Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B1—Population in the Social Security Area, Age 60 or older
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
Year
  60-61
  62-64
  65-69
  70-74
  75-79
  80-84
  85-89
  90-94
  95 or
older
  Total
Male
1975
1,918.8
2,651.6
3,634.7
2,599.9
1,702.1
1,013.0
446.0
134.2
25.1
14,125.5
1980
2,096.7
2,836.1
3,984.1
2,944.3
1,909.2
1,079.9
516.4
166.8
36.6
15,570.2
1985
2,148.0
3,100.7
4,345.8
3,281.2
2,177.5
1,230.7
564.0
199.4
48.9
17,096.3
1990
2,118.0
3,072.3
4,662.9
3,626.0
2,501.3
1,428.2
653.0
217.2
56.3
18,335.2
1991
2,073.9
3,086.5
4,633.2
3,744.0
2,576.6
1,488.2
679.9
226.2
57.9
18,566.5
1992
2,015.3
3,059.3
4,665.7
3,827.3
2,622.6
1,558.4
713.6
235.5
59.4
18,757.1
1993
1,974.6
3,022.2
4,670.8
3,886.7
2,670.6
1,623.9
742.5
244.1
60.5
18,895.9
1994
2,013.7
2,956.0
4,672.7
3,953.1
2,720.9
1,678.7
773.5
253.6
61.6
19,083.7
1995
2,066.6
2,888.0
4,681.6
3,957.2
2,808.0
1,728.5
803.4
262.2
62.6
19,258.2
1996
2,074.7
2,893.1
4,662.9
3,947.4
2,904.7
1,766.1
838.2
271.4
63.8
19,422.3
1997
2,105.0
2,937.3
4,599.1
3,970.1
2,983.6
1,787.7
878.7
283.0
65.1
19,609.7
1998
2,169.8
2,983.2
4,533.6
3,992.2
3,039.6
1,816.2
920.3
295.1
66.8
19,816.6
1999
2,222.9
3,031.1
4,497.3
4,000.5
3,102.5
1,848.2
932.9
305.2
68.8
20,009.2
2000
2,270.7
3,092.9
4,488.4
4,011.7
3,116.7
1,914.6
947.5
314.3
70.7
20,227.6
2001
2,355.4
3,174.9
4,504.9
3,997.7
3,116.2
1,987.0
959.4
325.0
72.6
20,493.2
2002
2,530.4
3,258.1
4,574.7
3,946.9
3,136.1
2,046.9
967.8
338.3
75.2
20,874.4
2003
2,705.0
3,358.9
4,683.0
3,892.2
3,160.1
2,089.0
984.5
350.6
77.7
21,301.0
2004
2,726.4
3,560.2
4,781.7
3,869.3
3,174.0
2,134.6
1,003.7
354.7
80.2
21,684.8
2005
2,682.2
3,782.9
4,888.0
3,870.1
3,189.3
2,148.6
1,043.5
359.8
82.3
22,046.7
2006
2,906.2
3,919.9
5,045.9
3,891.5
3,183.4
2,153.1
1,085.8
364.1
84.8
22,634.7
2007
3,328.1
3,930.7
5,287.7
3,957.6
3,148.0
2,171.9
1,119.2
367.7
88.1
23,399.0
2008
3,460.4
4,120.2
5,545.1
4,056.7
3,110.0
2,192.9
1,142.4
375.0
91.0
24,093.7
2009
3,433.2
4,521.7
5,752.4
4,147.7
3,098.5
2,206.7
1,166.6
382.0
91.5
24,800.2
2010
3,491.2
4,875.0
5,918.4
4,245.6
3,106.6
2,220.8
1,175.1
398.1
92.4
25,523.2
Female
1975
2,143.6
3,068.6
4,490.3
3,596.9
2,718.6
1,852.5
922.9
325.3
72.5
19,191.2
1980
2,308.6
3,243.4
4,884.0
4,045.2
3,047.0
2,068.6
1,175.8
439.6
116.0
21,328.3
1985
2,385.7
3,514.1
5,203.7
4,420.7
3,445.7
2,360.1
1,343.7
578.1
168.3
23,420.1
1990
2,280.0
3,436.4
5,531.6
4,710.0
3,794.4
2,684.9
1,558.3
667.9
218.1
24,881.6
1991
2,244.3
3,409.2
5,488.4
4,827.1
3,860.2
2,755.6
1,610.3
694.9
229.0
25,119.1
1992
2,176.6
3,366.6
5,493.6
4,903.9
3,888.2
2,839.2
1,675.2
724.9
241.4
25,309.6
1993
2,122.6
3,317.9
5,468.5
4,959.1
3,922.4
2,911.5
1,725.5
749.2
249.5
25,426.1
1994
2,155.3
3,250.6
5,422.2
5,023.8
3,952.7
2,967.6
1,775.4
776.1
258.2
25,581.7
1995
2,210.4
3,168.2
5,392.3
5,015.9
4,030.2
3,007.8
1,823.5
800.9
265.9
25,715.0
1996
2,220.7
3,160.4
5,339.9
4,985.7
4,124.4
3,039.4
1,866.0
822.4
273.6
25,832.5
1997
2,250.0
3,198.6
5,247.3
4,979.7
4,197.4
3,043.1
1,919.9
849.3
280.3
25,965.6
1998
2,313.9
3,244.7
5,154.4
4,966.0
4,241.1
3,058.1
1,967.1
871.6
287.1
26,104.0
1999
2,368.0
3,295.1
