Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
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III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS
B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES
Table III.B10—Retired Workers With Benefits Withheld
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
Year |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Male |
|
24.5 |
345.5 |
63.2 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
442.9 |
|
23.1 |
287.8 |
46.1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
366.9 |
|
22.6 |
256.9 |
5.5 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
3.5 |
296.1 |
|
23.0 |
216.2 |
8.2 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
4.9 |
261.6 |
|
23.4 |
208.6 |
6.7 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
5.1 |
252.8 |
|
23.9 |
195.6 |
7.3 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
5.4 |
241.2 |
|
25.5 |
191.9 |
8.2 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
5.8 |
240.9 |
|
25.3 |
189.5 |
7.9 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
6.0 |
238.1 |
|
26.4 |
194.1 |
8.2 |
3.4 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
6.4 |
245.5 |
|
28.9 |
196.2 |
8.3 |
3.8 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
6.7 |
251.0 |
|
26.5 |
184.6 |
7.8 |
3.6 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
6.9 |
236.2 |
|
27.7 |
179.1 |
8.5 |
3.8 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
7.3 |
233.4 |
|
27.4 |
173.1 |
8.7 |
4.0 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
7.5 |
228.0 |
|
27.4 |
18.4 |
8.0 |
4.2 |
3.3 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
7.8 |
73.7 |
|
27.8 |
6.5 |
5.3 |
4.1 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
7.8 |
59.1 |
|
28.6 |
6.6 |
5.3 |
4.2 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
8.0 |
60.5 |
|
29.3 |
8.5 |
5.3 |
4.3 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
8.2 |
63.5 |
|
30.8 |
10.0 |
5.3 |
4.3 |
3.3 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
8.4 |
66.9 |
|
32.6 |
11.5 |
5.4 |
4.3 |
3.3 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
8.6 |
70.6 |
|
33.8 |
13.1 |
5.5 |
4.3 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
8.8 |
73.8 |
|
33.8 |
15.3 |
5.6 |
4.3 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
9.1 |
76.5 |
|
35.3 |
16.9 |
5.8 |
4.2 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
9.4 |
80.0 |
|
38.6 |
16.9 |
6.0 |
4.2 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
9.7 |
84.0 |
|
41.9 |
17.0 |
6.2 |
4.2 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
9.9 |
87.9 |
Female |
|
12.3 |
93.1 |
15.7 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
.9 |
.4 |
.2 |
125.2 |
|
11.5 |
69.5 |
9.5 |
.8 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
.7 |
.4 |
94.3 |
|
14.4 |
85.9 |
3.0 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
.7 |
.8 |
108.0 |
|
14.8 |
72.8 |
3.5 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
99.2 |
|
15.8 |
72.6 |
3.0 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
98.7 |
|
15.8 |
68.1 |
3.1 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
94.6 |
|
16.4 |
67.8 |
3.5 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
96.2 |
|
15.9 |
67.9 |
3.3 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
95.1 |
|
16.8 |
71.0 |
3.7 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
100.8 |
|
19.4 |
71.2 |
3.6 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
103.7 |
|
17.1 |
65.0 |
3.5 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
94.6 |
|
18.5 |
62.0 |
3.6 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
2.7 |
93.4 |
|
18.6 |
61.1 |
3.9 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
2.9 |
93.5 |
|
18.6 |
9.3 |
3.6 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
3.0 |
42.1 |
|
20.6 |
3.0 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
3.2 |
36.4 |
|
21.8 |
3.1 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
3.3 |
37.9 |
|
22.7 |
4.6 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
3.5 |
40.6 |
|
24.3 |
6.0 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
3.6 |
43.9 |
|
26.0 |
7.5 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
3.7 |
47.4 |
|
27.3 |
9.2 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
3.8 |
50.5 |
|
27.8 |
11.2 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
4.0 |
53.4 |
|
29.7 |
12.8 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
4.1 |
57.1 |
|
33.0 |
12.5 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
4.2 |
60.4 |
|
36.3 |
12.4 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
4.3 |
63.8 |
Total |
|
36.8 |
438.7 |
79.0 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
568.1 |
|
34.5 |
357.3 |
55.6 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
461.2 |
|
37.0 |
342.8 |
8.5 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
4.2 |
404.2 |
|
37.8 |
289.0 |
11.7 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
6.3 |
360.7 |
|
39.2 |
281.2 |
9.7 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
3.6 |
2.9 |
6.7 |
351.5 |
|
39.7 |
263.6 |
10.4 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
3.0 |
7.1 |
335.8 |
|
41.9 |
259.7 |
11.7 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
7.6 |
337.0 |
|
41.2 |
257.3 |
11.1 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
8.0 |
333.2 |
|
43.2 |
265.1 |
11.9 |
5.1 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
3.3 |
8.6 |
346.2 |
|
48.3 |
267.4 |
11.9 |
5.5 |
4.8 |
4.3 |
3.4 |
9.0 |
354.7 |
|
43.6 |
249.6 |
11.3 |
5.3 |
4.4 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
9.4 |
330.9 |
|
46.2 |
241.0 |
12.1 |
5.6 |
4.5 |
4.1 |
3.4 |
10.0 |
326.8 |
|
46.0 |
234.2 |
12.6 |
5.9 |
4.6 |
4.3 |
3.5 |
10.4 |
321.5 |
|
46.1 |
27.8 |
11.6 |
6.3 |
5.1 |
4.5 |
3.8 |
10.8 |
115.9 |
|
48.4 |
9.5 |
7.6 |
5.9 |
4.9 |
4.5 |
3.7 |
11.0 |
95.5 |
|
50.5 |
9.6 |
7.5 |
6.1 |
5.0 |
4.6 |
3.8 |
11.3 |
98.4 |
|
52.0 |
13.1 |
7.5 |
6.2 |
5.1 |
4.7 |
3.9 |
11.7 |
104.1 |
|
55.1 |
16.0 |
7.6 |
6.2 |
5.2 |
4.7 |
4.0 |
12.0 |
110.8 |
|
58.6 |
19.0 |
7.7 |
6.2 |
5.3 |
4.8 |
4.1 |
12.3 |
117.9 |
|
61.0 |
22.3 |
7.8 |
6.2 |
5.2 |
4.9 |
4.2 |
12.6 |
124.3 |
|
61.7 |
26.5 |
8.0 |
6.2 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
4.3 |
13.1 |
129.9 |
|
64.9 |
29.6 |
8.2 |
6.1 |
5.3 |
5.1 |
4.3 |
13.5 |
137.1 |
|
71.6 |
29.4 |
8.5 |
6.1 |
5.3 |
5.2 |
4.4 |
13.9 |
144.3 |
|
78.2 |
29.4 |
8.8 |
6.2 |
5.3 |
5.2 |
4.5 |
14.2 |
151.7 |
Sources:
· Historical figures from SSA administrative records.
· Future figures computed by applying withheld rate to number in force.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001