Short-range projections for the Social Security program

Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001 Actuarial Study No. 115 Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B31—Awards to Disabled Children of Retired Workers, as a Percentage of the Uninsured Population
(By age, calendar years 1975-2010)
Year	18-19	20-24	25-29	30-34	35-39	40-44	45-49	50-54	55-59	60-64	65 or older	Total
1975	0.073	0.045	0.054	0.053	0.047	0.029	0.009	0.004	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.030
1976	.072	.048	.061	.052	.048	.031	.009	.003	.002	.001	.000	.032
1977	.072	.048	.063	.058	.050	.031	.009	.003	.003	.001	.000	.033
1978	.076	.046	.062	.052	.048	.028	.009	.003	.002	.001	.000	.032
1979	.087	.055	.069	.055	.051	.030	.008	.003	.001	.000	.000	.034
1980	.091	.063	.076	.059	.053	.031	.009	.002	.001	.000	.000	.036
1981	.077	.060	.074	.056	.047	.029	.008	.003	.002	.001	.000	.034
1982	.070	.052	.071	.058	.048	.030	.008	.002	.001	.000	.000	.033
1983	.072	.053	.082	.071	.055	.037	.010	.002	.001	.000	.000	.037
1984	.066	.057	.085	.078	.058	.035	.009	.002	.001	.000	.000	.039
1985	.067	.060	.089	.084	.064	.037	.009	.002	.001	.000	.000	.042
1986	.065	.068	.094	.089	.070	.034	.010	.002	.001	.000	.000	.044
1987	.058	.063	.096	.091	.075	.041	.011	.003	.001	.000	.000	.044
1988	.054	.058	.096	.091	.081	.045	.013	.004	.001	.000	.000	.045
1989	.053	.055	.091	.086	.077	.046	.013	.004	.002	.001	.000	.043
1990	.053	.057	.099	.095	.086	.050	.013	.004	.002	.001	.000	.046
1991	.054	.056	.110	.101	.094	.059	.013	.004	.002	.001	.001	.049
1992	.053	.057	.120	.112	.105	.065	.018	.005	.002	.001	.000	.053
1993	.049	.055	.113	.118	.108	.061	.017	.005	.002	.001	.000	.052
1994	.045	.049	.103	.116	.109	.065	.017	.004	.002	.001	.001	.050
1995	.043	.045	.094	.119	.110	.068	.018	.004	.002	.001	.000	.049
1996	.042	.042	.087	.111	.108	.066	.019	.004	.002	.001	.000	.047
1997	.039	.038	.081	.102	.110	.073	.020	.005	.002	.001	.000	.044
1998	.038	.039	.081	.108	.114	.074	.020	.005	.002	.001	.000	.043
1999	.039	.041	.086	.106	.122	.076	.023	.005	.002	.001	.000	.045
2000	.042	.042	.096	.117	.140	.090	.024	.005	.002	.001	.000	.049
2001	.041	.041	.090	.112	.130	.082	.023	.005	.002	.001	.000	.046
2002	.041	.041	.089	.112	.130	.082	.023	.005	.002	.001	.000	.045
2003	.041	.041	.089	.112	.130	.082	.023	.005	.002	.001	.000	.045
2004	.041	.041	.090	.112	.130	.082	.023	.005	.002	.001	.000	.044
2005	.041	.041	.090	.112	.130	.082	.023	.005	.002	.001	.000	.044
2006	.041	.040	.090	.112	.130	.082	.023	.005	.002	.001	.000	.043
2007	.041	.040	.090	.112	.130	.082	.022	.005	.002	.001	.000	.043
2008	.041	.040	.091	.112	.130	.082	.022	.005	.002	.001	.000	.043
2009	.041	.040	.091	.112	.130	.082	.022	.005	.002	.001	.000	.043
2010	.041	.040	.090	.112	.130	.082	.022	.005	.002	.001	.000	.042

Sources:

� Historical figures computed by dividing the number of awards by the uninsured population less the number already in force.

� Future figures projected based on historical trend and judgment.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

List of Studies
December 26, 2001