Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
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III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS
A. NUMBER OF DISABILITY INSURANCE (DI) BENEFICIARIES
Table III.A31—DI Minor Children of Disabled Workers With Benefits In Force,
Awarded, Terminated, Withheld, and In Current-Payment Status
(Calendar years 1975-2000, and calendar quarters 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar period |
In force beginning of period |
Awards during period |
Gross terminations |
In force end of period |
Benefits withheld end of period |
In current- payment status end of period |
Rate (per 1,000) |
Number |
Per 1,000 in force end of period |
Number |
|
1,139.1 |
384.1 |
201.62 |
268.4 |
1,254.8 |
12.50 |
15.7 |
1,239.1 |
|
1,254.8 |
360.4 |
215.63 |
309.4 |
1,305.8 |
15.44 |
20.2 |
1,285.7 |
|
1,305.8 |
360.2 |
216.24 |
321.3 |
1,344.7 |
19.64 |
26.4 |
1,318.3 |
|
1,344.7 |
297.2 |
214.92 |
320.9 |
1,321.0 |
18.33 |
24.2 |
1,296.8 |
|
1,321.0 |
247.3 |
216.97 |
313.4 |
1,254.9 |
12.50 |
15.7 |
1,239.2 |
|
1,254.9 |
233.1 |
209.55 |
287.4 |
1,200.6 |
12.45 |
14.9 |
1,185.6 |
|
1,200.6 |
202.2 |
233.87 |
304.4 |
1,098.4 |
25.84 |
28.4 |
1,070.0 |
|
1,098.4 |
151.8 |
267.85 |
314.5 |
935.7 |
43.98 |
41.1 |
894.5 |
|
935.7 |
153.3 |
182.90 |
185.2 |
903.8 |
53.37 |
48.2 |
855.6 |
|
903.8 |
172.9 |
168.49 |
166.8 |
909.9 |
56.74 |
51.6 |
858.2 |
|
909.9 |
188.5 |
148.96 |
149.6 |
948.8 |
62.26 |
59.1 |
889.7 |
|
948.8 |
196.5 |
157.41 |
164.8 |
980.5 |
71.51 |
70.1 |
910.4 |
|
980.5 |
191.6 |
167.96 |
180.8 |
991.3 |
79.63 |
78.9 |
912.4 |
|
991.3 |
195.6 |
183.05 |
199.4 |
987.6 |
86.25 |
85.2 |
902.4 |
|
987.6 |
196.8 |
174.94 |
190.0 |
994.4 |
93.53 |
93.0 |
901.4 |
|
994.4 |
216.2 |
164.74 |
181.6 |
1,029.0 |
98.62 |
101.5 |
927.5 |
|
1,029.0 |
249.5 |
156.70 |
180.8 |
1,097.7 |
101.75 |
111.7 |
986.0 |
|
1,097.7 |
305.4 |
152.58 |
190.8 |
1,212.3 |
105.81 |
128.3 |
1,084.0 |
|
1,212.3 |
316.3 |
147.65 |
202.3 |
1,326.2 |
109.71 |
145.5 |
1,180.7 |
|
1,326.2 |
325.8 |
147.66 |
219.9 |
1,432.2 |
112.74 |
161.5 |
1,270.7 |
|
1,432.2 |
314.3 |
153.87 |
244.6 |
1,502.0 |
115.41 |
173.3 |
1,328.6 |
|
1,502.0 |
310.2 |
152.58 |
252.8 |
1,559.3 |
116.87 |
182.2 |
1,377.1 |
|
1,559.3 |
277.3 |
177.13 |
300.8 |
1,535.9 |
118.62 |
182.2 |
1,353.7 |
|
1,535.9 |
279.1 |
156.31 |
261.9 |
1,553.1 |
123.79 |
192.3 |
1,360.8 |
|
1,553.1 |
283.0 |
155.85 |
264.1 |
1,572.0 |
125.16 |
196.8 |
1,375.2 |
|
1,572.0 |
271.0 |
158.65 |
270.9 |
1,572.1 |
125.74 |
197.7 |
1,374.4 |
|
1,572.1 |
70.7 |
42.00 |
67.5 |
1,575.3 |
125.52 |
197.7 |
1,377.6 |
|
1,575.3 |
70.7 |
42.00 |
67.6 |
1,578.4 |
125.30 |
197.8 |
1,380.6 |
|
1,578.4 |
70.7 |
42.00 |
67.8 |
1,581.4 |
125.08 |
197.8 |
1,383.6 |
|
1,581.4 |
66.3 |
42.00 |
67.8 |
1,579.8 |
124.85 |
197.3 |
1,382.6 |
|
1,579.8 |
73.7 |
42.00 |
67.9 |
1,585.6 |
124.63 |
197.6 |
1,388.0 |
|
1,585.6 |
73.7 |
42.00 |
68.1 |
1,591.1 |
124.41 |
198.0 |
1,393.2 |
|
1,591.1 |
73.7 |
42.00 |
68.4 |
1,596.4 |
124.19 |
198.3 |
1,398.2 |
|
1,596.4 |
69.0 |
42.00 |
68.5 |
1,597.0 |
123.97 |
198.0 |
1,399.0 |
|
1,597.0 |
76.1 |
42.00 |
68.7 |
1,604.4 |
123.75 |
198.6 |
1,405.9 |
|
1,604.4 |
76.1 |
42.00 |
69.0 |
1,611.6 |
123.53 |
199.1 |
1,412.5 |
|
1,611.6 |
76.1 |
42.00 |
69.3 |
1,618.5 |
123.31 |
199.6 |
1,418.9 |
|
1,618.5 |
71.3 |
42.00 |
69.5 |
1,620.3 |
123.09 |
199.4 |
1,420.9 |
|
1,620.3 |