5,105.0
4,935.7
4,309.0
3,076.6
1,984.8
892.2
295.0
26,261.2
2000
2,417.4
3,357.0
5,086.3
4,910.2
4,313.3
3,145.6
1,999.1
913.3
302.8
26,444.9
2001
2,505.2
3,439.5
5,090.6
4,866.4
4,296.5
3,226.7
2,011.7
931.0
309.4
26,677.2
2002
2,685.0
3,524.8
5,154.3
4,786.0
4,295.1
3,294.0
2,013.4
956.5
318.6
27,027.7
2003
2,865.2
3,629.3
5,264.4
4,703.1
4,291.7
3,336.9
2,030.8
978.6
326.4
27,426.5
2004
2,890.2
3,837.2
5,365.3
4,661.1
4,268.7
3,392.1
2,047.1
987.7
334.0
27,783.4
2005
2,845.4
4,069.0
5,472.0
4,647.0
4,249.2
3,398.9
2,099.3
995.3
341.7
28,117.9
2006
3,071.2
4,213.0
5,634.2
4,652.9
4,213.2
3,389.4
2,158.3
1,001.6
347.4
28,681.3
2007
3,501.6
4,225.0
5,885.0
4,711.7
4,145.0
3,391.8
2,205.7
1,004.2
357.0
29,427.0
2008
3,642.0
4,416.5
6,154.2
4,812.2
4,075.0
3,391.8
2,236.2
1,015.5
364.4
30,107.7
2009
3,615.8
4,827.4
6,372.9
4,904.3
4,040.8
3,376.0
2,272.9
1,024.0
366.8
30,800.9
2010
3,671.9
5,195.2
6,547.6
5,001.9
4,031.5
3,362.9
2,279.4
1,052.9
369.0
31,512.2
Total
1975
4,062.4
5,720.1
8,125.1
6,196.7
4,420.7
2,865.6
1,368.9
459.5
97.7
33,316.6
1980
4,405.3
6,079.4
8,868.1
6,989.5
4,956.2
3,148.5
1,692.2
606.4
152.7
36,898.5
1985
4,533.8
6,614.8
9,549.5
7,701.9
5,623.2
3,590.8
1,907.7
777.5
217.3
40,516.3
1990
4,398.0
6,508.8
10,194.4
8,336.0
6,295.7
4,113.1
2,211.2
885.1
274.4
43,216.8
1991
4,318.2
6,495.7
10,121.6
8,571.1
6,436.8
4,243.9
2,290.3
921.1
286.9
43,685.6
1992
4,191.9
6,425.9
10,159.3
8,731.2
6,510.8
4,397.6
2,388.8
960.5
300.7
44,066.8
1993
4,097.2
6,340.1
10,139.4
8,845.8
6,592.9
4,535.4
2,468.0
993.3
310.0
44,322.1
1994
4,169.0
6,206.5
10,094.9
8,976.9
6,673.6
4,646.3
2,548.9
1,029.6
319.8
44,665.4
1995
4,276.9
6,056.2
10,073.8
8,973.2
6,838.2
4,736.3
2,626.9
1,063.1
328.6
44,973.2
1996
4,295.4
6,053.5
10,002.8
8,933.1
7,029.0
4,805.5
2,704.1
1,093.8
337.5
45,254.8
1997
4,355.0
6,135.8
9,846.4
8,949.8
7,181.0
4,830.9
2,798.6
1,132.4
345.4
45,575.3
1998
4,483.8
6,227.9
9,688.0
8,958.1
7,280.7
4,874.3
2,887.4
1,166.7
353.9
45,920.7
1999
4,590.8
6,326.2
9,602.2
8,936.2
7,411.5
4,924.7
2,917.7
1,197.3
363.8
46,270.4
2000
4,688.1
6,449.9
9,574.8
8,921.9
7,430.0
5,060.1
2,946.6
1,227.7
373.4
46,672.5
2001
4,860.6
6,614.4
9,595.5
8,864.2
7,412.8
5,213.7
2,971.1
1,256.1
382.0
47,170.4
2002
5,215.4
6,782.9
9,729.0
8,732.8
7,431.2
5,340.9
2,981.3
1,294.8
393.8
47,902.1
2003
5,570.2
6,988.2
9,947.4
8,595.4
7,451.8
5,425.9
3,015.3
1,329.2
404.1
48,727.5
2004
5,616.6
7,397.4
10,146.9
8,530.5
7,442.6
5,526.7
3,050.8
1,342.4
414.2
49,468.2
2005
5,527.7
7,851.9
10,360.0
8,517.0
7,438.5
5,547.5
3,142.9
1,355.1
424.0
50,164.6
2006
5,977.4
8,132.9
10,680.1
8,544.4
7,396.6
5,542.6
3,244.1
1,365.7
432.2
51,316.0
2007
6,829.7
8,155.6
11,172.7
8,669.3
7,293.0
5,563.7
3,325.0
1,371.9
445.1
52,826.0
2008
7,102.3
8,536.7
11,699.2
8,868.9
7,185.0
5,584.7
3,378.6
1,390.5
455.4
54,201.4
2009
7,049.0
9,349.0
12,125.3
9,052.0
7,139.3
5,582.7
3,439.5
1,406.0
458.3
55,601.2
2010
7,163.1
10,070.2
12,465.9
9,247.4
7,138.1
5,583.7
3,454.5
1,451.0
461.4
57,035.4

Source: Estimates prepared by the Office of the Chief Actuary.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

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December 26, 2001