Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
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III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS
A. NUMBER OF DISABILITY INSURANCE (DI) BENEFICIARIES
Table III.A32—DI Disabled Children of Disabled Workers With Benefits In Force,
Awarded, Terminated, Withheld, and In Current-Payment Status
(Calendar years 1975-2000, and calendar quarters 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar period |
In force beginning of period |
Awards during period |
Gross terminations |
In force end of period |
Benefits withheld end of period |
In current- payment status end of period |
Rate (per 1,000) |
Number |
Per 1,000 in force end of period |
Number |
|
21.6 |
7.0 |
154.35 |
3.9 |
24.7 |
20.75 |
0.5 |
24.2 |
|
24.7 |
7.4 |
161.49 |
4.6 |
27.6 |
24.45 |
.7 |
26.9 |
|
27.6 |
8.0 |
157.53 |
5.0 |
30.6 |
19.64 |
.6 |
29.9 |
|
30.6 |
7.2 |
161.29 |
5.5 |
32.3 |
20.89 |
.7 |
31.6 |
|
32.3 |
6.3 |
160.29 |
5.7 |
32.9 |
17.93 |
.6 |
32.3 |
|
32.9 |
6.2 |
153.05 |
5.5 |
33.6 |
19.96 |
.7 |
32.9 |
|
33.6 |
5.5 |
137.45 |
5.0 |
34.1 |
42.25 |
1.4 |
32.7 |
|
34.1 |
4.2 |
174.72 |
6.3 |
32.0 |
62.21 |
2.0 |
30.0 |
|
32.0 |
5.2 |
129.23 |
4.5 |
32.7 |
76.74 |
2.5 |
30.2 |
|
32.7 |
5.6 |
113.98 |
4.0 |
34.3 |
91.19 |
3.1 |
31.2 |
|
34.3 |
6.7 |
109.60 |
4.1 |
36.8 |
101.73 |
3.7 |
33.1 |
|
36.8 |
6.9 |
104.21 |
4.2 |
39.6 |
124.14 |
4.9 |
34.6 |
|
39.6 |
6.7 |
113.92 |
4.9 |
41.3 |
144.09 |
6.0 |
35.4 |
|
41.3 |
6.6 |
118.50 |
5.3 |
42.7 |
160.19 |
6.8 |
35.8 |
|
42.7 |
6.3 |
112.20 |
5.1 |
43.8 |
176.18 |
7.7 |
36.1 |
|
43.8 |
6.6 |
110.42 |
5.2 |
45.2 |
178.17 |
8.1 |
37.2 |
|
45.2 |
7.5 |
110.42 |
5.4 |
47.3 |
182.21 |
8.6 |
38.7 |
|
47.3 |
9.5 |
98.47 |
5.1 |
51.7 |
187.50 |
9.7 |
42.0 |
|
51.7 |
10.2 |
96.03 |
5.5 |
56.5 |
194.13 |
11.0 |
45.5 |
|
56.5 |
9.7 |
94.96 |
5.8 |
60.4 |
198.78 |
12.0 |
48.4 |
|
60.4 |
9.7 |
96.41 |
6.3 |
63.9 |
205.03 |
13.1 |
50.8 |
|
63.9 |
9.3 |
91.32 |
6.3 |
66.9 |
213.46 |
14.3 |
52.6 |
|
66.9 |
8.5 |
103.87 |
7.4 |
68.0 |
221.00 |
15.0 |
53.0 |
|
68.0 |
9.1 |
91.75 |
6.7 |
70.4 |
226.81 |
16.0 |
54.4 |
|
70.4 |
9.8 |
100.75 |
7.6 |
72.6 |
230.29 |
16.7 |
55.9 |
|
72.6 |
9.6 |
109.80 |
8.5 |
73.7 |
230.40 |
17.0 |
56.8 |
|
73.7 |
2.4 |
27.50 |
2.1 |
74.1 |
229.77 |
17.0 |
57.1 |
|
74.1 |
2.4 |
27.50 |
2.1 |
74.5 |
229.14 |
17.1 |
57.4 |
|
74.5 |
2.4 |
27.50 |
2.1 |
74.8 |
228.51 |
17.1 |
57.7 |
|
74.8 |
2.3 |
27.50 |
2.1 |
75.0 |
227.88 |
17.1 |
57.9 |
|
75.0 |
2.4 |
27.50 |
2.1 |
75.3 |
227.24 |
17.1 |
58.2 |
|
75.3 |
2.4 |
27.50 |
2.1 |
75.7 |
226.61 |
17.1 |
58.5 |
|
75.7 |
2.4 |
27.50 |
2.1 |
76.0 |
225.98 |
17.2 |
58.8 |
|
76.0 |
2.3 |
27.50 |
2.1 |
76.2 |
225.35 |
17.2 |
59.0 |
|
76.2 |
2.4 |
27.50 |
2.1 |
76.5 |
224.72 |
17.2 |
59.3 |
|
76.5 |
2.4 |
27.50 |
2.1 |
76.8 |
224.09 |
17.2 |
59.6 |
|
76.8 |
2.4 |
27.50 |
2.1 |
77.1 |
223.45 |
17.2 |
59.8 |
|
77.1 |
2.3 |
27.50 |
2.2 |
77.2 |
222.82 |
17.2 |
60.0 |
|
77.2 |
2.5 |
27.50 |
2.2 |
77.6 |
222.19 |
17.2 |
60.3 |
|
77.6 |
2.5 |
