Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
||
Year |
65-NRA 1
|
|||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Male |
||||||||||||
1.3 |
23.7 |
54.5 |
58.7 |
70.0 |
107.1 |
166.3 |
272.5 |
398.9 |
568.7 |
... |
1,721.8 |
|
1.1 |
21.9 |
58.5 |
89.4 |
96.9 |
116.1 |
172.4 |
277.6 |
463.9 |
637.1 |
... |
1,934.9 |
|
.5 |
20.2 |
63.7 |
98.5 |
126.1 |
133.4 |
155.7 |
231.9 |
385.1 |
587.4 |
... |
1,802.4 |
|
.9 |
20.0 |
71.9 |
132.5 |
174.0 |
207.4 |
214.2 |
255.0 |
376.5 |
545.5 |
... |
1,997.9 |
|
1.0 |
22.4 |
74.4 |
140.9 |
189.5 |
227.0 |
236.0 |
272.9 |
387.7 |
547.6 |
... |
2,099.3 |
|
1.0 |
26.6 |
80.7 |
152.9 |
211.5 |
248.1 |
266.2 |
300.7 |
406.4 |
557.9 |
... |
2,252.1 |
|
1.0 |
28.2 |
85.0 |
162.7 |
229.9 |
269.9 |
294.0 |
328.8 |
428.0 |
563.8 |
... |
2,391.3 |
|
.9 |
27.3 |
85.2 |
167.3 |
242.9 |
288.2 |
322.7 |
354.1 |
445.5 |
578.3 |
... |
2,512.3 |
|
.8 |
24.3 |
83.9 |
165.7 |
250.8 |
304.9 |
352.2 |
376.0 |
465.6 |
592.8 |
... |
2,617.1 |
|
.8 |
21.3 |
81.1 |
160.5 |
254.7 |
319.0 |
372.5 |
403.1 |
487.3 |
604.0 |
... |
2,704.2 |
|
.7 |
19.5 |
74.7 |
148.4 |
245.0 |
320.1 |
372.0 |
424.5 |
509.3 |
611.3 |
... |
2,725.6 |
|
.8 |
19.2 |
70.1 |
141.5 |
243.1 |
330.3 |
384.8 |
448.8 |
536.0 |
627.0 |
... |
2,801.6 |
|
.8 |
20.1 |
65.7 |
133.3 |
239.6 |
337.0 |
397.9 |
476.5 |
558.6 |
637.9 |
... |
2,867.5 |
|
.9 |
22.0 |
61.8 |
126.8 |
230.2 |
339.4 |
409.8 |
504.0 |
576.9 |
651.9 |
... |
2,923.7 |
|
.9 |
24.2 |
60.2 |
122.2 |
221.0 |
340.8 |
422.6 |
521.9 |
606.6 |
677.8 |
... |
2,998.2 |
|
.9 |
25.9 |
61.1 |
118.4 |
212.0 |
339.5 |
436.3 |
530.1 |
642.3 |
715.6 |
... |
3,082.0 |
|
.9 |
27.4 |
63.7 |
114.6 |
203.5 |
337.7 |
447.6 |
543.8 |
672.2 |
757.7 |
22.6 |
3,192.0 |
|
.9 |
28.2 |
67.0 |
111.1 |
195.4 |
334.3 |
455.8 |
559.8 |
710.0 |
795.7 |
46.7 |
3,304.9 |
|
.9 |
28.6 |
70.5 |
107.4 |
191.1 |
327.0 |
462.3 |
578.4 |
752.1 |
829.2 |
73.9 |
3,421.5 |
|
.9 |
28.9 |
74.1 |
105.5 |
187.9 |
317.2 |
466.2 |
596.8 |
777.1 |
878.6 |
105.3 |
3,538.4 |
|
.9 |
29.1 |
77.2 |
106.5 |
184.5 |
306.7 |
466.6 |
615.1 |
787.8 |
933.4 |
146.2 |
3,653.8 |
|
1.0 |
29.3 |
79.8 |
109.5 |
180.4 |
296.4 |
466.0 |
630.6 |
808.6 |
977.3 |
185.5 |
3,764.3 |
|
1.0 |
29.5 |
81.5 |
113.5 |
175.9 |
287.7 |
463.1 |
643.0 |
833.5 |
1,033.3 |
181.6 |
3,843.8 |
|
1.0 |
29.9 |
82.8 |
118.2 |
171.2 |
284.1 |
455.9 |
654.4 |
862.8 |
1,096.3 |
181.3 |
3,937.9 |
|
Female |
||||||||||||
