Short-range projections for the Social Security program

Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001 Actuarial Study No. 115 Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B37—Awards to Disabled Children of Deceased Workers, as a Percentage of the Uninsured Population
(By age, calendar years 1975-2010)
Year	18-19	20-24	25-29	30-34	35-39	40-44	45-49	50-54	55-59	60-64	65 or older	Total
1975	0.229	0.051	0.045	0.036	0.041	0.032	0.025	0.020	0.015	0.010	0.004	0.044
1976	.219	.054	.054	.035	.041	.036	.026	.020	.014	.010	.004	.045
1977	.213	.056	.054	.036	.042	.037	.030	.019	.017	.009	.004	.046
1978	.225	.057	.052	.032	.036	.024	.022	.012	.012	.007	.003	.042
1979	.258	.066	.055	.042	.041	.034	.024	.018	.014	.008	.004	.047
1980	.254	.077	.057	.042	.044	.035	.024	.018	.014	.007	.004	.048
1981	.230	.077	.061	.047	.027	.025	.026	.021	.021	.007	.005	.046
1982	.204	.051	.045	.041	.045	.033	.023	.019	.010	.011	.008	.042
1983	.205	.064	.058	.043	.042	.029	.021	.021	.013	.008	.005	.045
1984	.188	.074	.063	.052	.044	.035	.033	.022	.015	.008	.006	.049
1985	.188	.077	.068	.049	.036	.035	.030	.024	.016	.010	.005	.049
1986	.181	.086	.073	.050	.039	.030	.030	.025	.016	.010	.006	.049
1987	.168	.078	.069	.049	.039	.035	.030	.023	.015	.009	.006	.047
1988	.167	.075	.070	.051	.044	.037	.032	.024	.016	.009	.005	.048
1989	.169	.071	.069	.051	.045	.038	.034	.027	.017	.009	.006	.048
1990	.166	.074	.074	.055	.047	.040	.036	.026	.017	.010	.006	.048
1991	.162	.077	.081	.056	.051	.044	.036	.028	.019	.010	.006	.050
1992	.160	.094	.092	.064	.056	.048	.040	.030	.020	.011	.006	.056
1993	.150	.089	.094	.071	.058	.049	.042	.032	.020	.011	.006	.057
1994	.143	.078	.083	.072	.059	.053	.044	.034	.022	.013	.006	.055
1995	.145	.075	.076	.071	.060	.055	.045	.035	.023	.012	.006	.055
1996	.143	.069	.072	.068	.061	.056	.045	.036	.022	.012	.006	.053
1997	.140	.069	.068	.063	.060	.056	.047	.039	.024	.013	.005	.051
1998	.138	.069	.070	.063	.064	.061	.052	.040	.027	.014	.004	.051
1999	.140	.072	.075	.067	.069	.062	.056	.041	.027	.014	.004	.053
2000	.144	.073	.077	.072	.073	.066	.060	.045	.029	.014	.004	.056
2001	.141	.072	.075	.069	.070	.064	.057	.043	.028	.014	.004	.054
2002	.142	.072	.075	.069	.070	.064	.057	.043	.028	.014	.004	.054
2003	.142	.072	.075	.069	.070	.064	.057	.043	.028	.014	.004	.054
2004	.141	.072	.075	.069	.070	.064	.057	.043	.028	.014	.004	.054
2005	.142	.072	.075	.069	.070	.064	.057	.043	.028	.014	.004	.054
2006	.142	.072	.075	.069	.070	.064	.057	.043	.028	.014	.004	.054
2007	.142	.072	.075	.069	.070	.064	.057	.043	.028	.014	.004	.054
2008	.142	.072	.075	.069	.070	.064	.057	.043	.028	.014	.004	.054
2009	.141	.072	.075	.069	.070	.064	.057	.043	.028	.014	.004	.054
2010	.141	.072	.075	.069	.070	.064	.057	.043	.028	.014	.004	.054

Sources:

� Historical figures computed by dividing the number of awards by the uninsured population less the number already in force.

� Future figures projected based on historical trend and judgment.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

List of Studies
December 26, 2001