Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
|
|
|
III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS
B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES
Table III.B14—Insured Aged Widows and Widowers With Benefits Withheld, as a Percentage of Insured Aged Widow(ers) In Force
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
Year |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Male |
|
0.000 |
0.840 |
1.180 |
0.623 |
1.493 |
1.111 |
3.252 |
3.279 |
11.765 |
1.343 |
|
13.101 |
11.263 |
31.429 |
33.189 |
49.223 |
53.368 |
53.886 |
75.275 |
85.714 |
26.667 |
|
10.821 |
15.472 |
51.949 |
55.782 |
63.564 |
63.439 |
62.284 |
79.265 |
89.024 |
36.550 |
|
9.373 |
16.553 |
56.248 |
70.232 |
73.534 |
71.296 |
69.144 |
83.433 |
91.250 |
44.738 |
|
8.602 |
15.829 |
52.952 |
72.260 |
81.800 |
70.844 |
67.188 |
79.293 |
89.437 |
44.839 |
|
8.555 |
18.617 |
50.400 |
71.250 |
86.476 |
79.347 |
77.495 |
80.462 |
82.710 |
46.527 |
|
8.031 |
18.709 |
49.397 |
70.838 |
87.777 |
80.633 |
78.477 |
81.438 |
84.255 |
46.617 |
|
8.685 |
18.995 |
49.005 |
70.565 |
88.373 |
80.126 |
75.488 |
69.691 |
75.000 |
47.477 |
|
8.660 |
19.626 |
47.020 |
69.251 |
87.959 |
82.188 |
73.272 |
77.694 |
81.308 |
46.870 |
|
8.800 |
19.521 |
43.966 |
62.393 |
77.829 |
85.004 |
74.584 |
73.875 |
78.723 |
45.925 |
|
7.841 |
18.705 |
47.663 |
66.767 |
81.752 |
87.099 |
81.143 |
76.156 |
82.759 |
49.183 |
|
8.018 |
18.726 |
48.390 |
66.653 |
81.862 |
88.947 |
82.397 |
77.720 |
85.017 |
49.841 |
|
8.964 |
19.783 |
49.840 |
72.725 |
84.866 |
92.039 |
89.428 |
85.594 |
90.066 |
52.861 |
|
8.441 |
18.631 |
50.085 |
74.860 |
84.083 |
90.448 |
92.336 |
91.000 |
95.265 |
53.116 |
|
8.426 |
18.637 |
50.096 |
74.842 |
84.072 |
90.448 |
92.302 |
91.050 |
95.265 |
52.266 |
|
8.414 |
18.639 |
50.020 |
74.824 |
84.056 |
90.422 |
92.280 |
91.020 |
95.265 |
51.287 |
|
8.433 |
18.639 |
49.979 |
74.856 |
84.066 |
90.352 |
92.262 |
90.958 |
95.265 |
50.218 |
|
8.453 |
18.633 |
49.974 |
74.837 |
84.006 |
90.274 |
92.290 |
90.944 |
95.265 |
49.393 |
|
8.447 |
18.650 |
49.976 |
74.829 |
83.975 |
90.238 |
92.357 |
90.898 |
95.265 |
48.852 |
|
8.391 |
18.665 |
49.961 |
74.830 |
83.951 |
90.255 |
92.370 |
90.946 |
95.265 |
47.975 |
|
8.407 |
18.664 |
49.889 |
74.808 |
83.933 |
90.261 |
92.299 |
90.951 |
95.265 |
46.793 |
|
8.454 |
18.632 |
49.895 |
74.806 |
83.965 |
90.256 |
92.156 |
90.959 |
95.265 |
45.907 |
|
8.438 |
18.650 |
49.965 |
74.806 |
83.955 |
90.312 |
92.067 |
90.940 |
95.265 |
45.276 |
|
8.436 |
18.684 |
50.019 |
74.797 |
83.942 |
90.332 |
92.039 |
90.875 |
95.265 |
44.594 |
Female |
|
2.892 |
3.661 |
2.767 |
1.089 |
.754 |
.834 |
1.694 |
2.513 |
8.235 |
2.249 |
|
2.050 |
2.847 |
3.249 |
1.167 |
.893 |
.968 |
1.618 |
2.157 |
9.831 |
2.110 |
|
2.939 |
3.948 |
7.029 |
4.189 |
4.027 |
4.004 |
4.124 |
4.046 |
6.667 |
4.790 |
|
2.849 |
5.554 |
9.826 |
9.792 |
9.499 |
5.864 |
5.046 |
3.237 |
4.839 |
8.018 |
|
3.960 |
4.767 |
10.513 |
10.232 |
10.364 |
7.604 |
5.493 |
5.594 |
8.333 |
8.647 |
|
3.441 |
3.858 |
10.045 |
9.488 |
10.566 |
8.430 |
4.835 |
4.899 |
3.529 |
8.234 |
|
3.167 |
5.225 |
10.632 |
10.675 |
12.049 |
9.851 |
6.507 |
4.762 |
5.263 |
9.299 |
|
3.596 |
5.047 |
9.709 |
10.454 |
11.551 |
10.555 |
7.143 |
5.134 |
6.667 |
9.067 |
|
4.024 |
5.135 |
9.683 |
10.679 |
11.894 |
11.407 |
8.423 |
7.432 |
6.087 |
9.445 |
|
3.700 |
4.679 |
10.147 |
10.973 |
12.081 |
11.978 |
9.680 |
8.298 |
4.167 |
9.780 |
|
3.397 |
5.048 |
13.383 |
18.442 |
18.256 |
20.942 |
16.522 |
9.553 |