27.50 |
2.2 |
77.9 |
221.56 |
17.3 |
60.6 |
|
77.9 |
2.5 |
27.50 |
2.2 |
78.2 |
220.93 |
17.3 |
61.0 |
|
78.2 |
2.4 |
27.50 |
2.2 |
78.4 |
220.29 |
17.3 |
61.1 |
|
78.4 |
2.6 |
27.50 |
2.2 |
78.8 |
219.66 |
17.3 |
61.5 |
|
78.8 |
2.6 |
27.50 |
2.2 |
79.2 |
219.03 |
17.4 |
61.9 |
|
79.2 |
2.6 |
27.50 |
2.2 |
79.6 |
218.40 |
17.4 |
62.2 |
|
79.6 |
2.4 |
27.50 |
2.2 |
79.8 |
217.77 |
17.4 |
62.5 |
|
79.8 |
2.7 |
27.50 |
2.2 |
80.3 |
217.14 |
17.4 |
62.9 |
|
80.3 |
2.7 |
27.50 |
2.2 |
80.8 |
216.51 |
17.5 |
63.3 |
|
80.8 |
2.7 |
27.50 |
2.3 |
81.2 |
215.87 |
17.5 |
63.7 |
|
81.2 |
2.5 |
27.50 |
2.3 |
81.5 |
215.24 |
17.5 |
63.9 |
|
81.5 |
2.8 |
27.50 |
2.3 |
81.9 |
214.61 |
17.6 |
64.4 |
|
81.9 |
2.8 |
27.50 |
2.3 |
82.4 |
213.98 |
17.6 |
64.8 |
|
82.4 |
2.8 |
27.50 |
2.3 |
82.9 |
213.35 |
17.7 |
65.2 |
|
82.9 |
2.6 |
27.50 |
2.3 |
83.2 |
212.71 |
17.7 |
65.5 |
|
83.2 |
2.9 |
27.50 |
2.3 |
83.7 |
212.08 |
17.8 |
66.0 |
|
83.7 |
2.9 |
27.50 |
2.3 |
84.2 |
211.45 |
17.8 |
66.4 |
|
84.2 |
2.9 |
27.50 |
2.4 |
84.7 |
210.82 |
17.9 |
66.9 |
|
84.7 |
2.7 |
27.50 |
2.4 |
85.0 |
210.19 |
17.9 |
67.2 |
|
85.0 |
2.9 |
27.50 |
2.4 |
85.6 |
209.56 |
17.9 |
67.7 |
|
85.6 |
2.9 |
27.50 |
2.4 |
86.2 |
208.92 |
18.0 |
68.2 |
|
86.2 |
2.9 |
27.50 |
2.4 |
86.7 |
208.29 |
18.1 |
68.6 |
|
86.7 |
2.8 |
27.50 |
2.4 |
87.0 |
207.66 |
18.1 |
68.9 |
|
87.0 |
3.0 |
27.50 |
2.4 |
87.6 |
207.03 |
18.1 |
69.5 |
|
87.6 |
3.0 |
27.50 |
2.5 |
88.2 |
206.40 |
18.2 |
70.0 |
|
88.2 |
3.0 |
27.50 |
2.5 |
88.8 |
205.77 |
18.3 |
70.5 |
|
88.8 |
2.8 |
27.50 |
2.5 |
89.1 |
205.13 |
18.3 |
70.8 |
Sources:
· Historical number in force from 1-A Table In Force Supplement; future number in force computed by adding awards to number in force at beginning of period, and subtracting number of terminations.
· Historical awards based on SSA administrative records; future quarterly awards interpolated from annual awards (shown earlier).
· Historical termination rates computed as ratio of (a) terminations, to (b) exposure of in force population during the period; future termination rates projected based on historical trend and judgment.
· Historical number of terminations computed as beginning-of-period in force plus awards minus end-of-period in force; future number of terminations computed by applying termination rate to exposure of in force population during the period.
· Historical percentage of benefits withheld computed by dividing number withheld by end-of-period in force; future withheld percentages projected based on historical trend and judgment.
· Historical number of benefits withheld computed as end-of-period in force minus number in current-payment status; future number of benefits withheld computed by applying withheld percentage to end-of-period in force.
· Historical number of benefits in current-payment status from 1-A Table Current-Payment Supplement; future number of benefits in current-payment status computed as end-of-period in force minus number withheld.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001