Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
||
Year |
65-NRA 1
|
|||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Male |
||||||||||||
3,003.5 |
8,273.6 |
8,191.0 |
6,399.7 |
5,319.9 |
4,910.9 |
5,036.8 |
4,977.1 |
4,389.0 |
3,821.5 |
... |
54,323.0 |
|
3,586.3 |
9,606.5 |
9,218.0 |
8,068.2 |
6,347.7 |
5,238.3 |
4,733.3 |
4,832.9 |
4,672.1 |
3,836.7 |
... |
60,140.0 |
|
2,219.2 |
8,649.9 |
9,951.9 |
9,168.8 |
8,104.8 |
6,318.9 |
5,124.3 |
4,560.7 |
4,569.9 |
4,227.2 |
... |
62,895.6 |
|
2,424.3 |
8,038.6 |
9,748.6 |
9,909.4 |
9,156.8 |
8,069.7 |
6,175.3 |
4,941.1 |
4,318.5 |
4,115.6 |
... |
66,897.9 |
|
2,144.9 |
7,907.4 |
9,548.7 |
9,985.3 |
9,435.3 |
8,309.4 |
6,552.9 |
5,064.2 |
4,379.8 |
4,051.6 |
... |
67,379.5 |
|
1,906.1 |
7,643.9 |
9,296.2 |
10,094.6 |
9,691.2 |
8,431.8 |
6,981.6 |
5,363.2 |
4,425.1 |
4,003.4 |
... |
67,837.1 |
|
1,805.5 |
7,426.0 |
9,042.2 |
10,176.8 |
9,892.2 |
8,649.9 |
7,287.3 |
5,664.7 |
4,532.0 |
3,958.8 |
... |
68,435.4 |
|
1,829.1 |
7,263.0 |
8,824.1 |
10,155.5 |
10,027.7 |
8,944.2 |
7,650.7 |
5,878.3 |
4,632.3 |
3,945.5 |
... |
69,150.4 |
|
1,956.9 |
7,079.0 |
8,774.2 |
9,971.0 |
10,186.0 |
9,243.9 |
8,019.6 |
6,053.5 |
4,737.4 |
3,957.2 |
... |
69,978.7 |
|
2,067.5 |
6,948.3 |
8,746.8 |
9,719.5 |
10,272.1 |
9,509.0 |
8,251.5 |
6,434.9 |
4,862.9 |
4,002.7 |
... |
70,815.2 |
|
2,139.0 |
6,986.9 |
8,647.3 |
9,437.7 |
10,295.8 |
9,716.3 |
8,335.9 |
6,842.7 |
5,145.6 |
4,043.7 |
... |
71,590.9 |
|
2,244.9 |
7,070.5 |
8,490.6 |
9,165.2 |
10,319.7 |
9,869.2 |
8,527.3 |
7,131.6 |
5,428.2 |
4,122.6 |
... |
72,369.8 |
|
2,305.9 |
7,245.1 |
8,333.1 |
9,006.5 |
10,093.6 |
9,900.0 |
8,755.3 |
7,417.1 |
5,561.8 |
4,213.7 |
... |
72,832.1 |
|
2,354.8 |
7,542.1 |
8,114.5 |
8,942.9 |
9,990.1 |
10,105.8 |
9,020.6 |
7,815.0 |
5,775.0 |
4,294.2 |
... |
73,955.0 |
|
2,375.6 |
7,838.3 |
7,978.9 |
8,953.4 |
9,754.7 |
10,201.9 |
9,256.5 |
8,009.7 |
6,074.7 |
4,436.8 |
... |
74,880.4 |
|
2,372.2 |
8,091.5 |
7,988.3 |
8,852.8 |
9,447.7 |
10,225.9 |
9,480.7 |
8,114.0 |
6,452.8 |
4,676.9 |
... |
75,702.7 |
|
2,362.3 |
8,297.3 |
8,111.9 |
8,702.8 |
9,177.6 |
10,228.3 |
9,663.0 |
8,316.8 |
6,724.7 |
4,935.9 |
129.7 |
76,650.3 |
|
2,372.1 |
8,412.9 |
8,309.1 |
8,503.2 |
9,013.4 |
10,158.8 |
9,808.8 |
8,551.8 |
7,048.3 |
5,126.4 |
264.6 |
77,569.4 |
|
2,381.4 |
8,487.3 |
8,545.1 |
