10,363.9 |
9,511.5 |
8,237.8 |
6,108.3 |
4,562.6 |
... |
76,587.9 |
|
2,346.5 |
8,197.8 |
8,392.2 |
9,220.6 |
9,652.3 |
10,429.7 |
9,771.6 |
8,423.8 |
6,564.5 |
4,813.7 |
... |
77,812.7 |
|
2,337.4 |
8,401.2 |
8,526.6 |
9,116.4 |
9,455.7 |
10,455.0 |
9,987.2 |
8,698.0 |
6,931.2 |
5,087.5 |
144.1 |
79,140.3 |
|
2,347.4 |
8,526.3 |
8,730.4 |
8,962.8 |
9,351.8 |
10,412.3 |
10,189.3 |
8,987.2 |
7,348.0 |
5,325.9 |
294.9 |
80,476.3 |
|
2,357.2 |
8,603.3 |
8,964.2 |
8,787.4 |
9,366.7 |
10,263.8 |
10,371.0 |
9,285.2 |
7,803.7 |
5,532.1 |
458.1 |
81,792.7 |
|
2,362.4 |
8,669.6 |
9,196.9 |
8,683.9 |
9,404.1 |
10,047.4 |
10,512.7 |
9,575.6 |
8,110.9 |
5,894.5 |
644.8 |
83,102.8 |
|
2,385.9 |
8,696.4 |
9,415.2 |
8,700.7 |
9,377.8 |
9,816.5 |
10,592.4 |
9,851.9 |
8,310.8 |
6,327.8 |
891.9 |
84,367.3 |
|
2,431.3 |
8,741.0 |
9,560.0 |
8,815.8 |
9,263.5 |
9,616.5 |
10,633.5 |
10,094.1 |
8,600.9 |
6,676.2 |
1,125.6 |
85,558.4 |
|
2,483.3 |
8,785.0 |
9,638.7 |
8,999.5 |
9,097.3 |
9,506.4 |
10,602.8 |
10,319.0 |
8,915.8 |
7,072.7 |
1,113.2 |
86,533.7 |
|
2,499.9 |
8,862.3 |
9,705.8 |
9,214.9 |
8,899.3 |
9,523.0 |
10,463.2 |
10,522.6 |
9,235.5 |
7,507.3 |
1,115.7 |
87,549.5 |
|
Total |
||||||||||||
5,304.3 |
16,938.1 |
17,057.2 |
12,716.1 |
10,147.5 |
9,237.2 |
9,604.4 |
9,716.0 |
8,629.5 |
7,513.3 |
... |
106,863.6 |
|
6,558.1 |
19,153.0 |
19,269.3 |
17,198.9 |
12,784.7 |
10,239.4 |
9,209.9 |
9,402.0 |
9,266.6 |
8,231.6 |
... |
121,313.5 |
|
4,300.9 |
17,734.9 |
20,770.6 |
19,298.4 |
17,099.8 |
12,779.3 |
10,204.6 |
9,041.7 |
9,019.8 |
8,841.9 |
... |
129,091.9 |
|
4,805.3 |
16,448.5 |
20,467.9 |
21,096.4 |
19,311.9 |
17,098.7 |
12,724.7 |
10,045.8 |
8,749.1 |
8,810.8 |
... |
139,559.1 |
|
4,325.2 |
16,440.4 |
19,970.9 |
21,326.5 |
19,807.1 |
17,431.8 |
13,696.0 |
10,480.4 |
8,807.0 |
8,726.6 |
... |
141,011.9 |
|
3,959.8 |
16,132.0 |
19,382.0 |
21,379.5 |
20,304.0 |
17,763.9 |
14,470.0 |
11,097.7 |
9,003.7 |
8,544.9 |
... |
142,037.5 |
|
3,743.2 |
15,735.4 |
18,872.8 |
21,377.6 |
20,680.8 |
18,256.9 |
15,199.4 |
11,654.8 |
9,271.3 |
8,499.5 |
... |
143,291.7 |
|
3,752.8 |
15,234.6 |
18,559.6 |
21,231.3 |
20,983.7 |
18,778.3 |
16,023.2 |
12,152.5 |
9,475.1 |
8,402.8 |
... |
144,593.9 |
|
3,982.6 |
14,857.7 |
18,554.9 |
20,858.0 |
21,251.3 |
19,312.7 |
16,918.0 |
