Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
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III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS
B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES
Table III.B3—Retired Workers With Benefits In Force
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
Year |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Male |
|
874.1 |
3,297.6 |
2,412.9 |
1,569.3 |
927.2 |
396.6 |
110.8 |
18.9 |
9,607.5 |
|
1,021.4 |
3,646.3 |
2,749.1 |
1,774.9 |
991.6 |
470.4 |
146.0 |
30.0 |
10,829.7 |
|
1,311.5 |
3,829.9 |
3,062.8 |
2,045.6 |
1,137.1 |
510.3 |
176.6 |
42.1 |
12,116.0 |
|
1,359.1 |
4,115.7 |
3,293.3 |
2,313.6 |
1,329.2 |
593.7 |
192.3 |
51.4 |
13,248.3 |
|
1,369.2 |
4,108.2 |
3,404.2 |
2,360.5 |
1,369.5 |
618.2 |
196.2 |
53.2 |
13,479.2 |
|
1,376.9 |
4,138.2 |
3,479.2 |
2,400.7 |
1,415.9 |
643.8 |
206.0 |
54.3 |
13,715.1 |
|
1,371.7 |
4,143.0 |
3,534.4 |
2,450.7 |
1,455.3 |
666.4 |
213.9 |
54.9 |
13,890.2 |
|
1,371.6 |
4,106.4 |
3,613.2 |
2,474.5 |
1,504.1 |
686.9 |
221.1 |
55.1 |
14,033.0 |
|
1,341.9 |
4,102.0 |
3,629.6 |
2,550.9 |
1,546.1 |
707.9 |
228.2 |
57.1 |
14,163.8 |
|
1,322.7 |
4,071.9 |
3,619.7 |
2,647.3 |
1,581.3 |
730.7 |
236.0 |
57.9 |
14,267.6 |
|
1,301.6 |
4,027.1 |
3,643.2 |
2,713.0 |
1,613.7 |
755.8 |
244.7 |
59.8 |
14,359.0 |
|
1,309.2 |
3,967.4 |
3,648.6 |
2,764.9 |
1,655.6 |
780.1 |
252.7 |
61.5 |
14,440.0 |
|
1,324.1 |
3,964.3 |
3,627.0 |
2,833.4 |
1,677.6 |
807.4 |
259.5 |
62.7 |
14,556.2 |
|
1,356.5 |
4,089.4 |
3,643.4 |
2,854.5 |
1,739.6 |
831.3 |
266.4 |
63.9 |
14,845.1 |
|
1,390.1 |
4,068.8 |
3,626.8 |
2,854.8 |
1,813.3 |
851.8 |
275.4 |
64.1 |
14,945.2 |
|
1,420.9 |
4,106.5 |
3,599.7 |
2,879.8 |
1,861.4 |
871.8 |
286.2 |
65.7 |
15,092.0 |
|
1,457.9 |
4,178.7 |
3,556.1 |
2,891.9 |
1,901.5 |
897.5 |
296.1 |
67.3 |
15,246.9 |
|
1,534.1 |
4,237.4 |
3,561.1 |
2,881.2 |
1,951.6 |
912.1 |
307.7 |
68.8 |
15,454.1 |
|
1,626.4 |
4,309.3 |
3,563.4 |
2,896.0 |
1,968.1 |
948.1 |
316.9 |
70.5 |
15,698.7 |
|
1,691.9 |
4,421.7 |
3,588.8 |
2,888.2 |
1,973.1 |
991.0 |
324.2 |
72.3 |
15,951.3 |
|
1,697.4 |
4,593.9 |
3,642.3 |
2,872.3 |
1,994.3 |
1,017.6 |
331.9 |
74.9 |
16,224.7 |
|
1,755.0 |
4,784.4 |
3,747.8 |
2,842.4 |
2,006.1 |
1,040.1 |
341.9 |
77.1 |
16,594.8 |
|
1,915.9 |
4,997.0 |
3,841.2 |