8,284.7 |
8,956.2 |
9,989.4 |
9,929.5 |
8,800.6 |
7,389.2 |
5,271.3 |
408.6 |
78,443.3 |
|
2,387.1 |
8,549.3 |
8,783.9 |
8,144.4 |
8,916.5 |
9,736.4 |
10,016.3 |
9,050.3 |
7,582.4 |
5,563.9 |
572.9 |
79,303.3 |
|
2,412.7 |
8,571.2 |
9,006.2 |
8,143.7 |
8,818.2 |
9,439.7 |
10,058.3 |
9,281.2 |
7,682.2 |
5,932.2 |
790.3 |
80,136.0 |
|
2,459.7 |
8,612.6 |
9,185.4 |
8,236.0 |
8,659.1 |
9,166.4 |
10,069.1 |
9,468.2 |
7,876.4 |
6,208.4 |
990.1 |
80,931.4 |
|
2,512.8 |
8,656.5 |
9,299.5 |
8,397.4 |
8,450.2 |
8,992.4 |
10,006.5 |
9,624.0 |
8,106.4 |
6,516.3 |
969.4 |
81,531.4 |
|
2,530.9 |
8,734.0 |
9,388.6 |
8,597.3 |
8,234.0 |
8,929.0 |
9,841.6 |
9,755.9 |
8,347.8 |
6,836.0 |
963.2 |
82,158.4 |
|
Female |
||||||||||||
1,944.5 |
5,870.4 |
5,098.3 |
2,913.1 |
2,289.9 |
2,360.3 |
2,725.6 |
2,914.8 |
2,645.8 |
2,219.3 |
... |
30,982.0 |
|
2,754.8 |
7,803.8 |
6,885.5 |
4,928.5 |
3,440.6 |
3,028.4 |
2,894.2 |
3,055.0 |
2,997.1 |
2,400.8 |
... |
40,188.7 |
|
1,886.2 |
7,218.4 |
8,024.5 |
6,681.7 |
5,578.2 |
4,341.7 |
3,622.2 |
3,219.4 |
3,192.7 |
2,911.1 |
... |
46,676.1 |
|
2,116.3 |
6,984.4 |
8,205.6 |
7,781.7 |
6,941.8 |
6,269.2 |
4,815.6 |
3,817.6 |
3,250.2 |
3,000.3 |
... |
53,182.7 |
|
1,902.0 |
6,880.8 |
8,071.2 |
7,960.3 |
7,217.3 |
6,580.5 |
5,189.6 |
4,010.4 |
3,319.8 |
3,018.5 |
... |
54,150.4 |
|
1,749.2 |
6,651.5 |
7,892.0 |
8,109.0 |
7,486.8 |
6,770.9 |
5,628.4 |
4,319.3 |
3,397.5 |
3,041.4 |
... |
55,046.0 |
|
1,655.5 |
6,519.3 |
7,715.4 |
8,164.6 |
7,753.6 |
7,022.3 |
5,974.3 |
4,596.5 |
3,560.7 |
3,032.5 |
... |
55,994.7 |
|
1,685.3 |
6,375.9 |
7,608.7 |
8,202.1 |
7,928.9 |
7,289.4 |
6,378.3 |
4,845.2 |
3,677.7 |
3,063.4 |
... |
57,054.9 |
|
1,806.4 |
6,295.2 |
7,634.5 |
8,097.1 |
8,105.0 |
7,543.5 |
6,803.3 |
5,041.8 |
3,833.6 |
3,093.7 |
... |
58,254.1 |
|
1,953.2 |
6,258.1 |
7,693.0 |
7,945.8 |
8,234.4 |
7,768.9 |
7,076.9 |
5,404.3 |
4,026.0 |
3,139.4 |
... |
59,500.0 |
|
2,020.7 |
6,405.3 |
7,646.0 |
7,774.5 |
8,324.5 |
7,969.0 |
7,204.5 |
5,809.1 |
4,294.6 |
3,190.3 |
... |
60,638.5 |
|
2,131.0 |
6,555.8 |
7,613.2 |
7,637.3 |
8,353.6 |
8,167.1 |
7,397.8 |
6,123.6 |
4,541.3 |
3,305.8 |
... |
61,826.5 |
|
2,155.2 |
6,747.1 |
7,534.3 |
7,645.1 |
8,433.0 |
8,417.2 |
7,742.7 |
6,589.9 |
4,822.5 |
3,448.1 |
... |
63,535.2 |
|
2,200.8 |
6,972.5 |
7,419.2 |
7,706.1 |
8,344.6 |
8,571.1 |
7,965.6 |
6,982.8 |