12,553.8 |
9,748.3 |
8,511.9 |
... |
146,549.2 |
|
4,225.6 |
14,614.1 |
18,541.1 |
20,355.4 |
21,436.3 |
19,802.6 |
17,374.5 |
13,378.2 |
10,159.1 |
8,491.5 |
... |
148,378.4 |
|
4,368.2 |
14,686.5 |
18,413.1 |
19,823.3 |
21,520.9 |
20,288.3 |
17,657.1 |
14,238.6 |
10,712.4 |
8,771.4 |
... |
150,479.8 |
|
4,593.2 |
14,945.2 |
18,150.8 |
19,376.7 |
21,556.5 |
20,675.8 |
18,115.2 |
14,938.7 |
11,297.2 |
8,904.8 |
... |
152,554.1 |
|
4,701.1 |
15,332.6 |
17,771.1 |
19,110.9 |
21,430.7 |
21,023.8 |
18,641.3 |
15,740.2 |
11,781.3 |
9,169.9 |
... |
154,702.9 |
|
4,793.3 |
15,797.9 |
17,348.4 |
19,078.4 |
21,109.5 |
21,316.7 |
19,195.4 |
16,618.6 |
12,194.2 |
9,382.3 |
... |
156,834.7 |
|
4,846.4 |
16,301.6 |
17,079.5 |
19,094.6 |
20,623.3 |
21,531.8 |
19,744.7 |
17,145.8 |
12,951.1 |
9,732.2 |
... |
159,051.0 |
|
4,839.1 |
16,790.7 |
17,108.0 |
18,967.0 |
20,091.1 |
21,642.4 |
20,257.3 |
17,445.1 |
13,848.9 |
10,251.2 |
... |
161,240.8 |
|
4,818.4 |
17,206.3 |
17,370.3 |
18,690.6 |
19,622.3 |
21,680.7 |
20,675.6 |
17,941.8 |
14,540.0 |
10,811.9 |
303.6 |
163,661.5 |
|
4,837.1 |
17,448.2 |
17,783.3 |
18,315.4 |
19,346.1 |
21,577.6 |
21,039.9 |
18,489.5 |
15,330.2 |
11,273.3 |
620.7 |
166,061.3 |
|
4,854.8 |
17,598.9 |
18,269.0 |
17,900.2 |
19,307.4 |
21,262.5 |
21,359.7 |
19,063.2 |
16,191.6 |
11,665.7 |
962.6 |
168,435.6 |
|
4,864.2 |
17,727.7 |
18,757.7 |
17,645.1 |
19,312.4 |
20,784.2 |
21,604.9 |
19,630.7 |
16,723.9 |
12,379.1 |
1,352.1 |
170,782.0 |
|
4,912.8 |
17,775.4 |
19,214.2 |
17,666.1 |
19,177.7 |
20,254.8 |
21,736.5 |
20,164.0 |
17,037.4 |
13,229.1 |
1,867.6 |
173,035.6 |
|
5,005.5 |
17,861.4 |
19,551.1 |
17,888.3 |
18,887.7 |
19,787.0 |
21,793.4 |
20,615.3 |
17,550.1 |
13,888.4 |
2,347.9 |
175,176.1 |
|
5,110.9 |
17,948.7 |
19,751.0 |
18,257.8 |
18,497.8 |
19,501.7 |
21,702.9 |
21,015.4 |
18,129.1 |
14,649.1 |
2,310.0 |
176,874.4 |
|
5,144.5 |
18,104.0 |
19,911.6 |
18,696.9 |
18,062.2 |
19,464.0 |
21,395.0 |
21,369.7 |
18,728.2 |
15,476.9 |
2,304.8 |
178,657.8 |
See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age." |
· Historical figures from the Office of Research, Evaluation and Statistics.
· Future figures projected based on historical relationship to population and coverage rates.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001