2,851.8 |
2,001.9 |
1,067.0 |
347.2 |
79.6 |
17,101.7 |
|
2,095.5 |
5,167.6 |
3,947.5 |
2,860.3 |
2,016.0 |
1,076.6 |
361.7 |
81.4 |
17,606.7 |
Female |
|
889.1 |
2,351.7 |
1,814.3 |
1,254.0 |
789.5 |
346.6 |
90.2 |
14.3 |
7,549.7 |
|
1,035.9 |
2,723.4 |
2,207.6 |
1,560.2 |
964.0 |
505.6 |
167.3 |
31.9 |
9,195.9 |
|
1,186.0 |
2,938.9 |
2,540.4 |
1,902.5 |
1,215.3 |
629.0 |
249.6 |
61.8 |
10,723.5 |
|
1,181.6 |
3,154.0 |
2,735.2 |
2,189.5 |
1,485.7 |
802.5 |
312.3 |
92.7 |
11,953.4 |
|
1,165.6 |
3,151.6 |
2,801.9 |
2,240.7 |
1,534.5 |
845.1 |
326.1 |
99.9 |
12,165.3 |
|
1,156.7 |
3,173.6 |
2,846.3 |
2,276.4 |
1,586.6 |
888.0 |
348.9 |
105.9 |
12,382.4 |
|
1,144.5 |
3,177.2 |
2,878.4 |
2,319.5 |
1,630.1 |
926.6 |
368.7 |
110.7 |
12,555.8 |
|
1,152.3 |
3,139.1 |
2,948.1 |
2,326.0 |
1,682.4 |
961.6 |
388.5 |
114.6 |
12,712.5 |
|
1,141.1 |
3,127.7 |
2,973.3 |
2,371.6 |
1,725.2 |
993.3 |
407.5 |
121.2 |
12,860.9 |
|
1,141.1 |
3,111.2 |
2,967.6 |
2,432.4 |
1,763.9 |
1,023.4 |
427.0 |
125.5 |
12,992.2 |
|
1,143.8 |
3,112.3 |
3,030.8 |
2,506.2 |
1,813.8 |
1,065.7 |
447.9 |
133.0 |
13,253.6 |
|
1,169.7 |
3,095.0 |
3,039.9 |
2,541.3 |
1,854.3 |
1,098.3 |
467.0 |
138.9 |
13,404.4 |
|
1,193.6 |
3,125.1 |
3,009.8 |
2,604.2 |
1,860.0 |
1,132.0 |
480.7 |
143.4 |
13,548.8 |
|
1,236.0 |
3,211.4 |
3,006.7 |
2,627.8 |
1,895.9 |
1,157.1 |
492.7 |
148.2 |
13,776.0 |
|
1,275.7 |
3,252.0 |
2,988.0 |
2,622.0 |
1,947.0 |
1,183.8 |
508.1 |
155.0 |
13,931.7 |
|
1,311.7 |
3,308.8 |
2,976.4 |
2,635.5 |
1,978.8 |
1,204.4 |
527.0 |
159.9 |
14,102.5 |
|
1,351.8 |
3,388.7 |
2,957.2 |
2,638.2 |
2,003.1 |
1,230.3 |
543.6 |
169.6 |
14,282.5 |
|
1,426.3 |
3,457.9 |
2,982.3 |
2,610.6 |
2,052.6 |
1,236.6 |
563.1 |
174.8 |
14,504.2 |
|
1,519.1 |
3,527.4 |
3,019.6 |
2,602.0 |
2,071.4 |
1,264.7 |
578.1 |
181.6 |
14,763.9 |
|
1,589.3 |
3,636.2 |
3,070.9 |
2,587.2 |
2,069.2 |
1,302.0 |
591.3 |
186.4 |
15,032.6 |
|
1,610.2 |
3,799.3 |
3,132.2 |
2,579.0 |
2,081.5 |
1,324.7 |
602.0 |
194.6 |
15,323.5 |
|
1,682.6 |
3,986.5 |
3,232.3 |
2,563.6 |
2,084.7 |
1,342.6 |
615.6 |
200.6 |
15,708.4 |
|
1,852.8 |
4,185.0 |
3,320.6 |
2,586.6 |
2,064.3 |
1,376.3 |
618.5 |
204.5 |
16,208.6 |
|
2,039.9 |
4,355.6 |
3,410.7 |
2,620.8 |
2,059.4 |
1,390.0 |
633.7 |
210.4 |
16,720.5 |
Total |
|
1,763.2 |
5,649.3 |
4,227.3 |
2,823.4 |
1,716.7 |
