Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B24—Minor Children of Deceased Workers With Benefits In Force
(By age, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
[Numbers in thousands]
Year
In force
Percent of orphan population
  0-4
  5-9
  10-14
  15-17
  Total
  0-4
  5-9
  10-14
  15-17
  Total
1975
87.6
377.2
896.6
849.2
2,210.6
51.438
64.465
66.133
63.445
64.088
1976
78.9
362.7
870.6
849.4
2,161.5
49.841
64.209
67.746
64.202
64.942
1977
77.6
351.2
841.7
843.2
2,113.7
50.982
64.444
69.189
65.690
66.144
1978
75.0
332.5
798.4
828.9
2,034.7
49.900
63.877
69.561
66.887
66.561
1979
76.3
316.6
759.8
813.5
1,966.2
50.898
64.215
70.166
68.697
67.579
1980
77.8
296.1
730.5
787.5
1,891.8
50.777
64.107
69.755
69.985
67.896
1981
77.6
283.9
703.0
747.7
1,812.3
49.849
64.272
69.516
70.822
68.074
1982
77.6
272.2
677.2
712.8
1,739.7
49.856
63.084
69.573
72.482
68.587
1983
77.3
267.7
647.6
679.1
1,671.8
49.834
62.600
69.818
72.368
68.537
1984
75.1
266.1
613.5
649.9
1,604.6
48.657
62.114
69.608
71.402
67.925
1985
73.3
267.7
576.8
636.2
1,554.0
47.316
61.427
69.650
70.890
67.325
1986
73.1
270.0
547.6
623.9
1,514.6
45.930
60.524
68.670
71.405
66.846
1987
72.3
269.4
532.8
595.7
1,470.2
44.159
58.934
67.501
71.593
65.990
1988
72.5
269.3
528.2
555.1
1,425.0
42.567
57.316
66.377
71.720
65.003
1989
73.7
268.7
530.2
521.5
1,394.1
41.703
55.942
65.370
70.454
63.725
1990
74.3
268.2
535.9
503.9
1,382.3
40.918
54.651
64.175
69.328
62.501
1991
75.9
268.8
543.0
493.9
1,381.6
40.704
53.596
63.172
68.088
61.281
1992
77.2
269.4
547.8
495.2
1,389.7
40.533
52.566
61.925
67.284
60.295
1993
78.1
273.8
553.5
499.7
1,405.1
39.963
51.778
60.787
66.184
59.237
1994
78.1
279.6
555.6
512.6
1,426.0
39.401
51.196
59.643
65.458
58.445
1995
75.9
283.6
557.4
521.4
1,438.2
38.221
50.431
58.421
64.308
57.419
1996
72.2
285.8
558.0
528.6
1,444.5
37.610
50.067
57.554
63.340
56.752
1997
68.4
284.2
555.2
523.1
1,430.8
37.681
49.820
56.851
61.664
56.022
1998
64.9
279.6
556.0
522.1
1,422.6
37.810
49.503
56.402
60.968
55.689
1999
62.7
271.2
560.1
519.7
1,413.7
38.071
49.007
56.222
60.266
55.412
2000
62.5
261.3
563.3
520.5
1,407.6
39.088
48.689
56.079
59.970
55.368
2001
61.4
251.2
565.9
522.4
1,400.8
39.092
48.443
56.026
59.756
55.286
2002
60.5
242.0
565.2
525.7
1,393.4
39.039
48.236
55.925
59.675
55.243
2003
59.6
234.1
560.1
527.7
1,381.5
39.001
48.022
55.763
59.585
55.169
2004
58.6
227.9
548.7
533.5
1,368.8
39.011
47.871
55.526
59.622
55.119
2005
57.7
223.1
532.9
539.9
1,353.6
38.991
47.770
55.274
59.618
55.056
2006
56.8
219.7
516.2
541.9
1,334.5
38.990
47.742
55.018
59.524
54.962
2007
56.0
216.5
500.8
536.4
1,309.7
38.979
47.750
54.775
59.362
54.835
2008
55.3
213.2
487.8
524.2
1,280.6
38.967
47.764
54.555
59.179
54.685
2009
54.7
209.7
477.3
510.0
1,251.8
38.969
47.767
54.394
58.965
54.529
2010
54.1
206.5
468.7
495.7
1,225.1
38.958
47.762
54.295
58.742
54.384

Sources:

· Historical figures from SSA administrative records.

· Future figures computed by adding awards to number in force at beginning of year, and applying termination rates.

· Percentages computed by dividing number in force by orphan population.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

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December 26, 2001