5,003.1 |
3,577.0 |
... |
64,742.7 |
|
2,226.5 |
7,222.2 |
7,356.2 |
7,783.3 |
8,209.0 |
8,718.9 |
8,244.3 |
7,285.1 |
5,366.6 |
3,735.0 |
... |
66,147.3 |
|
2,224.0 |
7,436.6 |
7,399.3 |
7,803.2 |
8,057.9 |
8,805.5 |
8,483.7 |
7,463.8 |
5,780.6 |
3,954.6 |
... |
67,409.2 |
|
2,213.5 |
7,612.1 |
7,535.7 |
7,748.8 |
7,934.0 |
8,861.5 |
8,699.1 |
7,735.8 |
6,128.2 |
4,191.1 |
109.5 |
68,769.4 |
|
2,221.0 |
7,726.8 |
7,733.4 |
7,650.2 |
7,884.8 |
8,856.6 |
8,894.2 |
8,013.9 |
6,510.0 |
4,392.9 |
224.1 |
70,107.8 |
|
2,228.9 |
7,800.8 |
7,958.7 |
7,531.4 |
7,933.9 |
8,761.5 |
9,075.8 |
8,304.6 |
6,928.9 |
4,560.2 |
346.5 |
71,431.1 |
|
2,232.6 |
7,867.6 |
8,182.7 |
7,472.1 |
7,999.7 |
8,605.8 |
9,220.5 |
8,585.9 |
7,208.0 |
4,867.0 |
487.1 |
72,729.0 |
|
2,253.5 |
7,897.9 |
8,393.9 |
7,514.3 |
8,008.6 |
8,435.4 |
9,310.7 |
8,851.4 |
7,395.2 |
5,249.0 |
677.9 |
73,987.7 |
|
2,294.9 |
7,943.6 |
8,537.9 |
7,639.9 |
7,939.7 |
8,288.6 |
9,366.3 |
9,084.6 |
7,661.6 |
5,543.7 |
855.5 |
75,156.3 |
|
2,343.0 |
7,990.7 |
8,623.5 |
7,824.7 |
7,824.9 |
8,217.1 |
9,358.7 |
9,297.7 |
7,948.3 |
5,867.1 |
846.0 |
76,141.8 |
|
2,357.9 |
8,069.5 |
8,699.1 |
8,037.2 |
7,681.2 |
8,254.5 |
9,255.5 |
9,488.6 |
8,238.4 |
6,212.0 |
847.9 |
77,141.9 |
|
Total |
||||||||||||
4,948.0 |
14,144.0 |
13,289.3 |
9,312.8 |
7,609.8 |
7,271.2 |
7,762.4 |
7,891.9 |
7,034.8 |
6,040.8 |
... |
85,305.0 |
|
6,341.1 |
17,410.3 |
16,103.5 |
12,996.7 |
9,788.3 |
8,266.7 |
7,627.5 |
7,887.9 |
7,669.2 |
6,237.5 |
... |
100,328.7 |
|
4,105.4 |
15,868.3 |
17,976.4 |
15,850.5 |
13,683.0 |
10,660.6 |
8,746.5 |
7,780.1 |
7,762.6 |
7,138.3 |
... |
109,571.7 |
|
4,540.6 |
15,023.0 |
17,954.2 |
17,691.1 |
16,098.6 |
14,338.9 |
10,990.9 |
8,758.7 |
7,568.7 |
7,115.9 |
... |
120,080.6 |
|
4,046.9 |
14,788.2 |
17,619.9 |
17,945.6 |
16,652.6 |
14,889.9 |
11,742.5 |
9,074.6 |
7,699.6 |
7,070.1 |
... |
121,529.9 |
|
3,655.3 |
14,295.4 |
17,188.2 |
18,203.6 |
17,178.0 |
15,202.7 |
12,610.0 |
9,682.5 |
7,822.6 |
7,044.8 |
... |
122,883.1 |
|
3,461.0 |
13,945.3 |
16,757.6 |
18,341.4 |
17,645.8 |
15,672.2 |
13,261.6 |
10,261.2 |
8,092.7 |
6,991.3 |
... |
124,430.1 |
|
3,514.4 |
13,638.9 |
16,432.8 |
18,357.6 |
17,956.6 |
16,233.6 |
14,029.0 |
10,723.5 |
8,310.0 |
7,008.9 |
... |
126,205.3 |
|
3,763.3 |
13,374.2 |
16,408.7 |
18,068.1 |
18,291.0 |
16,787.4 |
14,822.9 |