743.2 |
201.0 |
33.2 |
17,157.2 |
|
2,057.3 |
6,369.7 |
4,956.6 |
3,335.2 |
1,955.6 |
976.0 |
313.3 |
61.8 |
20,025.6 |
|
2,497.5 |
6,768.8 |
5,603.2 |
3,948.1 |
2,352.5 |
1,139.3 |
426.2 |
103.9 |
22,839.5 |
|
2,540.7 |
7,269.8 |
6,028.5 |
4,503.1 |
2,814.9 |
1,396.1 |
504.6 |
144.1 |
25,201.8 |
|
2,534.7 |
7,259.8 |
6,206.1 |
4,601.1 |
2,904.0 |
1,463.3 |
522.3 |
153.1 |
25,644.5 |
|
2,533.5 |
7,311.8 |
6,325.4 |
4,677.1 |
3,002.6 |
1,531.8 |
554.9 |
160.2 |
26,097.5 |
|
2,516.2 |
7,320.2 |
6,412.8 |
4,770.2 |
3,085.4 |
1,593.0 |
582.6 |
165.7 |
26,446.1 |
|
2,523.9 |
7,245.5 |
6,561.3 |
4,800.5 |
3,186.4 |
1,648.6 |
609.6 |
169.6 |
26,745.5 |
|
2,483.0 |
7,229.7 |
6,602.9 |
4,922.5 |
3,271.3 |
1,701.2 |
635.8 |
178.3 |
27,024.8 |
|
2,463.8 |
7,183.1 |
6,587.3 |
5,079.7 |
3,345.3 |
1,754.2 |
663.0 |
183.4 |
27,259.8 |
|
2,445.3 |
7,139.4 |
6,674.1 |
5,219.2 |
3,427.5 |
1,821.5 |
692.6 |
192.9 |
27,612.5 |
|
2,478.8 |
7,062.5 |
6,688.5 |
5,306.3 |
3,509.8 |
1,878.3 |
719.7 |
200.4 |
27,844.3 |
|
2,517.8 |
7,089.4 |
6,636.8 |
5,437.6 |
3,537.6 |
1,939.5 |
740.3 |
206.1 |
28,105.0 |
|
2,592.5 |
7,300.9 |
6,650.2 |
5,482.2 |
3,635.5 |
1,988.5 |
759.1 |
212.1 |
28,621.1 |
|
2,665.8 |
7,320.8 |
6,614.9 |
5,476.9 |
3,760.3 |
2,035.6 |
783.5 |
219.1 |
28,876.9 |
|
2,732.6 |
7,415.3 |
6,576.1 |
5,515.4 |
3,840.1 |
2,076.2 |
813.2 |
225.6 |
29,194.5 |
|
2,809.7 |
7,567.4 |
6,513.4 |
5,530.1 |
3,904.6 |
2,127.8 |
839.7 |
236.8 |
29,529.4 |
|
2,960.4 |
7,695.3 |
6,543.4 |
5,491.8 |
4,004.3 |
2,148.7 |
870.8 |
243.6 |
29,958.3 |
|
3,145.5 |
7,836.7 |
6,582.9 |
5,498.1 |
4,039.5 |
2,212.8 |
895.0 |
252.1 |
30,462.6 |
|
3,281.2 |
8,058.0 |
6,659.7 |
5,475.4 |
4,042.3 |
2,293.0 |
915.5 |
258.7 |
30,983.8 |
|
3,307.6 |
8,393.2 |
6,774.5 |
5,451.3 |
4,075.8 |
2,342.4 |
933.9 |
269.5 |
31,548.2 |
|
3,437.7 |
8,770.9 |
6,980.1 |
5,405.9 |
4,090.8 |
2,382.7 |
957.5 |
277.7 |
32,303.2 |
|
3,768.8 |
9,182.0 |
7,161.8 |
5,438.4 |
4,066.2 |
2,443.4 |
965.7 |
284.1 |
33,310.3 |
|
4,135.4 |
9,523.2 |
7,358.2 |
5,481.1 |
4,075.4 |
2,466.6 |
995.4 |
291.8 |
34,327.2 |
Sources:
· Historical figures from SSA administrative records.
· Future figures computed by adding awards to number in force at beginning of year, and applying termination rates.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001