Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B13—Insured Aged Widows and Widowers With Benefits Withheld
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
Year
  60-61
  62-64
  65-69
  70-74
  75-79
  80-84
  85-89
  90-94
  95 or
older
  Total
Male
1975
1980
0.3
0.5
1.0
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.1
4.2
1985
.6
1.3
3.4
2.1
1.4
1.0
.6
.3
0.1
10.6
1990
.5
1.4
4.6
4.2
2.2
1.6
.9
.4
.1
16.1
1991
.6
1.4
4.1
4.7
3.2
1.7
.8
.3
.1
17.0
1992
.6
1.8
4.2
5.1
3.6
2.1
1.1
.5
.2
19.1
1993
.6
1.9
4.0
5.2
4.0
2.2
1.2
.5
.2
19.7
1994
.6
2.0
4.6
6.4
4.7
2.0
1.1
.3
.1
21.8
1995
.6
2.0
4.3
5.9
4.5
2.3
1.0
.4
.2
21.2
1996
.6
2.1
3.9
5.2
5.2
3.2
1.1
.4
.2
21.9
1997
.6
2.0
4.2
5.1
6.0
3.8
1.7
.5
.2
24.0
1998
.6
2.0
4.3
4.8
6.1
4.1
1.8
.6
.2
24.5
1999
.7
2.1
4.8
5.2
6.5
4.5
2.0
.7
.3
26.8
2000
.6
2.0
5.0
5.3
6.2
4.8
2.3
.8
.3
27.5
2001
.6
2.1
5.0
5.3
5.8
5.0
2.4
.8
.2
27.2
2002
.7
2.2
5.1
5.3
5.4
5.1
2.4
.8
.2
27.2
2003
.8
2.3
5.2
5.3
5.1
5.0
2.5
.8
.2
27.1
2004
.8
2.4
5.3
5.3
4.8
4.9
2.5
.8
.2
27.2
2005
.8
2.6
5.4
5.3
4.8
4.6
2.7
.9
.2
27.2
2006
.8
2.7
5.6
5.4
4.7
4.3
2.8
.9
.2
27.3
2007
.9
2.7
5.9
5.5
4.7
4.0
2.8
.9
.2
27.6
2008
1.0
2.9
6.1
5.6
4.7
3.8
2.8
.9
.2
28.0
2009
1.0
3.2
6.4
5.8
4.8
3.6
2.7
1.0
.2
28.6
2010
1.0
3.4
6.6
5.9
4.8
3.6
2.5
1.0
.2
29.1
Female
1975
2.5
6.3
7.3
1.7
.9
.4
.1
19.3
1980
2.4
6.6
10.1
2.8
1.2
1.0
.5
.1
24.7
1985
3.6
11.4
29.5
11.8
8.4
4.4
2.8
.7
.1
72.7
1990
3.0
15.3
50.3
35.7
23.5
9.2
3.8
.9
.3
142.0
1991
4.0
12.6
52.9
41.4
26.2
12.6
4.4
1.6
.6
156.3
1992
3.4
10.4
51.1
41.3
28.0
14.5
4.4
1.7
.3
155.1
1993
3.3
13.6
53.7
48.7
34.7
17.2
6.5
1.8
.5
180.0
1994
3.7
13.0
48.7
48.8
34.7
19.6
7.7
2.1
.7
179.0
1995
4.1
12.9
47.9
51.4
38.0
22.3
9.4
3.3
.7
190.0
1996
3.7
11.5
49.1
52.2
43.2
24.1
11.2
3.9
.5
199.4
1997
3.4
12.2
63.3
84.5
67.0
42.7
19.1
4.7
.6
297.5
1998
2.7
14.8
64.9
93.8
76.8
51.0
22.9
7.3
1.2
335.4
1999
4.4
13.6
66.1
99.0
82.1
53.6
26.7
8.8
1.5
355.8
2000
3.5
13.4
67.4
101.7
86.1
58.4
31.1
11.0
3.1
375.7
2001
3.5
13.7
67.5
99.5
85.3
64.6
31.7
11.4
3.1
380.4
2002
3.6
14.0
67.7
98.3
84.9
67.8
33.9
11.5
3.8
385.5
2003
3.7
14.3
68.6
95.0
85.2
70.9
36.6
11.6
3.4
389.2
2004
3.7
14.9
69.3
93.5
84.1
72.8
38.6
12.7
3.8
393.5
2005
3.6
15.7
69.9
92.4
82.5
74.6
41.5
13.3
3.7
397.1
2006
3.8
16.3
71.2
91.7
81.0
74.0
45.9
13.4
4.0
401.2
2007
4.3
16.4
73.3
91.2
79.9
73.7
48.0
14.4
3.8
405.1
2008
4.5
16.9
76.0
92.2
77.2
74.1
50.0
15.7
3.9
410.6
2009
4.5
18.4
79.0
93.6
76.2
73.2
51.1
16.7
4.7
417.5
2010
4.7
20.1
81.4
95.5
75.4
71.8
52.2
17.9
4.7
423.7
Total
1975
2.5
6.3
7.3
1.7
.9
.4
.2
19.4
1980
2.7
7.1
11.1
3.5
1.8
1.5
.8
.2
.1
28.9
1985
4.2
12.7
32.9
13.9
9.8
5.4
3.4
1.0
.2
83.3
1990
3.5
16.7
54.9
39.9
25.7
10.8
4.7
1.3
.4
158.1
1991
4.5
14.0
57.0
46.1
29.4
14.3
5.2
1.9
.7
173.3
1992
4.0
12.2
55.3
46.4
31.6
16.6
5.5
2.2
.5
174.2
1993
3.9
15.5
57.7
53.9
38.7
19.4
7.7
2.3
.7
199.7
1994
4.3
15.0
53.3
55.2
39.4
21.6
8.8
2.4
.8
200.8
1995
4.7
14.9
52.2
57.3
42.5
24.6
10.4
3.7
.9
211.2
1996
4.3
13.6
53.0
57.4
48.4
27.3
12.3
4.3
.7
221.3
1997
4.0
14.2
67.5
89.6
73.0
46.5
20.8
5.2
.8
321.5
1998
3.3
16.8
69.2
98.6
82.9
55.1
24.7
7.9
1.4
359.9
1999
5.1
15.7
70.9
104.2
88.6
58.1
28.7
9.5
1.8
382.6
2000
4.1
15.4
72.4
107.0
92.3
63.2
33.4
11.8
3.4
403.2
2001
4.2
15.8
72.6
104.8
91.1
69.7
34.1
12.2
3.3
407.7
2002
4.3
16.1
72.8
103.5
90.4
72.9
36.3
12.3
4.1
412.7
2003
4.5
16.5
73.8
100.3
90.3
75.9
39.0
12.4
3.6
416.4
2004
4.5
17.3
74.7
98.9
89.0
77.8
41.2
13.6
4.0
420.7
2005
4.3
18.3
75.3
97.8
87.3
79.2
44.2
14.1
3.9
424.4
2006
4.6
19.0
76.8
97.1
85.7
78.2
48.7
14.3
4.2
428.6
2007
5.3
19.1
79.2
96.7
84.7
77.7
50.8
15.3
4.1
432.7
2008
5.5
19.8
82.1
97.8
82.0
77.9
52.8
16.6
4.1
438.7
2009
5.5
21.5
85.4
99.3
81.0
76.8
53.8
17.7
5.0
446.1
2010
5.7
23.6
88.0
101.4
80.2
75.4
54.8
18.9
4.9
452.9

1 Fewer than 50.

Sources:

· Historical figures from SSA administrative records.

· Future figures computed by applying withheld rate to number in force.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001