11,095.3 |
8,571.0 |
7,050.9 |
... |
128,232.8 |
|
4,020.7 |
13,206.4 |
16,439.8 |
17,665.3 |
18,506.5 |
17,277.9 |
15,328.4 |
11,839.2 |
8,888.9 |
7,142.1 |
... |
130,315.2 |
|
4,159.7 |
13,392.2 |
16,293.3 |
17,212.2 |
18,620.3 |
17,685.3 |
15,540.4 |
12,651.8 |
9,440.2 |
7,234.0 |
... |
132,229.4 |
|
4,375.9 |
13,626.3 |
16,103.8 |
16,802.5 |
18,673.3 |
18,036.3 |
15,925.1 |
13,255.2 |
9,969.5 |
7,428.4 |
... |
134,196.3 |
|
4,461.1 |
13,992.2 |
15,867.5 |
16,651.7 |
18,526.6 |
18,317.2 |
16,498.0 |
14,006.9 |
10,384.3 |
7,661.8 |
... |
136,367.4 |
|
4,555.6 |
14,514.5 |
15,533.7 |
16,649.0 |
18,334.8 |
18,676.9 |
16,986.1 |
14,797.7 |
10,778.1 |
7,871.2 |
... |
138,697.7 |
|
4,602.1 |
15,060.5 |
15,335.1 |
16,736.7 |
17,963.7 |
18,920.8 |
17,500.8 |
15,294.9 |
11,441.3 |
8,171.8 |
... |
141,027.7 |
|
4,596.2 |
15,528.1 |
15,387.6 |
16,656.0 |
17,505.7 |
19,031.5 |
17,964.4 |
15,577.8 |
12,233.4 |
8,631.5 |
... |
143,111.9 |
|
4,575.8 |
15,909.4 |
15,647.6 |
16,451.7 |
17,111.6 |
19,089.8 |
18,362.2 |
16,052.5 |
12,852.9 |
9,126.9 |
239.2 |
145,419.7 |
|
4,593.1 |
16,139.6 |
16,042.5 |
16,153.4 |
16,898.2 |
19,015.4 |
18,703.0 |
16,565.7 |
13,558.3 |
9,519.4 |
488.7 |
147,677.3 |
|
4,610.3 |
16,288.0 |
16,503.8 |
15,816.0 |
16,890.2 |
18,751.0 |
19,005.3 |
17,105.2 |
14,318.1 |
9,831.5 |
755.1 |
149,874.4 |
|
4,619.7 |
16,416.9 |
16,966.6 |
15,616.5 |
16,916.1 |
18,342.3 |
19,236.8 |
17,636.2 |
14,790.4 |
10,430.9 |
1,060.0 |
152,032.2 |
|
4,666.3 |
16,469.1 |
17,400.0 |
15,658.0 |
16,826.8 |
17,875.0 |
19,369.0 |
18,132.6 |
15,077.4 |
11,181.2 |
1,468.2 |
154,123.7 |
|
4,754.6 |
16,556.3 |
17,723.3 |
15,875.9 |
16,598.9 |
17,455.0 |
19,435.3 |
18,552.8 |
15,538.0 |
11,752.1 |
1,845.5 |
156,087.7 |
|
4,855.8 |
16,647.3 |
17,923.0 |
16,222.1 |
16,275.0 |
17,209.5 |
19,365.2 |
18,921.8 |
16,054.8 |
12,383.4 |
1,815.4 |
157,673.3 |
|
4,888.8 |
16,803.5 |
18,087.8 |
16,634.5 |
15,915.2 |
17,183.5 |
19,097.1 |
19,244.5 |
16,586.3 |
13,048.0 |
1,811.1 |
159,300.3 |
1 See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age." |
· Historical figures supplied by the Office of Research, Evaluation and Statistics.
· Future figures computed by applying a) projected rates of disability insured as a percent of fully insured, to b) projected fully insured workers.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001