.3 |
7.7 |
18.0 |
21.9 |
25.8 |
41.1 |
70.4 |
127.1 |
199.1 |
270.3 |
... |
781.7 |
|
.4 |
7.9 |
24.2 |
36.2 |
40.5 |
49.4 |
76.7 |
134.4 |
237.3 |
326.3 |
... |
933.4 |
|
.2 |
8.0 |
25.9 |
43.8 |
55.4 |
60.9 |
72.8 |
113.0 |
195.9 |
302.2 |
... |
877.9 |
|
.4 |
9.3 |
33.7 |
62.7 |
86.9 |
105.2 |
117.1 |
142.7 |
207.9 |
290.7 |
... |
1,056.5 |
|
.5 |
11.0 |
35.8 |
68.5 |
97.3 |
118.6 |
133.2 |
158.1 |
220.5 |
296.8 |
... |
1,140.5 |
|
.6 |
13.9 |
40.7 |
76.7 |
110.5 |
135.1 |
154.6 |
181.8 |
238.4 |
309.6 |
... |
1,261.9 |
|
.6 |
15.4 |
44.7 |
84.7 |
123.8 |
152.1 |
175.6 |
206.0 |
259.6 |
321.1 |
... |
1,383.5 |
|
.5 |
15.3 |
46.6 |
91.5 |
135.6 |
169.6 |
198.7 |
230.6 |
280.4 |
337.9 |
... |
1,506.8 |
|
.5 |
14.2 |
48.3 |
95.5 |
146.6 |
188.0 |
224.4 |
255.2 |
306.0 |
357.8 |
... |
1,636.3 |
|
.5 |
12.8 |
49.0 |
97.0 |
155.6 |
205.5 |
246.3 |
284.4 |
334.3 |
377.7 |
... |
1,763.0 |
|
.5 |
12.0 |
47.7 |
95.6 |
158.9 |
217.3 |
260.8 |
311.7 |
364.3 |
396.9 |
... |
1,865.7 |
|
.5 |
12.2 |
46.8 |
94.9 |
164.6 |
230.9 |
279.7 |
338.3 |
397.9 |
422.4 |
... |
1,988.0 |
|
.5 |
13.1 |
45.9 |
93.0 |
168.8 |
243.3 |
299.7 |
366.9 |
429.8 |
445.3 |
... |
2,106.3 |
|
.6 |
14.8 |
44.8 |
92.4 |
169.0 |
251.8 |
317.5 |
395.8 |
455.0 |
470.8 |
... |
2,212.7 |
|
.6 |
16.2 |
44.9 |
93.1 |
167.6 |
259.2 |
334.6 |
417.8 |
489.3 |
503.0 |
... |
2,326.2 |
|
.6 |
17.4 |
46.3 |
93.4 |
166.0 |
264.8 |
350.4 |
434.1 |
526.2 |
544.2 |
... |
2,443.4 |
|
.6 |
18.3 |
48.6 |
93.3 |
163.7 |
270.2 |
364.5 |
453.8 |
558.2 |
587.6 |
16.8 |
2,575.7 |
|
.6 |
18.7 |
51.1 |
92.6 |
161.0 |
273.3 |
377.0 |
475.2 |
596.5 |
627.5 |
35.3 |
2,709.0 |
|
.6 |
18.9 |
53.6 |
91.2 |
161.6 |
273.0 |
388.3 |
497.8 |
639.8 |
661.9 |
56.9 |
2,843.6 |
|
.6 |
19.1 |
56.0 |
90.8 |
163.2 |
269.9 |
397.4 |
519.7 |
670.5 |
711.1 |
81.9 |
2,980.3 |
|
.6 |
19.1 |
58.2 |
92.3 |
163.9 |
266.2 |
403.8 |
539.8 |
690.7 |
764.9 |
115.8 |
3,115.3 |
|
.6 |
19.2 |
59.9 |
95.2 |
163.7 |
262.2 |
409.8 |
558.2 |
718.7 |
810.8 |
148.9 |
3,247.1 |
|
.6 |
19.3 |
61.0 |
98.8 |
162.3 |
259.1 |
413.0 |
575.3 |
749.6 |
865.6 |
147.9 |
3,352.5 |
|
.6 |
19.5 |
61.7 |
102.7 |
159.9 |
260.6 |
411.8 |
591.4 |
782.7 |
926.4 |
148.7 |
3,466.1 |
|
Total |
||||||||||||
1.6 |
31.4 |
72.5 |
80.6 |
95.8 |
148.3 |
236.7 |
399.6 |
598.1 |
839.0 |
... |
2,503.6 |
|
1.5 |
29.8 |
82.6 |
125.6 |
137.5 |
165.6 |
249.2 |
411.9 |
701.3 |
963.4 |
... |
2,868.3 |
|
.7 |
28.2 |