4.800 |
14.719 |
|
2.761 |
6.156 |
14.081 |
20.387 |
19.917 |
23.087 |
19.707 |
14.258 |
9.231 |
16.392 |
|
4.413 |
5.641 |
14.630 |
21.611 |
20.717 |
22.965 |
22.030 |
16.387 |
11.029 |
17.198 |
|
3.486 |
5.492 |
15.208 |
22.555 |
21.160 |
23.101 |
24.373 |
20.522 |
19.375 |
17.930 |
|
3.501 |
5.492 |
15.227 |
22.500 |
21.169 |
23.134 |
24.320 |
20.466 |
19.375 |
17.940 |
|
3.516 |
5.492 |
15.173 |
22.486 |
21.159 |
23.097 |
24.453 |
20.527 |
19.375 |
17.926 |
|
3.506 |
5.481 |
15.199 |
22.527 |
21.176 |
23.177 |
24.394 |
20.410 |
19.375 |
17.920 |
|
3.496 |
5.458 |
15.232 |
22.501 |
21.136 |
23.277 |
24.395 |
20.812 |
19.375 |
17.900 |
|
3.503 |
5.455 |
15.228 |
22.492 |
21.161 |
23.254 |
24.447 |
20.764 |
19.375 |
17.870 |
|
3.555 |
5.484 |
15.237 |
22.535 |
21.154 |
23.249 |
24.460 |
20.548 |
19.375 |
17.816 |
|
3.546 |
5.495 |
15.212 |
22.548 |
21.133 |
23.255 |
24.368 |
20.694 |
19.375 |
17.706 |
|
3.505 |
5.441 |
15.222 |
22.520 |
21.148 |
23.309 |
24.350 |
20.812 |
19.375 |
17.601 |
|
3.518 |
5.402 |
15.256 |
22.544 |
21.151 |
23.269 |
24.358 |
20.904 |
19.375 |
17.456 |
|
3.518 |
5.450 |
15.289 |
22.574 |
21.152 |
23.281 |
24.283 |
20.884 |
19.375 |
17.314 |
Total |
|
2.889 |
3.657 |
2.765 |
1.088 |
.755 |
.835 |
1.715 |
2.553 |
8.824 |
2.247 |
|
2.288 |
3.019 |
3.528 |
1.443 |
1.318 |
1.473 |
2.553 |
4.893 |
19.012 |
2.432 |
|
3.258 |
4.282 |
7.713 |
4.863 |
4.631 |
4.813 |
4.908 |
5.667 |
10.936 |
5.386 |
|
3.192 |
5.890 |
10.559 |
10.767 |
10.271 |
6.796 |
6.083 |
4.657 |
7.013 |
8.748 |
|
4.237 |
5.136 |
11.163 |
11.222 |
11.459 |
8.496 |
6.368 |
6.601 |
9.902 |
9.390 |
|
3.774 |
4.372 |
10.689 |
10.481 |
11.750 |
9.488 |
5.977 |
6.106 |
5.474 |
9.050 |
|
3.486 |
5.720 |
11.240 |
11.626 |
13.216 |
10.947 |
7.633 |
5.956 |
7.170 |
10.097 |
|
3.927 |
5.595 |
10.424 |
11.592 |
12.876 |
11.496 |
8.072 |
5.891 |
7.869 |
9.941 |
|
4.332 |
5.710 |
10.358 |
11.700 |
13.087 |
12.399 |
9.228 |
8.260 |
7.461 |
10.270 |
|
4.042 |
5.288 |
10.763 |
11.851 |
13.291 |
13.304 |
10.513 |
9.095 |
5.599 |
10.606 |
|
3.690 |
5.624 |
14.010 |
19.233 |
19.499 |
22.318 |
17.647 |
10.477 |
6.394 |
15.532 |
|
3.116 |
6.690 |
14.737 |
21.101 |
21.093 |
24.430 |
20.839 |
15.190 |
10.868 |
17.177 |
|
4.723 |
6.237 |
15.371 |
22.397 |
21.931 |
24.378 |
23.279 |
17.444 |
12.746 |
18.050 |
|
3.819 |
6.055 |
15.977 |
23.370 |
22.288 |
24.492 |
25.662 |
21.686 |
21.040 |
18.778 |
|
3.848 |
6.060 |
15.996 |
23.321 |
22.227 |
24.449 |
25.623 |
21.557 |
20.464 |
18.763 |
|
3.880 |
6.067 |
15.952 |
23.314 |
22.152 |
24.368 |
25.704 |
21.619 |
20.283 |
18.728 |
|
3.892 |
6.065 |
15.985 |
23.390 |
22.106 |
24.382 |
25.583 |
21.487 |
20.385 |
18.704 |
|
3.897 |
6.053 |
16.026 |
23.379 |
22.034 |
24.424 |
25.553 |
21.846 |
20.224 |
18.669 |
|
3.911 |
6.058 |
16.032 |
23.386 |
22.060 |
24.301 |
25.593 |
21.781 |
20.275 |
18.628 |
|
3.961 |
6.090 |
16.050 |
23.444 |
22.062 |
24.232 |
25.544 |
21.578 |
20.120 |
18.560 |
|
3.957 |
6.103 |
16.036 |
23.474 |
22.051 |
24.180 |
25.415 |
21.682 |
20.216 |
18.438 |
|
3.922 |
6.060 |
16.054 |
23.462 |
22.104 |
24.175 |
25.339 |
21.745 |
20.206 |
18.323 |
|
3.928 |
6.031 |
16.093 |
23.496 |
22.126 |
24.110 |
25.298 |
21.808 |
20.109 |
18.172 |
|
3.926 |
6.080 |
16.129 |
23.532 |
22.146 |
24.127 |
25.140 |
21.781 |
20.144 |
18.023 |
Sources:
· Historical percentages computed by dividing number withheld by number in force.
· Future percentages projected based on historical trends.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001