78.6 |
42.00 |
69.7 |
1,629.2 |
122.87 |
200.2 |
1,429.1 |
|
1,629.2 |
78.6 |
42.00 |
70.1 |
1,637.8 |
122.65 |
200.9 |
1,436.9 |
|
1,637.8 |
78.6 |
42.00 |
70.4 |
1,645.9 |
122.43 |
201.5 |
1,444.4 |
|
1,645.9 |
73.7 |
42.00 |
70.7 |
1,648.9 |
122.21 |
201.5 |
1,447.4 |
|
1,648.9 |
81.4 |
42.00 |
71.0 |
1,659.4 |
121.99 |
202.4 |
1,457.0 |
|
1,659.4 |
81.4 |
42.00 |
71.4 |
1,669.4 |
121.77 |
203.3 |
1,466.1 |
|
1,669.4 |
81.4 |
42.00 |
71.8 |
1,679.0 |
121.55 |
204.1 |
1,474.9 |
|
1,679.0 |
76.3 |
42.00 |
72.1 |
1,683.2 |
121.32 |
204.2 |
1,479.0 |
|
1,683.2 |
84.2 |
42.00 |
72.5 |
1,695.0 |
121.10 |
205.3 |
1,489.7 |
|
1,695.0 |
84.2 |
42.00 |
73.0 |
1,706.2 |
120.88 |
206.3 |
1,500.0 |
|
1,706.2 |
84.2 |
42.00 |
73.4 |
1,717.1 |
120.66 |
207.2 |
1,509.9 |
|
1,717.1 |
78.9 |
42.00 |
73.8 |
1,722.2 |
120.44 |
207.4 |
1,514.8 |
|
1,722.2 |
86.7 |
42.00 |
74.2 |
1,734.8 |
120.22 |
208.6 |
1,526.2 |
|
1,734.8 |
86.7 |
42.00 |
74.7 |
1,746.8 |
120.00 |
209.6 |
1,537.2 |
|
1,746.8 |
86.7 |
42.00 |
75.2 |
1,758.3 |
119.78 |
210.6 |
1,547.7 |
|
1,758.3 |
81.2 |
42.00 |
75.6 |
1,764.0 |
119.56 |
210.9 |
1,553.1 |
|
1,764.0 |
89.3 |
42.00 |
76.0 |
1,777.3 |
119.34 |
212.1 |
1,565.2 |
|
1,777.3 |
89.3 |
42.00 |
76.5 |
1,790.1 |
119.12 |
213.2 |
1,576.9 |
|
1,790.1 |
89.3 |
42.00 |
77.1 |
1,802.4 |
118.90 |
214.3 |
1,588.1 |
|
1,802.4 |
83.7 |
42.00 |
77.5 |
1,808.6 |
118.68 |
214.6 |
1,593.9 |
|
1,808.6 |
91.9 |
42.00 |
77.9 |
1,822.6 |
118.46 |
215.9 |
1,606.7 |
|
1,822.6 |
91.9 |
42.00 |
78.5 |
1,836.0 |
118.24 |
217.1 |
1,618.9 |
|
1,836.0 |
91.9 |
42.00 |
79.0 |
1,848.9 |
118.02 |
218.2 |
1,630.7 |
|
1,848.9 |
86.1 |
42.00 |
79.5 |
1,855.5 |
117.80 |
218.6 |
1,636.9 |
|
1,855.5 |
94.7 |
42.00 |
79.9 |
1,870.3 |
117.57 |
219.9 |
1,650.4 |
|
1,870.3 |
94.7 |
42.00 |
80.5 |
1,884.5 |
117.35 |
221.2 |
1,663.4 |
|
1,884.5 |
94.7 |
42.00 |
81.1 |
1,898.1 |
117.13 |
222.3 |
1,675.8 |
|
1,898.1 |
88.8 |
42.00 |
81.6 |
1,905.3 |
116.91 |
222.8 |
1,682.5 |
Sources:
· Historical number in force from 1-A Table In Force Supplement; future number in force computed by adding awards to number in force at beginning of period, and subtracting number of terminations.
· Historical awards based on SSA administrative records; future quarterly awards interpolated from annual awards (shown earlier).
· Historical termination rates computed as ratio of (a) terminations, to (b) exposure of in force population during the period; future termination rates projected based on historical trend and judgment.
· Historical number of terminations computed as beginning-of-period in force plus awards minus end-of-period in force; future number of terminations computed by applying termination rate to exposure of in force population during the period.
· Historical percentage of benefits withheld computed by dividing number withheld by end-of-period in force; future withheld percentages projected based on historical trend and judgment.
· Historical number of benefits withheld computed as end-of-period in force minus number in current-payment status; future number of benefits withheld computed by applying withheld percentage to end-of-period in force.
· Historical number of benefits in current-payment status from 1-A Table Current-Payment Supplement; future number of benefits in current-payment status computed as end-of-period in force minus number withheld.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001