89.6 |
142.3 |
181.5 |
194.2 |
228.4 |
344.9 |
580.9 |
889.5 |
... |
2,680.3 |
|
1.3 |
29.4 |
105.6 |
195.2 |
260.9 |
312.6 |
331.2 |
397.7 |
584.4 |
836.2 |
... |
3,054.5 |
|
1.5 |
33.4 |
110.2 |
209.4 |
286.8 |
345.6 |
369.2 |
431.0 |
608.2 |
844.5 |
... |
3,239.8 |
|
1.7 |
40.5 |
121.4 |
229.6 |
322.0 |
383.2 |
420.8 |
482.5 |
644.8 |
867.5 |
... |
3,514.1 |
|
1.6 |
43.7 |
129.7 |
247.4 |
353.7 |
422.0 |
469.6 |
534.7 |
687.6 |
884.9 |
... |
3,774.9 |
|
1.4 |
42.6 |
131.9 |
258.8 |
378.5 |
457.9 |
521.4 |
584.7 |
725.8 |
916.3 |
... |
4,019.2 |
|
1.3 |
38.5 |
132.2 |
261.2 |
397.4 |
492.9 |
576.6 |
631.2 |
771.6 |
950.6 |
... |
4,253.5 |
|
1.3 |
34.1 |
130.0 |
257.4 |
410.4 |
524.5 |
618.8 |
687.4 |
821.6 |
981.7 |
... |
4,467.3 |
|
1.2 |
31.5 |
122.4 |
243.9 |
403.9 |
537.4 |
632.8 |
736.2 |
873.6 |
1,008.3 |
... |
4,591.3 |
|
1.2 |
31.4 |
116.9 |
236.4 |
407.6 |
561.2 |
664.4 |
787.1 |
933.9 |
1,049.4 |
... |
4,789.6 |
|
1.3 |
33.1 |
111.6 |
226.2 |
408.4 |
580.4 |
697.6 |
843.5 |
988.4 |
1,083.1 |
... |
4,973.8 |
|
1.5 |
36.8 |
106.6 |
219.2 |
399.2 |
591.2 |
727.3 |
899.8 |
1,031.9 |
1,122.8 |
... |
5,136.4 |
|
1.5 |
40.4 |
105.1 |
215.3 |
388.6 |
600.0 |
757.2 |
939.7 |
1,095.8 |
1,180.8 |
... |
5,324.4 |
|
1.5 |
43.4 |
107.4 |
211.7 |
378.0 |
604.3 |
786.6 |
964.1 |
1,168.5 |
1,259.8 |
... |
5,525.4 |
|
1.5 |
45.7 |
112.3 |
208.0 |
367.2 |
607.9 |
812.1 |
997.7 |
1,230.5 |
1,345.4 |
39.4 |
5,767.7 |
|
1.5 |
46.9 |
118.1 |
203.7 |
356.5 |
607.6 |
832.8 |
1,035.1 |
1,306.5 |
1,423.3 |
82.0 |
6,013.9 |
|
1.5 |
47.6 |
124.1 |
198.7 |
352.7 |
600.0 |
850.6 |
1,076.2 |
1,392.0 |
1,491.0 |
130.8 |
6,265.1 |
|
1.5 |
48.0 |
130.1 |
196.3 |
351.1 |
587.2 |
863.6 |
1,116.4 |
1,447.6 |
1,589.7 |
187.2 |
6,518.7 |
|
1.5 |
48.1 |
135.4 |
198.8 |
348.4 |
572.8 |
870.5 |
1,154.9 |
1,478.4 |
1,698.3 |
262.0 |
6,769.1 |
|
1.5 |
48.4 |
139.7 |
204.6 |
344.1 |
558.6 |
875.8 |
1,188.8 |
1,527.3 |
1,788.0 |
334.4 |
7,011.4 |
|
1.6 |
48.8 |
142.4 |
212.3 |
338.2 |
546.9 |
876.1 |
1,218.4 |
1,583.2 |
1,898.9 |
329.5 |
7,196.3 |
|
1.6 |
49.4 |
144.5 |
220.9 |
331.2 |
544.6 |
867.7 |
1,245.8 |
1,645.5 |
2,022.7 |
330.0 |
7,403.9 |
1 See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age." |
· Historical figures from SSA administrative records.
· Projected figures computed as beginning of year in force plus awards minus total terminations.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001